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Sökning: onr:"swepub:oai:DiVA.org:liu-145557" > Potential applicati...

  • White, Christopher J.School of Engineering and ICT, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Australia / Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre (ACE CRC), Hobart, Australia (författare)

Potential applications of subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictions

  • Artikel/kapitelEngelska2017

Förlag, utgivningsår, omfång ...

  • John Wiley & Sons,2017
  • printrdacarrier

Nummerbeteckningar

  • LIBRIS-ID:oai:DiVA.org:liu-145557
  • urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-145557urn
  • https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1654DOI

Kompletterande språkuppgifter

  • Språk:engelska
  • Sammanfattning på:engelska

Ingår i deldatabas

Klassifikation

  • Ämneskategori:ref swepub-contenttype
  • Ämneskategori:art swepub-publicationtype

Anmärkningar

  • While seasonal outlooks have been operational for many years, until recently the extended-range timescale referred to as subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) has received little attention. S2S prediction fills the gap between short-range weather prediction and long-range seasonal outlooks. Decisions in a range of sectors are made in this extended-range lead time; therefore, there is a strong demand for this new generation of forecasts. International efforts are under way to identify key sources of predictability, improve forecast skill and operationalize aspects of S2S forecasts; however, challenges remain in advancing this new frontier. If S2S predictions are to be used effectively, it is important that, along with science advances, an effort is made to develop, communicate and apply these forecasts appropriately. In this study, the emerging operational S2S forecasts are presented to the wider weather and climate applications community by undertaking the first comprehensive review of sectoral applications of S2S predictions, including public health, disaster preparedness, water management, energy and agriculture. The value of applications-relevant S2S predictions is explored, and the opportunities and challenges facing their uptake are highlighted. It is shown how social sciences can be integrated with S2S development, from communication to decision-making and valuation of forecasts, to enhance the benefits of ‘climate services’ approaches for extended-range forecasting. While S2S forecasting is at a relatively early stage of development, it is concluded that it presents a significant new window of opportunity that can be explored for application-ready capabilities that could allow many sectors the opportunity to systematically plan on a new time horizon.

Ämnesord och genrebeteckningar

Biuppslag (personer, institutioner, konferenser, titlar ...)

  • Carlsen, HenrikStockholm Environment Institute, Stockholm, Sweden (författare)
  • Robertson, Andrew W.International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, USA (författare)
  • Klein, Richard J T,1969-Stockholm Environment Institute, Bonn, Germany(Swepub:liu)rickl78 (författare)
  • Lazo, Jeffrey K.National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)/Research Applications Laboratory (RAL), Boulder, CO, USA (författare)
  • Kumar, ArunNational Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)/Climate Prediction Center (CPC), College Park, MD, USA (författare)
  • Vitart, FredericEuropean Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF), Reading, UK (författare)
  • Coughlan de Perez, ErinInternational Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, USA / Red Cross/Red Crescent Climate Centre, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, USA (författare)
  • Ray, Andrea J.National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)/Earth System Research Laboratory (ESRL), Boulder, CO, USA (författare)
  • Murray, VirginiaPublic Health England (PHE), London, UK (författare)
  • Bharwani, SukainaStockholm Environment Institute, Oxford, UK (författare)
  • MacLeod, DaveDepartment of Physics, Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics, University of Oxford, UK (författare)
  • James, RachelEnvironmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, UK (författare)
  • Fleming, LoraEuropean Centre for Environment and Human Health, University of Exeter, Truro, UK (författare)
  • Morse, Andrew P.School of Environmental Sciences, University of Liverpool, UK (författare)
  • Eggen, BerndCentre for Radiation, Chemical and Environmental Hazards, Public Health England (PHE), Chilton, UK (författare)
  • Graham, RichardUK Met Office, Exeter, UK (författare)
  • Kjellström, ErikSwedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI), Norrköping, Sweden (författare)
  • Becker, EmilyNational Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)/Climate Prediction Center (CPC), College Park, MD, USA (författare)
  • Pegion, Kathleen V.Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic and Earth Sciences and Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, USA (författare)
  • Holbrook, Neil J.ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Australia (författare)
  • McEvoy, DarrynGlobal Cities Research Institute, RMIT University, Melbourne, Australia (författare)
  • Depledge, MichaelEuropean Centre for Environment and Human Health, University of Exeter, Truro, UK (författare)
  • Perkins-Kirkpatrick, SarahARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia (författare)
  • Brown, Timothy J.Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV, USA (författare)
  • Street, RogerUK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP), University of Oxford, UK (författare)
  • Jones, LindseyLondon School of Economics and Political Science (LSE), UK (författare)
  • Remenyi, Tomas A.Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre (ACE CRC), Hobart, Australia (författare)
  • Hodgson-Johnston, IndiAntarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre (ACE CRC), Hobart, Australia (författare)
  • Buontempo, CarloUK Met Office, Exeter, UK (författare)
  • Lamb, RobLancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University, UK / JBA Trust, Skipton, UK (författare)
  • Meinke, HolgerTasmanian Institute of Agriculture, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Australia (författare)
  • Arheimer, BeritSwedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI), Norrköping, Sweden (författare)
  • Zebiak, Stephen E.International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, USA / Climate Information Services Ltd, Tappan, NY, USA (författare)
  • School of Engineering and ICT, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Australia / Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre (ACE CRC), Hobart, AustraliaStockholm Environment Institute, Stockholm, Sweden (creator_code:org_t)

Sammanhörande titlar

  • Ingår i:Meteorological Applications: John Wiley & Sons24:3, s. 315-3251350-48271469-8080

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