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Resource Conflict i...
Resource Conflict in Vulnerable Environments: Three Models Applied to Darfur
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- Olsson, Ola, 1971 (författare)
- Gothenburg University,Göteborgs universitet,Institutionen för nationalekonomi med statistik,Department of Economics
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(creator_code:org_t)
- Göteborg : University of Gothenburg, 2008
- Engelska.
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Serie: Working Papers in Economics (online), 1403-2465 ; 325
- Relaterad länk:
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https://gup.ub.gu.se...
Abstract
Ämnesord
Stäng
- A recurring argument in the global debate is that climate deteriora- tion is likely to make social conflicts over dwindling natural resources more common in the future. In this paper, we present a modelling framework featuring three potential mechanisms for how the alloca- tion and dynamics of scarce renewable resources like land might cause social conflict in vulnerable environments. The rst model shows how decreasing resources make cooperative trade between two groups col- lapse. The second mechanism introduces a Malthusian subsistence level below which disenfranchised members of one community start to prey on the resources of another community in an appropriative coflict-setting. The third scenario explores how the long-run dynam- ics of resources and population levels interact to cause cycles of stag- nation and recovery. Predictions from the models are then applied to the ongoing conflict in the Darfur region of Sudan. Our analysis sug- gests that e¤ective resources per capita in the region appear to have declined by about 5/6 since the 1970s, which at least partially explains the observed disintegration of markets, the recent intensity of conflicts, and the current depopulation of large parts of Darfur.
Ämnesord
- SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP -- Ekonomi och näringsliv -- Nationalekonomi (hsv//swe)
- SOCIAL SCIENCES -- Economics and Business -- Economics (hsv//eng)
Nyckelord
- Market integration
- resource conflict
- vulnerable environments
- appropriative coflict
- long-run resource and population dynamics
- Darfur
Publikations- och innehållstyp
- vet (ämneskategori)
- rap (ämneskategori)