| 191. |
- Hansson, Daniel, 1980, et al.
(författare)
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Reconstruction of river runoff to the Baltic Sea, AD1500-1995
- 2011
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Ingår i: International Journal of Climatology. - : Wiley. - 0899-8418. ; 31, s. 696-703
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- In this paper we reconstructed river runoff to the Baltic Sea since 1500 using temperature and atmospheric circulation indices, showing the important atmospheric processes for river runoff in different regions. Runoff appears to be strongly linked to temperature, wind and rotational circulation components in the northern region and Gulf of Finland, but more associated with rotational and deformation circulation components in the south. No significant long-term change has been detected in total river runoff to the Baltic Sea for 500 years, although decadal and regional variability is large. Analysis of runoff sensitivity to temperature shows that the south region may become drier with rising air temperatures. This is in contrast to the north region and Gulf of Finland where warmer temperatures are associated with more river runoff. Over the past 500 years the total river runoff to the Baltic Sea has decreased by 3% (450 m3/s) per degree Celsius increase.
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| 192. |
- He, B., et al.
(författare)
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Lengthening Dry Spells Intensify Summer Heatwaves
- 2022
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Ingår i: Geophysical Research Letters. - : American Geophysical Union (AGU). - 0094-8276 .- 1944-8007. ; 49:19
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- A lengthening of dry spells (DSLs) has been reported by some regional studies, but its linkage with heatwaves via the feedback between soil moisture and air temperature is still not clear on the global and continental scales. Here we examine increases in the length of DSLs during summer over the global continents using in situ precipitation records. Globally, the average DSL has increased by 0.46 day/decade since the 1970s along with increased high-pressure anomalies which are found to be an important reason for the intensification of heatwaves as suggested by the robust and widespread relationships between the DSL and heatwave duration and severity in the northern extratropics. The average DSL associated with a heatwave declined over lands, implying a strengthening coupling between precipitation anomalies and heatwaves. The findings of this study suggest that the precipitation variations associated with changes in DSLs should be considered in attributions of temperature extremes.
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| 193. |
- He, Bin, et al.
(författare)
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Worldwide impacts of atmospheric vapor pressure deficit on the interannual variability of terrestrial carbon sinks
- 2022
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Ingår i: National Science Review. - : Oxford University Press (OUP). - 2095-5138 .- 2053-714X. ; 9:4
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Interannual variability of the terrestrial ecosystem carbon sink is substantially regulated by various environmental variables and highly dominates the interannual variation of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations. Thus, it is necessary to determine dominating factors affecting the interannual variability of the carbon sink to improve our capability of predicting future terrestrial carbon sinks. Using global datasets derived from machine-learning methods and process-based ecosystem models, this study reveals that the interannual variability of the atmospheric vapor pressure deficit (VPD) was significantly negatively correlated with net ecosystem production (NEP) and substantially impacted the interannual variability of the atmospheric CO2 growth rate (CGR). Further analyses found widespread constraints of VPD interannual variability on terrestrial gross primary production (GPP), causing VPD to impact NEP and CGR. Partial correlation analysis confirms the persistent and widespread impacts of VPD on terrestrial carbon sinks compared to other environmental variables. Current Earth system models underestimate the interannual variability in VPD and its impacts on GPP and NEP. Our results highlight the importance of VPD for terrestrial carbon sinks in assessing ecosystems' responses to future climate conditions.
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| 194. |
- He, J., et al.
(författare)
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Development and Evaluation of an Ensemble-Based Data Assimilation System for Regional Reanalysis Over the Tibetan Plateau and Surrounding Regions
- 2019
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Ingår i: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. - 1942-2466. ; 11:8, s. 2503-2522
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- The Tibetan Plateau is regarded as the Earth's Third Pole, which is the source region of several major rivers that impact more 20% the world population. This high‐altitude region is reported to have been undergoing much greater rate of weather changes under global warming, but the existing reanalysis products are inadequate for depicting the state of the atmosphere, particularly with regard to the amount of precipitation and its diurnal cycle. An ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) data assimilation system based on the limited‐area Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model was evaluated for use in developing a regional reanalysis over the Tibetan Plateau and the surrounding regions. A 3‐month prototype reanalysis over the summer months (June−August) of 2015 using WRF‐EnKF at a 30‐km grid spacing to assimilate nonradiance observations from the Global Telecommunications System was developed and evaluated against independent sounding and satellite observations in comparison to the ERA‐Interim and fifth European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis (ERA5) global reanalysis. Results showed that both the posterior analysis and the subsequent 6‐ to 12‐hr WRF forecasts of the prototype regional reanalysis compared favorably with independent sounding observations, satellite‐based precipitation versus those from ERA‐Interim and ERA5 during the same period. In particular, the prototype regional reanalysis had clear advantages over the global reanalyses of ERA‐Interim and ERA5 in the analysis accuracy of atmospheric humidity, as well as in the subsequent downscale‐simulated precipitation intensity, spatial distribution, diurnal evolution, and extreme occurrence.
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| 195. |
- He, M. S., et al.
(författare)
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A delayed modulation of solar ultraviolet radiation on the COVID-19 transmission reflects an incubation period
- 2022
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Ingår i: Meteorological Applications. - : Wiley. - 1350-4827 .- 1469-8080. ; 29:5
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Laboratory experiments have revealed the meteorological sensitivity of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) virus. However, no consensus has been reached about how outdoor meteorological conditions modulate the virus transmission as it is also constrained by non-meteorological conditions. Here, we identify the outbreak's evolution stage, constrained least by non-meteorological conditions, by searching the maximum correlation coefficient between the ultraviolet flux and the growth rate of cumulative confirmed cases at the country level. At this least-constrained stage, the cumulative cases count around 1300-3200, and the count's daily growth rate correlates with the ultraviolet flux and temperature significantly (correlation coefficients r = -0.54 +/- 0.09 and -0.39 +/- 0.10 at p<0.01$$ p, respectively), but not with precipitation, humidity, and wind. The ultraviolet correlation exhibits a delay of about 7 days, providing a meteorological measure of the incubation period. Our work reveals a seasonality of COVID-19 and a high risk of a pandemic resurgence in winter, implying a need for seasonal adaption in public policies.
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| 196. |
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| 197. |
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