| 1. |
- Chen, Hans, 1988, et al.
(author)
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A robust mode of climate variability in the Arctic: The Barents Oscillation
- 2013
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In: Geophysical Research Letters. - : American Geophysical Union (AGU). - 0094-8276 .- 1944-8007. ; 40:11, s. 2856-2861
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- The Barents Oscillation (BO) is an anomalous wintertime atmospheric circulation pattern in the Northern Hemisphere that has been linked to the meridional flow over the Nordic Seas. There are speculations that the BO has important implications for the Arctic climate; however, it has also been suggested that the pattern is an artifact of Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis due to an eastward shift of the Arctic Oscillation/North Atlantic Oscillation (AO/NAO). In this study, EOF analyses are performed to show that a robust pattern resembling the BO can be found during different time periods, even when the AO/NAO is relatively stationary. This BO has a high and stable temporal correlation with the geostrophic zonal wind over the Barents Sea, while the contribution from the AO/NAO is small. The surface air temperature anomalies over the Barents Sea are closely associated with this mode of climate variability.
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| 2. |
- Hallquist, Åsa Marita, et al.
(author)
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On-board Measurements of Nanoparticles from a SCR-Equipped Marine Diesel Engine
- 2013
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In: Environmental Science & Technology. - : American Chemical Society. - 0013-936X .- 1520-5851. ; 47:2, s. 773-780
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- In this study nanoparticle emissions have been characterised on-board a ship with focus on number, size and volatility. Measurements were conducted on one of the ship’s four main 12 600 kW medium–speed diesel engines which use low sulphur marine residual fuel and have a Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR) system for NOX abatement. The particles were measured after the SCR with an engine exhaust particle sizer spectrometer (EEPS), giving particle number and mass distributions in the size range of 5.6-560 nm. The thermal characteristics of the particles were analysed using a volatility tandem DMA system (VTDMA). A dilution ratio of 450-520 was used which is similar to the initial real-world dilution. At a stable engine load of 75% of the maximum rated power, and after dilution and cooling of the exhaust gas, there was a bimodal number size distribution, with a major peak at ~10 nm and a smaller peak at around 30-40 nm. The mass distribution peaked around 20 nm and at 50-60 nm. The emission factor for particle number, EFPN, for an engine load of 75% in the open-sea was found to be 10.4 ± 1.6 × 1016 (kg fuel)-1 and about 50% of the particles by number were found to have a non-volatile core at 250 °C. Additionally, 20 nm particles consist of ~40% of non-volatile material by volume (evaporative temperature 250 °C) while the particles with a particle diameter <10 nm evaporate completely at a temperature of 130-150 °C. Emission factors for NOX, CO and CO2 for an engine load of 75% in the open-sea were determined to 4.06 ± 0.3 g (kg fuel)-1, 2.15 ± 0.06 g (kg fuel)-1 and 3.23 ± 0.08 kg (kg fuel)-1, respectively. This work contributes to an improved understanding of particle emissions from shipping using modern pollution reduction measures such as SCR and fuel with low sulphur content.
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| 3. |
- Khosravi, Maryam, 1975
(author)
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Diurnal variation of stratospheric short-lived species
- 2012
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Licentiate thesis (other academic/artistic)abstract
- Diurnal variation of stratospheric short-lived speciesMaryam KhosraviChalmers University of TechnologyDepartment of Earth and Space SciencesAbstractThe depletion of ozone in the stratosphere has a direct impact on the amount of ultravioletradiation reaching the Earth’s surface. The ozone abundance and distributionis controlled by the photo-chemical reactions and catalytic cycles involving halogens(chlorine and bromine), odd hydrogen and odd nitrogen species as well as by atmospherictransport.An introduction to ozone related chemistry of the stratosphere and modelling ofshort-lived species using photo-chemical models is presented. A one dimensional (1D)atmospheric model is used in two distinct studies: modeling of short-lived species inthe Arctic lower stratosphere (paper I) and in the tropical mid to upper stratosphere(paper II).The first part of this thesis describes the diurnal variation of chlorine monoxide,ClO, which is the most important short-lived species controlling ozone in the polarlower stratosphere during winter and early-spring. The ClO-dimer cycle, involvingClO and its nighttime reservoir Cl2O2, contributes to about 75%of the polar ozone loss.ClO measurements from an airborne submillimeter radiometer in the Arctic twilighthave been compared with the results from a 1D photo-chemical model (MISU-1D), inorder to validate the model and to test the kinetics of the reactions controlling the partitioningof chlorine species during the course of a day. The results show that crosssections leading to faster photolysis rates of Cl2O2 match best with the ClO observations.This is consistent with the recent version of the chemical kinetics evaluation bythe Jet Propulsion Laboratory. Slower photolysis rates can not be reconciled with theobservations since active chlorine higher than the total available chlorine would be required.The model reproduces higher nighttime ClO than the observations, howeverthe nighttime ClOmodelled using recent JPL recommendations of the thermal equilibriumconstant agree within the uncertainty range of the observations. The sensitivityof the model to the assumed albedo and temperature are also tested. Neither the temperaturenor the albedo uncertainties allow us to reconcile the model with the lowerobserved nighttime ClO. Moreover, it is found that the ClO-BrO cycle decreases ClOmostly around sunrise and sunset.The second part of the thesis presents the partitioning and diurnal variation of chlorine,bromine, hydrogen, nitrogen and oxygen species in the tropics from the stratosphereto the lower mesosphere. Model results of the diurnal variation of HOCl (asone of the chlorine reservoirs), the related short-lived species ClO and HO2 and HCl(as the main chlorine reservoir) for the tropics and three altitudes (35, 45 and 55 km)are compared with measurements from five satellite instruments. The model resultsgenerally agree with the observations both in terms of the absolute values and the differencesbetween day and night.
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| 4. |
- Blennow, Kristina, et al.
(author)
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Societal impacts of storm damage
- 2013
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In: Living with Storm Damage to Forests. What science can tell us. - 9789525980097 ; :3, s. 70-77
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Book chapter (other academic/artistic)
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| 5. |
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| 6. |
- Matthes, Heidrun, et al.
(author)
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Sensitivity of high-resolution Arctic regional climate model projections to different implementations of land surface processes
- 2012
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In: Climatic Change. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 0165-0009 .- 1573-1480. ; 111:2, s. 197-214
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- This paper discusses the effects of vegetation cover and soil parameters on the climate change projections of a regional climate model over the Arctic domain. Different setups of the land surface model of the regional climate model HIRHAM were realized to analyze differences in the atmospheric circulation caused by (1) the incorporation of freezing/thawing of soil moisture, (2) the consideration of top organic soil horizons typical for the Arctic and (3) a vegetation shift due to a changing climate. The largest direct thermal effect in 2 m air temperature was found for the vegetation shift, which ranged between −1.5 K and 3 K. The inclusion of a freeze/thaw scheme for soil moisture shows equally large sensitivities in spring over cool areas with high soil moisture content. Although the sensitivity signal in 2 m air temperature for the experiments differs in amplitude, all experiments show changes in mean sea level pressure (mslp) and geopotential height (z) throughout the troposphere of similar magnitude (mslp: −2 hPa to 1.5 hPa, z: −15 gpm to 5 gpm). This points to the importance of dynamical feedbacks within the atmosphere-land system. Land and soil processes have a distinct remote influence on large scale atmospheric circulation patterns in addition to their direct, regional effects. The assessment of induced uncertainties due to the changed implementations of land surface processes discussed in this study demonstrates the need to take all those processes for future Arctic climate projections into account, and demonstrates a clear need to include similar implementations in regional and global climate models.
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| 7. |
- Koster, R. D., et al.
(author)
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The Second Phase of the Global Land–Atmosphere Coupling Experiment: Soil Moisture Contributions to Subseasonal Forecast Skill
- 2011
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In: Journal of Hydrometeorology. - : American Meteorological Society. - 1525-755X .- 1525-7541. ; 12:5, s. 805-822
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- The second phase of the Global Land–Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (GLACE-2) is a multi-institutional numerical modeling experiment focused on quantifying, for boreal summer, the subseasonal (out to two months) forecast skill for precipitation and air temperature that can be derived from the realistic initialization of land surface states, notably soil moisture. An overview of the experiment and model behavior at the global scale is described here, along with a determination and characterization of multimodel “consensus” skill. The models show modest but significant skill in predicting air temperatures, especially where the rain gauge network is dense. Given that precipitation is the chief driver of soil moisture, and thereby assuming that rain gauge density is a reasonable proxy for the adequacy of the observational network contributing to soil moisture initialization, this result indeed highlights the potential contribution of enhanced observations to prediction. Land-derived precipitation forecast skill is much weaker than that for air temperature. The skill for predicting air temperature, and to some extent precipitation, increases with the magnitude of the initial soil moisture anomaly. GLACE-2 results are examined further to provide insight into the asymmetric impacts of wet and dry soil moisture initialization on skill.
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| 8. |
- Omstedt, Anders, 1949, et al.
(author)
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Future changes in the Baltic Sea acid-base (pH) and oxygen balances
- 2012
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In: Tellus. Series B, Chemical and physical meteorology. - : Stockholm University Press. - 0280-6509 .- 1600-0889. ; 64
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Possible future changes in Baltic Sea acid–base (pH) and oxygen balances were studied using a catchment–sea coupled model system and numerical experiments based on meteorological and hydrological forcing datasets and scenarios. By using objective statistical methods, climate runs for present climate conditions were examined and evaluated using Baltic Sea modelling. The results indicate that increased nutrient loads will not inhibit future Baltic Sea acidification; instead, the seasonal pH cycle will be amplified by increased biological production and mineralization. All examined scenarios indicate future acidification of the whole Baltic Sea that is insensitive to the chosen global climate model. The main factor controlling the direction and magnitude of future pH changes is atmospheric CO2 concentration (i.e. emissions). Climate change and land-derived changes (e.g. nutrient loads) affect acidification mainly by altering the seasonal cycle and deep-water conditions. Apart from decreasing pH, we also project a decreased saturation state of calcium carbonate, decreased respiration index, and increasing hypoxic area – all factors that will threaten the marine ecosystem. We demonstrate that substantial reductions in fossil-fuel burning are needed to minimize the coming pH decrease and substantial reductions in nutrient loads are needed to reduce the coming increase in hypoxic and anoxic waters.
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| 9. |
- Westerberg, Ida, et al.
(author)
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Precipitation data in a mountainous catchment in Honduras: quality assessment and spatiotemporal characteristics
- 2010
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In: Theoretical and Applied Climatology. - : Springer Nature. - 0177-798X .- 1434-4483. ; 101:3-4, s. 381-396
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- An accurate description of temporal and spatial precipitation variability in Central America is important for local farming, water supply and flood management. Data quality problems and lack of consistent precipitation data impede hydrometeorological analysis in the 7,500 km2 Choluteca River basin in central Honduras, encompassing the capital Tegucigalpa. We used precipitation data from 60 daily and 13 monthly stations in 1913–2006 from five local authorities and NOAA's Global Historical Climatology Network. Quality control routines were developed to tackle the specific data quality problems. The quality-controlled data were characterised spatially and temporally, and compared with regional and larger-scale studies. Two gapfilling methods for daily data and three interpolation methods for monthly and mean annual precipitation were compared. The coefficient-of-correlation-weighting method provided the best results for gap-filling and the universal kriging method for spatial interpolation. In-homogeneity in the time series was the main quality problem, and 22% of the daily precipitation data were too poor to be used. Spatial autocorrelation for monthly precipitation was low during the dry season, and correlation increased markedly when data were temporally aggregated from a daily time scale to 4–5 days. The analysis manifested the high spatial and temporal variability caused by the diverse precipitationgenerating mechanisms and the need for an improved monitoring network.
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| 10. |
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