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- Wang, Haidong, et al.
(författare)
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Global, regional, and national levels of neonatal, infant, and under-5 mortality during 1990-2013 : a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013
- 2014
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Ingår i: The Lancet. - 0140-6736 .- 1474-547X. ; 384:9947, s. 957-979
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- BACKGROUND: Remarkable financial and political efforts have been focused on the reduction of child mortality during the past few decades. Timely measurements of levels and trends in under-5 mortality are important to assess progress towards the Millennium Development Goal 4 (MDG 4) target of reduction of child mortality by two thirds from 1990 to 2015, and to identify models of success.METHODS: We generated updated estimates of child mortality in early neonatal (age 0-6 days), late neonatal (7-28 days), postneonatal (29-364 days), childhood (1-4 years), and under-5 (0-4 years) age groups for 188 countries from 1970 to 2013, with more than 29 000 survey, census, vital registration, and sample registration datapoints. We used Gaussian process regression with adjustments for bias and non-sampling error to synthesise the data for under-5 mortality for each country, and a separate model to estimate mortality for more detailed age groups. We used explanatory mixed effects regression models to assess the association between under-5 mortality and income per person, maternal education, HIV child death rates, secular shifts, and other factors. To quantify the contribution of these different factors and birth numbers to the change in numbers of deaths in under-5 age groups from 1990 to 2013, we used Shapley decomposition. We used estimated rates of change between 2000 and 2013 to construct under-5 mortality rate scenarios out to 2030.FINDINGS: We estimated that 6·3 million (95% UI 6·0-6·6) children under-5 died in 2013, a 64% reduction from 17·6 million (17·1-18·1) in 1970. In 2013, child mortality rates ranged from 152·5 per 1000 livebirths (130·6-177·4) in Guinea-Bissau to 2·3 (1·8-2·9) per 1000 in Singapore. The annualised rates of change from 1990 to 2013 ranged from -6·8% to 0·1%. 99 of 188 countries, including 43 of 48 countries in sub-Saharan Africa, had faster decreases in child mortality during 2000-13 than during 1990-2000. In 2013, neonatal deaths accounted for 41·6% of under-5 deaths compared with 37·4% in 1990. Compared with 1990, in 2013, rising numbers of births, especially in sub-Saharan Africa, led to 1·4 million more child deaths, and rising income per person and maternal education led to 0·9 million and 2·2 million fewer deaths, respectively. Changes in secular trends led to 4·2 million fewer deaths. Unexplained factors accounted for only -1% of the change in child deaths. In 30 developing countries, decreases since 2000 have been faster than predicted attributable to income, education, and secular shift alone.INTERPRETATION: Only 27 developing countries are expected to achieve MDG 4. Decreases since 2000 in under-5 mortality rates are accelerating in many developing countries, especially in sub-Saharan Africa. The Millennium Declaration and increased development assistance for health might have been a factor in faster decreases in some developing countries. Without further accelerated progress, many countries in west and central Africa will still have high levels of under-5 mortality in 2030.
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- Tiblad, E, et al.
(författare)
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Procedure-related complications and perinatal outcome after intrauterine transfusions in red cell alloimmunization in Stockholm
- 2011
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Ingår i: Fetal diagnosis and therapy. - : S. Karger AG. - 1421-9964 .- 1015-3837. ; 30:4, s. 266-273
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- <i>Introduction:</i> We present a review of all cases of intravascular transfusions in red cell alloimmunization over a time span of 20 years in Stockholm. The aim of the study is to compare our results with published results from larger centers and to identify areas that can be further improved. <i>Material and Methods:</i> A retrospective cohort study was conducted of all women treated with intrauterine transfusions due to erythrocyte immunization in our hospital between June 1990 and June 2010. Primary outcome variables were fetal and neonatal survival, procedure-related complications and gestational age at delivery. <i>Results:</i> A total of 284 intrauterine transfusions were performed in 84 pregnancies, with an overall survival rate of 91.8%. Procedure-related and fatal complications occurred in the present study in 4.9 and 1.4% of fetuses or neonates, respectively. Procedure-related complications were significantly more common in free-loop transfusions than in transfusions in the intrahepatic part of the umbilical vein (OR: 5.4, p = 0.025). There was no significant difference between the intrahepatic and the placental cord insertion route (p = 0.83). Gestational age at first transfusion was significantly associated with an increased risk of a procedure-related complication (OR: 0.8, p = 0.019). Of the live-born infants, 24% of the neonates were born before gestational week 34. <i>Discussion:</i> Our study confirms previous studies demonstrating favorable results with intravascular transfusions.
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