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- Tang, Wanru, et al.
(författare)
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Drought variations in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau region since 1704 and their link to the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation
- 2023
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Ingår i: Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology. - 0031-0182. ; 630
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Understanding the long-term history of drought in the Tibetan Plateau region is important to improve understanding of drought frequency in response to future global warming. Although the Tibetan Plateau has become generally wetter recently, the southeastern part of the Tibetan Plateau has become drier since the 2000s. To place this drying trend in a historical context, we conducted tree-ring studies for Abies spectabilis and Tsuga dumosa at three sites in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau, and developed tree-ring width (TRW), earlywood width (EWW), and latewood width (LWW) chronologies to permit local drought reconstruction. Based on correlation between these tree-ring parameters and instrumental meteorological data, the EWW chronologies were identified as suitable variables for reconstructing the average April–July self-calibrating Palmer Drought Index (scPDSI). The reconstruction accounted for 45.86% of the variance in the instrumental record and allowed us to extend the drought record back to 1704 CE. Based on this new dataset, the driest interval was from 1907 to 1919 CE during which time agricultural production fell by about 70% according to written historical records, leading to severe famine. Our findings suggest that this early twentieth century drought was in phase with the previously known drought over the northern Daxing'an Mountains. However, the southeastern Tibetan Plateau drought occurred one decade earlier than the known widespread drought event in North China during the 1920s–1930s. We show that this spatial drought pattern may have been modulated by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation.
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| 2. |
- Xing, Hang, et al.
(författare)
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Impacts of changes in climate extremes on wildfire occurrences in China
- 2023
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Ingår i: Ecological Indicators. - 1470-160X. ; 157
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Climate change has caused more frequent instances of extreme climatic events around the world, being an influential factor on the occurrence of wildfires in China on large scale. However, the impact of changes in extreme climate on the occurrence of wildfires in different climate zones remains unclear. In the present study, 26 extreme climate indices were selected to analyze the thereof relationship with wildfire occurrences from 2005 to 2018 in different regions of China. Wildfires in China primarily occur in the south, with a measurable presence in the north. On an annual scale, the wildfire occurrences in southwestern China show stronger correlations with mean temperature than extreme temperature indices, but show stronger correlations with extreme precipitation indices than the total precipitation. On the contrary, the wildfire occurrences in southeastern China show stronger correlations with the total precipitation than extreme precipitation indices, but show stronger correlations with extreme temperature indices than the mean temperature. In Northeast China, wildfires show a more significant correlation with mean temperature than with any extreme climate indices, indicating a minimal impact from extreme climatic conditions. The fire-climate relationships in the main fire season (January-April) are similar to those in the annual scale. The wildfire occurrences in the southwestern, south-central, and southeastern China, which are located in the same latitudes, were affected by extreme climate indices of different types and on different time scales. Furthermore, we recommend that consecutive dry days (CDD) and diurnal temperature range (DTR) should be considered first when studying the relationship between wildfire occurrence and extreme climate in southwestern and southeastern China respectively.
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