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Sökning: FÖRF:(Bengt Assarsson)

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1.
  • Assarsson, Bengt, et al. (författare)
  • Do Swedish Consumer Confidence Indicators Do What They Are Intended to Do?
  • 2015
  • Ingår i: Applied Economics Quarterly. - Berlin : Dunker & Humblot. - 1611-6607 .- 1865-5122. ; 61:4, s. 391-404
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • In this paper, we investigate whether the two main consumer confidence indicators available for Sweden – that of the National Institute of Economic Research and that of the European Commission – can nowcast Swedish household consumption expenditure. In a simulated out-of-sample nowcast exercise, we find that the consumer confidence indicator of the National Institute of Economic Research appears most useful for this purpose. The root mean square error of the nowcast from the model employing this indicator is the lowest of all models relying on survey data. The nowcasting performance of the model using the consumer confidence indicator of the European Commission is less impressive; while it outperforms the simplest possible benchmark model, its root mean square error is considerably higher than that of the model relying on the consumer confidence indicator of the National Institute of Economic Research. An implication of our findings is that while the European Commission’s survey programme may have been successful in creating a set of harmonised data for the member countries of the European Union, it is not obvious that the harmonised indicators are the most relevant ones for analysis, nowcasting or forecasting in each country.
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2.
  • Assarsson, Bengt, et al. (författare)
  • En granskning av Goodharts och Rochets utvärdering av Riksbankens politik
  • 2012
  • Ingår i: Ekonomiska samfundets tidskrift. - 0013-3183 .- 2323-1378. ; 65:2, s. 63-71
  • Forskningsöversikt (refereegranskat)abstract
    • This paper reviews Charles Goodhart's and Jean-Charles Rochet's evaluation of the policy of the Swedish Riksbank during 2005-2010. A merit in the evaluation is that it advocates macro and not only micro prudential policies in the preventive efforts to support a stable financial system. However, we are critical about the lack of discussion on the presently weak basis of the economic theory of prudential policies. This calls for a precautionary principle in the design and implementation of reform. When it comes to monetary policy, there should have been a careful analysis of the divergence of opinion among the members of the Board of Governors, which is almost completely disregarded by the evaluaters. It seems that the decisions in the Riksbank have been characterized by an obvious bias towards too low inflation during the evaluation period.
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  • Assarsson, Bengt (författare)
  • The almost ideal demand system in error correction form
  • 1996
  • Ingår i: The econometrics of demand systems. With applications to food demand in the Nordic countries. - : Kluwer Academic Publishers. ; , s. 195-204
  • Bokkapitel (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)
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  • Resultat 1-10 av 12

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