| 1. |
- Assel, Melissa, et al.
(författare)
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Association Between Lead Time and Prostate Cancer Grade : Evidence of Grade Progression from Long-term Follow-up of Large Population-based Cohorts Not Subject to Prostate-specific Antigen Screening
- 2018
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Ingår i: European Urology. - : Elsevier BV. - 0302-2838 .- 1873-7560. ; 73:6, s. 961-967
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Background: Lead time (LT) is of key importance in early detection of cancer, but cannot be directly measured. We have previously provided LT estimates for prostate cancer (PCa) using archived blood samples from cohorts followed for many years without screening. Objective: To determine the association between LT and PCa grade at diagnosis to provide an insight into whether grade progresses or is stable over time. Design, setting, and participants: The setting was three long-term epidemiologic studies in Sweden including men not subject to prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening. The cohort included 1041 men with PSA of 3–10 ng/ml at blood draw and subsequently diagnosed with PCa with grade data available. Outcome measurements and statistical analysis: Multivariable logistic regression was used to predict high-grade (Gleason grade group ≥2 or World Health Organization grade 3) versus low-grade PCa at diagnosis in terms of LT, defined as the time between the date of elevated PSA and the date of PCa diagnosis with adjustment for cohort and age. Results and limitations: The probability that PCa would be high grade at diagnosis increased with LT. Among all men combined, the risk of high-grade disease increased with LT (odds ratio 1.13, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.10–1.16; p < 0.0001), with no evidence of differences in effect by age group or cohort. Higher PSA predicted shorter LT by 0.46 yr (95% CI 0.28–0.64; p < 0.0001) per 1 ng/ml increase in PSA. However, there was no interaction between PSA and grade, suggesting that the longer LT for high-grade tumors is not simply related to age. Limitations include the assumption that men with elevated PSA and subsequently diagnosed with PCa would have had biopsy-detectable PCa at the time of PSA elevation. Conclusions: Our data support grade progression, whereby following a prostate over time would reveal transitions from benign to low-grade and then high-grade PCa. Patient summary: Men with a longer lead time between elevated prostate-specific antigen and subsequent prostate cancer diagnosis were more likely to have high-grade cancers at diagnosis. The probability that a cancer will be of high grade at diagnosis increases with the lead time. Our findings provide evidence of grade progression, whereby a prostate followed over time would exhibit transitions from benign to low-grade to high-grade prostate cancer.
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| 2. |
- Aus, G, et al.
(författare)
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Cumulative prostate cancer risk assessment with the aid of the free-to-total prostate specific antigen ratio
- 2004
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Ingår i: European Urology. - : Elsevier BV. - 1873-7560 .- 0302-2838. ; 45:2, s. 160-165
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Objective: To evaluate the cumulative risk of having a prostate cancer diagnosis in a repeated screening situation in relation to the free-to-total prostate specific antigen ratio (F/T-PSA). Patients and Methods: The present study includes 1385 men (aged 50-70 years) who underwent prostate biopsy for the first time in the screening program that started in 1995. In case of a benign finding, the men have been followed biennially and new biopsies performed in case of persistently elevated PSA. The cumulative risk to be diagnosed with prostate cancer until July 1, 2002 was calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method and comparison was made between different levels of T-PSA and F/T-PSA ratios. Results: Of 2129 biopsies 469 showed cancer. The cumulative 5-year risk to be diagnosed with prostate cancer was significantly dependent of the F/T-ratio. The risk for men with a T-PSA of 3-5.99 ng/ml was 16% [6-25%] for those who had a ratio of >30% and 44% [34-60%] for those with a ratio of <10%. The corresponding difference for patients with a T-PSA of 6-9.99 ng/ml was even more pronounced: 21% [0-42%] vs. 80% [64-96%]. Conclusion: By completing the T-PSA measurement with the F/T-PSA ratio it is possible to significantly better assess the cumulative prostate cancer risk within the next five years (without the aid of further urological work-up).
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| 3. |
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| 4. |
- Boström, Peter J, et al.
(författare)
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Genomic Predictors of Outcome in Prostate Cancer.
- 2015
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Ingår i: European Urology. - : Elsevier BV. - 1873-7560 .- 0302-2838. ; 68:6, s. 1033-1044
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Forskningsöversikt (refereegranskat)abstract
- Given the highly variable behavior and clinical course of prostate cancer (PCa) and the multiple available treatment options, a personalized approach to oncologic risk stratification is important. Novel genetic approaches offer additional information to improve clinical decision making.
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| 5. |
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| 6. |
- Carlsson, Sigrid, et al.
(författare)
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Predictive Value of Four Kallikrein Markers for Pathologically Insignificant Compared With Aggressive Prostate Cancer in Radical Prostatectomy Specimens: Results From the European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer Section Rotterdam
- 2013
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Ingår i: European Urology. - : Elsevier BV. - 1873-7560 .- 0302-2838. ; 64:5, s. 693-699
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Background: Treatment decisions can be difficult in men with low-risk prostate cancer (PCa). Objective: To evaluate the ability of a panel of four kallikrein markers in blood-total prostate-specific antigen (PSA), free PSA, intact PSA, and kallikrein-related peptidase 2-to distinguish between pathologically insignificant and aggressive disease on pathologic examination of radical prostatectomy (RP) specimens as well as to calculate the number of avoidable surgeries. Design, setting, and participants: The cohort comprised 392 screened men participating in rounds 1 and 2 of the Rotterdam arm of the European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer. Patients were diagnosed with PCa because of an elevated PSA >= 3.0 ng/ml and were treated with RP between 1994 and 2004. Outcome measurements and statistical analysis: We calculated the accuracy (area under the curve [AUC]) of statistical models to predict pathologically aggressive PCa (pT3-T4, extracapsular extension, tumor volume >0.5 cm(3), or any Gleason grade >= 4) based on clinical predictors (age, stage, PSA, biopsy findings) with and without levels of four kallikrein markers in blood. Results and limitations: A total of 261 patients (67%) had significant disease on pathologic evaluation of the RP specimen. While the clinical model had good accuracy in predicting aggressive disease, reflected in a corrected AUC of 0.81, the four kallikrein markers enhanced the base model, with an AUC of 0.84 (p < 0.0005). The model retained its ability in patients with low-risk and very-low-risk disease and in comparison with the Steyerberg nomogram, a published prediction model. Clinical application of the model incorporating the kallikrein markers would reduce rates of surgery by 135 of 1000 patients overall and 110 of 334 patients with pathologically insignificant disease. A limitation of the present study is that clinicians may be hesitant to make recommendations against active treatment on the basis of a statistical model. Conclusions: Our study provided proof of principle that predictions based on levels of four kallikrein markers in blood distinguish between pathologically insignificant and aggressive disease after RP with good accuracy. In the future, clinical use of the model could potentially reduce rates of immediate unnecessary active treatment. (c) 2013 European Association of Urology. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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| 7. |
- Carlsson, Sigrid, et al.
(författare)
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Screening for Prostate Cancer Starting at Age 50-54 Years. A Population-based Cohort Study
- 2017
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Ingår i: European Urology. - : Elsevier BV. - 0302-2838 .- 1873-7560. ; 71:1, s. 46-52
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Background: Current prostate cancer screening guidelines conflict with respect to the age at which to initiate screening. Objective: To evaluate the effect of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening versus zero screening, starting at age 50-54 yr, on prostate cancer mortality. Design, setting, and participants: This is a population-based cohort study comparing 3479 men aged 50 yr through 54 yr randomized to PSA-screening in the Göteborg population-based prostate cancer screening trial, initiated in 1995, versus 4060 unscreened men aged 51-55 yr providing cryopreserved blood in the population-based Malmö Preventive Project in the pre-PSA era, during 1982-1985. Outcome measurements and statistical analysis: Cumulative incidence and incidence rate ratios of prostate cancer diagnosis, metastasis, and prostate cancer death. Results and limitations: At 17 yr, regular PSA-screening in Göteborg of men in their early 50s carried a more than two-fold higher risk of prostate cancer diagnosis compared with the unscreened men in Malmö (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 2.56, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.18, 3.02), but resulted in a substantial decrease in the risk of metastases (IRR 0.43, 95% CI 0.22, 0.79) and prostate cancer death (IRR 0.29, 95% CI 0.11, 0.67). There were 57 fewer prostate cancer deaths per 10. 000 men (95% CI 22, 92) in the screened group. At 17 yr, the number needed to invite to PSA-screening and the number needed to diagnose to prevent one prostate cancer death was 176 and 16, respectively. The study is limited by lack of treatment information and the comparison of the two different birth cohorts. Conclusions: PSA screening for prostate cancer can decrease prostate cancer mortality among men aged 50-54 yr, with the number needed to invite and number needed to detect to prevent one prostate cancer death comparable to those previously reported from the European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer for men aged 55-69 yr, at a similar follow-up. Guideline groups could consider whether guidelines for PSA screening should recommend starting no later than at ages 50-54 yr. Patient summary: Guideline recommendations about the age to start prostate-specific antigen screening could be discussed. Guideline recommendations about the age to start prostate-specific antigen screening could be discussed.
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