| 1. |
- Berndtsson, Ronny, et al.
(author)
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Drivers of changing urban flood risk : A framework for action
- 2019
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In: Journal of Environmental Management. - : Elsevier. - 0301-4797 .- 1095-8630. ; 240, s. 47-56
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- This study focuses on drivers for changing urban flood risk. We suggest a framework for guiding climate change adaptation action concerning flood risk and manageability in cities. The identified key drivers of changing flood hazard and vulnerability are used to provide an overview of each driver's impact on flood risk and manageability at the city level. We find that identified drivers for urban flood risk can be grouped in three different priority areas with different time horizon. The first group has high impact but is manageable at city level. Typical drivers in this group are related to the physical environment such as decreasing permeability and unresponsive engineering. The second group of drivers is represented by public awareness and individual willingness to participate and urbanization and urban sprawl. These drivers may be important and are manageable for the cities and they involve both short-term and long-term measures. The third group of drivers is related to policy and long-term changes. This group is represented by economic growth and increasing values at risk, climate change, and increasing complexity of society. They have all high impact but low manageability. Managing these drivers needs to be done in a longer time perspective, e.g., by developing long-term policies and exchange of ideas.
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| 2. |
- Brannlund, R, et al.
(author)
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Carbon tax simulations using a household demand model
- 2004
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In: European Economic Review. - : Elsevier. - 0014-2921 .- 1873-572X. ; 48:1, s. 211-233
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- The main objective of this paper is to analyse consumer response and welfare effects due to changes in energy or environmental policy. To achieve this objective we formulate and estimate an econometric model for non-durable consumer demand in Sweden that utilises micro- and macro-data. In the simulations, we consider two revenue neutral scenarios that both imply a doubling of the CO2 tax; one that returns the revenues in the form of a lower VAT and one that subsidise public transport. One conclusion from the simulations is that the CO2 tax has regional distribution effects, in the sense that household living in sparsely populated areas carry a larger share of the tax burden. (C) 2002 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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| 3. |
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| 4. |
- Brännlund, Runar, et al.
(author)
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Foreign ownership and its effects on employment and wages : the case of Sweden
- 2016
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In: IZA Journal of European Labor Studies. - Heidelberg : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 2193-9012. ; 5:1, s. 1-17
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- In this paper, we study how foreign ownership of Swedish companies affects employment and wages. To study these effects, we specify a model based on the assumption that the Swedish labour market can be described as one where trade unions and employers bargain over employment and wages. Our hypothesis is that bargaining power is affected by institutional settings and the ownership of the firm. To test our hypothesis, we used a panel data set of 242 large Swedish manufacturing firms over the period 1980–2005. The results indicate no significant impact of foreign ownership on employment or wages in Sweden.
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| 5. |
- Brännäs, Kurt, et al.
(author)
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A new approach to modelling and forecasting monthly guest nights in hotels
- 2002
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In: International Journal of Forecasting. - : Elsevier. - 0169-2070 .- 1872-8200. ; 18:1, s. 19-30
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Starting from a day-to-day model on hotel specific guest nights we obtain an integer-valued moving average model by cross-sectional and temporal aggregation. The two parameters of the aggregate model reflect mean check-in and the check-out probability. Letting the parameters be functions of dummy and economic variables we demonstrate the potential of the approach in terms of interesting interpretations. Empirical results are presented for a series of Norwegian guests in Swedish hotels. The results indicate strong seasonal patterns in both mean check-in and in the check-out probability. Models based on differenced series are preferred in terms of goodness-of-fit. In a forecast comparison the improvements due to economic variables are small. © 2002 International Institute of Forecasters. Published by Elsevier Science B.V.
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| 6. |
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| 7. |
- Brännäs, Kurt, et al.
(author)
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An Integer-Valued Time Series Model for Hotels that Accounts for Constrained Capacity
- 2004
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In: Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics. - : Walter de Gruyter GmbH. - 1558-3708 .- 1081-1826. ; 8:4, s. Article 6-
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Many service industry firms strive hard to fill free capacity in order to cover their costs for a fixed capital stock. This paper presents a time series model where the capacity constraint is an integral part. The integer-valued autoregressive model builds on a simple idea of how daily time series arise for hotels and other similar establishments. Measures that follow naturally from the time series model are the occupancy probability and the duration of stay for the visitor. Empirically, we study the effects of price changes and a large festival, on these measures.
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| 8. |
- Brännäs, Kurt, et al.
(author)
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Tourist accommodation effects of festivals
- 2006
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In: Tourism Economics. - : SAGE Publications. - 1354-8166 .- 2044-0375. ; 12:2, s. 291-302
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- There is increasing interest in arranging festivals or special events in many cities. This paper presents an econometric model to account for the tourism accommodation impact of such events. The autoregressive count data model incorporates some of the more important factors in the planning and evaluation of an event, such as spare capacity, displacement effects and the costs that visitors face. The results for two large Swedish festivals indicate that there are some displacement effects but that the net tourism effect is positive, since the average visitor stays longer during festival periods. In the final year of the sample the festival increased the accommodation receipts for the hotels in Stockholm and Gothenburg by 2% and 6%, respectively.
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| 9. |
- Daunfeldt, Sven-Olov, 1970-, et al.
(author)
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Habit Persistence in Food Consumption
- 2011
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In: Oxford Handbook on the Economics of Food Consumption and Policy. - Oxford : Oxford University Press. - 9780199569441 ; , s. 770-790
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Book chapter (peer-reviewed)
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| 10. |
- Denver, Sigrid, et al.
(author)
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Consumer preferences for low-salt foods - a Danish case study based on a comprehensive supermarket intervention.
- 2021
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In: Public Health Nutrition. - 1368-9800 .- 1475-2727. ; 24:12, s. 3956-3965
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- OBJECTIVE: The objective is to analyze Danish consumers' attitudes to buying food with reduced salt content.DESIGN: The study is based on a comprehensive store intervention that included 114 stores belonging to the same supermarket chain. Three different salt claims were tested for eight weeks on six test products within the categories bread, cornflakes and frozen pizzas. Scanner data were supplemented with 134 brief interviews with consumers in nine selected stores.SETTING: Stores spread across Denmark.PARTICIPANTS: Consumers who buy food in the stores.RESULTS: Statistical regression analyses of the scanner data indicated that none of the three claims significantly affected demand for any of the test products. The interviews confirmed that many consumers were more focused on other elements of the official dietary advice than reduced salt consumption, such as eating plenty of vegetables, choosing products with whole grains and reducing their intake of sugar and fat.CONCLUSIONS: Overall, both the scanner data and the interviews pointed in the same direction, toward the conclusion that salt content is often a secondary factor when Danish consumers make dietary choices.
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