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- Hageman, S., et al.
(författare)
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SCORE2 risk prediction algorithms: new models to estimate 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease in Europe
- 2021
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Ingår i: European Heart Journal. - : Oxford University Press (OUP). - 0195-668X .- 1522-9645. ; 42:25, s. 2439-2454
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Aims The aim of this study was to develop, validate, and illustrate an updated prediction model (SCORE2) to estimate 10-year fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in individuals without previous CVD or diabetes aged 40-69 years in Europe. Methods and results We derived risk prediction models using individual-participant data from 45 cohorts in 13 countries (677 684 individuals, 30 121 CVD events). We used sex-specific and competing risk-adjusted models, including age, smoking status, systolic blood pressure, and total- and HDL-cholesterol. We defined four risk regions in Europe according to country-specific CVD mortality, recalibrating models to each region using expected incidences and risk factor distributions. Region-specific incidence was estimated using CVD mortality and incidence data on 10 776 466 individuals. For external validation, we analysed data from 25 additional cohorts in 15 European countries (1 133 181 individuals, 43 492 CVD events). After applying the derived risk prediction models to external validation cohorts, C-indices ranged from 0.67 (0.65-0.68) to 0.81 (0.76-0.86). Predicted CVD risk varied several-fold across European regions. For example, the estimated 10-year CVD risk for a 50-year-old smoker, with a systolic blood pressure of 140 mmHg, total cholesterol of 5.5 mmol/L, and HDL-cholesterol of 1.3 mmol/L, ranged from 5.9% for men in low- risk countries to 14.0% for men in very high-risk countries, and from 4.2% for women in low-risk countries to 13.7% for women in very high-risk countries. Conclusion SCORE2-a new algorithm derived, calibrated, and validated to predict 10-year risk of first-onset CVD in European populations-enhances the identification of individuals at higher risk of developing CVD across Europe.
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| 5. |
- Gugliotta, L., et al.
(författare)
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Treatment Of Essential Thrombocythaemia In Europe : An Observational Study Of 3649 High-Risk Patients In Exels
- 2015
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Ingår i: Haematologica. - St Orsola Malpighi Hosp, Dept Hematol, L&A Seragnoli, Bologna, Italy. Univ Bari, Hematol Transplantat, Bari, Italy. Osped Maggiore della Carita, Novara, Italy. IRCCS Casa Sollievo Sofferenza, Div Ematol, San Giovanni Rotondo, FG, Italy. Arcispedale S Maria Nuova, Reggio Emilia, Italy. Hop St Louis, APHP, Ctr Invest Clin, Paris, France. Hosp del Mar IMIM, Dept Hematol, Barcelona, Spain. Johannes Wesling Med Ctr, Hematol & Oncol, Minden, Germany. Guys & St Thomas NHS Fdn Trust, Dept Haematol, London, England. Shire Pharmaceut, Global Biometr, Wayne, NJ USA. Shire Int GmbH, Res & Dev, Zug, Switzerland. Uppsala Univ, Dept Haematol, Uppsala, Sweden.. - 0390-6078 .- 1592-8721. ; 38, s. 216-216
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Tidskriftsartikel (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)
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| 6. |
- Elfishawi, Mohanad, et al.
(författare)
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Lower Frequency of Comorbidities Prior to Onset of Giant Cell Arteritis : A Population-Based Study
- 2023
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Ingår i: The Journal of rheumatology. - : The Journal of Rheumatology. - 0315-162X .- 1499-2752. ; 50:4, s. 526-531
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- OBJECTIVE: To assess the frequency of comorbidities and metabolic risk factors at and prior to giant cell arteritis (GCA) diagnosis. METHODS: This is a retrospective case control study of patients with incident GCA between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2019, in Olmsted County, Minnesota. Two age- and sex-matched controls were identified, and each assigned an index date corresponding to an incidence date of GCA. Medical records were manually abstracted for comorbidities and laboratory data at incidence date, 5 years, and 10 years prior to incidence date. Twenty-five chronic conditions using International Classification of Diseases, 9th revision, diagnosis codes were also studied at incidence date and 5 years prior to incidence date. RESULTS: One hundred and twenty-nine patients with GCA (74% female) and 253 controls were identified. At incidence date, the prevalence of diabetes mellitus (DM) was lower among patients with GCA (5% vs 17%; P = 0.001). At 5 years prior to incidence date, patients were less likely to have DM (2% vs 13%; P < 0.001) and hypertension (27% vs 45%; P = 0.002) and had a lower mean number (SD) of comorbidities (0.7 [1.0] vs 1.3 [1.4]; P < 0.001) compared to controls. Moreover, patients had significantly lower median fasting blood glucose (FBG; 96 mg/dL vs 104 mg/dL; P < 0.001) and BMI (25.8 vs 27.7; P = 0.02) compared to controls. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed negative associations for FBG with GCA at 5 and 10 years prior to diagnosis/index date. CONCLUSION: DM prevalence and median FBG and BMI were lower in patients with GCA up to 5 years prior to diagnosis, suggesting that metabolic factors influence the risk of GCA.
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