| 1. |
- Camen, S., et al.
(författare)
-
Temporal relations between atrial fibrillation and ischemic stroke and their prognostic impact on mortality
- 2018
-
Ingår i: European Heart Journal. - : Oxford University Press. - 0195-668X .- 1522-9645. ; 39, s. 204-205
-
Tidskriftsartikel (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
- Introduction: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and stroke are common diseases and AF is a well-established risk factor for stroke. The physiological mechanism of atrial dysfunction, disturbed hemodynamics and arterial thromboembolism links the pathologies. However, limited evidence is available on the temporal relationship between stroke and AF and the impact of subsequent disease onset on mortality in the community.Methods and results: Across five prospective community cohorts (DanMONICA, FINRISK, Moli-Sani project, Northern Sweden MONICA study, The Tromsø Study) of the Biomarkers for Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Europe (BiomarCaRE)-project we assessed baseline cardiovascular risk factors in 101164 individuals, median age 46.1 (25th, 75th percentile 35.8, 57.6) years, 48.4% men. We followed them for incident stroke and AF and determined the relation of subsequent disease diagnosis with overall mortality. Follow-up (FU) for stroke and AF was based upon linkage with national hospitalization registries or administrative registries for ambulatory visits to specialized hospitals.Over a median FU of 16.1 years N=4556 individuals were diagnosed solely with AF, N=2269 had a stroke but no AF diagnosed, and N=898 developed both stroke and AF during FU. Participants who developed either AF or stroke as the index event revealed a similar baseline risk factor profile. Temporal relations showed a peak of the diagnosis of both diseases within the years around the diagnosis of the other disease. The highest incidence rates of stroke were observed within a five-year interval prior to AF diagnosis. Cox regression showed an association of baseline stroke with diagnosis of AF during FU (hazard ratio (HR) 1.29; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.11–1.50; p<0.001).In multivariable-adjusted Cox regression analyses with time-dependent covariates excluding individuals with diagnosis of both AF and stroke or death within 30 days, subsequent diagnosis of AF after stroke was associated with a higher overall mortality (HR, 3.51; 95% CI 1.87–6.59; p<0.001); subsequent stroke after the diagnosis of AF was associated with a HR of 2.39 (95% CI 1.59–3.60; p<0.001).Conclusions: Stroke and AF are common comorbidities in older adults with an overlapping risk factor profile. The temporal relations appear to be bidirectional, although uncertainty regarding disease onset remains due to the often paroxysmal and asymptomatic nature of AF. Stroke may precede detection of AF by years. The subsequent diagnosis of both diseases significantly increases mortality risk. Whether targeting modifiable risk factors or improved screening for AF after stroke would improve survival needs to be determined.
|
|
| 2. |
- Csengeri, D., et al.
(författare)
-
Alcohol consumption and risk of atrial fibrillation - results from the BiomarCaRE Consortium
- 2018
-
Ingår i: European Heart Journal. - : Oxford University Press. - 0195-668X .- 1522-9645. ; 39, s. 902-903
-
Tidskriftsartikel (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
- Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is an arrhythmia with high impact on public health. Among modifiable risk factors for the disease the role of alcohol consumption (AC) has remained inconsistent.Purpose: To assess the association between AC and incident AF across European cohorts.Methods: To study the association between self-reported AC and incident AF in N=107,845 community-based individuals from the BiomarCaRE consortium, 106,915 individuals free of AF at baseline were followed up for AF and stroke after AF. We assessed AC using validated questionnaires. Biomarkers N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (Nt-proBNP) and high sensitivity troponin I (hsTnI) were measured.Results: The median age of individuals was 47.8 years, 48.3% were men. The median of right-winsorized AC was 3 g/day. N=6,055 individuals developed AF (median follow-up time: 13.9 years). In a linear multivariable-adjusted Cox regression analyses, AC was linearly and positively associated with incident AF (Figure), hazard ratio (HR) per g/day 1.009, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.007- 1.012, P<0.001. For one drink (12g) per day the HR was 1.15, CI 1.12–1.18, P<0.001. There was a high heterogeneity in associations across cohorts.No significant interactions of the association by Nt-proBNP and hsTnI were observed. AC was positively related to stroke risk after diagnosis of AF (HR 1.18, 95% CI 1.04–1.34, P=0.012).Conclusions: In contrast to other cardiovascular diseases, we did not observe a U-shaped association of alcohol with incident AF in the community, but a rather linearly increasing relation.
|
|
| 3. |
- Hageman, S., et al.
(författare)
-
SCORE2 risk prediction algorithms: new models to estimate 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease in Europe
- 2021
-
Ingår i: European Heart Journal. - : Oxford University Press (OUP). - 0195-668X .- 1522-9645. ; 42:25, s. 2439-2454
-
Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Aims The aim of this study was to develop, validate, and illustrate an updated prediction model (SCORE2) to estimate 10-year fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in individuals without previous CVD or diabetes aged 40-69 years in Europe. Methods and results We derived risk prediction models using individual-participant data from 45 cohorts in 13 countries (677 684 individuals, 30 121 CVD events). We used sex-specific and competing risk-adjusted models, including age, smoking status, systolic blood pressure, and total- and HDL-cholesterol. We defined four risk regions in Europe according to country-specific CVD mortality, recalibrating models to each region using expected incidences and risk factor distributions. Region-specific incidence was estimated using CVD mortality and incidence data on 10 776 466 individuals. For external validation, we analysed data from 25 additional cohorts in 15 European countries (1 133 181 individuals, 43 492 CVD events). After applying the derived risk prediction models to external validation cohorts, C-indices ranged from 0.67 (0.65-0.68) to 0.81 (0.76-0.86). Predicted CVD risk varied several-fold across European regions. For example, the estimated 10-year CVD risk for a 50-year-old smoker, with a systolic blood pressure of 140 mmHg, total cholesterol of 5.5 mmol/L, and HDL-cholesterol of 1.3 mmol/L, ranged from 5.9% for men in low- risk countries to 14.0% for men in very high-risk countries, and from 4.2% for women in low-risk countries to 13.7% for women in very high-risk countries. Conclusion SCORE2-a new algorithm derived, calibrated, and validated to predict 10-year risk of first-onset CVD in European populations-enhances the identification of individuals at higher risk of developing CVD across Europe.
|
|
| 4. |
- Neumann, J. T., et al.
(författare)
-
Application of High-Sensitivity Troponin in Suspected Myocardial Infarction
- 2019
-
Ingår i: New England Journal of Medicine. - : MASSACHUSETTS MEDICAL SOC. - 0028-4793 .- 1533-4406. ; 380:26, s. 2529-2540
-
Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- BackgroundData regarding high-sensitivity troponin concentrations in patients presenting to the emergency department with symptoms suggestive of myocardial infarction may be useful in determining the probability of myocardial infarction and subsequent 30-day outcomes. MethodsIn 15 international cohorts of patients presenting to the emergency department with symptoms suggestive of myocardial infarction, we determined the concentrations of high-sensitivity troponin I or high-sensitivity troponin T at presentation and after early or late serial sampling. The diagnostic and prognostic performance of multiple high-sensitivity troponin cutoff combinations was assessed with the use of a derivation-validation design. A risk-assessment tool that was based on these data was developed to estimate the risk of index myocardial infarction and of subsequent myocardial infarction or death at 30 days. ResultsAmong 22,651 patients (9604 in the derivation data set and 13,047 in the validation data set), the prevalence of myocardial infarction was 15.3%. Lower high-sensitivity troponin concentrations at presentation and smaller absolute changes during serial sampling were associated with a lower likelihood of myocardial infarction and a lower short-term risk of cardiovascular events. For example, high-sensitivity troponin I concentrations of less than 6 ng per liter and an absolute change of less than 4 ng per liter after 45 to 120 minutes (early serial sampling) resulted in a negative predictive value of 99.5% for myocardial infarction, with an associated 30-day risk of subsequent myocardial infarction or death of 0.2%; a total of 56.5% of the patients would be classified as being at low risk. These findings were confirmed in an external validation data set. ConclusionsA risk-assessment tool, which we developed to integrate the high-sensitivity troponin I or troponin T concentration at emergency department presentation, its dynamic change during serial sampling, and the time between the obtaining of samples, was used to estimate the probability of myocardial infarction on emergency department presentation and 30-day outcomes.
|
|
| 5. |
|
|
| 6. |
|
|
