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- Andersson, Bodil, et al.
(författare)
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Gastrointestinal complications after cardiac surgery - improved risk stratification using a new scoring model.
- 2010
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Ingår i: Interactive Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery. - : Oxford University Press (OUP). - 1569-9285 .- 1569-9293. ; 10:3, s. 366-370
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Gastrointestinal (GI) complications are serious consequences of cardiac surgery. The aim of this study was to develop, evaluate and validate a new risk score model for GI complications after cardiac surgery. The risk score model, named gastrointestinal complication score (GICS), was developed using prospectively collected data from 5593 patients who underwent 5636 cardiac surgical procedures between 1996 and 2001. The model was validated on 1031 cardiac surgery patients between 2005 and 2006. The scoring system's ability to predict GI complications was estimated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC)-curves and Hosmer-Lemeshow test. Fifty GI complications were identified in 47 patients (0.8%) in the developmental data set and eight (0.8%) in the validation data set. The ROC area in the developmental data set was 0.81 with a good calibration estimated by Hosmer-Lemeshow test (p=0.89). In the validation data set, the area under the curve was 0.83. The estimated probability for the patient to develop a GI complication after cardiac surgery at a GICS >/=15 is >20% and at a GICS
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| 3. |
- Höijer, Carl Johan, et al.
(författare)
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Single chamber atrial pacing: A realistic option in sinus node disease: A long-term follow-up study of 213 patients
- 2007
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Ingår i: PACE. - : Wiley. - 1540-8159. ; 30:6, s. 740-747
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Background: Despite several decades of experience with atrial pacing, many centers do not apply this mode to any greater extent, mainly because of concerns for the development of future atrioventricular (AV) block or atrial fibrillation. Recent studies have emphasized possible negative effects of right ventricular stimulation, even when AV-synchrony is preserved, and have thus given rise to renewed interest in single chamber atrial pacing for sinus node disease. Methods: This study presents the results of up to 19 years' follow-up of 213 patients with sinus node disease treated with atrial pacing with respect to survival and causes of death, development of atrial fibrillation and AV block, and total mode survival. Patients were divided into two groups: with or without associated atrial tachyarrhythmias at the time of implant. Results are given for all patients and for the two groups separately. Results: The mean follow-up time was 10.1 years. The survival of the entire group was lower after 10 years than that of an age and gender-matched general Swedish population. This was caused by patients with the brady-tachy syndrome (BT) having a significantly higher mortality rate than controls, whereas those with bradycardia only (B) had survival comparable to the general population. Permanent atrial fibrillation (AF) developed in 20% of patients and was significantly more common in patients with BT. The majority of patients with AF (78%) no longer needed any pacing, i.e., did not require ventricular stimulation due to slow ventricular rate. The annual incidence of high grade AV block was 1.8%. If patients with preexisting bundle branch block were excluded, the incidence was 1.6%. No fatal episode of AV block was seen. The overall mode survival at the end of follow-up was 75%, with 155 patients still with atrial pacemakers. Conclusion: Atrial pacing is a safe and reliable mode of pacing in patients with sinus node disease, even in the very long-term.
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| 6. |
- Nilsson, Johan, et al.
(författare)
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EuroSCORE predicts intensive care unit stay and costs of open heart surgery
- 2004
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Ingår i: Annals of Thoracic Surgery. - : Elsevier BV. - 1552-6259 .- 0003-4975. ; 78:5, s. 1528-1535
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Background. This study aimed to determine whether the preoperative risk stratification model EuroSCORE predicts the different components of resource utilization in open heart surgery. Methods. Data for all adult patients undergoing heart surgery at the University Hospital of Lund, Sweden, between 1999 and 2002 were prospectively collected. Costs were calculated for the surgery and intensive care and ward stay for each patient (excluding transplant cases and patients who died intraoperatively). Regression analysis was applied to evaluate the correlation between EuroSCCRE and costs. The predictive accuracy for prolonged postoperative intensive care unit (ICU) stay was assessed by the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. The discriminatory power was evaluated by calculating the areas under receiver operating characteristics curves. Results. The study included 3,404 patients. The mean cost for the surgery was $7,300, in the ICU $3,746, and in the ward $3,500. Total cost was significantly correlated with EuroSCORE, with a correlation coefficient of 0.47 (p < 0.0001); the correlation coefficient was 0.31 for the surgery cost, 0.46 for the ICU cost, and 0.11 for the ward cost. The Hosmer-Lemeshow p value for EuroSCORE prediction of more than 2 days' stay in the ICU was 0.40, indicating good accuracy. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve was 0.78. The probability of an ICU stay exceeding 2 days was more than 50% at a EuroSCORE of 14 or more. Conclusions. In this single-institution study, the additive EuroSCORE algorithm could be used to predict ICU cost and also an ICU stay of more than 2 days after open heart surgery. (C) 2004 by The Society of Thoracic Surgeons.
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