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- Cirtwill, Alyssa, et al.
(författare)
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A quantitative framework for investigating the reliability of empirical network construction
- 2019
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Ingår i: Methods in Ecology and Evolution. - : WILEY. - 2041-210X. ; 10:6, s. 902-911
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Descriptions of ecological networks typically assume that the same interspecific interactions occur each time a community is observed. This contrasts with the known stochasticity of ecological communities: community composition, species abundances and link structure all vary in space and time. Moreover, finite sampling generates variation in the set of interactions actually observed. For interactions that have not been observed, most datasets will not contain enough information for the ecologist to be confident that unobserved interactions truly did not occur. Here, we develop the conceptual and analytical tools needed to capture uncertainty in the estimation of pairwise interactions. To define the problem, we identify the different contributions to the uncertainty of an interaction. We then outline a framework to quantify the uncertainty around each interaction by combining data on observed co-occurrences with prior knowledge. We illustrate this framework using perhaps the most extensively sampled network to date. We found significant uncertainty in estimates for the probability of most pairwise interactions. This uncertainty can, however, be constrained with informative priors. This uncertainty scaled up to summary measures of network structure such as connectance and nestedness. Even with informative priors, we are likely to miss many interactions that may occur rarely or under different local conditions. Overall, we demonstrate the importance of acknowledging the uncertainty inherent in network studies, and the utility of treating interactions as probabilities in pinpointing areas where more study is needed. Most importantly, we stress that networks are best thought of as systems constructed from random variables, the stochastic nature of which must be acknowledged for an accurate representation. Doing so will fundamentally change network analyses and yield greater realism.
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| 2. |
- Cirtwill, Alyssa, et al.
(författare)
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Feeding environment and other traits shape species roles in marine food webs
- 2018
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Ingår i: Ecology Letters. - : WILEY. - 1461-023X .- 1461-0248. ; 21:6, s. 875-884
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Food webs and meso-scale motifs allow us to understand the structure of ecological communities and define species roles within them. This species-level perspective on networks permits tests for relationships between species traits and their patterns of direct and indirect interactions. Such relationships could allow us to predict food-web structure based on more easily obtained trait information. Here, we calculated the roles of species (as vectors of motif position frequencies) in six well-resolved marine food webs and identified the motif positions associated with the greatest variation in species roles. We then tested whether the frequencies of these positions varied with species traits. Despite the coarse-grained traits we used, our approach identified several strong associations between traits and motifs. Feeding environment was a key trait in our models and may shape species roles by affecting encounter probabilities. Incorporating environment into future food-web models may improve predictions of an unknown network structure.
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| 3. |
- Cirtwill, Alyssa R., et al.
(författare)
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Species motif participation provides unique information about species risk of extinction
- 2024
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Ingår i: Journal of Animal Ecology. - : WILEY. - 0021-8790 .- 1365-2656.
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Loss of species in food webs can set in motion a cascade of additional (secondary) extinctions. A species' position in a food web (e.g. its trophic level or number of interactions) is known to affect its ability to persist following disturbance. These simple measures, however, offer only a coarse description of how species fit into their community. One would therefore expect that more detailed structural measures such as participation in three-species motifs (meso-scale structures which provide information on a species' direct and indirect interactions) will also be related to probability of persistence. Disturbances affecting the basal resources have particularly strong effects on the rest of the food web. However, how disturbances branch out and affect consumer persistence depends on the structural pattern of species interactions in several steps. The magnitude, for example, the proportion of basal resources lost, will likely also affect the outcome. Here, we analyse whether a consumer's risk of secondary extinction after the removal of basal resources depends on the consumer's motif participation and how this relationship varies with the severity of disturbance. We show that consumer species which participate more frequently in the direct competition motif and less frequently in the omnivory motif generally have higher probability of persistence following disturbance to basal resources. However, both the strength of the disturbance and the overall network structure (i.e. connectance) affect the strength and direction of relationships between motif participation and persistence. Motif participation therefore captures important trends in species persistence and provides a rich description of species' structural roles in their communities, but must be considered in the context of network structure as a whole and of the specific disturbance applied. Like degree and trophic level, a species' participation in meso-scale motifs can affect its persistence after disturbance. We show that these relationships also depend strongly on the strength of disturbance.image
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