| 1. |
- Huber, Jürgen, et al.
(författare)
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The influence of investment experience on market prices: laboratory evidence
- 2016
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Ingår i: Experimental Economics. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 1386-4157 .- 1573-6938. ; 19:2, s. 394-411
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- We run laboratory experiments to analyze the impact of prior investment experience on price efficiency in asset markets. Before subjects enter the asset market they gain either no, positive, or negative investment experience in an investment game. To get a comprehensive picture about the role of experience we implement two asset market designs. One is prone to inefficient pricing, exhibiting bubble and crash patterns, while the other exhibits efficient pricing. We find that (i) both, positive and negative, experience gained in the investment game lead to efficient pricing in both market settings. Further, we show that (ii) the experience effect dominates potential effects triggered by positive and negative sentiment generated by the investment game. We conjecture that experiencing changing price paths in the investment game can create a higher sensibility on changing fundamentals (through higher salience) among subjects in the subsequently run asset market.
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| 2. |
- Stockl, T., et al.
(författare)
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Hot hand and gambler's fallacy in teams: Evidence from investment experiments
- 2015
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Ingår i: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization. - : Elsevier BV. - 0167-2681. ; 117, s. 327-339
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- In laboratory experiments we explore the effects of communication and group decision making on investment behavior and on subjects' proneness to behavioral biases. Most importantly, we show that communication and group decision making do not impact subjects' overall proneness to the hot hand fallacy and to the gambler's fallacy. However, groups decide differently than individuals, as they rely significantly less on useless outside advice from "experts" and choose the risk-free option less frequently. Furthermore we document gender differences in investment behavior: groups of two female subjects choose the risk-free investment more often and are marginally more prone to the hot hand fallacy than groups of two male subjects. (C) 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.
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| 3. |
- Stockl, T., et al.
(författare)
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Multi-period experimental asset markets with distinct fundamental value regimes
- 2015
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Ingår i: Experimental Economics. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 1386-4157 .- 1573-6938. ; 18:2, s. 314-334
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- In this methodological study we analyze price adjustment processes in multi-period laboratory asset markets with five distinct fundamental value regimes in a unified framework. Minimizing the effect of between-treatment variations we run markets with deterministically decreasing, constant, randomly fluctuating and-as main innovation-markets with deterministically increasing s. We find (i) efficient pricing in markets with constant s, (ii) overvaluation in markets with decreasing s, and (iii) undervaluation in markets with increasing s. (iv) Markets with randomly fluctuating fundamentals show overvaluation when s predominantly decline and undervaluation when s are mostly upward-sloping. Finally, we document that (v) bid-ask spreads and volatility of price changes are positively correlated with mispricing across regimes. The main contribution of the paper is to provide clean comparisons between distinct regimes, in particular between markets with increasing s and other regimes.
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