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Modelling the Effect of Compliance with Nordic Nutrition Recommendations on Cardiovascular Disease and Cancer Mortality in the Nordic Countries

Saha, Sanjib (author)
Lund University,Lunds universitet,Hälsoekonomi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Health Economics,Lund University Research Groups,Lund Univ, Dept Clin Sci Malmo, Hlth Econ Unit, SE-22381 Lund, Sweden.
Nordström, Jonas (author)
Lund University,Lunds universitet,AgriFood Economics Centre, Ekonomihögskolan vid Lunds universitet,Ekonomihögskolan,AgriFood Economics Centre, Lund University School of Economics and Management,Lund University School of Economics and Management, LUSEM,University of Copenhagen,Lund Univ, Agrifood Econ Ctr, Sch Econ & Management, SE-22007 Lund, Sweden.;Univ Copenhagen, Dept Food & Resource Econ, DK-1958 Frederiksberg C, Denmark.
Mattisson, Irene (author)
Natl Food Agcy, SE-75126 Uppsala, Sweden.,National Food Agency
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Nilsson, Peter (author)
Lund University,Lunds universitet,Internmedicin - epidemiologi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Internal Medicine - Epidemiology,Lund University Research Groups,Skåne University Hospital,Skane Univ Hosp, Dept Internal Med, SE-20502 Malmo, Sweden.;Lund Univ, Dept Clin Sci Malmo, SE-20502 Malmo, Sweden.
Gerdtham, Ulf-Göran (author)
Lund University,Lunds universitet,Centrum för ekonomisk demografi,Ekonomihögskolan,Nationalekonomiska institutionen,Hälsoekonomi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Centre for Economic Demography,Lund University School of Economics and Management, LUSEM,Department of Economics,Lund University School of Economics and Management, LUSEM,Health Economics,Lund University Research Groups,Lund Univ, Dept Clin Sci Malmo, Hlth Econ Unit, SE-22381 Lund, Sweden.;Lund Univ, Dept Econ, SE-22363 Lund, Sweden.
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 (creator_code:org_t)
2019-06-25
2019
English.
In: Nutrients. - : MDPI AG. - 2072-6643. ; 11:6
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)
Abstract Subject headings
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  • The objective of this study is to estimate the number of deaths attributable to cardiovascular diseases and diet-related cancers that could be prevented or delayed in the Nordic countries, i.e., Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Iceland, if adults adhere to the Nordic Nutrition Recommendations (NNR). A sex- and age-group specific epidemiological macro-simulation model was used to estimate the preventable deaths due to the differences between country specific actual intake and recommended intake of changes in food components. Data included in the model are a baseline scenario (actual dietary intake), a counterfactual scenario (recommended intake), and age-and sex-specific mortality for cardiovascular and diet-related cancer diseases, together with the total population risk of a specific year. Monte Carlo analyses with 5000 iterations were performed to produce the 95% uncertainty intervals. The model predicts that Iceland would benefit the most by adhering to the NNR, followed by Finland. In all the Nordic countries, the highest benefit would be achieved by adhering to the fruits and vegetable intakes, except Denmark, where a lower recommended intake of salt would provide the highest benefit. For men, fruits and vegetables could have saved more lives compared to other dietary components for all the Nordic countries, while for women, dietary fiber was the most prominent factor, except in Iceland. The Nordic Council should consider policies for promoting healthy eating according to the needs of each country.

Subject headings

MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP  -- Hälsovetenskap (hsv//swe)
MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES  -- Health Sciences (hsv//eng)
MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP  -- Klinisk medicin -- Cancer och onkologi (hsv//swe)
MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES  -- Clinical Medicine -- Cancer and Oncology (hsv//eng)
MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP  -- Hälsovetenskap -- Näringslära (hsv//swe)
MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES  -- Health Sciences -- Nutrition and Dietetics (hsv//eng)

Keyword

Nordic diet
Nordic countries
dietary guidelines
macro simulation model
cardiovascular diseases
recommended intake
health Benefit

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art (subject category)

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Saha, Sanjib
Nordström, Jonas
Mattisson, Irene
Nilsson, Peter
Gerdtham, Ulf-Gö ...
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MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES
MEDICAL AND HEAL ...
and Health Sciences
MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES
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and Cancer and Oncol ...
MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES
MEDICAL AND HEAL ...
and Health Sciences
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Nutrients
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Högskolan Dalarna
Lund University

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