| 1. |
- Kanis, JA, et al.
(författare)
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Excess mortality after hospitalisation for vertebral fracture
- 2004
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Ingår i: Osteoporosis International. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 1433-2965 .- 0937-941X. ; 15:2, s. 108-112
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- An excess mortality is well described after vertebral fracture. Deaths are in part related to co-morbidity, but could also be due to the fracture event itself, either directly or indirectly. The aim of this study was to examine the quantum and pattern of mortality following vertebral fracture. We identified 16,051 men and women aged 50 years or more with a vertebral fracture that required hospitalization in 28.8 million person years from the patient register of Sweden. Mortality after vertebral fracture was examined using Poisson models applied to fracture patients and compared to that of the general population. At all ages, the risk of death was markedly increased immediately after the event. After a short period of declining risk, the risk increased with age at a rate that was higher than that of the general population and comparable to that 1 year after hip fracture. The latter function was assumed to be due to deaths related to co-morbidity and the residuum assumed to be due to the vertebral fracture. Causally related deaths comprised 28% of all deaths associated with vertebral fracture (depending on age). We conclude that a minority of deaths following hospitalization for vertebral fracture are attributable to the fracture itself under the assumptions we used.
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| 2. |
- Kanis, JA, et al.
(författare)
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Intervention thresholds for osteoporosis in the UK
- 2005
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Ingår i: Bone. - : Elsevier BV. - 1873-2763 .- 8756-3282. ; 36:1, s. 22-32
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- The aim of this study was to determine the threshold of fracture probability at which interventions became cost-effective in women based on data from the UK. We modelled the effects of an intervention costing pound350 per year given for 5 years that decreased the risk of all osteoporotic fractures by 35% followed by a waning of effect (offset time) for a further 5 years. Sensitivity analyses included a range of treatment duration (3-10 years), intervention costs (pound300-400/year) and offset times (0-15 years). Data on costs and risks were from the UK. Costs included direct costs, but excluded indirect costs due to morbidity. A threshold for cost-effectiveness of pound30,000/QALY gained was used. With the base case (pound350 per year; 35% efficacy) treatment in women was cost-effective with a 10-year hip fracture probability that ranged from 1.1% at the age of 50 years to 9.0% at the age of 85 years. Intervention thresholds were sensitive to the assumed costs and offset time. The exclusion of osteoporotic fractures other than hip fracture significantly increased the cost-effectiveness ratio because of the substantial morbidity from such other fractures, particularly at younger ages. Cost-effective scenarios were found for women at the threshold for osteoporosis from the age of 60 years. Treatment of established osteoporosis was cost-effective irrespective of age. We conclude that the inclusion of all osteoporotic fractures has a marked effect on intervention thresholds, that these vary with age and that available treatments can be targeted cost-effectively to individuals from the UK at moderately increased fracture risk.
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| 3. |
- Kanis, JA, et al.
(författare)
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The components of excess mortality after hip fracture
- 2003
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Ingår i: Bone. - 1873-2763. ; 32:5, s. 468-473
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- A high excess mortality is well described after hip fracture. Deaths are in part related to comorbidity and in part due directly or indirectly to the hip fracture event itself (causally related deaths). The aim of this study was to examine the quantum and pattern of mortality following hip fracture. We studied 160,000 hip fractures in men and women aged 50 years or more, in 28.8 million person-years from the patient register of Sweden, using Poisson models applied to hip fracture patients and the general population. At all ages the risk of death was markedly increased compared with population values immediately after the event. Mortality subsequently decreased over a period of 6 months, but thereafter remained higher than that of the general population. The latter function was assumed to account for deaths related to comorbidity and the residuum assumed to be due to the hip fracture. Causally related deaths comprised 17-32% of all deaths associated with hip fracture (depending on age) and accounted for more than 1.5% of all deaths in the population aged 50 years or more. Hip fracture was a more common cause for mortality than pancreatic or stomach cancer. Thus, interventions that decreased hip fracture rate by, say, 50% would avoid 0.75% or more of all deaths.
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| 4. |
- Kanis, JA, et al.
(författare)
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The risk and burden of vertebral fractures in Sweden
- 2004
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Ingår i: Osteoporosis International. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 1433-2965 .- 0937-941X. ; 15:1, s. 20-26
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- The aim of this study was to determine the risk and burden of vertebral fractures judged as those coming to clinical attention and as morphometric fractures. Incidence and utility loss were computed from data from Malmo, Sweden. Clinical fractures accounted for 23% of all vertebral deformities in women and for 42% in men. The average 10-year fracture probability for morphometric fractures increased with age in men from 2.9% at the age of 50 years (7.2% in women) to 8.4 at the age of 85 years (26.7% in women). As expected, probabilities increased with decreasing T-score for hip BMD. Cumulative utility loss from a clinical vertebral fracture was substantial and was 50-62% of that due to a hip fracture depending on age. When incidence of fractures in the population was weighted by disutility, all spine fractures accounted for more morbidity than hip fracture up to the age of 75 years. We conclude that vertebral fractures have a major personal and societal impact that needs to be recognised in algorithms for assessment of risk and in health economic strategies for osteoporosis.
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