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- Sarkadi, Anna, 1974-, et al.
(författare)
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A novel approach used outcome distribution curves to estimate the population-level impact of a public health intervention
- 2014
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Ingår i: Journal of Clinical Epidemiology. - : Elsevier BV. - 0895-4356 .- 1878-5921. ; 67:7, s. 785-792
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Objectives: To provide an analytical framework within which public health interventions can be evaluated, present its mathematical proof, and demonstrate its use using real trial data. Study Design and Setting: This article describes a method to assess population-level effects by describing change using the distribution curve. The area between the two overlapping distribution curves at baseline and follow-up represents the impact of the intervention, that is, the proportion of the target population that benefited from the intervention. Results: Using trial data from a parenting program, empirical proof of the idea is demonstrated on a measure of behavioral problems in 355 preschoolers using the Gaussian distribution curve. The intervention group had a 12% [9%-17%] health gain, whereas the control group had 3% [1%-7%]. In addition, for the subgroup of parents with lower education, the intervention produced a 15% [6%-25%] improvement, whereas for the group of parents with higher education the net health gain was 6% [4%-16%]. Conclusion: It is possible to calculate the impact of public health interventions by using the distribution curve of a variable, which requires knowing the distribution function. The method can be used to assess the differential impact of population interventions and their potential to improve health inequities.
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