| 1. |
- Daunfeldt, Sven-Olov, et al.
(författare)
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Central bank independence and price stability : evidence from OECD-countries
- 2008
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Ingår i: Oxford Economic Papers. - Oxford : Oxford University Press (OUP). - 0030-7653 .- 1464-3812. ; 60:3, s. 410-422
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- In this paper, we use a non-parametric regression method to compare the transition process from high to low inflation with the implementation dates of central bank independence reforms. In most countries, price stability is achieved before more independence is given to the central bank. Moreover, for those countries which have implemented a central bank independence reform under a high inflation regime, no evidence is found that the reforms have actually led to price stability. This suggests that the credibility of a low inflation goal can be achieved without institutional reforms which grant the central bank more independence from the political policymakers.
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| 2. |
- Daunfeldt, Sven-Olov, et al.
(författare)
-
Efficacy and Cost of Regime Shifts in Inflation Policies : Evidence from New Zealand and Sweden
- 2001
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Ingår i: Applied Economics. - 0003-6846 .- 1466-4283. ; 33:2, s. 217-224
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- In this paper a comparative study of the regime shift in inflation policies in New Zealand and Sweden is performed. A nonparametric regression method is used to decompose the inflation time series into three components of variation: a long-term trend, a medium-term (cyclical and transient variations) trend and a short-term shocks component. This allows study of the transition process from the high inflation characterizing the end of the 1970s and the 1980s to the low inflation observed during the 1990s. It is found that in New Zealand, although it is initially delayed, the decrease in inflation happens at a faster pace than in Sweden. This may indicate that reforms were more efficient in New Zealand. A clear link is also shown between the rising unemployment and the transition from high to low inflation. Furthermore, while in New Zealand a downward adjustment of the unemployment rate happens directly after the transition period, in Sweden there seems to be persistence in high unemployment.
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