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- Bergendahl, Per-Anders, 1947, et al.
(författare)
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Improving Long-Term Investment Decisions under Uncertainty: Applications for the Swedish Energy Sector
- 1988
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Ingår i: The Energy Journal. ; 9:2, s. 57-73
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Assumptions about future conditions (e.g. fuel prices) are more or less uncertain. Since energy investments projects most often are characterized by hihg costs and a planned long term uitilization, misallocation of resources may be very expensive. Using the MARKAL model, a number of stylized examples are provided in order to illustrate the economic consequences of misjudgments. Furthermore, possible guidelines for decision-making under uncertainty are illustrated. Finally the boundaries of this analytical approach are highlighted.
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| 2. |
- Bergendahl, Per-Anders, 1947, et al.
(författare)
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Insurance or risk in energy investments - the case of Sweden
- 1986
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Ingår i: Swedish and Soviet Energy Problems: Proceedings from a Conference in Moscow: (ed Kurt Wickman), June 26-28, 1986. - 0283-4928. - 9154092744 ; SB: 7
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Konferensbidrag (refereegranskat)abstract
- In this report we put the whole enery system into our perspective and derive strategies with regard to five different energy price scenarios. A fundamental investment strategy is that which is consistent with the minimum expected cost (called Strategy A). Using strategy A as a point of reference, it is illustrated how, to which extent and at what costs insurance undertaking can form an energy system less vulnerable (risk-exposed) to the development of energy prices. A specific formation of the system at lower levels (i.e. within communities, companies and households) which - in the aggregate - corresponds to any of the investment strategies B-F, will imply a less volnerable, or risk-exposed energy system. The administration may lay down the guiding principles for such a formation through an appropriate balancing of various policy measure (taxation, legislation, subsidies, to investments and R&D etc.) and through its information and forecasting activities.
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| 5. |
- Bergendahl, Per-Anders, 1947, et al.
(författare)
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The Future Energy System - A Problem of Planning under Uncertainty
- 1985
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Ingår i: In: Kydes AS, Gereghty DM, editors. Energy markets in the longer-term: planning under uncertainty—proceedings of the IMACS second international symposium. Amsterdam: North-Holland; 1985. p. 253–60..
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Konferensbidrag (refereegranskat)abstract
- Assumptions about future conditions (e.g. fuel prices) are more or less uncertain. Since energy investment projects most often are characterised by high costs and a planned long term utilisation, missallocation of resources may be very expensive. Using the MARKAL model, a number of stylized examples are provided in order to illustrate the economic consequences of misjudgment. Furthermore, possible guidelines for decision-making under uncertainty are illustrated. Finally the boundaries of this analytical approach are highlighted.
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