| 1. |
- Shrestha, Sarita, 1991-, et al.
(författare)
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The use of ICD codes to identify IBD subtypes and phenotypes of the Montreal classification in the Swedish National Patient Register
- 2020
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Ingår i: Scandinavian Journal of Gastroenterology. - : Informa UK Limited. - 0036-5521 .- 1502-7708. ; 55:4, s. 430-435
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Introduction: Whether data on International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-codes from the Swedish National Patient Register (NPR) correctly correspond to subtypes of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and phenotypes of the Montreal classification scheme among patients with prevalent disease is unknown. Materials and methods: We obtained information on IBD subtypes and phenotypes from the medical records of 1403 patients with known IBD who underwent biological treatment at ten Swedish hospitals and retrieved information on their IBD-associated diagnostic codes from the NPR. We used previously described algorithms to define IBD subtypes and phenotypes. Finally, we compared these register-generated subtypes and phenotypes with the corresponding information from the medical records and calculated positive predictive values (PPV) with 95% confidence intervals. Results: Among patients with clinically confirmed disease and diagnostic listings of IBD in the NPR (N = 1401), the PPV was 97 (96-99)% for Crohn's disease, 98 (97-100)% for ulcerative colitis, and 8 (4-11)% for IBD-unclassified. The overall accuracy for age at diagnosis was 95% (when defined as A1, A2, or A3). Examining the validity of codes representing disease phenotype, the PPV was 36 (32-40)% for colonic Crohn's disease (L2), 61 (56-65)% for non-stricturing/non-penetrating Crohn's disease behaviour (B1) and 83 (78-87)% for perianal disease. Correspondingly, the PPV was 80 (71-89)% for proctitis (E1)/left-sided colitis (E2) in ulcerative colitis. Conclusions: Among people with known IBD, the NPR is a reliable source of data to classify most subtypes of prevalent IBD, even though misclassification commonly occurred in Crohn's disease location and behaviour and also among IBD-unclassified patients.
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| 2. |
- Cao, Yang, Associate Professor, 1972-, et al.
(författare)
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The statistical importance of P-POSSUM scores for predicting mortality after emergency laparotomy in geriatric patients
- 2020
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Ingår i: BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making. - : BioMed Central. - 1472-6947. ; 20:1
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- BACKGROUND: Geriatric patients frequently undergo emergency general surgery and accrue a greater risk of postoperative complications and fatal outcomes than the general population. It is highly relevant to develop the most appropriate care measures and to guide patient-centered decision-making around end-of-life care. Portsmouth - Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enumeration of Mortality and morbidity (P-POSSUM) has been used to predict mortality in patients undergoing different types of surgery. In the present study, we aimed to evaluate the relative importance of the P-POSSUM score for predicting 90-day mortality in the elderly subjected to emergency laparotomy from statistical aspects.METHODS: One hundred and fifty-seven geriatric patients aged ≥65 years undergoing emergency laparotomy between January 1st, 2015 and December 31st, 2016 were included in the study. Mortality and 27 other patient characteristics were retrieved from the computerized records of Örebro University Hospital in Örebro, Sweden. Two supervised classification machine methods (logistic regression and random forest) were used to predict the 90-day mortality risk. Three scalers (Standard scaler, Robust scaler and Min-Max scaler) were used for variable engineering. The performance of the models was evaluated using accuracy, sensitivity, specificity and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Importance of the predictors were evaluated using permutation variable importance and Gini importance.RESULTS: The mean age of the included patients was 75.4 years (standard deviation =7.3 years) and the 90-day mortality rate was 29.3%. The most common indication for surgery was bowel obstruction occurring in 92 (58.6%) patients. Types of post-operative complications ranged between 7.0-36.9% with infection being the most common type. Both the logistic regression and random forest models showed satisfactory performance for predicting 90-day mortality risk in geriatric patients after emergency laparotomy, with AUCs of 0.88 and 0.93, respectively. Both models had an accuracy > 0.8 and a specificity ≥0.9. P-POSSUM had the greatest relative importance for predicting 90-day mortality in the logistic regression model and was the fifth important predictor in the random forest model. No notable change was found in sensitivity analysis using different variable engineering methods with P-POSSUM being among the five most accurate variables for mortality prediction.CONCLUSION: P-POSSUM is important for predicting 90-day mortality after emergency laparotomy in geriatric patients. The logistic regression model and random forest model may have an accuracy of > 0.8 and an AUC around 0.9 for predicting 90-day mortality. Further validation of the variables' importance and the models' robustness is needed by use of larger dataset.
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| 3. |
- Bergh, Cecilia, 1972-, et al.
(författare)
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Non-psychotic mental disorders in adolescent men and risk of myocardial infarction : A national cohort study
- 2020
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Ingår i: European Heart Journal. - : Oxford University Press. - 0195-668X .- 1522-9645. ; 41:Suppl. 2, s. 2812-2812
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Tidskriftsartikel (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
- Background/Purpose: Recent studies show that early life stress is associated with later risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and stress may also increase the risk of psychiatric disease. We investigated the association between non-psychotic mental disorders in adolescence and subsequent myocardial infarction, and the role of stress resilience and physical fitness in this association.Method: This is a register-based cohort study with 238 013 males born between 1952 and 1956 followed from 1987 to 2010 using information from Swedish registers. Stress resilience was measured at a compulsory military conscription examination using a semi-structured interview with a psychologist. Physical fitness was measured at conscription examination with a cycle ergometer test. A total of 34 503 men were diagnosed with a non-psychotic mental disorder at conscription. Using Cox regression, we estimated the association of mental disorders with myocardial infarction after adjustment for other established CVD risk factors in adolescence. Stress resilience and physical fitness were included in the adjusted model in a second set of analyses.Results: A total of 5891 diagnoses of first myocardial infarction were identified. Non-psychotic mental disorders were associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction, with a hazard ratio (HR) and confidence interval (CI) of 1.51 (1.41–1.62). The association remained statistically significant after adjustment for other important potential confounders in adolescence such as systolic and diastolic blood pressure, body mass index, inflammation, cognitive function, parental socioeconomic index and a summary disease score (HR 1.24 (CI 1.13–1.35)). The association was further explained by stress resilience and lifestyle factors assessed with a cardiovascular fitness test in adolescence, as the association attenuated but remained statistically significant when further adjusting for stress resilience and physical fitness (HR 1.18 (CI 1.08–1.29)).Conclusion: A non-psychotic mental disorder in adolescences may increase the risk of developing myocardial infarction later in life. This association was partly but not completely explained by poorer stress resilience and physical fitness. Effective prevention might focus on behaviour/lifestyle and psychosocial stress in early life.
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| 4. |
- Cao, Yang, Associate Professor, 1972-, et al.
(författare)
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Deep Learning Neural Networks to Predict Serious Complications After Bariatric Surgery : Analysis of Scandinavian Obesity Surgery Registry Data
- 2020
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Ingår i: JMIR Medical Informatics. - : JMIR Publications. - 2291-9694. ; 8:5
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- BACKGROUND: Obesity is one of today's most visible public health problems worldwide. Although modern bariatric surgery is ostensibly considered safe, serious complications and mortality still occur in some patients.OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to explore whether serious postoperative complications of bariatric surgery recorded in a national quality registry can be predicted preoperatively using deep learning methods.METHODS: Patients who were registered in the Scandinavian Obesity Surgery Registry (SOReg) between 2010 and 2015 were included in this study. The patients who underwent a bariatric procedure between 2010 and 2014 were used as training data, and those who underwent a bariatric procedure in 2015 were used as test data. Postoperative complications were graded according to the Clavien-Dindo classification, and complications requiring intervention under general anesthesia or resulting in organ failure or death were considered serious. Three supervised deep learning neural networks were applied and compared in our study: multilayer perceptron (MLP), convolutional neural network (CNN), and recurrent neural network (RNN). The synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) was used to artificially augment the patients with serious complications. The performances of the neural networks were evaluated using accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, Matthews correlation coefficient, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.RESULTS: In total, 37,811 and 6250 patients were used as the training data and test data, with incidence rates of serious complication of 3.2% (1220/37,811) and 3.0% (188/6250), respectively. When trained using the SMOTE data, the MLP appeared to have a desirable performance, with an area under curve (AUC) of 0.84 (95% CI 0.83-0.85). However, its performance was low for the test data, with an AUC of 0.54 (95% CI 0.53-0.55). The performance of CNN was similar to that of MLP. It generated AUCs of 0.79 (95% CI 0.78-0.80) and 0.57 (95% CI 0.59-0.61) for the SMOTE data and test data, respectively. Compared with the MLP and CNN, the RNN showed worse performance, with AUCs of 0.65 (95% CI 0.64-0.66) and 0.55 (95% CI 0.53-0.57) for the SMOTE data and test data, respectively.CONCLUSIONS: MLP and CNN showed improved, but limited, ability for predicting the postoperative serious complications after bariatric surgery in the Scandinavian Obesity Surgery Registry data. However, the overfitting issue is still apparent and needs to be overcome by incorporating intra- and perioperative information.
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| 5. |
- Castelo-Branco, Anna, et al.
(författare)
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Infections in patients with multiple sclerosis : A national cohort study in Sweden
- 2020
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Ingår i: Multiple Sclerosis and Related Disorders. - : Elsevier. - 2211-0348 .- 2211-0356. ; 45
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- BACKGROUND: Multiple sclerosis (MS) patients have an increased risk of infections, but few population-based studies have reported infections occurring in MS in the years immediately after diagnosis.OBJECTIVE: To explore incident infections in MS, stratified by age and sex.METHODS: In a Swedish population-based cohort study 6602 incident MS patients (aged ≥18 years), matched at diagnosis with 61,828 matched MS-free individuals were identified between 1st January 2008 and 31st December 2016, using national registers. Incidence rates (IR) and incidence rate ratios (IRR) with 95% CI were calculated for each outcome.RESULTS: The IRRs were 2.54 (95% CI 2.28-2.83) for first serious infection and 1.61 (1.52-1.71) for first non-serious infection. Compared with MS-free individuals, MS patients had higher IRs for skin, respiratory/throat infections, pneumonia/influenza, bacterial, viral, and fungal infections, with the highest IRR observed for urinary tract/kidney infections (2.44; 2.24-2.66). The cumulative incidence for most of these infections was higher among MS patients than MS-free individuals, both 0 to <5 and 5 to <9 years after index date.CONCLUSION: The burden of infections around the time of MS diagnosis and subsequent infection risk, underscore the need for careful considerations regarding the risk-benefit across different disease-modifying therapies.
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| 6. |
- Castelo-Branco, Anna, et al.
(författare)
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Non-infectious comorbidity in patients with multiple sclerosis : A national cohort study in Sweden
- 2020
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Ingår i: Multiple Sclerosis Journal, Experimental, Translational and Clinical. - California, USA : Sage Publications. - 2055-2173. ; , s. 1-10
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Background: Comorbidity is of significant concern in multiple sclerosis (MS). Few population-based studies have reported conditions occurring in MS after diagnosis, especially in contemporary cohorts.Objective: To explore incident comorbidity, mortality and hospitalizations in MS, stratified by age and sex.Methods: In a Swedish population-based cohort study 6602 incident MS patients (aged ≥18 years) and 61,828 matched MS-free individuals were identified between 1 January 2008 and 31 December 2016, using national registers. Incidence rates (IRs) and incidence rate ratios (IRRs) with 95% CI were calculated for each outcome.Results: IRs of cardiovascular disease (CVD) were higher among MS patients than MS-free individuals, (major adverse CVD: IRR 1.42; 95% CI 1.12-1.82; hemorrhagic/ischemic stroke: 1.46; 1.05-2.02; transient ischemic attack: 1.65; 1.09-2.50; heart failure: 1.55; 1.15-2.10); venous thromboembolism: 1.42; 1.14-1.77). MS patients also had higher risks of several non-CVDs such as autoimmune conditions (IRR 3.83; 3.01-4.87), bowel dysfunction (2.16; 1.86-2.50), depression (2.38; 2.11-2.68), and fractures (1.32; 1.19-1.47), as well as being hospitalized and to suffer from CVD-related deaths ((1.91; 1.00-3.65), particularly in females (3.57; 1.58-8.06)).Conclusion: MS-patients experience a notable comorbidity burden which emphasizes the need for integrated disease management in order to improve patient care and long-term outcomes of MS.
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| 7. |
- Hakkarainen, Katja Marja, et al.
(författare)
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Pregnancy outcomes after exposure to interferon beta : a register-based cohort study among women with MS in Finland and Sweden
- 2020
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Ingår i: Therapeutic advances in neurological disorders. - : Sage Publications. - 1756-2856 .- 1756-2864. ; 13
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Background: Our aim was to estimate and compare the prevalence of adverse pregnancy outcomes among pregnant women with multiple sclerosis (MS) exposed to interferon beta (IFNB) and among women with MS unexposed to any MS disease-modifying drug (MSDMD).Methods: This cohort study used Finnish (1996-2014) and Swedish (2005-2014) national register data. Women with MS having IFNB dispensed 6 months before or during pregnancy as the only medication were considered as IFNB exposed (only IFNB-exposed), whereas women with MS unexposed to any MSDMD were considered unexposed (MSDMD-unexposed). Prevalence was described and compared using log-binomial or logistic regression and adjusted for potential confounders including maternal age and comorbidity.Results: Among 2831 pregnancies, 2.2% of the only IFNB-exposed and 4.0% of the MSDMD-unexposed women had serious adverse pregnancy outcomes [elective termination of pregnancy due to foetal anomaly (TOPFA), major congenital anomaly (MCA) in live, or stillbirth]. After adjustments, the prevalence of serious adverse pregnancy outcomes was lower among the only IFNB-exposed compared with the MSDMD-unexposed [relative risk 0.55, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.31-0.96]. The prevalence of individual outcomes, including MCA, spontaneous abortions, and stillbirths was not increased with IFNB exposure. Women with MS exposed to IFNB appeared more likely to terminate their pregnancy for reasons other than foetal anomaly, compared with MSDMD-unexposed pregnant MS patients (odds ratio 1.71, 95% CI 1.06-2.78).Conclusion: In this large cohort study, no increase in the prevalence of adverse pregnancy outcomes was observed in women with MS exposed to IFNB compared with MS patients unexposed to any MSDMDs. This study together with other evidence led to a change in the labels of the IFNB products in September 2019 in the European Union, and IFNB use today may be considered during pregnancy, if clinically needed.
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| 8. |
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| 9. |
- Rådmark, Lina, et al.
(författare)
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Mind and body exercises (MBE), prescribed antidepressant medication, physical exercise and depressive symptoms – a longitudinal study
- 2020
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Ingår i: Journal of Affective Disorders. - : Elsevier BV. - 0165-0327 .- 1573-2517. ; 265, s. 185-192
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Aims: Earlier studies show that participation in mind and body exercises (MBE) is cross-sectionally associated with high levels of depressive symptoms and antidepressants. This study investigates the longitudinal interrelationship between depressive symptoms, MBE and antidepressants.Methods: 3269 men and 4318 women aged 24–74 years participated in the Swedish Longitudinal Occupational Survey of Health (SLOSH). Measures of MBE practice and depressive symptoms were drawn from the SLOSH questionnaire, data on prescription drugs were obtained from the Swedish Prescribed Drug Register. Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) was used to analyze temporal relationships.Results: Both MBE practice and antidepressants in 2012 was associated with higher levels of depressive symptoms two years later. Depressive symptoms in turn were associated with higher levels of later MBE practice and antidepressants. These relationships seemed to be explained by confounding by indication and were of higher magnitude for antidepressants than for MBE.Conclusion: Overall, SEM analysis shows that MBE and antidepressant treatment were both bi-directionally associated with depressive symptoms over time. Part of the explanation is likely to be confounding by indication: those with symptoms of depression more likely to undertake treatment, and MBE alone may be more common among those with less severe depression. The results clarify some of our findings from earlier studies and give some important, new information on what people are doing to manage depressive symptoms on a societal level, regarding self-care, medication, and the combination of both.
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| 10. |
- Smith, Kelsi A., et al.
(författare)
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Hospital diagnosed pneumonia before age 20 years and multiple sclerosis risk
- 2020
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Ingår i: BMJ Neurology Open. - : BMJ Publishing Group Ltd. - 2632-6140. ; 2:1
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Introduction: Respiratory inflammation has been proposed as a risk factor for MS. This study aims to determine if hospital-diagnosed pneumonia in adolescence (before age 20 years) is associated with subsequent multiple sclerosis (MS).Methods: This case-control study included incident MS cases after age 20 years identified using the Swedish national registers. Cases were matched with 10 general population controls by age, sex and region. Pneumonia diagnoses were identified between 0–5, 6–10, 11–15 and 16–20 years of age. Conditional logistic regression models adjusted for infectious mononucleosis (IM) and education calculated ORs with 95% CIs. Urinary tract infections (UTIs), a common complication of MS, before age 20 years were included as a control diagnosis for reverse causation.Results: There were 6109 cases and 49479 controls included. Pneumonia diagnosed between age 11–15 years was associated with subsequent MS (adj OR 2.00, 95% CI 1.22 to 3.27). Although not statistically significant, sensitivity analyses showed similar magnitude associations of pneumonia between age 11–15 years and MS. No statistically significant associations with MS for pneumonia at other age groups were observed. Adjustment for IM had no notable effect on associations, but was statistically significantly associated with MS. UTIs were not associated with MS.Conclusion: Pneumonia at 11–15 years of age was associated with MS, suggesting a possible role for inflammation of the respiratory system in the aetiology of MS during a period of susceptibility in adolescence. Further research on respiratory infections prior to MS onset should be conducted to replicate this finding and determine explanatory causal mechanisms
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