1.
2.
Morf, Andrea, 1968, et al.
(författare)
Climate Change Adaptation and Emerging Coastal Conflicts in Southern Sweden: Vellinge Municipality - A Paradigmatic Case Study
2012
Ingår i: IGC Cologne 2012, Down To Earth, 32nd International Geographical Congress, 26.-30. August 2012.
Konferensbidrag (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt) abstract
In Sweden, like in many other European states, there is an increasing need to identify and formulate climate change adaptation strategies at national as well as regional and local level. The Swedish 2007 national report by the Commission on Climate and Vulnerability concluded that Sweden have to make a start in climate adaptation through increased responsibility on behalf of the municipalities in adapting physical planning to the risks of climate change and through the key role of the County Administration Boards in coordinating adaptation efforts at the regional level. Since then, municipalities vulnerable to climate change impacts has started to identify and propose adaptation measures (under the coordination and support by the County Administration Boards), and a few municipalities have even started the process of integration adaptation measures into their physical planning. However, the integration of adaptation measures into comprehensive plans is a new and complex task, causing 'new' conflicts of interests to emerge. For example: · Between the interests to retreat from, defend against or adapt to future climate risks · Between present and future nature- and human values · Between existing national and regional regulations of local physical planning and the need for local flexibility in physical planning in responding to uncertain, future climate change risks · Between national, regional and local interests in relation to climate change adaptation · Between different social groups (for example between temporary and permanent residents) Through a case study of the municipality of Vellinge, located in the southwestern part of Sweden with a population of approximately 30 000, we analyze the potential consequences (in terms of emergence of new conflicts of interests) of the detailed, physical adaptation measures that have been put forward in the draft municipality comprehensive plan of 2010. Furthermore, we discuss potential strategies to mitigate such emerging conflicts.
3.
Morf, Andrea, 1968, et al.
(författare)
Scenario-Analysis of Land Use Conflicts Related To Climate-Change, Development and Conservation on the Falsterbo Peninsula in Vellinge Municipality
2012
Rapport (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt) abstract
A whole bundle of conflicts arising on the Falsterbo peninsula in Vellinge municipality, at the urban fringe of Malmö metropolitan area in relation to management and mitigation of climate change have been the focus of this deliverable. The flat, sandy peninsula on the SW-corner of Sweden is highly attractive are for human residency and recreation at the same time as it is highly valuable for cultural and nature conservation reasons. Morover, it is highly exposed to weather and climate. Discussions on how to address climate change related problems such as erosion and sea-level rise have given rise to a whole bundle of new environmental- and user conflicts and old conflicts in new shapes. These are here analysed from a spatial land-use perspective. The methods used include DPSIR-analyis, factor analysis, scenario building, backcasting, based on extrapolations of land-uses and population in relation to the different scenarios. Based on a DPSIR analysis using documents and earlier work in WP 2 and 4, factor analysis, backcasting using both qualitative, spatial and numeric aspects have been performed and specified in the form of GIS-maps and analytical tables using a number of easily available indicators for land-use change. Three scenarios have been created to analyse potential land use conflicts and alternative management strategies: a) MIX: a combination of development/defence and conservation/retreat (basing on municipal proposals in Vellinge’s municipal comprehensive plan 2010); b) DEV (development): a development focused alternative, where residency and jobs and protection against sea level rise is in focus; and c) ECO (ecology and conservation): with focus on retreat from the most exposed areas. Each scenario leads to specific types of conflicts. The most important conflicts to be expected with sea level rise are related to densification of attractive detached house areas and historically interesting townscapes, building of dams in relation to overlapping different kinds of conservation interests that partially collide, and behavioral changes and economic effects especially if a retreat strategy is being chosen. Last but not least, the case raises also a dilemma in relation to the consumption of productive agricultural land, which during the last decades of increasingly open markets, cheap transports, and strong nature protection policy in European countries has come out of focus. The scenarios also include different management strategies: the ECO-scenario requires most pro-active behavioral change work, followed by the MIX-scenario, whereas an important characteristic of the DEV-scenario is the procrastination of problems and conflicts to the future. Conclusions are made both in relation to the scenarios and to the methodology used. The conflict potential is high with measures forcing people to move or change behavior. Conflict mitigation possibilities vary with regard to the basic assumptions in the 3 scenarios and the local conditions. Conclusions with regard to methodology include that GIS can be an interesting tool for scenario work with conflict analysis- and management in mind, but that it is important to keep things simple for understandability for stakeholders if used as a process tool and not mere research. Comparisons with other scenarios in SECOA may be difficult because of the very specific local situations and assumptions made in each scenario. Besides some general topical criteria and suggestions for methods, the selection of cases and collection data has been ad-hoc driven by interesting problems to analyse in specific cases and end-user contexts. A multiple case study design for direct comparison of mappings and especially quantitative data requires a beforehand overall-design. This is especially valid in relation to quantifications and percentages and the comparability of parameters selected as bases for these.
4.
Morf, Andrea, 1968, et al.
(författare)
The Road Towards Koster Sea National Park - Potentials and Challenges of Implementing Ecosystem Based and Participatory Maritime Management
2011
Rapport (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt) abstract
This report provides results from a comprehensive analysis of the process leading towards Koster Sea national park, Sweden’s first marine national park. International pressure for participatory and ecosystem based management of marine resources is increasing (e.g. Convention of Biodiversity or EU’s Integrated Maritime Policy, Marine Strategy Directive, and ICZM-recommendations). Introducing integrative, participatory management of marine resources to a centralist, sector-based system of governance as in Sweden presents challenges. Various management experiments are under way. An interesting one combines protection and sustainable use in Sweden’s most valuable marine cold-water habitats: Koster Sea national park was inaugurated 2009 in parallel to the Norwegian park Ytre Hvaler and covers a large part of the archipelago and territorial waters in the municipalities of Tanum and Strömstad. The park makes an example for innovative marine management. The road towards it has been long and curvy. In the wake of proposals and protests, a process of community development with an integrative sustainability perspective has developed through an intensive dialogue between authorities and local stakeholders. After 30 years of recurring clashes locals and authorities agree that ecological and cultural values can be protected and used at the same time – under the condition that these uses are designed to be long-term sustainable, and evaluated and developed further in collaboration. Top-down management has met bottom-up initiative. Conservation is no more seen as a dead end by the users but as providing potential for rural development with sustainable tourism. The park’s goals include conservation, education, and sustainable use. Locals are not merely tolerated but an important part in the park's co-management structure – the steering committee Koster Sea Delegation and its working groups. Many participants are interested in analysing this process, which they call the ”Koster Sea Dialogue” in order to learn from it. The participation-process has been documented by the project “The Road Towards Koster Sea National Park”, financed by the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency. The study focused on the process, its drivers, the institutional framework, participation, stakeholders’ roles and networks, and conflict management. Methods include semi-structured interviews, observation and document analysis. An important process characteristic has been the long-term, active involvement of those living and working in the area. Local perspectives and knowledge have reached authorities to a larger extent than usual, making solutions adapted to local circumstances. Another characteristic is a linking of fisheries and local socio-economic development with conservation. The use of a rural development perspective, an evolving collaboration over years and active individuals at many levels have been important too. Researchers at the local marine research station have been important knowledge bearers and defenders of conservation but also translators and mediators in clashes between conservation and use. Other, more “usual” factors have been political interest, time, and resources. However, delegating the responsibility for a participation process to locals and letting it develop ad-hoc has its challenges. In rural areas it is important to proceed with care. Here, individuals are a main driving force – on leisure time. It cannot be expected from all to have the skills and resources for process leadership. People depend on each other and may be reluctant to confront neighbors. Conflicts easily become destructive if escalated. Locally based, ad-hoc process management allows for adaptation to local needs but is less transparent for outsiders. Continuous collaboration over years builds trust among those involved. On the flip side, an insider-elite with access to knowledge but little time to work with outreach may unintentionally be excluding others. Even if delegated to local forces, such processes require authorities’ back up with financial and other resources. The planning is concluded; implementation has just begun. Assessing the process from an adaptive co-management and ecosystem approach perspective – using criteria such as integration along various dimensions, adaptation and learning, participation, and a sustainable development perspective integrating ecological limits with socio-economic needs – the process and its institutional arrangements score relatively high. Some things need to be developed further: • A larger scale marine planning perspective including uses and environment in the surroundings. • The management system with working groups and the roles of the Delegation. • An more structured communication and participation planning and readiness for conflict management. • Monitoring effects in all three dimensions of sustainable development: ecological, social, economic. • Developing structures for organizational learning.
5.
Sundblad, Eva-Lotta, 1956, et al.
(författare)
Social analys – en havsrelaterad samhällsanalys. Underlagsrapport för Sveriges inledande bedömning i havsmiljöförordningen
2012
Rapport (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt) abstract
Havsmiljöförordningen, SFS 2010:1341, (HMF) ingår i en strategi för en ekosystembaserad förvaltning och ett hållbart nyttjande av havsmiljön som avses i Havsmiljödirektivet (2008/56/EG). Förordningen syftar till att upprätthålla eller nå en god miljöstatus i havsmiljön. Enligt HMF ska Havs- och vattenmyndigheten se till att det görs en inledande bedömningen av havsmiljön i de svenska delarna av de två förvaltningsområdena Nordsjön och Östersjön (13 § - 16 §). Den inledande bedömningen, som ska vara avslutad den 15 juli 2012 och rapporteras till Europeiska kommissionen senast den 15 oktober samma år, ska ligga till grund för fastställande av god miljöstatus, miljömål och miljöövervakningsprogram samt utarbetande av åtgärdsprogram för att nå uppsatta mål. I den inledande bedömningen ingår att utföra en ekonomisk och social analys, den förra kan delas in i två delar där den första syftar till att analysera nyttjandet av havsområdet och den andra delen att beskriva kostnaderna av att miljön i havsområdena försämras (HMF, 13 §, p.4 samt Havsmiljödirektivet, Artikel 8.1c). Det primära syftet med den sociala analysen i den inledande bedömningen är att skapa en bild av förutsättningarna för det kommande arbetet med att uppnå direktivets syften, dvs. god miljöstatus (GES, artikel 9). Analysen ska också tjäna som underlag vid utformningen av miljömål (artikel 10) som sedermera kommer att ligga till grund för åtgärdsprogram och styrmedel (artikel 13). Bedömningen inbegriper en analys av hur olika grupper i samhället kan beröras av havets nyttjande, havsrelaterade miljöproblem och deras åtgärdande. I denna studie lanseras en metod att genomföra en sådan analys. Metoden inbegriper en tankemodell som består av komponenterna Indirekta drivkrafter, Direkta drivkrafter, Påverkan/tillstånd/effekt i miljön, Effekt i samhället och Respons med. Modellen används tillsammans med en frågemall för att kartlägga aktörer och drivkrafter. Fallstudier avseende tre miljöproblem - selektivt överfiske av torsk samt oönskad spridning av kvicksilver och fosfor - visar att ett stort antal aktörer är inblandade såväl indirekt som direkt. Dessutom verkar aktörerna på olika nivåer: lokalt/regionalt, nationellt och internationellt. Varje miljöproblem behöver sin egen analys och har egna förutsättningar. Studien visar att den information som behövs för att besluta om åtgärder är relativt omfattande. Avvägningen av vilken mängd information som är tillräcklig och som bör övervakas i framtiden kan ha stor påverkan på utvecklingen i samhället och i miljön. Slutligen lämnas förslag på hur framtida havsmiljörelaterade samhällsanalyser kan genomföras.
6.
Sundblad, Eva-Lotta, 1956, et al.
(författare)
Social analysis: A marine societal analysis. A report prepared for Sweden’s initial assessment as required by the Marine Environmental Ordinance (SFS 2010:1341) : Social analys – en havsrelaterad samhällsanalys. Underlagsrapport för Sveriges inledande bedömning i havsmiljöförordningen.
2012
Rapport (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt) abstract
The Marine Environmental Ordinance (SFS 2010:1341) is part of a strategy to bring about ecosystem-based management and sustainable use of the marine environment in accordance with the EU’s the Marine Strategy Framework Directive (MSFD, 2008/56/EC). The ordinance is intended to maintain or achieve good environmental status in the marine environment. Under the Marine Environmental Ordinance, the Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management (SwAM) must ensure that an initial assessment is carried out on the marine environment in the Swedish waters of the two regions, the North Sea and the Baltic Sea (Articles 13–16). The initial assessment, which is to be completed by 15 July 2012 and reported to the European Commission not later than 15 October of the same year, is to provide a basis for the establishment of good environmental status, environmental targets and environmental monitoring programmes, as well as the preparing of programmes of measures by which established targets may be achieved. The initial assessment will include conducting an economic and social analysis. The former can be divided into two parts, the first of which is designed to analyse the use of the marine region and the second to describe the cost of the degradation of the marine environment (Marine Environmental Ordinance, Article 13, para. 4, and the Marine Strategy Framework Directive, Article 8.1c). The primary purpose of the social analysis in the initial assessment is to create a picture of the underlying conditions of the upcoming work to achieve the aims of the directive, that is, good environmental status (GES, Article 9). The analysis is also intended to provide basic information for the establishment of environmental targets (Article 10) that will subsequently form the foundation of programmes of measures and administrative funding (Article 13). The assessment includes an analysis of how different groups in society can be affected by how the sea is used and by marine environmental problems and measures taken to address them. This study presents a method by which such an analysis can be conducted. The method includes a conceptual model that consists of the components 'Indirect driving forces, 'Direct driving forces , 'Environmental pressures, state and impact', 'Impact on society', and 'Response'. The model is used in combination with a question template to analyse actors, activities and driving forces. Case studies involving three environmental problems – selective overfishing of cod and the unwanted dispersion of mercury and phosphorous – show that a large number of actors are involved, directly and indirectly. In addition, these actors operate on several levels –local/regional, national and international. Every environmental problem requires its own analysis and has its own set of conditions. The study shows that the information needed for making decisions regarding the measures that should be taken is relatively extensive. The determination of the amount of information necessary and therefore how much should be systematically collected in future can have a great impact on the development of society and the environment. Finally, suggestions are given as to how future social analyses relating to the marine environment might be carried out.
