The upper homeostatic range for the temperature–yield response of irrigated US wheat down revised from a theoretical and experimental perspective

• High temperature (HT) and drought (D) have detrimental effects on growth and phenology that result in reductions of the yields of agricultural crops. Nevertheless, homeostatic ranges of tolerance exist. Recent analysis of survey data and simulations suggest US wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) yields remain relatively stable under irrigation in the range of 35°– 40°C. Applying analogue statistical procedures on experimental data and simulations from the Hot Serial Cereal Experiment (HSC) we demonstrate that failed incorporation of the corresponding phenological acceleration due to HT and a low interannual temperature variability lead to this result. Here, we incorporate the phenological effect into the used binned temperature exposure yield model by rescaling (normalizing) the absolute seasonal temperature counts to a maximum season length. The application to observed and simulated HSC data with a wide temperature range reveals that the suggested upper homeostatic response limit of US wheat yields to HT requires a down–revision. HT stress can be reduced by transpirational cooling. However, the effect is currently not sufficient to expand the homeostatic range of irrigated wheat markedly beyond 25°C taking our analysis of the HSC experiment. 

Ämnesord

SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP  -- Ekonomi och näringsliv -- Nationalekonomi (hsv//swe)

SOCIAL SCIENCES  -- Economics and Business -- Economics (hsv//eng)

LANTBRUKSVETENSKAPER  -- Lantbruksvetenskap, skogsbruk och fiske (hsv//swe)

AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES  -- Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (hsv//eng)

Nyckelord

annual variation

cooling

crop yield

experimental study

growth response

homeostasis

irrigation

low temperature

phenology

temperature effect

transpiration

United States

Triticum aestivum

Publikations- och innehållstyp

ref (ämneskategori)

art (ämneskategori)