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Statistical Analysi...
Statistical Analysis of Departure Deviations from Shunting Yards: Case study from Swedish Railways
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- Minbashi, Niloofar, 1990- (författare)
- KTH Royal Institute of Technology,KTH,Transportplanering,Train traffic and logistics,KTH, Transportplanering, Sweden
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- Palmqvist, Carl-William (författare)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,Trafik och väg,Institutionen för teknik och samhälle,Institutioner vid LTH,Lunds Tekniska Högskola,LTH profilområde: Energiomställningen,LTH profilområden,Järnvägsteknik,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Transport and Roads,Department of Technology and Society,Departments at LTH,Faculty of Engineering, LTH,LTH Profile Area: The Energy Transition,LTH Profile areas,Faculty of Engineering, LTH,Railway Operation,Lund University Research Groups,K2–The Swedish Knowledge Centre for Public Transport
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- Bohlin, Markus, 1976- (författare)
- KTH Royal Institute of Technology,KTH,Transportplanering,Train traffic and logistics,KTH, Transportplanering, Sweden
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- Kordnejad, Behzad, 1980- (författare)
- KTH Royal Institute of Technology,KTH,Transportplanering,Train traffic and logistics,KTH, Transportplanering, Sweden
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(creator_code:org_t)
- Elsevier BV, 2021
- 2021
- Engelska.
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Ingår i: Journal of Rail Transport Planning & Management. - : Elsevier BV. - 2210-9706 .- 2210-9714. ; 18
- Relaterad länk:
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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Abstract
Ämnesord
Stäng
- Departure deviations from shunting yards impact the reliability of rail freight services and the punctuality of a railway network. Therefore, the statistical analysis of these deviations are necessary for improving the operation of trains in mixed-traffic networks. In our paper, we conduct a detailed statistical analysis of departure deviations considering individual shunting yards characteristics. We use a large freight train delay dataset comprising 250,000 departures over seven years for the two largest shunting yards in Sweden, comparable to other medium-sized shunting yards in Europe. To find the probability distribution of departure deviations, we compare four distribution functions including the exponential, the log-normal, the gamma, and the Weibull according to the maximum likelihood estimates and results of the Anderson-Darling goodness of fit test. In our experiments, we show that the log-normal distribution fits best for delayed departures across both shunting yards, and for early departures at one of them, whereas the gamma distribution fits best for early departures at the other yard. For the temporal delay distribution, we find that fluctuations in the network usage impact the percentage of delayed departures across hours and weekdays, but not across months or years. In addition, we find that freight trains are mostly delayed in the winter. In the case of hourly delayed departures, we demonstrate that a shunting yard involved with domestic traffic showed a negative correlation between delayed departures and the network usage, whereas an international shunting yard did not, which indicates individuality in shunting yard operations impact shunting yard-network interactions. Our findings mainly contribute to better understanding of departure deviations from shunting yards, thus enhancing the operations and capacity utilization of shunting yards. Moreover, delay distributions can be beneficial in handling delays in traffic management models as well as enhancing the outputs of freight train simulation models
Ämnesord
- TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER -- Samhällsbyggnadsteknik -- Transportteknik och logistik (hsv//swe)
- ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY -- Civil Engineering -- Transport Systems and Logistics (hsv//eng)
Nyckelord
- Shunting yards
- departure deviations
- delays
- the probability distribution
- the temporal delay distribution
- exploratory data analysis
- Transportvetenskap
- Transport Science
- Transportsystem
- Transport Systems
- Järnvägsgruppen - Effektiva tågsystem för godstrafik
- Järnvägsgruppen - Effektiva tågsystem för godstrafik
- Järnvägsgruppen - Kapacitet
- Järnvägsgruppen - Kapacitet
- Delays
- Departure deviations
- Exploratory data analysis
- Shunting yards
- The probability distribution
- The temporal delay distribution
Publikations- och innehållstyp
- ref (ämneskategori)
- art (ämneskategori)
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