Epidemic versus economic performances of the COVID-19 lockdown : A big data driven analysis

• Lockdown measures have been a “panacea” for pandemic control but also a violent “poison” for economies.Lockdown policies strongly restrict human mobility but mobility reduce does harm to economics. Governmentsmeet a thorny problem in balancing the pros and cons of lockdown policies, but lack comprehensive andquantified guides. Based on millions of financial transaction records, and billions of mobility data, we trackedspatio-temporal business networks and human daily mobility, then proposed a high-resolution two-sidedframework to assess the epidemiological performance and economic damage of different lockdown policies. Wefound that the pandemic duration under the strictest lockdown is less about two months than that under thelightest lockdown, which makes the strictest lockdown characterize both epidemiologically and economicallyefficient. Moreover, based on the two-sided model, we explored the spatial lockdown strategy. We argue thatcutting off intercity commuting is significant in both epidemiological and economical aspects, and finally helpedgovernments figure out the Pareto optimal solution set of lockdown strategy.

Subject headings

MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP  -- Hälsovetenskap -- Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi (hsv//swe)

MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES  -- Health Sciences -- Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology (hsv//eng)

Publication and Content Type

ref (subject category)

art (subject category)