Household Economic Exclusion Among Danish Children : Evaluating Independent and Joint Household Risk of Income Poverty and Parental Labor Market Exclusion over the Course of Childhood

• Low household income and social exclusion increase children’s risk for unsuccessful transitions to adulthood. Yet, we know little about children’s cumulative risk of experiencing poverty and parental labor market exclusion during childhood, and to what extent these circumstances co-occur. Using synthetic cohort lifetables and administrative data, we estimate annual separate and joint cumulative risks for experiencing living in a household with income below the OECD poverty line (poverty) and living in a low-work intensity household (labor market exclusion) for children born in Denmark from 2003-2018. Our results show that similar children are identified by both indicators, with the largest overlap between the joint indicator of both poverty and labor market exclusion (economic exclusion) and the income poverty indicator. Further, considering estimates produced from poverty and labor market exclusion measures, as well as from a combined measure, helps to demonstrate the role of business cycle volatility in each—procyclical with respect to poverty and countercyclical with respect labor market exclusion. Linking multiple indicators makes it easier to distinguish long-term trends in the cumulative risk of childhood poverty and the impact of changes to levels of welfare payments from short-term fluctuations caused by changes in income levels due to variation in labor market tightness.  

Ämnesord

SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP  -- Sociologi (hsv//swe)

SOCIAL SCIENCES  -- Sociology (hsv//eng)

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