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Impact of Heat and ...
Impact of Heat and Cold on Total and Cause-Specific Mortality in Vadu HDSS : A Rural Setting in Western India
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- Ingole, Vijendra (författare)
- Umeå universitet,Epidemiologi och global hälsa,Vadu Rural Health Program, KEM Hospital Research Centre, Pune 411011, India
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- Rocklöv, Joacim (författare)
- Umeå universitet,Epidemiologi och global hälsa
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Juvekar, Sanjay (författare)
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- Schumann, Barbara (författare)
- Umeå universitet,Epidemiologi och global hälsa,Enheten för demografi och åldrandeforskning (CEDAR)
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(creator_code:org_t)
- 2015-12-02
- 2015
- Engelska.
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Ingår i: International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. - : Modern Scientific Press. - 1661-7827 .- 1660-4601. ; 12:12, s. 15298-15308
- Relaterad länk:
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https://doi.org/10.3...
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https://umu.diva-por... (primary) (Raw object)
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https://urn.kb.se/re...
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https://doi.org/10.3...
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Abstract
Ämnesord
Stäng
- Many diseases are affected by changes in weather. There have been limited studies, however, which have examined the relationship between heat and cold and cause-specific mortality in low and middle-income countries. In this study, we aimed to estimate the effects of heat and cold days on total and cause-specific mortality in the Vadu Health and Demographic Surveillance System (HDSS) area in western India. We used a quasi-Poisson regression model allowing for over-dispersion to examine the association of total and cause-specific mortality with extreme high (98th percentile, >39 °C) and low temperature (2nd percentile, <25 °C) over the period January 2003 to December 2012. Delays of 0 and 0-4 days were considered and relative risks (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated. Heat was significantly associated with daily deaths by non-infectious diseases (RR = 1.57; CI: 1.18-2.10). There was an increase in the risk of total mortality in the age group 12-59 years on lag 0 day (RR = 1.43; CI: 1.02-1.99). A high increase in total mortality was observed among men at lag 0 day (RR = 1.38; CI: 1.05-1.83). We did not find any short-term association between total and cause-specific mortality and cold days. Deaths from neither infectious nor external causes were associated with heat or cold. Our results showed a strong and rather immediate relationship between high temperatures and non-infectious disease mortality in a rural population located in western India, during 2003-2012. This study may be used to develop targeted interventions such as Heat Early Warning Systems in the area to reduce mortality from extreme temperatures.
Ämnesord
- MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP -- Hälsovetenskap -- Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi (hsv//swe)
- MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES -- Health Sciences -- Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology (hsv//eng)
Nyckelord
- heat
- cold
- temperature
- mortality
- cause-specific mortality
- India
Publikations- och innehållstyp
- ref (ämneskategori)
- art (ämneskategori)
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