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Statistical downsca...
Statistical downscaling of daily precipitation over Sweden using GCM output
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- Wetterhall, Fredrik (författare)
- Uppsala universitet,Luft- och vattenlära,Hydrologi
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Bardossy, Andras (författare)
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- Chen, Deliang, 1961 (författare)
- Gothenburg University,Göteborgs universitet,Institutionen för geovetenskaper,Department of Earth Sciences
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- Halldin, Sven (författare)
- Uppsala universitet,Luft- och vattenlära,Hydrologi
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- Xu, Chong-yu (författare)
- Uppsala universitet,Luft- och vattenlära,Hydrologi
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(creator_code:org_t)
- 2008-05-22
- 2009
- Engelska.
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Ingår i: Journal of Theoretical and Applied Climatology. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 0177-798X .- 1434-4483. ; 96:1-2, s. 95-103
- Relaterad länk:
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https://urn.kb.se/re...
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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https://gup.ub.gu.se...
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Abstract
Ämnesord
Stäng
- A classification of Swedish weather patterns (SWP) was developed by applying a multi-objective fuzzy-rule-based classification method (MOFRBC) to large-scale-circulation predictors in the context of statistical downscaling of daily precipitation at the station level. The predictor data was mean sea level pressure (MSLP) and geopotential heights at 850 (H850) and 700 hPa (H700) from the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis and from the HadAM3 GCM. The MOFRBC was used to evaluate effects of two future climate scenarios (A2 and B2) on precipitation patterns on two regions in south-central and northern Sweden. The precipitation series were generated with a stochastic, autoregressive model conditioned on SWP. H850 was found to be the optimum predictor for SWP, and SWP could be used instead of local classifications with little information lost. The results in the climate projection indicated an increase in maximum 5-day precipitation and precipitation amount on a wet day for the scenarios A2 and B2 for the period 2070-2100 compared to 1961-1990. The relative increase was largest in the northern region and could be attributed to an increase in the specific humidity rather than to changes in the circulation patterns.
Ämnesord
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Meteorologi och atmosfärforskning (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences (hsv//eng)
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences (hsv//eng)
Nyckelord
- Atmosphere and hydrosphere sciences
- Atmosfärs- och hydrosfärsvetenskap
Publikations- och innehållstyp
- ref (ämneskategori)
- art (ämneskategori)
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