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Substantial Differe...
Substantial Differences in Crop Yield Sensitivities Between Models Call for Functionality-Based Model Evaluation
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- Müller, Christoph (författare)
- Leibniz Association
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- Jägermeyr, Jonas (författare)
- NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies,Leibniz Association,Center for Climate Systems Research
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Franke, James A. (författare)
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visa fler...
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- Ruane, Alex C. (författare)
- NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies
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- Balkovic, Juraj (författare)
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
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- Ciais, Philippe (författare)
- Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement
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- Dury, Marie (författare)
- University of Liège
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- Falloon, Pete (författare)
- Met Office,University of Bristol
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- Folberth, Christian (författare)
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
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- Hank, Tobias (författare)
- Ludwig-Maximilian University of Munich
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- Hoffmann, Munir (författare)
- University of Göttingen
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- Izaurralde, R. Cesar (författare)
- University of Maryland
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- Jacquemin, Ingrid (författare)
- University of Liège
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- Khabarov, Nikolay (författare)
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
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- Liu, Wenfeng (författare)
- National Key Laboratory of Agricultural Water Resources (CAS),China Agricultural University
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- Olin, Stefan (författare)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,BECC: Biodiversity and Ecosystem services in a Changing Climate,Centrum för miljö- och klimatvetenskap (CEC),Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten,MERGE: ModElling the Regional and Global Earth system,Institutionen för naturgeografi och ekosystemvetenskap,LU profilområde: Naturbaserade framtidslösningar,Lunds universitets profilområden,Centre for Environmental and Climate Science (CEC),Faculty of Science,Dept of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science,LU Profile Area: Nature-based future solutions,Lund University Profile areas
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- Pugh, Thomas A.M. (författare)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,BECC: Biodiversity and Ecosystem services in a Changing Climate,Centrum för miljö- och klimatvetenskap (CEC),Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten,MERGE: ModElling the Regional and Global Earth system,Institutionen för naturgeografi och ekosystemvetenskap,LU profilområde: Naturbaserade framtidslösningar,Lunds universitets profilområden,Centre for Environmental and Climate Science (CEC),Faculty of Science,Dept of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science,LU Profile Area: Nature-based future solutions,Lund University Profile areas,University of Birmingham
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- Wang, Xuhui (författare)
- Peking University
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- Williams, Karina (författare)
- Met Office,University of Exeter
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- Zabel, Florian (författare)
- Ludwig-Maximilian University of Munich,University of Basel
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- Elliott, Joshua W. (författare)
- Federation of American Scientists
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(creator_code:org_t)
- 2024
- 2024
- Engelska.
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Ingår i: Earth's Future. - 2328-4277. ; 12:3
- Relaterad länk:
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http://dx.doi.org/10... (free)
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https://lup.lub.lu.s...
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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Abstract
Ämnesord
Stäng
- Crop models are often used to project future crop yield under climate and global change and typically show a broad range of outcomes. To understand differences in modeled responses, we analyzed modeled crop yield response types using impact response surfaces along four drivers of crop yield: carbon dioxide (C), temperature (T), water (W), and nitrogen (N). Crop yield response types help to understand differences in simulated responses per driver and their combinations rather than aggregated changes in yields as the result of simultaneous changes in various drivers. We find that models' sensitivities to the individual drivers are substantially different and often more different across models than across regions. There is some agreement across models with respect to the spatial patterns of response types but strong differences in the distribution of response types across models and their configurations suggests that models need to undergo further scrutiny. We suggest establishing standards in model evaluation based on emergent functionality not only against historical yield observations but also against dedicated experiments across different drivers to analyze emergent functional patterns of crop models.
Ämnesord
- LANTBRUKSVETENSKAPER -- Lantbruksvetenskap, skogsbruk och fiske -- Jordbruksvetenskap (hsv//swe)
- AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES -- Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries -- Agricultural Science (hsv//eng)
Nyckelord
- AgMIP
- crop model
- evaluation
- global
- sensitivity
- uncertainty
Publikations- och innehållstyp
- art (ämneskategori)
- ref (ämneskategori)
Hitta via bibliotek
Till lärosätets databas
- Av författaren/redakt...
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Müller, Christop ...
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Jägermeyr, Jonas
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Franke, James A.
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Ruane, Alex C.
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Balkovic, Juraj
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Ciais, Philippe
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visa fler...
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Dury, Marie
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Falloon, Pete
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Folberth, Christ ...
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Hank, Tobias
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Hoffmann, Munir
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Izaurralde, R. C ...
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Jacquemin, Ingri ...
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Khabarov, Nikola ...
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Liu, Wenfeng
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Olin, Stefan
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Pugh, Thomas A.M ...
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Wang, Xuhui
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Williams, Karina
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Zabel, Florian
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Elliott, Joshua ...
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visa färre...
- Om ämnet
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- LANTBRUKSVETENSKAPER
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LANTBRUKSVETENSK ...
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och Lantbruksvetensk ...
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och Jordbruksvetensk ...
- Artiklar i publikationen
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Earth's Future
- Av lärosätet
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Lunds universitet