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Evaluating the repl...
Evaluating the replicability of social science experiments in Nature and Science between 2010 and 2015
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- Camerer, C. F. (author)
- California Institute of Technology
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- Dreber Almenberg, Anna (author)
- Stockholm School of Economics,Handelshögskolan i Stockholm
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- Holzmeister, F. (author)
- University of California (US)
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- Ho, T. H. (author)
- University of California (US)
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- Huber, J. (author)
- University of Innsbruck
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- Johannesson, Magnus (author)
- Stockholm School of Economics,Handelshögskolan i Stockholm
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- Kirchler, Michael, 1977 (author)
- Gothenburg University,Göteborgs universitet,Centrum för finans,Centre for Finance,University of Innsbruck (AT)
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- Nave, G. (author)
- California Institute of Technology
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- Altmejd, Adam (author)
- Stockholm School of Economics,Handelshögskolan i Stockholm
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- Pfeiffer, T. (author)
- Massey University (NZ)
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Altmejd, A. (author)
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- Buttrick, N. (author)
- Center for Open Science
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- Chan, T. Z. (author)
- National University of Singapore
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- Chen, Y. L. (author)
- John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences
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- Forsell, E. (author)
- Stockholm School of Economics,Handelshögskolan i Stockholm
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- Gampa, A. (author)
- Center for Open Science
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- Heikensten, E. (author)
- Stockholm School of Economics,Handelshögskolan i Stockholm
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- Hummer, L. (author)
- Center for Open Science
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- Imai, T. (author)
- California Institute of Technology
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- Isaksson, S. (author)
- Stockholm School of Economics,Handelshögskolan i Stockholm
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- Manfredi, D. (author)
- Wharton School (US)
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- Rose, J. (author)
- University of Innsbruck (AT)
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- Wagenmakers, E. J. (author)
- University of Amsterdam (NL)
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- Wu, H. (author)
- National University of Singapore
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(creator_code:org_t)
- 2018-08-27
- 2018
- English.
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In: Nature Human Behaviour. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 2397-3374. ; 2:9, s. 637-644
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Abstract
Subject headings
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- Being able to replicate scientific findings is crucial for scientific progress1-15. We replicate 21 systematically selected experimental studies in the social sciences published in Nature and Science between 2010 and 201516-36. The replications follow analysis plans reviewed by the original authors and pre-registered prior to the replications. The replications are high powered, with sample sizes on average about five times higher than in the original studies. We find a significant effect in the same direction as the original study for 13 (62%) studies, and the effect size of the replications is on average about 50% of the original effect size. Replicability varies between 12 (57%) and 14 (67%) studies for complementary replicability indicators. Consistent with these results, the estimated truepositive rate is 67% in a Bayesian analysis. The relative effect size of true positives is estimated to be 71%, suggesting that both false positives and inflated effect sizes of true positives contribute to imperfect reproducibility. Furthermore, we find that peer beliefs of replicability are strongly related to replicability, suggesting that the research community could predict which results would replicate and that failures to replicate were not the result of chance alone.
Subject headings
- SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP -- Ekonomi och näringsliv (hsv//swe)
- SOCIAL SCIENCES -- Economics and Business (hsv//eng)
- SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP -- Psykologi (hsv//swe)
- SOCIAL SCIENCES -- Psychology (hsv//eng)
Keyword
- prediction markets
- replication
- reproducibility
- consequences
- decisions
- economics
- future
- cancer
- size
- mind
- Psychology
Publication and Content Type
- ref (subject category)
- art (subject category)
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To the university's database
- By the author/editor
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Camerer, C. F.
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Dreber Almenberg ...
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Holzmeister, F.
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Ho, T. H.
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Huber, J.
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Johannesson, Mag ...
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show more...
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Kirchler, Michae ...
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Nave, G.
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Altmejd, Adam
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Pfeiffer, T.
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Altmejd, A.
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Buttrick, N.
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Chan, T. Z.
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Chen, Y. L.
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Forsell, E.
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Gampa, A.
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Heikensten, E.
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Hummer, L.
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Imai, T.
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Isaksson, S.
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Manfredi, D.
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Rose, J.
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Wagenmakers, E. ...
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Wu, H.
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show less...
- About the subject
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- SOCIAL SCIENCES
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SOCIAL SCIENCES
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and Economics and Bu ...
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- SOCIAL SCIENCES
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SOCIAL SCIENCES
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and Psychology
- Articles in the publication
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Nature Human Beh ...
- By the university
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University of Gothenburg
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Stockholm School of Economics