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| 2. |
- Gerlee, Philip, 1980, et al.
(författare)
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Scientific Models : Red Atoms, White Lies and Black Boxes in a Yellow Book
- 2016
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Bok (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
- A zebrafish, the hull of a miniature ship, a mathematical equation and a food chain - what do these things have in common? They are examples of models used by scientists to isolate and study particular aspects of the world around us. This book begins by introducing the concept of a scientific model from an intuitive perspective, drawing parallels to mental models and artistic representations. It then recounts the history of modelling from the 16th century up until the present day. The iterative process of model building is described and discussed in the context of complex models with high predictive accuracy versus simpler models that provide more of a conceptual understanding. To illustrate the diversity of opinions within the scientific community, we also present the results of an interview study, in which ten scientists from different disciplines describe their views on modelling and how models feature in their work. Lastly, it includes a number of worked examples that span different modelling approaches and techniques. It provides a comprehensive introduction to scientific models and shows how models are constructed and used in modern science. It also addresses the approach to, and the culture surrounding modelling in different scientific disciplines. It serves as an inspiration for model building and also facilitates interdisciplinary collaborations by showing how models are used in different scientific fields. The book is aimed primarily at students in the sciences and engineering, as well as students at teacher training colleges but will also appeal to interested readers wanting to get an overview of scientific modelling in general and different modelling approaches in particular.
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| 3. |
- Gerlee, Philip, 1980, et al.
(författare)
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Scientific Models
- 2016
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Bok (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
- A zebrafish, the hull of a miniature ship, a mathematical equation and a food chain - what do these things have in common? They are examples of models used by scientists to isolate and study particular aspects of the world around us. This book begins by introducing the concept of a scientific model from an intuitive perspective, drawing parallels to mental models and artistic representations. It then recounts the history of modelling from the 16th century up until the present day. The iterative process of model building is described and discussed in the context of complex models with high predictive accuracy versus simpler models that provide more of a conceptual understanding. To illustrate the diversity of opinions within the scientific community, we also present the results of an interview study, in which ten scientists from different disciplines describe their views on modelling and how models feature in their work. Lastly, it includes a number of worked examples that span different modelling approaches and techniques. It provides a comprehensive introduction to scientific models and shows how models are constructed and used in modern science. It also addresses the approach to, and the culture surrounding modelling in different scientific disciplines. It serves as an inspiration for model building and also facilitates interdisciplinary collaborations by showing how models are used in different scientific fields. The book is aimed primarily at students in the sciences and engineering, as well as students at teacher training colleges but will also appeal to interested readers wanting to get an overview of scientific modelling in general and different modelling approaches in particular.
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| 4. |
- Sabahno, Hamed, et al.
(författare)
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Variable parameters memory-type control charts for simultaneous monitoring of the mean and variability of multivariate multiple linear regression profiles
- 2024
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Ingår i: Scientific Reports. - : Nature Publishing Group. - 2045-2322. ; 14:1
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Variable parameters (VP) schemes are the most effective adaptive schemes in increasing control charts' sensitivity to detect small to moderate shift sizes. In this paper, we develop four VP adaptive memory-type control charts to monitor multivariate multiple linear regression profiles. All the proposed control charts are single-chart (single-statistic) control charts, two use a Max operator and two use an SS (squared sum) operator to create the final statistic. Moreover, two of the charts monitor the regression parameters, and the other two monitor the residuals. After developing the VP control charts, we developed a computer algorithm with which the charts' time-to-signal and run-length-based performances can be measured. Then, we perform extensive numerical analysis and simulation studies to evaluate the charts’ performance and the result shows significant improvements by using the VP schemes. Finally, we use real data from the national quality register for stroke care in Sweden, Riksstroke, to illustrate how the proposed control charts can be implemented in practice.
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| 5. |
- Baresel, Christian, et al.
(författare)
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Uncertainty-Accounting Environmental Policy and Management of Water Systems
- 2007
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Ingår i: Environmental Science & Technology. - : American Chemical Society (ACS). - 0013-936X .- 1520-5851. ; 41:10, s. 3653–3659-
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Environmental policies for water quality and ecosystemmanagement do not commonly require explicit stochasticaccounts of uncertainty and risk associated with thequantification and prediction of waterborne pollutant loadsand abatement effects. In this study, we formulate andinvestigate a possible environmental policy that does requirean explicit stochastic uncertainty account. We compareboth the environmental and economic resource allocationperformance of such an uncertainty-accounting environmentalpolicy with that of deterministic, risk-prone and riskaverseenvironmental policies under a range of differenthypothetical, yet still possible, scenarios. The comparisonindicates that a stochastic uncertainty-accountingpolicy may perform better than deterministic policies overa range of different scenarios. Even in the absence ofreliable site-specific data, reported literature values appearto be useful for such a stochastic account of uncertainty.
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| 6. |
- Svensson, Ingrid, 1961-, et al.
(författare)
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Asymptotic properties of a stochastic EM algorithm for mixtures with censored data
- 2010
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Ingår i: Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference. - : Elsevier. - 0378-3758 .- 1873-1171. ; 140:1, s. 111-127
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Weak consistency and asymptotic normality is shown for a stochastic EM algorithm for censored data from a mixture of distributions under lognormal assumptions. The asymptotic properties hold for all parameters of the distributions, including the mixing parameter. In order to make parameter estimation meaningful it is necessary to know that the censored mixture distribution is identifiable. General conditions under which this is the case are given. The stochastic EM algorithm addressed in this paper is used for estimation of wood fibre length distributions based on optically measured data from cylindric wood samples (increment cores).
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| 7. |
- Sabahno, Hamed, et al.
(författare)
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New statistical and machine learning based control charts with variable parameters for monitoring generalized linear model profiles
- 2023
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Ingår i: Computers & industrial engineering. - : Elsevier. - 0360-8352 .- 1879-0550. ; 184
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- In this research, we develop three statistical based control charts: the Hotelling’s T2, MEWMA (multivariate exponentially weighted moving average), and LRT (likelihood ratio test) as well as three machine learning (ML) based control charts: the ANN (artificial neural network), SVR (support vector regression), and RFR (random forest regression), for monitoring generalized linear model (GLM) profiles. We train these ML models with two different training methods to get a linear (regression) output and then apply our classification technique to see if the process is in-control or out-of-control, at each sampling time. In addition to developing the FP (fixed parameters) schemes, for the first time in GLM profiles, we design an adaptive VP (variable parameters) scheme for each control chart as well to increase the charts’ sensitivity in detecting shifts. We develop some algorithms with which the values of the control chart parameters in both FP and VP schemes can be obtained. Then, we develop two algorithms to measure the charts’ performance in both FP and VP schemes, by using the run-length and time-to-signal based performance measures. This is also the first control chart-related research that develops an algorithm to compute the performance measures that applies to any VP adaptive control scheme. After designing the control charts as well as performance measures, we perform extensive simulation studies and evaluate and compare all our control charts under different shift sizes and scenarios, and in three different simulation environments. Finally, we present a numerical example regarding a drug dose-response study to show how the proposed control charts can be implemented in real practice.
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| 8. |
- Laksman, Efraim, 1983, et al.
(författare)
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The stochastic opportunistic replacement problem, part III: improved bounding procedures
- 2020
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Ingår i: Annals of Operations Research. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 1572-9338 .- 0254-5330. ; 292:2, s. 711-733
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- We consider the problem to find a schedule for component replacement in a multi-component system, whose components possess stochastic lives and economic dependencies, such that the expected costs for maintenance during a pre-defined time period are minimized. The problem was considered in Patriksson et al. (Ann Oper Res 224:51–75, 2015), in which a two-stage approximation of the problem was optimized through decomposition (denoted the optimization policy). The current paper improves the effectiveness of the decomposition approach by establishing a tighter bound on the value of the recourse function (i.e., the second stage in the approximation). A general lower bound on the expected maintenance cost is also established. Numerical experiments with 100 simulation scenarios for each of four test instances show that the tighter bound yields a decomposition generating fewer optimality cuts. They also illustrate the quality of the lower bound. Contrary to results presented earlier, an age-based policy performs on par with the optimization policy, although most simple policies perform worse than the optimization policy.
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| 9. |
- Sabahno, Hamed, et al.
(författare)
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New machine-learning control charts for simultaneous monitoring of multivariate normal process parameters with detection and identification
- 2023
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Ingår i: Mathematics. - : MDPI. - 2227-7390. ; 11:16
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Simultaneous monitoring of the process parameters in a multivariate normal process has caught researchers’ attention during the last two decades. However, only statistical control charts have been developed so far for this purpose. On the other hand, machine-learning (ML) techniques have rarely been developed to be used in control charts. In this paper, three ML control charts are proposed using the concepts of artificial neural networks, support vector machines, and random forests techniques. These ML techniques are trained to obtain linear outputs, and then based on the concepts of memory-less control charts, the process is classified into in-control or out-of-control states. Two different input scenarios and two different training methods are used for the proposed ML structures. In addition, two different process control scenarios are utilized. In one, the goal is only the detection of the out-of-control situation. In the other one, the identification of the responsible variable (s)/process parameter (s) for the out-of-control signal is also an aim (detection–identification). After developing the ML control charts for each scenario, we compare them to one another, as well as to the most recently developed statistical control charts. The results show significantly better performance of the proposed ML control charts against the traditional memory-less statistical control charts in most compared cases. Finally, an illustrative example is presented to show how the proposed scheme can be implemented in a healthcare process.
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| 10. |
- Aas, Erik, et al.
(författare)
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Limiting directions for random walks in classical affine Weyl groups
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Annan publikation (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
- Let be a finite Weyl group and the corresponding affine Weyl group. A random element of can be obtained as a reduced random walk on the alcoves of . By a theorem of Lam (Ann. Probab. 2015), such a walk almost surely approaches one of many directions. We compute these directions when is , and and the random walk is weighted by Kac and dual Kac labels. This settles Lam's questions for types and in the affirmative and for type in the negative. The main tool is a combinatorial two row model for a totally asymmetric simple exclusion process called the -TASEP, with four parameters. By specializing the parameters in different ways, we obtain TASEPs for each of the Weyl groups mentioned above. Computing certain correlations in these TASEPs gives the desired limiting directions.
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