| 1. |
|
|
| 2. |
- Boy, Michael, et al.
(författare)
-
Positive feedback mechanism between biogenic volatile organic compounds and the methane lifetime in future climates
- 2022
-
Ingår i: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 2397-3722. ; 5:1
-
Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- A multitude of biogeochemical feedback mechanisms govern the climate sensitivity of Earth in response to radiation balance perturbations. One feedback mechanism, which remained missing from most current Earth System Models applied to predict future climate change in IPCC AR6, is the impact of higher temperatures on the emissions of biogenic volatile organic compounds (BVOCs), and their subsequent effects on the hydroxyl radical (OH) concentrations. OH, in turn, is the main sink term for many gaseous compounds including methane, which is the second most important human-influenced greenhouse gas in terms of climate forcing. In this study, we investigate the impact of this feedback mechanism by applying two models, a one-dimensional chemistry-transport model, and a global chemistry-transport model. The results indicate that in a 6 K temperature increase scenario, the BVOC-OH-CH4 feedback increases the lifetime of methane by 11.4% locally over the boreal region when the temperature rise only affects chemical reaction rates, and not both, chemistry and BVOC emissions. This would lead to a local increase in radiative forcing through methane (ΔRFCH4) of approximately 0.013 Wm−2 per year, which is 2.1% of the current ΔRFCH4. In the whole Northern hemisphere, we predict an increase in the concentration of methane by 0.024% per year comparing simulations with temperature increase only in the chemistry or temperature increase in chemistry and BVOC emissions. This equals approximately 7% of the annual growth rate of methane during the years 2008–2017 (6.6 ± 0.3 ppb yr−1) and leads to an ΔRFCH4 of 1.9 mWm−2 per year.
|
|
| 3. |
- Chandrika Ranjendra Nair, Hari Ram, 1989-, et al.
(författare)
-
Aerosol demasking enhances climate warming over South Asia
- 2023
-
Ingår i: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. - 2397-3722. ; 6
-
Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Anthropogenic aerosols mask the climate warming caused by greenhouse gases (GHGs). In the absence of observational constraints, large uncertainties plague the estimates of this masking effect. Here we used the abrupt reduction in anthropogenic emissions observed during the COVID-19 societal slow-down to characterize the aerosol masking effect over South Asia. During this period, the aerosol loading decreased substantially and our observations reveal that the magnitude of this aerosol demasking corresponds to nearly three-fourths of the CO2-induced radiative forcing over South Asia. Concurrent measurements over the northern Indian Ocean unveiled a ~7% increase in the earth’s surface-reaching solar radiation (surface brightening). Aerosol-induced atmospheric solar heating decreased by ~0.4 K d−1. Our results reveal that under clear sky conditions, anthropogenic emissions over South Asia lead to nearly 1.4 W m−2 heating at the top of the atmosphere during the period March–May. A complete phase-out of today’s fossil fuel combustion to zero-emission renewables would result in rapid aerosol demasking, while the GHGs linger on.
|
|
| 4. |
- Chandrika Ranjendra Nair, Hari Ram, 1989-, et al.
(författare)
-
Aerosol demasking enhances climate warming over South Asia
- 2023
-
Ingår i: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. - 2397-3722. ; 6:1
-
Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Anthropogenic aerosols mask the climate warming caused by greenhouse gases (GHGs). In the absence of observational constraints, large uncertainties plague the estimates of this masking effect. Here we used the abrupt reduction in anthropogenic emissions observed during the COVID-19 societal slow-down to characterize the aerosol masking effect over South Asia. During this period, the aerosol loading decreased substantially and our observations reveal that the magnitude of this aerosol demasking corresponds to nearly three-fourths of the CO2-induced radiative forcing over South Asia. Concurrent measurements over the northern Indian Ocean unveiled a ~7% increase in the earth’s surface-reaching solar radiation (surface brightening). Aerosol-induced atmospheric solar heating decreased by ~0.4 K d−1. Our results reveal that under clear sky conditions, anthropogenic emissions over South Asia lead to nearly 1.4 W m−2 heating at the top of the atmosphere during the period March–May. A complete phase-out of today’s fossil fuel combustion to zero-emission renewables would result in rapid aerosol demasking, while the GHGs linger on.
|
|
| 5. |
- Diodato, Nazzareno, et al.
(författare)
-
Historical predictability of rainfall erosivity : a reconstruction for monitoring extremes over Northern Italy (1500-2019)
- 2020
-
Ingår i: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 2397-3722. ; 3:1
-
Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Erosive storms constitute a major natural hazard. They are frequently a source of erosional processes impacting the natural landscape with considerable economic consequences. Understanding the aggressiveness of storms (or rainfall erosivity) is essential for the awareness of environmental hazards as well as for knowledge of how to potentially control them. Reconstructing historical changes in rainfall erosivity is challenging as it requires continuous time-series of short-term rainfall events. Here, we present the first homogeneous environmental (1500-2019 CE) record, with the annual resolution, of storm aggressiveness for the Po River region, northern Italy, which is to date also the longest such time-series of erosivity in the world. To generate the annual erosivity time-series, we developed a model consistent with a sample (for 1981-2015 CE) of detailed Revised Universal Soil Loss Erosion-based data obtained for the study region. The modelled data show a noticeable descending trend in rainfall erosivity together with a limited inter-annual variability until similar to 1708, followed by a slowly increasing erosivity trend. This trend has continued until the present day, along with a larger inter-annual variability, likely associated with an increased occurrence of short-term, cyclone-related, extreme rainfall events. These findings call for the need of strengthening the environmental support capacity of the Po River landscape and beyond in the face of predicted future changing erosive storm patterns.
|
|
| 6. |
- Fang, Wenzheng, et al.
(författare)
-
Combined influences of sources and atmospheric bleaching on light absorption of water-soluble brown carbon aerosols
- 2023
-
Ingår i: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. - 2397-3722. ; 6:1
-
Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Light-absorbing Brown Carbon (BrC) aerosols partially offset the overall climate-cooling of aerosols. However, the evolution of BrC light-absorption during atmospheric transport is poorly constrained. Here, we utilize optical properties, ageing-diagnostic delta C-13-BrC and transport time to deduce that the mass absorption cross-section (MACWS-BrC) is decreasing by similar to 50% during long-range oversea transport, resulting in a first-order bleaching rate of 0.24 day(-1) during the 3-day transit from continental East Asia to a south-east Yellow Sea receptor. A modern C-14 signal points to a strong inverse correlation between BrC light-absorption and age of the source material. Combining this with results for South Asia reveals a striking agreement between these two major-emission regions of rapid photobleaching of BrC with a higher intrinsic absorptivity for BrC stemming from biomass burning. The consistency of bleaching parameters constrained independently for the outflows of both East and South Asia indicates that the weakening of BrC light absorption, thus primarily related to photochemical processes rather than sources, is likely a ubiquitous phenomenon.
|
|
| 7. |
- Fuentes-Franco, Ramón, et al.
(författare)
-
Winter heavy precipitation events over Northern Europe modulated by a weaker NAO variability by the end of the 21st century
- 2023
-
Ingår i: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. - 2397-3722. ; 6:1
-
Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- We use an ensemble of models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) to analyse the number of days with extreme winter precipitation over Northern Europe and its relationship to the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), for the historical period 1950-2014 and two future 21st-century scenarios. Here we find that over Northern Europe, the models project twice more extreme precipitation days by the end of the 21st century under the high-emission scenario compared to the historical period. We also find a weakening of the NAO variability in the second half of the 21st century in the high greenhouse gas emission scenario compared to the historical period, as well as an increasing correlation between extreme winter precipitation events and the NAO index in both future scenarios. Models with a projected decrease in the NAO variability across the 21st century show a positive trend in the number of days with extreme winter precipitation over Northern Europe. These results highlight the role played by NAO in modulating extreme winter precipitation events.
|
|
| 8. |
- Li, Guoqiang, et al.
(författare)
-
A comprehensive dataset of luminescence chronologies and environmental proxy indices of loess-paleosol deposits across Asia
- 2024
-
Ingår i: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. - : Springer Nature. - 2397-3722. ; 7:1
-
Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Loess-paleosol sequences have been used in Asia to study climate and environmental changes during the Quaternary. The scarcity of age control datasets and proxy indices analysis data for Asian loess has limited our understanding of loess depositional processes and the reconstruction of paleoclimatic changes from loess-paleosol records. In this study, we present a dataset that includes 1785 quartz optically stimulated luminescence ages and 1038 K-feldspar post-infrared infrared stimulated luminescence ages from 128 loess-paleosol sequences located in different regions of Asia. We generate 38 high-resolution age-depth models of loess records based on the provided datasets. We provide data on 12,365 grain size records, 14,964 magnetic susceptibility records, 2204 CaCO3 content records, and 3326 color reflection records. This dataset contains the most detailed and accurate chronologies and proxy index data for loess records in Asia yet published. It provides fundamental data for understanding the spatial-temporal variations in loess depositional processes and climatic changes across the continent during the mid-late Quaternary.
|
|
| 9. |
- Li, Guoshuai, et al.
(författare)
-
Site selection of desert solar farms based on heterogeneous sand flux
- 2024
-
Ingår i: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. - 2397-3722. ; 7:1
-
Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Site selection for building solar farms in deserts is crucial and must consider the dune threats associated with sand flux, such as sand burial and dust contamination. Understanding changes in sand flux can optimize the site selection of desert solar farms. Here we use the ERA5-Land hourly wind data with 0.1° × 0.1° resolution to calculate the yearly sand flux from 1950 to 2022. The mean of sand flux is used to score the suitability of global deserts for building solar farms. We find that the majority of global deserts have low flux potential (≤ 40 m3 m-1 y-1) and resultant flux potential (≤ 2.0 m3 m-1 y-1) for the period 1950–2022. The scoring result demonstrates that global deserts have obvious patchy distribution of site suitability for building solar farms. Our study contributes to optimizing the site selection of desert solar farms, which aligns with the United Nations sustainability development goals for achieving affordable and clean energy target by 2030.
|
|
| 10. |
- Lin, Fangyuan, 1996-, et al.
(författare)
-
Seasonal to decadal variations of precipitation oxygen isotopes in northern China linked to the moisture source
- 2024
-
Ingår i: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. - 2397-3722. ; 7
-
Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- A precise characterization of moisture source and transport dynamics over the inland margins of monsoonal China is crucial for understanding the climatic significance of precipitation oxygen isotope (δ18Op) variability preserved in the regional proxy archives. Here, we use a general circulation model with an embedded water-tagging module to quantify the role of moisture dynamics on the seasonal to decadal variations of δ18Op in northern China. Our data indicate that during the non-monsoon season, the δ18Op variability is dominated by the temperature effect. Conversely, in the summer monsoon season, the moisture contributions from the low-latitude land areas (LLA), the Pacific Ocean (PO), and the North Indian Ocean (NIO) override the temperature effect and influence the summer δ18Op. Intensified upstream convection along the NIO moisture transport pathway results in a more negative summer δ18Op compared to moisture transported from the PO and LLA regions. Our analysis shows a decadal shift in summer δ18Op around the mid-1980s, marking changes in the relative contribution of oceanic moisture from PO and NIO in response to changes in the atmospheric circulation patterns influenced by the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. We suggest that such decadal-scale δ18Op variability can be recorded in the natural archives from the region, which can provide valuable insights into understanding past climate variability.
|
|
