| 1. |
- Lozano, Rafael, et al.
(författare)
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Measuring progress from 1990 to 2017 and projecting attainment to 2030 of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals for 195 countries and territories: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017
- 2018
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Ingår i: The Lancet. - : Elsevier. - 1474-547X .- 0140-6736. ; 392:10159, s. 2091-2138
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Background: Efforts to establish the 2015 baseline and monitor early implementation of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) highlight both great potential for and threats to improving health by 2030. To fully deliver on the SDG aim of “leaving no one behind”, it is increasingly important to examine the health-related SDGs beyond national-level estimates. As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2017 (GBD 2017), we measured progress on 41 of 52 health-related SDG indicators and estimated the health-related SDG index for 195 countries and territories for the period 1990–2017, projected indicators to 2030, and analysed global attainment. Methods: We measured progress on 41 health-related SDG indicators from 1990 to 2017, an increase of four indicators since GBD 2016 (new indicators were health worker density, sexual violence by non-intimate partners, population census status, and prevalence of physical and sexual violence [reported separately]). We also improved the measurement of several previously reported indicators. We constructed national-level estimates and, for a subset of health-related SDGs, examined indicator-level differences by sex and Socio-demographic Index (SDI) quintile. We also did subnational assessments of performance for selected countries. To construct the health-related SDG index, we transformed the value for each indicator on a scale of 0–100, with 0 as the 2·5th percentile and 100 as the 97·5th percentile of 1000 draws calculated from 1990 to 2030, and took the geometric mean of the scaled indicators by target. To generate projections through 2030, we used a forecasting framework that drew estimates from the broader GBD study and used weighted averages of indicator-specific and country-specific annualised rates of change from 1990 to 2017 to inform future estimates. We assessed attainment of indicators with defined targets in two ways: first, using mean values projected for 2030, and then using the probability of attainment in 2030 calculated from 1000 draws. We also did a global attainment analysis of the feasibility of attaining SDG targets on the basis of past trends. Using 2015 global averages of indicators with defined SDG targets, we calculated the global annualised rates of change required from 2015 to 2030 to meet these targets, and then identified in what percentiles the required global annualised rates of change fell in the distribution of country-level rates of change from 1990 to 2015. We took the mean of these global percentile values across indicators and applied the past rate of change at this mean global percentile to all health-related SDG indicators, irrespective of target definition, to estimate the equivalent 2030 global average value and percentage change from 2015 to 2030 for each indicator. Findings: The global median health-related SDG index in 2017 was 59·4 (IQR 35·4–67·3), ranging from a low of 11·6 (95% uncertainty interval 9·6–14·0) to a high of 84·9 (83·1–86·7). SDG index values in countries assessed at the subnational level varied substantially, particularly in China and India, although scores in Japan and the UK were more homogeneous. Indicators also varied by SDI quintile and sex, with males having worse outcomes than females for non-communicable disease (NCD) mortality, alcohol use, and smoking, among others. Most countries were projected to have a higher health-related SDG index in 2030 than in 2017, while country-level probabilities of attainment by 2030 varied widely by indicator. Under-5 mortality, neonatal mortality, maternal mortality ratio, and malaria indicators had the most countries with at least 95% probability of target attainment. Other indicators, including NCD mortality and suicide mortality, had no countries projected to meet corresponding SDG targets on the basis of projected mean values for 2030 but showed some probability of attainment by 2030. For some indicators, including child malnutrition, several infectious diseases, and most violence measures, the annualised rates of change required to meet SDG targets far exceeded the pace of progress achieved by any country in the recent past. We found that applying the mean global annualised rate of change to indicators without defined targets would equate to about 19% and 22% reductions in global smoking and alcohol consumption, respectively; a 47% decline in adolescent birth rates; and a more than 85% increase in health worker density per 1000 population by 2030. Interpretation: The GBD study offers a unique, robust platform for monitoring the health-related SDGs across demographic and geographic dimensions. Our findings underscore the importance of increased collection and analysis of disaggregated data and highlight where more deliberate design or targeting of interventions could accelerate progress in attaining the SDGs. Current projections show that many health-related SDG indicators, NCDs, NCD-related risks, and violence-related indicators will require a concerted shift away from what might have driven past gains—curative interventions in the case of NCDs—towards multisectoral, prevention-oriented policy action and investments to achieve SDG aims. Notably, several targets, if they are to be met by 2030, demand a pace of progress that no country has achieved in the recent past. The future is fundamentally uncertain, and no model can fully predict what breakthroughs or events might alter the course of the SDGs. What is clear is that our actions—or inaction—today will ultimately dictate how close the world, collectively, can get to leaving no one behind by 2030.
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| 2. |
- Andersson, Ove, et al.
(författare)
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Amorphous-like thermal conductivity and high mechanical stability of cyclopentane clathrate hydrate
- 2024
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Ingår i: Physical Chemistry, Chemical Physics - PCCP. - : Royal Society of Chemistry. - 1463-9076 .- 1463-9084. ; 26:22, s. 16017-16025
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- The thermal conductivity κ of cyclopentane clathrate hydrate (CP CH) of type II was measured at temperatures down to 100 K and at pressures up to 1.3 GPa. The results show that CP CH displays amorphous-like κ characteristic of many crystalline clathrate hydrates, e.g., tetrahydrofuran (THF) CH. The magnitude of κ is 0.47 W m−1 K−1 near the melting point of 280 K at atmospheric pressure, and it is almost independent of pressure and temperature T: ln κ = −0.621−40.1/T at atmospheric pressure (in SI-units). This is slightly less than κ of type II CHs of water-miscible solvents such as THF. Intriguingly, unlike other water-rich type II clathrate hydrates of water-miscible molecules M (M·17 H2O), CP CH does not amorphize at pressures up to 1.3 GPa at 130 K and also remains stable up to 0.5 GPa at 240 K. This shows that CP CH is mechanically more stable than the previously studied water-rich type II CHs, and suggests that repulsive forces between CP and the H2O cages increase the mechanical stability of crystalline CP CH. Moreover, we show that κ of an ice-CH mixture, which often arises for CHs that form naturally, is described by the average of the parallel and series heat conduction models to within 5% for ice contents up to 22 wt%. The findings provide a better understanding of the thermal and stability properties of clathrate hydrates for their applications such as gas storage compounds.
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| 3. |
- Andersson, Ove, et al.
(författare)
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Evidence suggesting kinetic unfreezing of water mobility in two distinct processes in pressure-amorphized clathrate hydrates
- 2022
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Ingår i: Physical Chemistry, Chemical Physics - PCCP. - : Royal Society of Chemistry. - 1463-9076 .- 1463-9084. ; 24:34, s. 20064-20072
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Type II clathrate hydrates (CHs) with tetrahydrofuran (THF), cyclobutanone (CB) or 1,3-dioxolane (DXL) guest molecules collapse to an amorphous state near 1 GPa on pressurization below 140 K. On subsequent heating in the 0.2-0.7 GPa range, thermal conductivity and heat capacity results of the homogeneous amorphous solid show two glass transitions, first a thermally weak glass transition, GT1, near 130 K; thereafter a thermally strong glass transition, GT2, which implies a transformation to an ultraviscous liquid on heating. Here we compare the GTs of normal and deuterated samples and samples with different guest molecules. The results show that GT1 and GT2 are unaffected by deuteration of the THF guest and exchange of THF with CB or DXL, whereas the glass transition temperatures (Tgs) shift to higher temperatures on deuteration of water; Tg of GT2 increases by 2.5 K. These results imply that both GTs are associated with the water network. This is corroborated by the fact that GT2 is detected only in the state which is the amorphized CH's counterpart of expanded high density amorphous ice. The results suggest a rare transition sequence of an orientational glass transition followed by a glass to liquid transition, i.e., kinetic unfreezing of H2O reorientational and translational mobility in two distinct processes.
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| 4. |
- Andersson, Ove, et al.
(författare)
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Transitions in pressure-amorphized clathrate hydrates akin to those of amorphous ices
- 2019
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Ingår i: Journal of Chemical Physics. - : AIP Publishing. - 0021-9606 .- 1089-7690. ; 151:1
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Type II clathrate hydrates (CHs) were studied by thermal and dielectric measurements. All CHs amorphize, or collapse, on pressurization to 1.3 GPa below 135 K. After heating to 160 K at 1 GPa, the stability of the amorphous states increases in a process similar to the gradual high density to very high density amorphous ice (HDA to VHDA) transition. On a subsequent pressure decrease, the amorphized CHs expand partly irreversibly similar to the gradual VHDA to expanded HDA ice transformation. After further heating at 1 GPa, weak transition features appear near the HDA to low density amorphous ice transition. The results suggest that CH nucleation sites vanish on heating to 160 K at 1 GPa and that a sluggish partial phase-separation process commences on further heating. The collapsed CHs show two glass transitions (GTs), GT1 and GT2. GT1 is weakly pressure-dependent, 12 K GPa(-1), with a relaxation time of 0.3 s at 140 K and 1 GPa; it is associated with a weak heat capacity increase of 3.7 J H2O-mol(-1) K-1 in a 18 K range and an activation energy of only 38 kJ mol(-1) at 1 GPa. The corresponding temperature of GT2 is 159 K at 0.4 GPa with a pressure dependence of 36 K GPa(-1); it shows 5.5 times larger heat capacity increase and 4 times higher activation energy than GT1. GT1 is observed also in HDA and VHDA, whereas GT2 occurs just above the crystallization temperature of expanded HDA and only within its similar to 0.2-0.7 GPa stable pressure range.
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| 5. |
- B. Brant Carvalho, Paulo H., et al.
(författare)
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Elucidating the guest disorder in structure II argon hydrate : A neutron diffraction isotopic substitution study
- 2020
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Ingår i: Journal of Solid State Chemistry. - : Elsevier. - 0022-4596 .- 1095-726X. ; 285
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Clathrate hydrates with the cubic structure II (CS-II) form typically with large guest molecules, such as tetrahydrofuran, trimethylamine oxide, or propane. However, CS-II is also realized for argon hydrate despite the comparatively small van der Waals diameter of the guest (around 3.8 angstrom). Here, the structure of deuterated argon hydrate was studied at ambient pressure in the temperature range 20-95 K using neutron diffraction and comparing natural Ar with Ar-36, which scatters neutrons more than 13 times more efficiently. The procedure allowed to unambiguously establish the positional disorder within the large cages of CS-H, while simultaneously refining host and guest structures. These cages are singly occupied and off-centered argon atoms distribute on two tetrahedron-shaped split positions with a ratio 3:1. Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations revealed that the crystallographic positional disorder structure is due to mobile argon atoms even at 20 K. The MD potential energy distribution confirmed the diffraction model. It is noted that the unit cell volumes of argon hydrate in the investigated temperature range are virtually identical to N-2 hydrate, which has a similar composition at ambient pressure, indicating a very similar (slightly attractive) host-guest interaction.
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| 6. |
- B. Brant Carvalho, Paulo H., et al.
(författare)
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Exploring High-Pressure Transformations in Low-Z (H2, Ne) Hydrates at Low Temperatures
- 2022
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Ingår i: Crystals. - : MDPI AG. - 2073-4352. ; 12:1
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- The high pressure structural behavior of H-2 and Ne clathrate hydrates with approximate composition H-2/Ne center dot~4H(2)O and featuring cubic structure II (CS-II) was investigated by neutron powder diffraction using the deuterated analogues at ~95 K. CS-II hydrogen hydrate transforms gradually to isocompositional C-1 phase (filled ice II) at around 1.1 GPa but may be metastably retained up to 2.2 GPa. Above 3 GPa a gradual decomposition into C-2 phase (H-2 center dot H2O, filled ice I-c) and ice VIII' takes place. Upon heating to 200 K the CS-II to C-1 transition completes instantly whereas C-1 decomposition appears sluggish also at 200 K. C-1 was observed metastably up to 8 GPa. At 95 K C-1 and C-2 hydrogen hydrate can be retained below 1 GPa and yield ice II and ice I-c, respectively, upon complete release of pressure. In contrast, CS-II neon hydrate undergoes pressure-induced amorphization at 1.9 GPa, thus following the general trend for noble gas clathrate hydrates. Upon heating to 200 K amorphous Ne hydrate crystallizes as a mixture of previously unreported C-2 hydrate and ice VIII'.
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| 7. |
- B. Brant Carvalho, Paulo H., 1990-, et al.
(författare)
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Neutron scattering study of polyamorphic THF·17(H2O) : toward a generalized picture of amorphous states and structures derived from clathrate hydrates
- 2023
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Ingår i: Physical Chemistry, Chemical Physics - PCCP. - : Royal Society of Chemistry. - 1463-9076 .- 1463-9084. ; 25:21, s. 14981-14991
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- From crystalline tetrahydrofuran clathrate hydrate, THF-CH (THF·17H2O, cubic structure II), three distinct polyamorphs can be derived. First, THF-CH undergoes pressure-induced amorphization when pressurized to 1.3 GPa in the temperature range 77-140 K to a form which, in analogy to pure ice, may be called high-density amorphous (HDA). Second, HDA can be converted to a densified form, VHDA, upon heat-cycling at 1.8 GPa to 180 K. Decompression of VHDA to atmospheric pressure below 130 K produces the third form, recovered amorphous (RA). Results from neutron scattering experiments and molecular dynamics simulations provide a generalized picture of the structure of amorphous THF hydrates with respect to crystalline THF-CH and liquid THF·17H2O solution (∼2.5 M). Although fully amorphous, HDA is heterogeneous with two length scales for water-water correlations (less dense local water structure) and guest-water correlations (denser THF hydration structure). The hydration structure of THF is influenced by guest-host hydrogen bonding. THF molecules maintain a quasiregular array, reminiscent of the crystalline state, and their hydration structure (out to 5 Å) constitutes ∼23H2O. The local water structure in HDA is reminiscent of pure HDA-ice featuring 5-coordinated H2O. In VHDA, the hydration structure of HDA is maintained but the local water structure is densified and resembles pure VHDA-ice with 6-coordinated H2O. The hydration structure of THF in RA constitutes ∼18 H2O molecules and the water structure corresponds to a strictly 4-coordinated network, as in the liquid. Both VHDA and RA can be considered as homogeneous.
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| 8. |
- B. Brant Carvalho, Paulo H., 1990-
(författare)
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Pressure-Induced Amorphization and Distinct Amorphous States of Clathrate Hydrates
- 2023
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Doktorsavhandling (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
- This thesis summarizes a study on the pressure-induced amorphization (PIA) and structures of amorphous states of clathrate hydrates (CHs).PIA involves the transition of a crystalline material into an amorphous solid in response of mechanical compression at temperatures well below the melting point. The first material observed to undergo PIA was hexagonal ice. More recently it was shown that compounds of water undergo the same phenomenon without decomposition, despite the presence of solutes. CHs, which are crystalline inclusion compounds consisting of water molecules encaging small guest species, undergo PIA at ca. 1–4 GPa below 145 K. The obtained amorphous CH phase can be further densified on isobaric heating at high pressure. This annealing step enables to retain an amorphous material on pressure release. There has been a significant amount of studies into the understanding of the nature of PIA and transformations between amorphous phases of pure ice. The aim of this thesis has been the understanding of the PIA in CHs and its relation to pure ice. New information on the nature of PIA and subsequent amorphous-amorphous transitions in CH systems were gained from structural studies and in situ neutron diffraction played pivotal role due to the sensitivity of neutrons to the light element hydrogen. Here a generalized understanding of the PIA in CHs and a clear image of amorphous CH structures are presented.
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| 9. |
- B. Brant Carvalho, Paulo H., et al.
(författare)
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Pressure-induced amorphization of noble gas clathrate hydrates
- 2021
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Ingår i: Physical Review B. - : American Physical Society. - 2469-9950 .- 2469-9969. ; 103:6
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- The high-pressure structural behavior of the noble gas (Ng) clathrate hydrates Ar center dot 6.5 H2O and Xe center dot 7.2 H2O featuring cubic structures II and I, respectively, was investigated by neutron powder diffraction (using the deuterated analogues) at 95 K. Both hydrates undergo pressure-induced amorphization (PIA), indicated by the disappearance of Bragg diffraction peaks, but at rather different pressures, at 1.4 and above 4.0 GPa, respectively. Amorphous Ar hydrate can be recovered to ambient pressure when annealed at >1.5 GPa and 170 K and is thermally stable up to 120 K. In contrast, it was impossible to retain amorphous Xe hydrate at pressures below 3 GPa. Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations were used to obtain general insight into PIA of Ng hydrates, from Ne to Xe. Without a guest species, both cubic clathrate structures amorphize at 1.2 GPa, which is very similar to hexagonal ice. Filling of large-sized H cages does not provide stability toward amorphization for structure II, whereas filled small-sized dodecahedral D cages shift PIA successively to higher pressures with increasing size of the Ng guest. For structure I, filling of both kinds of cages, large-sized T and small-sized D, acts to stabilize in a cooperative fashion. Xe hydrate represents a special case. In MD, disordering of the guest hydration structure is already seen at around 2.5 GPa. However, the different coordination numbers of the two types of guests in the crystalline cage structure are preserved, and the state is shown to produce a Bragg diffraction pattern. The experimentally observed diffraction up to 4 GPa is attributed to this semicrystalline state.
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| 10. |
- B. Brant Carvalho, Paulo H., et al.
(författare)
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Structural investigation of three distinct amorphous forms of Ar hydrate
- 2021
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Ingår i: RSC Advances. - : Royal Society of Chemistry. - 2046-2069. ; 11:49, s. 30744-30754
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Three amorphous forms of Ar hydrate were produced using the crystalline clathrate hydrate Ar·6.5H2O (structure II, Fd3m, a ≈ 17.1 Å) as a precursor and structurally characterized by a combination of isotope substitution (36Ar) neutron diffraction and molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. The first form followed from the pressure-induced amorphization of the precursor at 1.5 GPa at 95 K and the second from isobaric annealing at 2 GPa and subsequent cooling back to 95 K. In analogy to amorphous ice, these amorphs are termed high-density amorphous (HDA) and very-high-density amorphous (VHDA), respectively. The third amorph (recovered amorphous, RA) was obtained when recovering VHDA to ambient pressure (at 95 K). The three amorphs have distinctly different structures. In HDA the distinction of the original two crystallographically different Ar guests is maintained as differently dense Ar–water hydration structures, which expresses itself in a split first diffraction peak in the neutron structure factor function. Relaxation of the local water structure during annealing produces a homogeneous hydration environment around Ar, which is accompanied with a densification by about 3%. Upon pressure release the homogeneous amorphous structure undergoes expansion by about 21%. Both VHDA and RA can be considered frozen solutions of immiscible Ar and water in which in average 15 and 11 water molecules, respectively, coordinate Ar out to 4 Å. The local water structures of HDA and VHDA Ar hydrates show some analogy to those of the corresponding amorphous ices, featuring H2O molecules in 5- and 6-fold coordination with neighboring molecules. However, they are considerably less dense. Most similarity is seen between RA and low density amorphous ice (LDA), which both feature strictly 4-coordinated H2O networks. It is inferred that, depending on the kind of clathrate structure and occupancy of cages, amorphous states produced from clathrate hydrates display variable local water structures.
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