| 1. |
- Allström, Andreas, 1978-, et al.
(författare)
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A hybrid approach for short-term traffic state and travel time prediction on highways
- 2016
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Ingår i: TRB 95th annual meeting compendium of papers.
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Konferensbidrag (refereegranskat)abstract
- Traffic management and traffic information are essential in urban areas, and require a good knowledge about both the current and the future traffic state. Both parametric and non-parametric traffic state prediction techniques have previously been developed, with different advantages and shortcomings. While non-parametric prediction has shown good results for predicting the traffic state during recurrent traffic conditions, parametric traffic state prediction can be used during non-recurring traffic conditions such as incidents and events. Hybrid approaches, combining the two prediction paradigms have previously been proposed by using non-parametric methods for predicting boundary conditions used in a parametric method. In this paper we instead combine parametric and non-parametric traffic state prediction techniques through assimilation in an Ensemble Kalman filter. As non-parametric prediction method a neural network method is adopted, and the parametric prediction is carried out using a cell transmission model with velocity as state. The results show that our hybrid approach can improve travel time prediction of journeys planned to commence 15 to 30 minutes into the future, using a prediction horizon of up to 50 minutes ahead in time to allow the journey to be completed.
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| 2. |
- Allström, Andreas, et al.
(författare)
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Calibration Framework based on Bluetooth Sensors for Traffic State Estimation Using a Velocity based Cell Transmission Model
- 2014
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Ingår i: Transportation Research Procedia. - : Elsevier. - 2352-1465. ; 3, s. 972-981
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- The velocity based cell transmission model (CTM-v) is a discrete time dynamical model that mimics the evolution of the traffic velocity field on highways. In this paper the CTM-v model is used together with an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) for the purpose of velocity sensor data assimilation. We present a calibration framework for the CTM-v and EnKF. The framework consists of two separate phases. The first phase is the calibration of the parameters of the fundamental diagram and the second phase is the calibration of demand and filter parameters. Results from the calibrated model are presented for a highway stretch north of Stockholm, Sweden.
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| 3. |
- Allström, Andreas, 1978-, et al.
(författare)
-
Hybrid Approach for Short-Term Traffic State and Travel Time Prediction on Highways
- 2016
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Ingår i: Transportation Research Record. - Washington, DC, USA : The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. - 0361-1981 .- 2169-4052. ; 2554, s. 60-68
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Traffic management and traffic information are essential in urban areas and require reliable knowledge about the current and future traffic state. Parametric and nonparametric traffic state prediction techniques have previously been developed with different advantages and shortcomings. While nonparametric prediction has shown good results for predicting the traffic state during recurrent traffic conditions, parametric traffic state prediction can be used during nonrecurring traffic conditions, such as incidents and events. Hybrid approaches have previously been proposed; these approaches combine the two prediction paradigms by using nonparametric methods for predicting boundary conditions used in a parametric method. In this paper, parametric and nonparametric traffic state prediction techniques are instead combined through assimilation in an ensemble Kalman filter. For nonparametric prediction, a neural network method is adopted; the parametric prediction is carried out with a cell transmission model with velocity as state. The results show that the hybrid approach can improve travel time prediction of journeys planned to commence 15 to 30 min into the future, with a prediction horizon of up to 50 min ahead in time to allow the journey to be completed
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| 4. |
- Allström, Andreas, 1978-, et al.
(författare)
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Mobile Millennium Stockholm
- 2011
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Ingår i: 2nd International Conference on Models and Technologies for Intelligent Transportation Systems.
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Konferensbidrag (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)
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| 5. |
- Farokhi, Farhad, 1987-, et al.
(författare)
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A Heterogeneous Routing Game
- 2013
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Ingår i: 2013 51st Annual Allerton Conference on Communication, Control, and Computing, Allerton 2013. - : IEEE conference proceedings. - 9781479934096 ; , s. 448-455
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Konferensbidrag (refereegranskat)abstract
- Most literature on routing games make the assumption that drivers or vehicles are of the same type and, hence, experience the same latency or cost when traveling along the edges of the network. In contrast, in this article, we propose a heterogeneous routing game in which each driver or vehicle belongs to a certain type. The type determines the cost of traveling along an edge as a function of the flow of all types of drivers or vehicles over that edge. We examine the existence of a Nash equilibrium in this heterogeneous routing game. We study the conditions for which the problem of finding a Nash equilibrium can be posed as a convex optimization problem and is therefore numerically tractable. Numerical simulations are presented to validate the results.
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| 6. |
- Farokhi, Farhad, 1987-, et al.
(författare)
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When Do Potential Functions Exist in Heterogeneous Routing Games?
- 2014
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Rapport (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
- We study a heterogeneous routing game in which vehicles might belong to more than one type. The type determines the cost of traveling along an edge as a function of the flow of various types of vehicles over that edge. We relax the assumptions needed for the existence of a Nash equilibrium in this heterogeneous routing game. We extend the available results to present necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of a potential function. We characterize a set of tolls that guarantee the existence of a potential function when only two types of users are participating in the game. We present an upper bound for the price of anarchy (i.e., the worst-case ratio of the social cost calculated for a Nash equilibrium over the social cost for a socially optimal flow) for the case in which only two types of players are participating in a game with affine edge cost functions. A heterogeneous routing game with vehicle platooning incentives is used as an example throughout the article to clarify the concepts and to validate the results.
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| 7. |
- Gundlegård, David, 1978-, et al.
(författare)
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Travel Time and Point Speed Fusion Based on a Macroscopic Traffic Model and Non-linear Filtering
- 2015
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Ingår i: 2015 IEEE 18th International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems. - : IEEE conference proceedings. - 9781467365956 ; , s. 2121-2128
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Konferensbidrag (refereegranskat)abstract
- The number and heterogeneity of traffic sensors are steadily increasing. A large part of the emerging sensors are measuring point speeds or travel times and in order to make efficient use of this data, it is important to develop methods and frameworks for fusion of point speed and travel time measurements in real-time. The proposed method combines a macroscopic traffic model and a non-linear filter with a new measurement model for fusion of travel time observations in a system that uses the velocity of cells in the network as state vector. The method aims to improve the fusion efficiency, especially when travel time observations are relatively long compared to the spatial resolution of the estimation framework. The method is implemented using the Cell Transmission Model for velocity (CTM-v) and the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) and evaluated with promising results in a test site in Stockholm, Sweden, using point speed observations from radar and travel time observations from taxis.
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| 8. |
- Keimer, Alexander, et al.
(författare)
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Information Patterns in the Modeling and Design of Mobility Management Services
- 2018
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Ingår i: Proceedings of the IEEE. - : Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). - 0018-9219 .- 1558-2256. ; 106:4, s. 554-576
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- The development of sustainable transportation infrastructure for people and goods, using new technology and business models, can prove beneficial or detrimental for mobility, depending on its design and use. The focus of this paper is on the increasing impact new mobility services have on traffic patterns and transportation efficiency in general. Over the last decade, the rise of the mobile internet and the usage of mobile devices have enabled ubiquitous traffic information. With the increased adoption of specific smartphone applications, the number of users of routing applications has become large enough to disrupt traffic flow patterns in a significant manner. Similarly, but at a slightly slower pace, novel services for freight transportation and city logistics improve the efficiency of goods transportation and change the use of road infrastructure. This paper provides a general four-layer framework for modeling these new trends. The main motivation behind the development is to provide a unifying formal system description that can at the same time encompass system physics (flow and motion of vehicles) as well as coordination strategies under various information and cooperation structures. To showcase the framework, we apply it to the specific challenge of modeling and analyzing the integration of routing applications in today's transportation systems. In this framework, at the lowest layer (flow dynamics), we distinguish routed users from nonrouted users. A distributed parameter model based on a nonlocal partial differential equation is introduced and analyzed. The second layer incorporates connected services (e.g., routing) and other applications used to optimize the local performance of the system. As inputs to those applications, we propose a third layer introducing the incentive design and global objectives, which are typically varying over the day depending on road and weather conditions, external events, etc. The high-level planning is handled on the fourth layer taking social long-term objectives into account. We illustrate the framework by considering its ability to model at two different levels. Specific to vehicular traffic, numerical examples enable us to demonstrate the links between the traffic network layer and the routing decision layer. With a second example on optimized freight transport, we then discuss the links between the cooperative control layer and the lower layers. The congestion pricing in Stockholm is used to illustrate how also the social planning layer can be incorporated in future mobility services.
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| 9. |
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