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- Carrasco Limeros, Sandra, et al.
(författare)
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Towards explainable motion prediction using heterogeneous graph representations
- 2023
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Ingår i: Transportation Research, Part C: Emerging Technologies. - : PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD. - 0968-090X .- 1879-2359. ; 157
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Motion prediction systems play a crucial role in enabling autonomous vehicles to navigate safely and efficiently in complex traffic scenarios. Graph Neural Network (GNN)-based approaches have emerged as a promising solution for capturing interactions among dynamic agents and static objects. However, they often lack transparency, interpretability and explainability — qualities that are essential for building trust in autonomous driving systems. In this work, we address this challenge by presenting a comprehensive approach to enhance the explainability of graph-based motion prediction systems. We introduce the Explainable Heterogeneous Graph-based Policy (XHGP) model based on an heterogeneous graph representation of the traffic scene and lane-graph traversals. Distinct from other graph-based models, XHGP leverages object-level and type-level attention mechanisms to learn interaction behaviors, providing information about the importance of agents and interactions in the scene. In addition, capitalizing on XHGP's architecture, we investigate the explanations provided by the GNNExplainer and apply counterfactual reasoning to analyze the sensitivity of the model to modifications of the input data. This includes masking scene elements, altering trajectories, and adding or removing dynamic agents. Our proposal advances towards achieving reliable and explainable motion prediction systems, addressing the concerns of users, developers and regulatory agencies alike. The insights gained from our explainability analysis contribute to a better understanding of the relationships between dynamic and static elements in traffic scenarios, facilitating the interpretation of the results, as well as the correction of possible errors in motion prediction models, and thus contributing to the development of trustworthy motion prediction systems. The code to reproduce this work is publicly available at https://github.com/sancarlim/Explainable-MP/tree/v1.1.
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| 2. |
- Carrasco Limeros, Sandra, et al.
(författare)
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Towards trustworthy multi-modal motion prediction: Holistic evaluation and interpretability of outputs
- 2024
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Ingår i: CAAI Transactions on Intelligence Technology. - : WILEY. - 2468-6557 .- 2468-2322. ; 9:3, s. 557-572
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Predicting the motion of other road agents enables autonomous vehicles to perform safe and efficient path planning. This task is very complex, as the behaviour of road agents depends on many factors and the number of possible future trajectories can be considerable (multi-modal). Most prior approaches proposed to address multi-modal motion prediction are based on complex machine learning systems that have limited interpretability. Moreover, the metrics used in current benchmarks do not evaluate all aspects of the problem, such as the diversity and admissibility of the output. The authors aim to advance towards the design of trustworthy motion prediction systems, based on some of the requirements for the design of Trustworthy Artificial Intelligence. The focus is on evaluation criteria, robustness, and interpretability of outputs. First, the evaluation metrics are comprehensively analysed, the main gaps of current benchmarks are identified, and a new holistic evaluation framework is proposed. Then, a method for the assessment of spatial and temporal robustness is introduced by simulating noise in the perception system. To enhance the interpretability of the outputs and generate more balanced results in the proposed evaluation framework, an intent prediction layer that can be attached to multi-modal motion prediction models is proposed. The effectiveness of this approach is assessed through a survey that explores different elements in the visualisation of the multi-modal trajectories and intentions. The proposed approach and findings make a significant contribution to the development of trustworthy motion prediction systems for autonomous vehicles, advancing the field towards greater safety and reliability.
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| 3. |
- Daza, Iván García, et al.
(författare)
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Sim-to-real transfer and reality gap modeling in model predictive control for autonomous driving
- 2023
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Ingår i: Applied Intelligence. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 1573-7497 .- 0924-669X. ; 53:10, s. 12719-12735
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- The main challenge for the adoption of autonomous driving is to ensure an adequate level of safety. Considering the almost infinite variability of possible scenarios that autonomous vehicles would have to face, the use of autonomous driving simulators is becoming of utmost importance. Simulation suites allow the used of automated validation techniques in a wide variety of scenarios, and enable the development of closed-loop validation methods, such as machine learning and reinforcement learning approaches. However, simulation tools suffer from a standing flaw in that there is a noticeable gap between the simulation conditions and real-world scenarios. Although the use of simulators powers most of the research around autonomous driving, and is generally used within all domains it is divided into, there is an inherent source of error given the stochastic nature of activities performed in real world, which are unreplicable in computer environments. This paper proposes a new approach to assess the real-to-sim gap for path tracking systems. The aim is to narrow down the sources of error between simulation results and real-world conditions, and to evaluate the performance of the simulation suite in the design process by employing the information extracted from gap analysis, which adds a new dimension of development against other approaches for autonomous driving. A real-time model predictive controller (MPC) based on adaptive potential fields was developed and validated using the CARLA simulator. Both the path planning and vehicle control systems where tested in real traffic conditions. The error between the simulator and the real data acquisition was evaluated using the Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC) and the max normalized cross-correlation (MNCC). The controller was further evaluated on a process of sim-to-real transfer, and was finally tested both in simulation and real traffic conditions. A comparison was performed against an optimal-control ILQR-based model predictive controller was carried out to further showcase the validity of this approach.
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