| 1. |
|
|
| 2. |
- Lappalainen, Hanna K., et al.
(författare)
-
Pan-Eurasian Experiment (PEEX) : towards a holistic understanding of the feedbacks and interactions in the land-atmosphere-ocean-society continuum in the northern Eurasian region
- 2016
-
Ingår i: Atmospheric Chemistry And Physics. - : Copernicus GmbH. - 1680-7316 .- 1680-7324. ; 16:22, s. 14421-14461
-
Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- The northern Eurasian regions and Arctic Ocean will very likely undergo substantial changes during the next decades. The Arctic-boreal natural environments play a crucial role in the global climate via albedo change, carbon sources and sinks as well as atmospheric aerosol production from biogenic volatile organic compounds. Furthermore, it is expected that global trade activities, demographic movement, and use of natural resources will be increasing in the Arctic regions. There is a need for a novel research approach, which not only identifies and tackles the relevant multi-disciplinary research questions, but also is able to make a holistic system analysis of the expected feedbacks. In this paper, we introduce the research agenda of the Pan-Eurasian Experiment (PEEX), a multi-scale, multi-disciplinary and international program started in 2012 (https://www.atm.helsinki.fi/peex/). PEEX sets a research approach by which large-scale research topics are investigated from a system perspective and which aims to fill the key gaps in our understanding of the feedbacks and interactions between the land-atmosphereaquatic-society continuum in the northern Eurasian region. We introduce here the state of the art for the key topics in the PEEX research agenda and present the future prospects of the research, which we see relevant in this context.
|
|
| 3. |
- Niu, Xiaorui, et al.
(författare)
-
On the sensitivity of seasonal and diurnal precipitation to cumulus parameterization over CORDEX-EA-II
- 2020
-
Ingår i: Climate Dynamics. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 0930-7575 .- 1432-0894. ; 54, s. 373-393
-
Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- The ability of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model in simulating the seasonal and diurnal cycles of rainfall over the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment East Asia Phase II (CORDEX-EA-II) domain is validated against the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) datasets. A focus is placed on the role of convective parameterization (CP) schemes. A set of numerical experiments at a 25km resolution for 1998–2009, using six different CPs, is performed to evaluate the physics-dependency of simulation results. All CPs simulate realistic summer mean precipitation and its northward propagation, with the best performance in the Simplified Arakawa-Schubert (SAS). The biases in the seasonal evolution of rainfall are related to the deficiency in simulated low-level winds and the northward propagation of the cyclonic vorticity. The simulated earlier peak time in other CPs is delayed by about 1–2h by the Kain-Fritsch with a modified trigger function (KFMT), although this scheme shows a disadvantage in the magnitude. The performance of different CPs in simulating diurnal rainfall cycles is dependent on regions, and none of them performs better than the others for all the sub-regions. The initiation of simulated convection is weakly physics-dependent. However, the timing and magnitude of stratiform precipitation differ among the six experiments. A furtheranalysisshows that the dry biases over the lower Yangtze River basin are a result of the weakened southwesterly water vapor transport, while the excessive afternoon rainfall in the Kain-Fritsch (KF) simulation is attributed to the largest positive perturbation in the lower level atmosphere, especially the enhanced vertical transport of humidity.
|
|
| 4. |
- Wei, Ting, et al.
(författare)
-
Developed and developing world responsibilities for historical climate change and CO2 mitigation
- 2012
-
Ingår i: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. - : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. - 0027-8424 .- 1091-6490. ; 109:32, s. 12911-12915
-
Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- At the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Conference in Cancun, in November 2010, the Heads of State reached an agreement on the aim of limiting the global temperature rise to 2 degrees C relative to preindustrial levels. They recognized that long-term future warming is primarily constrained by cumulative anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, that deep cuts in global emissions are required, and that action based on equity must be taken to meet this objective. However, negotiations on emission reduction among countries are increasingly fraught with difficulty, partly because of arguments about the responsibility for the ongoing temperature rise. Simulations with two earth-system models (NCAR/CESM and BNU-ESM) demonstrate that developed countries had contributed about 60-80%, developing countries about 20-40%, to the global temperature rise, upper ocean warming, and sea-ice reduction by 2005. Enacting pledges made at Cancun with continuation to 2100 leads to a reduction in global temperature rise relative to business as usual with a 1/3-2/3 (CESM 33-67%, BNU-ESM 35-65%) contribution from developed and developing countries, respectively. To prevent a temperature rise by 2 degrees C or more in 2100, it is necessary to fill the gap with more ambitious mitigation efforts.
|
|
| 5. |
- Zhang, Shipeng, et al.
(författare)
-
On the characteristics of aerosol indirect effect based on dynamic regimes in global climate models
- 2016
-
Ingår i: Atmospheric Chemistry And Physics. - : Copernicus GmbH. - 1680-7316 .- 1680-7324. ; 16:5, s. 2765-2783
-
Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Aerosol-cloud interactions continue to constitute a major source of uncertainty for the estimate of climate radiative forcing. The variation of aerosol indirect effects (AIE) in climate models is investigated across different dynamical regimes, determined by monthly mean 500 hPa vertical pressure velocity (omega(500)), lower-tropospheric stability (LTS) and large-scale surface precipitation rate derived from several global climate models (GCMs), with a focus on liquid water path (LWP) response to cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) concentrations. The LWP sensitivity to aerosol perturbation within dynamic regimes is found to exhibit a large spread among these GCMs. It is in regimes of strong large-scale ascent (omega(500)aEuro-aEuro parts per thousand < aEuro-a'25 hPa day(-1)) and low clouds (stratocumulus and trade wind cumulus) where the models differ most. Shortwave aerosol indirect forcing is also found to differ significantly among different regimes. Shortwave aerosol indirect forcing in ascending regimes is close to that in subsidence regimes, which indicates that regimes with strong large-scale ascent are as important as stratocumulus regimes in studying AIE. It is further shown that shortwave aerosol indirect forcing over regions with high monthly large-scale surface precipitation rate (> 0.1 mm day(-1)) contributes the most to the total aerosol indirect forcing (from 64 to nearly 100 %). Results show that the uncertainty in AIE is even larger within specific dynamical regimes compared to the uncertainty in its global mean values, pointing to the need to reduce the uncertainty in AIE in different dynamical regimes.
|
|
