| 1. |
- Kennedy, Beatrice, 1982-, et al.
(författare)
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App-based COVID-19 syndromic surveillance and prediction of hospital admissions in COVID Symptom Study Sweden
- 2022
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Ingår i: Nature Communications. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 2041-1723. ; 13:1
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- The app-based COVID Symptom Study was launched in Sweden in April 2020 to contribute to real-time COVID-19 surveillance. We enrolled 143,531 study participants (≥18 years) who contributed 10.6 million daily symptom reports between April 29, 2020 and February 10, 2021. Here, we include data from 19,161 self-reported PCR tests to create a symptom-based model to estimate the individual probability of symptomatic COVID-19, with an AUC of 0.78 (95% CI 0.74-0.83) in an external dataset. These individual probabilities are employed to estimate daily regional COVID-19 prevalence, which are in turn used together with current hospital data to predict next week COVID-19 hospital admissions. We show that this hospital prediction model demonstrates a lower median absolute percentage error (MdAPE: 25.9%) across the five most populated regions in Sweden during the first pandemic wave than a model based on case notifications (MdAPE: 30.3%). During the second wave, the error rates are similar. When we apply the same model to an English dataset, not including local COVID-19 test data, we observe MdAPEs of 22.3% and 19.0% during the first and second pandemic waves, respectively, highlighting the transferability of the prediction model.
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| 2. |
- Ehrencrona, Carolina, 1986, et al.
(författare)
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Do beta-blockers reduce negative intrusive thoughts and anxiety in cancer survivors? – An emulated trial
- 2024
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Ingår i: BMC Cancer. - 1471-2407. ; 24
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Background: High rates of negative intrusive thoughts have been reported among cancer patients. Prevalent users of beta-blocker therapy have reported lower levels of cancer related intrusive thoughts than non-user. The aim of this study is to investigate if initiation of beta-blocker therapy reduces the prevalence and severity of intrusive thoughts (co-primary endpoints) and the prevalence of anxiety, depressed mood, and low quality of life (secondary endpoints) in cancer survivors. Methods: Data on patient-reported outcomes from three cohort studies of Swedish patients diagnosed with colon, prostate or rectal cancer were combined with data on beta-blocker prescriptions retrieved from the Swedish Prescribed Drug Register. Two randomized controlled trials were emulated. Trial 1 had follow-up 1 year after diagnosis, trial 2 had follow-up 2 years after diagnosis, baseline in both trials was 12 months before follow-up. Those who initiated beta-blocker therapy between baseline and follow-up was assigned Active group, those who did not was assigned Control group. All endpoints were analysed using Bayesian ordered logistic regression. Results: Trial 1 consisted of Active group, n = 59, and Control group, n = 3936. Trial 2 consisted of Active group, n = 87, and Control group, n = 3132. The majority of participants were men, 83% in trial 1 and 94% in trial 2. The prevalence and severity of intrusive thoughts were lower in the Active group in trial 1, but no significant differences between groups were found in either trial. The prevalence of depressed mood, worse quality of life and periods of anxiety were higher in the Active group in both trials with significant differences for quality of life in trial 1 and anxiety in trial 2. Conclusions: The emulated trials demonstrated no evidence of a protective effect of beta-blocker therapy against intrusive thoughts. The Active group had reduced quality of life and elevated anxiety compared to the Control group. Trial registration: The three cohort studies were registered at isrctn.com/clinicaltrials.gov (ISRCTN06393679, NCT02530593 and NCT01477229).
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| 3. |
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| 4. |
- Grimby-Ekman, Anna, 1967, et al.
(författare)
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Prediction models for planning health care resources. During the first wave of the Covid-19 pandemic 2020
- 2022
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Rapport (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
- Due to the Covid-19 pandemic, has emphasized a need for planning health care resources based on only a few aggregated data points and little knowledge of the data-generating process. In the first part of the report, we present the process of our work in spring 2020 during the first wave and especially during the first part with the high demands on health care resources. In the second part of the report, we discuss the logistic growth model (LGM), one of our models used to predict the peak height and the peak timing. We present some different approaches to use the LGM, and compare these to a different data set, Belgium data. For the Swedish regional data, the LGM on raw observations gave a good estimate on the peak height. The adjusted LGM, using cumulative new inpatient beds, fitted the Swedish regional data to a satisfying degree. For the Belgium data, the LGM on raw observations gave a good estimate on peak height and timing. The adjusted LGM, using cumulative new inpatient beds, did not work for the Belgium data as it gave a too early peak time and a too low peak height. The experience from our work, in combination with now existing literature, the process in a similar future situation would include better knowledge on how to find and combine data to get as reliable forecasts as possible and to use creativity in combination with theoretical competence.
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| 5. |
- Jöud, Anna, et al.
(författare)
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The association between pain characteristics, pain catastrophizing and health care use – Baseline results from the SWEPAIN cohort
- 2017
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Ingår i: Scandinavian Journal of Pain. - : Walter de Gruyter GmbH. - 1877-8860 .- 1877-8879. ; 16, s. 122-128
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Background and aim Pain is common and adds to the global burden of disease. However, individuals suffering from pain are a heterogeneous group in terms of pain spreading, intensity and duration. While pain influences overall health care consultation not everyone with pain consult health care. To be able to provide health care matching the patients’ needs increased knowledge about what factors determines the decision to consult health care is essential. The aim of this study was to explore the combined importance of pain spreading, intensity, duration and pain catastrophizing for consulting health care. Methods In this cross-sectional study we used population based survey data from southeast Sweden (SWEPAIN) including 7792 individuals’ aged 16–85 reporting pain. We used Modified Poisson regressions to analyse factors of importance related to the decision to consult health care. Results High and moderate pain intensity, as compared to low, increases the probability of consulting health care (High PR = 1.7 [95% CI 1.51–1.88], moderate PR = 1.2 [1.15–1.41]). Having widespread pain, as compared to localised pain, increased the probability of consulting health (PR = 1.2 [1.03–1.36). Pain duration was not associated with increased probability of consulting health care (PR = 1.0 CI0.88–1.07). However an interaction (p = 0.05) between pain duration and pain catastrophizing beliefs was seen indicating a combined importance of the two when consulting health care. Conclusion Our result suggests that pain intensity, pain spreading and pain catastrophizing independently influence the decision to consult health care while there is an interaction effect between pain duration and pain catastrophizing beliefs where the importance of pain catastrophizing believes differ with pain duration; the importance of pain catastrophizing believes differ with pain duration. Implications Treatment and rehabilitation strategies should incorporate this finding in order to meet the individual's needs focusing on the biopsychosocial model within health care focusing not only on actual pain reliefs but also on for example acceptance and behavioural changes.
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| 6. |
- Löfstrand, Jonas, 1981, et al.
(författare)
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Long-term patient-reported back and shoulder function after delayed breast reconstruction with a latissimus dorsi flap: case-control cohort study.
- 2024
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Ingår i: The British journal of surgery. - 1365-2168. ; 111:1
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Sacrifice of the latissimus dorsi (LD) muscle might entail donor site morbidity when used in delayed breast reconstruction. Previous studies are small, have short follow-up, and demonstrate diverging results. The aims of this study were to evaluate long-term patient-reported effects on shoulder and back function following LD flap harvest, and to investigate predictors for a worse outcome.This is a retrospective observational case-control cohort study. Cases were all patients who had undergone an LD flap reconstruction during the years 2007-2017. Controls were patients reconstructed with a deep inferior epigastric perforator (DIEP) flap during the same time period. Participants completed two validated questionnaires; the BREAST-Q reconstruction LD domains and the Western Ontario Shoulder Osteoarthritis Index (WOOS).A total of 135 cases (75 per cent) and 118 controls (60 per cent) responded to the questionnaires. The mean follow-up time was 7 years. Patients reconstructed with a LD flap were significantly less satisfied with their back and shoulder function when compared to the DIEP controls, as measured with BREAST-Q and WOOS. Predictors for a poor patient-reported back and shoulder function included axillary surgery and axillary radiotherapy, especially when combined, as well as higher age at reconstruction.Patients who have undergone LD flap for delayed breast reconstruction had a lower satisfaction with back and shoulder function, when compared to patients who had undergone a DIEP reconstruction. Delayed LD reconstruction should be used with care, especially in patients who have undergone axillary surgery and axillary radiotherapy.
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| 7. |
- Persson, Carina Ulla, 1970, et al.
(författare)
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Responsiveness of a modified version of the postural assessment scale for stroke patients and longitudinal change in postural control after stroke- Postural Stroke Study in Gothenburg (POSTGOT) -
- 2013
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Ingår i: Journal of neuroengineering and rehabilitation. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 1743-0003. ; 10:1
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND: Responsiveness data certify that a change in a measurement output represents a real change, not a measurement error or biological variability. The objective was to evaluate the responsiveness of the modified version of the Postural Assessment Scale for Stroke Patients (SwePASS) in patients with a first event of stroke. An additional aim was to estimate the change in postural control during the first 12 months after stroke onset. METHODS: The SwePASS assessments were conducted during the first week and 3, 6 and 12 months after stroke in 90 patients. Svensson's method, Relative Position (RP), Relative Concentration (RC) and Relative Rank Variance (RV), were used to estimate the scale's responsiveness and the patients' change in postural control over time. RESULTS: From the first week to 3 months after stroke, the patients improved in terms of postural control with 2 to 12 times larger systematic changes in Relative Position (RP), for which 9 items and the total score showed a significant responsiveness to change when compared to the interrater reliability measurement error of the SwePASS reported in a previous study. When SwePASS was used to assess change in postural control between the first week and 3 months, 74% of the patients received higher scores while 10% received lower scores, RP 0.31 (95% CI 0.219-0.402). The corresponding figures between 3 and 6 and between 6 and 12 months were 37% and 16%, RP 0.09 (95% CI 0.030-0.152), and 18% and 26%, RP -0.07 (95% CI -0.134- (-0.010)), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The SwePASS is responsive to change. Postural control evaluated using the SwePASS showed an improvement during the first 6 months after stroke. The measurement property, in the form of responsiveness, shows that the SwePASS scoring method can be considered for use in rehabilitation when assessing postural control in patients after stroke, especially during the first 3 months.
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| 8. |
- Persson, Carina Ulla, 1970, et al.
(författare)
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Timed Up & Go as a measure for longitudinal change in mobility after stroke - Postural Stroke Study in Gothenburg (POSTGOT)
- 2014
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Ingår i: Journal of NeuroEngineering and Rehabilitation. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 1743-0003. ; 11:83
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Abstract Background A frequently used clinical test to assess mobility after stroke is the Timed Up & Go. Knowledge regarding whether or not the Timed Up & Go is able to detect change over time in patients with stroke, whether improvements in mobility exist after the first three months and whether or not longitudinal change in mobility after stroke depend on the patients’ age, is limited or unclear. The objectives were to investigate the distribution-based responsiveness of the Timed Up & Go (TUG) during the first three months after a first event of stroke, to measure the longitudinal change in TUG time during the first year after stroke and to establish whether recovery in TUG time differs between different age groups. Methods Ninety-one patients with first-ever stroke were assessed using the Timed Up & Go at the 1st week and at 3, 6 and 12 months after stroke. The non-parametric sign-test, the parametric t-test and a mixed model approach to linear regression for repeated measurements (Proc mixed) were used for the statistical analyses. Results The median TUG time was reduced from 17 to 12 seconds (p < 0.001) between the 1st week and 3 months. No further improvement was seen between 3 and 12 months after stroke. In a mixed model approach to linear regression, there was a significant age difference. Patients at age 80 and above tended to deteriorate in terms of TUG time between 3 and 12 months after stroke, while patients < 80 years did not (p = 0.011 for the interaction between age group and time). Conclusion The Timed Up & Go demonstrates ability to detect change in mobility over time in patients with stroke. A significant improvement in TUG time from the 1st week to 3 months after stroke was found, as expected, but thereafter no statistically significant change was detected. After 3 months, patients ≥80 years tended to deteriorate in terms of TUG time, while the younger patients did not.
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| 10. |
- Ahlstrand, Christina, 1957, et al.
(författare)
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Reliabilitetstestning av Purdue Pegboard® (finmotoriktest).
- 2009
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Rapport (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
- I MQ-FAS studien, vars syfte var att ändra muskelspänningsmönstret hos kvinnor med kroniska nackbesvär, ingick ett besticktorkningsmoment som en standardiserad arbetsuppgift i hemmet. För validering av denna besticktorkning har en pilotstudie genomförts, 12 personer torkade bestick vid två tillfällen. I studien, som utfördes av 2 testledare, ingick även ett finmotorikstest (Purdue Pegboard), ansträngningsskattning (Borg RPE-skalan) samt ett frågeformulär. Detta test kan med vissa justeringar troligen vara användbart som ett mått på arbetsförmåga av övre extremiteter vid utförande av arbetssyssla i hemmet, och jämföra individ med sig själv, för att mäta om funktionsnedsättning eller ökning har skett. Dock skall poängteras att detta var en pilotstudie och ytterligare studie av reliabilitet och validitet rekommenderas innan testet används i stor utsträckning för att mäta om funktionsnedsättning eller ökning har skett.
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