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Sökning: WFRF:(Hulme Oliver)

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1.
  • Demnitz, Naiara, et al. (författare)
  • Characterising the covariance pattern between lifestyle factors and structural brain measures : a multivariable replication study of two independent ageing cohorts
  • 2023
  • Ingår i: Neurobiology of Aging. - : Elsevier. - 0197-4580 .- 1558-1497. ; 131, s. 115-123
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Modifiable lifestyle factors have been shown to promote healthy brain ageing. However, studies have typically focused on a single factor at a time. Given that lifestyle factors do not occur in isolation, multivariable analyses provide a more realistic model of the lifestyle-brain relationship. Here, canonical correlation analyses (CCA) examined the relationship between nine lifestyle factors and seven MRI-derived indices of brain structure. The resulting covariance pattern was further explored with Bayesian regressions. CCA analyses were first conducted on a Danish cohort of older adults (n = 251) and then replicated in a British cohort (n = 668). In both cohorts, the latent factors of lifestyle and brain structure were positively correlated (UK: r =.37, p < 0.001; Denmark: r =.27, p < 0.001). In the cross-validation study, the correlation between lifestyle-brain latent factors was r =.10, p = 0.008. However, the pattern of associations differed between datasets. These findings suggest that baseline characterisation and tailoring towards the study sample may be beneficial for achieving targeted lifestyle interventions.
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2.
  • Hulme, Oliver, et al. (författare)
  • Reply to "The Limitations of Growth-Optimal Approaches to Decision Making Under Uncertainty"
  • 2023
  • Ingår i: Econ Journal Watch. - : Institute of Spontaneous Order Economics. - 1933-527X. ; 20:2, s. 335-348
  • Tidskriftsartikel (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
    • In an article appearing concurrently with the present one, Matthew Ford and John Kay put forward their understanding of a decision theory which emerges in ergodicity economics. Their understanding leads them to believe that ergodicity economics evades the core problem of decisions under uncertainty and operates solely in a regime where there is no measurable uncertainty. If this were the case, then the authors' critical stance would be justified and, as the authors point out, the decision theory would yield only trivial results, identical to a flavor of expected-utility theory. Here we clarify that the critique is based on a theoretical misunderstanding, and that uncertainty-quantified in any reasonable way-is large in the regime where the model operates. Our resolution explains the success of recent laboratory experiments, where ergodicity economics makes predictions different from expected-utility theory, contrary to the claim of equivalence by Ford and Kay. Also, a state of the world is identified where ergodicity economics outperforms expected-utility theory empirically.
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3.
  • Schweiger, Oliver, et al. (författare)
  • Multiple stressors on biotic interactions: how climate change and alien species interact to affect pollination
  • 2010
  • Ingår i: Biological Reviews. - 1469-185X .- 1464-7931. ; 85:4, s. 777-795
  • Forskningsöversikt (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Global change may substantially affect biodiversity and ecosystem functioning but little is known about its effects on essential biotic interactions. Since different environmental drivers rarely act in isolation it is important to consider interactive effects. Here, we focus on how two key drivers of anthropogenic environmental change, climate change and the introduction of alien species, affect plant-pollinator interactions. Based on a literature survey we identify climatically sensitive aspects of species interactions, assess potential effects of climate change on these mechanisms, and derive hypotheses that may form the basis of future research. We find that both climate change and alien species will ultimately lead to the creation of novel communities. In these communities certain interactions may no longer occur while there will also be potential for the emergence of new relationships. Alien species can both partly compensate for the often negative effects of climate change but also amplify them in some cases. Since potential positive effects are often restricted to generalist interactions among species, climate change and alien species in combination can result in significant threats to more specialist interactions involving native species.
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