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- Karlsson, Kristin E, 1975-
(author)
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Benefits of Pharmacometric Model-Based Design and Analysis of Clinical Trials
- 2010
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Doctoral thesis (other academic/artistic)abstract
- Quantitative pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic and disease progression models are the core of the science of pharmacometrics which has been identified as one of the strategies that can make drug development more effective. To adequately develop and utilize these models one needs to carefully consider the nature of the data, choice of appropriate estimation methods, model evaluation strategies, and, most importantly, the intended use of the model. The general aim of this thesis was to investigate how the use of pharmacometric models can improve the design and analysis of clinical trials within drug development. The development of pharmacometric models for clinical assessment scales in stroke and graded severity events, in this thesis, show the benefit of describing data as close to its true nature as possible, as it increases the predictive abilities and allows for mechanistic interpretations of the models. Performance of three estimation methods implemented in the mixed-effects modeling software NONMEM; 1) Laplace, 2) SAEM, and 3) Importance sampling, applied when modeling repeated time-to-event data, was investigated. The two latter methods are to be preferred if less than approximately half of the individuals experience events. In addition, predictive performance of two validation procedures, internal and external validation, was explored, with internal validation being preferred in most cases. Model-based analysis was compared to conventional methods by the use of clinical trial simulations and the power to detect a drug effect was improved with a pharmacometric design and analysis. Throughout this thesis several examples have shown the possibility of significantly reducing sample sizes in clinical trials with a pharmacometric model-based analysis. This approach will reduce time and costs spent in the development of new drug therapies, but foremost reduce the number of healthy volunteers and patients exposed to experimental drugs.
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| 3. |
- Nyberg, Joakim, 1978-, et al.
(author)
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Edoxaban Exposure-Response Analysis and Clinical Utility Index Assessment in Patients With Symptomatic Deep-Vein Thrombosis or Pulmonary Embolism
- 2016
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In: CPT. - : Wiley. - 2163-8306. ; 5:4, s. 222-232
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Edoxaban exposure-response relationships from the phase III study evaluating edoxaban for prevention and treatment of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients with acute deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and/or pulmonary embolism (PE) were assessed by parametric time-to-event analysis. Statistical significant exposure-response relationships were recurrent VTE with hazard ratio (HR) based on average edoxaban concentration at steady state (C-av) (HRCav) 50.98 (i.e., change in the HR with every 1 ng/mL increase of C-av); the composite of recurrent DVT and nonfatal PE with HRC(av)50.99; and the composite of recurrent DVT, nonfatal PE, and all-cause mortality HRC(av)50.98, and all death using maximal edoxaban concentration (C-max) with HR (C-max) 50.99. No statistical significant exposure-response relationships were found for clinically relevant bleeding or major adverse cardiovascular event. Results support the recommendation of once-daily edoxaban 60 mg, and a reduced 30 mg dose in patients with moderate renal impairment, body weight <= 60 kg, or use of P-glycoprotein inhibitors verapamil or quinidine.
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