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  • Ceriello, A., et al. (författare)
  • HbA1c variability predicts cardiovascular complications in type 2 diabetes regardless of being at glycemic target
  • 2022
  • Ingår i: Cardiovascular Diabetology. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 1475-2840. ; 21:1
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Background HbA1c variability has emerged as risk factor for cardiovascular diseases in diabetes. However, the impact of HbA1c variability on cardiovascular diseases in subjects within the recommended HbA1c target has been relatively unexplored. Methods Using data from a large database, we studied 101,533 people with type 2 diabetes without cardiovascular diseases. HbA1c variability was expressed as quartiles of the standard deviation of HbA1c during three years (exposure phase). The primary composite outcome included non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, all-cause mortality and was assessed during five years following the first three years of exposure to HbA1c variability (longitudinal phase). An expanded composite outcome including non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, coronary revascularization/reperfusion procedures, peripheral revascularization procedures, and all-cause mortality was also considered, as well as a series of specific cardiovascular complications. Cox models were adjusted for a large range of risk factors and results were expressed as adjusted hazard ratios. Results An association between HbA1c variability and all the outcomes considered was found. The correlation between HbA1c variability and cardiovascular complications development was confirmed in both the subgroups of subjects with a mean HbA1c <= 53 mmol/mol (recommended HbA1c target) or > 53 mmol/mol during the exposure phase. The risk related to HbA1c variability was higher in people with mean HbA1c <= 53 mmol/mol for the primary outcome (p for interaction 0.004), for the expanded secondary outcome (p for interaction 0.001) and for the stroke (p for interaction 0.001), even though HbA1c remained at the target during the follow-up. Conclusions These findings suggest that HbA1c variability may provide additional information for an optimized management of diabetes, particularly in people within the target of HbA1c.
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2.
  • Ceriello, A., et al. (författare)
  • Risk factor variability and cardiovascular risk among patients with diabetes: a nationwide observational study
  • 2023
  • Ingår i: European Journal of Preventive Cardiology. - : Oxford University Press (OUP). - 2047-4873 .- 2047-4881. ; 30:8, s. 719-727
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Lay Summary The variability of multiple risk factors is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events and mortality in patients with Type 2 diabetes. These variabilities interact with one another to identify classes of patients with an increased risk of having an event.Patients with a high variability of both body weight and systolic blood pressure had the greatest risk of cardiovascular diseases or mortality despite a progressive reduction in the mean level of risk factors.Individuals with high weight variability but low systolic blood pressure variability, patients with moderate/high weight variability associated with high HbA1c variability, subjects with moderate/high weight variability and with low/moderate HbA1c variability, as well as those with low weight variability but high total cholesterol variability also showed a significant increase in the risk of an event. Aims Cardiovascular risk factor control fluctuates, tends to change over time, and is potentially impacted by multifactorial interactions. Currently, the presence of risk factors, rather than their variability or interplay with one another, is taken into account to define the population at risk. The association between variability of risk factors and cardiovascular morbidity and mortality risk among patients with Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) remains debatable. Methods and results Using registry-derived data, we identified 29 471 people with T2DM, without cardiovascular disease (CVD) at baseline, and with at least five measurements of risk factors. Variability for each variable was expressed as quartiles of the standard deviation during 3 years (exposure). The incidence of myocardial infarction, stroke, and all-cause mortality was assessed during 4.80 (2.40-6.70) years following the exposure phase. The association between the measures of variability and the risk of developing the outcome was investigated through multivariable Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis with stepwise variable selection. Then, the recursive partitioning and amalgamation (RECPAM) algorithm was used to explore the interaction among the variability of risk factors associated with the outcome. An association between the variability of HbA1c, body weight, systolic blood pressure, and total cholesterol with the outcome considered was found. Among the six classes of risk identified by RECPAM, patients with a high variability of both body weight and blood pressure had the highest risk [Class 6, hazard ratio (HR) = 1.81; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.61-2.05] compared with patients with low variability of both body weight and total cholesterol (Class 1, reference), despite a progressive reduction in the mean level of risk factors during successive visits. Individuals with high weight variability but low-moderate systolic blood pressure variability (Class 5, HR = 1.57; 95% CI 1.28-1.68), patients with moderate/high weight variability associated with high/very high HbA1c variability (Class 4, HR = 1.33; 95% CI 1.20-1.49), subjects with moderate/high weight variability and with low/moderate HbA1c variability (Class 3, HR = 1.12; 95% CI 1.00-1.25), as well as those with low weight variability associated with high/very high total cholesterol variability (Class 2, HR = 1.14; 95% CI 1.00-1.30) also showed a significant increase in the risk of an event. Conclusion Combined high variability of two risk factors, particularly body weight and blood pressure, is associated with cardiovascular risk among patients with T2DM. These findings highlight the importance of continuous balancing of multiple risk factors.
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