| 1. |
- Bai, Xuemei, et al.
(författare)
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Translating Earth system boundaries for cities and businesses
- 2024
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Ingår i: Nature Sustainability. - 2398-9629. ; 7, s. 108-119
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Forskningsöversikt (refereegranskat)abstract
- Operating within safe and just Earth system boundaries requires mobilizing key actors across scale to set targets and take actions accordingly. Robust, transparent and fair cross-scale translation methods are essential to help navigate through the multiple steps of scientific and normative judgements in translation, with clear awareness of associated assumptions, bias and uncertainties. Here, through literature review and expert elicitation, we identify commonly used sharing approaches, illustrate ten principles of translation and present a protocol involving key building blocks and control steps in translation. We pay particular attention to businesses and cities, two understudied but critical actors to bring on board.
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| 2. |
- Gupta, Joyeeta, et al.
(författare)
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Applying earth system justice to phase out fossil fuels : learning from the injustice of adopting 1.5 °C over 1 °C
- 2024
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Ingår i: International Environmental Agreements. - 1567-9764 .- 1573-1553. ; , s. 233-255
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- The Paris Agreement has seen the adoption of a 1.5° to 2 °C climate target, based on the belief that climate change becomes ‘dangerous’ above this level. Since then, the scientific community and the countries most affected by global warming have reiterated that the maximum limit to be reached should be 1.5 °C. This paper goes one step further by questioning the reasoning behind the adoption of these targets, arguing that the fossil fuel-dependent political context in which they were adopted has undermined justice concerns. We highlight the political influence of the fossil fuels industry within target-setting negotiations, analyzing the evolution of climate targets and fossil fuel lobbying. We then harness published scientific evidence and the Earth System Justice framework to analyze the impacts of the 1.5 °C target, and the injustices that have so far been implicitly deemed acceptable. We argue that 1 °C would have been a far more just target and was undermined by vested interests and status quo maintenance. Finally, we propose just supply-side policies to ensure an adequate placement of responsibility on the fossil fuel industry. This way we (a) identify political influences and scientific blind spots that have and could continue to hinder climate action, (b) reveal how these influences delayed more ambitious climate objectives, contributing to the adoption of an unjust climate target, and (c) promote a focus on supply-side measures and polluting industries in order to break free from the impasse in the energy transition and foster more just outcomes.
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| 3. |
- Mallinger, Kevin, et al.
(författare)
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Potentials and limitations of complexity research for environmental sciences and modern farming applications
- 2024
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Ingår i: Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability. - 1877-3435 .- 1877-3443. ; 67
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Open system analysis is prone to the oversimplification of dynamics due to tightly coupled variables and their nonlinear, complex, and often unpredictable behavior. By assessing the combination of different ecosystem variables (structural, chemical, and biological) and their dynamic states in time and space, individual complexity measurements can capture phase changes of ecosystem stability and enhance efficiency, disease detection, and ecosystem understanding. This article summarizes the latest developments in complexity research and investigates the potential of metrics to assess and predict the sustainability and resilience of ecosystems, with a particular focus on farming systems. It provides an outlook on improving machine learning approaches by considering the system’s complexity and the necessary data requirements. A GitHub repository [1] is presented that enables practitioners to use complexity applications (e.g. entropy metrics and reconstructed phase spaces). This research provides a deeper understanding of the connections between data complexity, machine learning algorithms, and environmental modeling.
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| 4. |
- Pellowe, Kara E., 1989-, et al.
(författare)
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Global analysis of reef ecosystem services reveals synergies, trade-offs and bundles
- 2023
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Ingår i: Ecosystem Services. - 2212-0416. ; 63
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Millions of people around the world depend on the ecosystem services produced by rocky and coral reef ecosystems, including nutrition, aesthetic value, and coastal protection. Rocky and coral reefs also contribute to critical global and regional processes through the cycling of nitrogen, phosphorus, and carbon. The increased stress experienced by reefs in the Anthropocene threatens their ability to provide vital ecosystem services. This study investigates bundles of ecosystem services, ecosystem services that occur together, to identify trade-offs and synergies among services produced by coral reefs. To do this, we bring together estimates of seven ecosystem services: productivity, nitrogen cycling, phosphorus cycling, inorganic carbon cycling, aesthetic value, nutritional value, and coastal protection. We use correlations analysis to understand trade-offs and synergies between these seven ecosystem services and cluster analysis to identify clusters of reefs with distinct suites of ecosystem services, or ecosystem service bundles. Our analysis reveals (1) synergies and trade-offs among the seven ecosystem services, and (2) three distinct clusters of reefs, which differ on the basis of their overall and relative delivery of ecosystem services. Differences in service production among the clusters appear to be linked to differences in key ecological traits, including total reef fish biomass and species richness. Similar applications of ecosystem service bundles analysis in other marine and coastal systems could result in improved understanding of the spatial distributions and relationships between marine ecosystem services, which is a key input to marine policy.
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| 5. |
- Rockström, Johan, 1965-, et al.
(författare)
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Safe and just Earth system boundaries
- 2023
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Ingår i: Nature. - 0028-0836 .- 1476-4687. ; 619:7968, s. 102-111
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- The stability and resilience of the Earth system and human well-being are inseparably linked, yet their interdependencies are generally under-recognized; consequently, they are often treated independently. Here, we use modelling and literature assessment to quantify safe and just Earth system boundaries (ESBs) for climate, the biosphere, water and nutrient cycles, and aerosols at global and subglobal scales. We propose ESBs for maintaining the resilience and stability of the Earth system (safe ESBs) and minimizing exposure to significant harm to humans from Earth system change (a necessary but not sufficient condition for justice). The stricter of the safe or just boundaries sets the integrated safe and just ESB. Our findings show that justice considerations constrain the integrated ESBs more than safety considerations for climate and atmospheric aerosol loading. Seven of eight globally quantified safe and just ESBs and at least two regional safe and just ESBs in over half of global land area are already exceeded. We propose that our assessment provides a quantitative foundation for safeguarding the global commons for all people now and into the future.
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| 6. |
- Stewart-Koster, Ben, et al.
(författare)
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Living within the safe and just Earth system boundaries for blue water
- 2024
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Ingår i: Nature Sustainability. - 2398-9629. ; 7:1, s. 53-63
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Safe and just Earth system boundaries (ESBs) for surface water and groundwater (blue water) have been defined for sustainable water management in the Anthropocene. Here we assessed whether minimum human needs could be met with surface water from within individual river basins alone and, where this is not possible, quantified how much groundwater would be required. Approximately 2.6 billion people live in river basins where groundwater is needed because they are already outside the surface water ESB or have insufficient surface water to meet human needs and the ESB. Approximately 1.4 billion people live in river basins where demand-side transformations would be required as they either exceed the surface water ESB or face a decline in groundwater recharge and cannot meet minimum needs within the ESB. A further 1.5 billion people live in river basins outside the ESB, with insufficient surface water to meet minimum needs, requiring both supply- and demand-side transformations. These results highlight the challenges and opportunities of meeting even basic human access needs to water and protecting aquatic ecosystems.
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