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1.
  • Hudson, Lawrence N, et al. (författare)
  • The database of the PREDICTS (Projecting Responses of Ecological Diversity In Changing Terrestrial Systems) project
  • 2017
  • Ingår i: Ecology and Evolution. - : John Wiley & Sons. - 2045-7758. ; 7:1, s. 145-188
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • The PREDICTS project-Projecting Responses of Ecological Diversity In Changing Terrestrial Systems (www.predicts.org.uk)-has collated from published studies a large, reasonably representative database of comparable samples of biodiversity from multiple sites that differ in the nature or intensity of human impacts relating to land use. We have used this evidence base to develop global and regional statistical models of how local biodiversity responds to these measures. We describe and make freely available this 2016 release of the database, containing more than 3.2 million records sampled at over 26,000 locations and representing over 47,000 species. We outline how the database can help in answering a range of questions in ecology and conservation biology. To our knowledge, this is the largest and most geographically and taxonomically representative database of spatial comparisons of biodiversity that has been collated to date; it will be useful to researchers and international efforts wishing to model and understand the global status of biodiversity.
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  • Hudson, Lawrence N., et al. (författare)
  • The PREDICTS database : a global database of how local terrestrial biodiversity responds to human impacts
  • 2014
  • Ingår i: Ecology and Evolution. - : Wiley. - 2045-7758. ; 4:24, s. 4701-4735
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Biodiversity continues to decline in the face of increasing anthropogenic pressures such as habitat destruction, exploitation, pollution and introduction of alien species. Existing global databases of species' threat status or population time series are dominated by charismatic species. The collation of datasets with broad taxonomic and biogeographic extents, and that support computation of a range of biodiversity indicators, is necessary to enable better understanding of historical declines and to project - and avert - future declines. We describe and assess a new database of more than 1.6 million samples from 78 countries representing over 28,000 species, collated from existing spatial comparisons of local-scale biodiversity exposed to different intensities and types of anthropogenic pressures, from terrestrial sites around the world. The database contains measurements taken in 208 (of 814) ecoregions, 13 (of 14) biomes, 25 (of 35) biodiversity hotspots and 16 (of 17) megadiverse countries. The database contains more than 1% of the total number of all species described, and more than 1% of the described species within many taxonomic groups - including flowering plants, gymnosperms, birds, mammals, reptiles, amphibians, beetles, lepidopterans and hymenopterans. The dataset, which is still being added to, is therefore already considerably larger and more representative than those used by previous quantitative models of biodiversity trends and responses. The database is being assembled as part of the PREDICTS project (Projecting Responses of Ecological Diversity In Changing Terrestrial Systems - ). We make site-level summary data available alongside this article. The full database will be publicly available in 2015.
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4.
  • Grossmann, Igor, et al. (författare)
  • Insights into the accuracy of social scientists' forecasts of societal change
  • 2023
  • Ingår i: Nature Human Behaviour. - : Springer Nature. - 2397-3374. ; 7, s. 484-501
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • How well can social scientists predict societal change, and what processes underlie their predictions? To answer these questions, we ran two forecasting tournaments testing the accuracy of predictions of societal change in domains commonly studied in the social sciences: ideological preferences, political polarization, life satisfaction, sentiment on social media, and gender-career and racial bias. After we provided them with historical trend data on the relevant domain, social scientists submitted pre-registered monthly forecasts for a year (Tournament 1; N = 86 teams and 359 forecasts), with an opportunity to update forecasts on the basis of new data six months later (Tournament 2; N = 120 teams and 546 forecasts). Benchmarking forecasting accuracy revealed that social scientists' forecasts were on average no more accurate than those of simple statistical models (historical means, random walks or linear regressions) or the aggregate forecasts of a sample from the general public (N = 802). However, scientists were more accurate if they had scientific expertise in a prediction domain, were interdisciplinary, used simpler models and based predictions on prior data. How accurate are social scientists in predicting societal change, and what processes underlie their predictions? Grossmann et al. report the findings of two forecasting tournaments. Social scientists' forecasts were on average no more accurate than those of simple statistical models.
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5.
  • Khodadadi, B., et al. (författare)
  • Enhanced spin pumping near a magnetic ordering transition
  • 2017
  • Ingår i: Physical Review B. - 2469-9950. ; 96:5
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • We study the temperature-dependent static and dynamic magnetic properties of polycrystalline bilayers of permalloy (Ni80Fe20, or Py) and gadolinium (Gd) bilayers using DC magnetometry and broadband ferromagnetic resonance. Magnetometry measurements reveal that the 3-nm-thick Gd layers undergo a magnetic ordering transition below 100 K, consistent with finite size suppression of their Curie temperature. Upon cooling below this Gd ordering temperature, ferromagnetic resonance spectroscopy reveals a sharp increase in both the gyromagnetic ratio (gamma) and effective Gilbert damping parameter (alpha(eff)) of the neighboring Py layers. The increase of gamma is attributed to the onset of strong antiferromagnetic coupling between the Gd and Py layers as the Gd orders magnetically. We argue that the increase of alpha(eff), on the other hand, can be explained by spin pumping into the rare-earth layer when taking into account the increase of gamma, the decrease of the Gd spin diffusion length as it orders, and, most significantly, the corresponding increase of the Py/Gd interfacial spin mixing conductance in the vicinity of the magnetic ordering transition. We propose that these observations constitute a qualitative confirmation of a recent theoretical prediction of spin sinking enhancement in this situation.
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  • Gutierrez, P. Morentin, et al. (författare)
  • Continuous inhibition of 11 beta-hydroxysteroid dehydrogenase type I in adipose tissue leads to tachyphylaxis in humans and rats but not in mice
  • 2015
  • Ingår i: British Journal of Pharmacology. - : Wiley. - 0007-1188 .- 1476-5381. ; 172:20, s. 4806-4816
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Background and Purpose11-hydroxysteroid dehydrogenase type I (11-HSD1), a target for Type 2 diabetes mellitus, converts inactive glucocorticoids into bioactive forms, increasing tissue concentrations. We have compared the pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) relationship of target inhibition after acute and repeat administration of inhibitors of 11-HSD1 activity in human, rat and mouse adipose tissue (AT). Experimental ApproachStudies included abdominally obese human volunteers, rats and mice. Two specific 11-HSD1 inhibitors (AZD8329 and COMPOUND-20) were administered as single oral doses or repeat daily doses for 7-9days. 11-HSD1 activity in AT was measured ex vivo by conversion of H-3-cortisone to H-3-cortisol. Key ResultsIn human and rat AT, inhibition of 11-HSD1 activity was lost after repeat dosing of AZD8329, compared with acute administration. Similarly, in rat AT, there was loss of inhibition of 11-HSD1 activity after repeat dosing with COMPOUND-20 with continuous drug cover, but effects were substantially reduced if a drug holiday' period was maintained daily. Inhibition of 11-HSD1 activity was not lost in mouse AT after continuous cover with COMPOUND-20 for 7days. Conclusions and ImplicationsHuman and rat AT, but not mouse AT, exhibited tachyphylaxis for inhibition of 11-HSD1 activity after repeat dosing. Translation of observed efficacy in murine disease models to human for 11-HSD1 inhibitors may be misleading. Investigators of the effects of 11-HSD1 inhibitors should confirm that desired levels of enzyme inhibition in AT can be maintained over time after repeat dosing and not rely on results following a single dose.
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8.
  • Haas, Brian J., et al. (författare)
  • Genome sequence and analysis of the Irish potato famine pathogen Phytophthora infestans
  • 2009
  • Ingår i: Nature. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 0028-0836 .- 1476-4687. ; 461:7262, s. 393-398
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Phytophthora infestans is the most destructive pathogen of potato and a model organism for the oomycetes, a distinct lineage of fungus-like eukaryotes that are related to organisms such as brown algae and diatoms. As the agent of the Irish potato famine in the mid-nineteenth century, P. infestans has had a tremendous effect on human history, resulting in famine and population displacement(1). To this day, it affects world agriculture by causing the most destructive disease of potato, the fourth largest food crop and a critical alternative to the major cereal crops for feeding the world's population(1). Current annual worldwide potato crop losses due to late blight are conservatively estimated at $6.7 billion(2). Management of this devastating pathogen is challenged by its remarkable speed of adaptation to control strategies such as genetically resistant cultivars(3,4). Here we report the sequence of the P. infestans genome, which at similar to 240 megabases (Mb) is by far the largest and most complex genome sequenced so far in the chromalveolates. Its expansion results from a proliferation of repetitive DNA accounting for similar to 74% of the genome. Comparison with two other Phytophthora genomes showed rapid turnover and extensive expansion of specific families of secreted disease effector proteins, including many genes that are induced during infection or are predicted to have activities that alter host physiology. These fast-evolving effector genes are localized to highly dynamic and expanded regions of the P. infestans genome. This probably plays a crucial part in the rapid adaptability of the pathogen to host plants and underpins its evolutionary potential.
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9.
  • Wan, Qun, et al. (författare)
  • Direct determination of protonation states and visualization of hydrogen bonding in a glycoside hydrolase with neutron crystallography.
  • 2015
  • Ingår i: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. - : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. - 1091-6490 .- 0027-8424. ; 112:40, s. 12384-12389
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Glycoside hydrolase (GH) enzymes apply acid/base chemistry to catalyze the decomposition of complex carbohydrates. These ubiquitous enzymes accept protons from solvent and donate them to substrates at close to neutral pH by modulating the pKa values of key side chains during catalysis. However, it is not known how the catalytic acid residue acquires a proton and transfers it efficiently to the substrate. To better understand GH chemistry, we used macromolecular neutron crystallography to directly determine protonation and ionization states of the active site residues of a family 11 GH at multiple pD (pD = pH + 0.4) values. The general acid glutamate (Glu) cycles between two conformations, upward and downward, but is protonated only in the downward orientation. We performed continuum electrostatics calculations to estimate the pKa values of the catalytic Glu residues in both the apo- and substrate-bound states of the enzyme. The calculated pKa of the Glu increases substantially when the side chain moves down. The energy barrier required to rotate the catalytic Glu residue back to the upward conformation, where it can protonate the glycosidic oxygen of the substrate, is 4.3 kcal/mol according to free energy simulations. These findings shed light on the initial stage of the glycoside hydrolysis reaction in which molecular motion enables the general acid catalyst to obtain a proton from the bulk solvent and deliver it to the glycosidic oxygen.
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