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- Mehta, Vishal S., et al.
(författare)
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Machine learning-derived major adverse event prediction of patients undergoing transvenous lead extraction : Using the ESC EHRA EORP European lead extraction ConTRolled ELECTRa registry
- 2022
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Ingår i: Heart Rhythm. - : Elsevier. - 1547-5271 .- 1556-3871. ; 19:6, s. 885-893
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- BACKGROUND Transvenous lead extraction (TLE) remains a high-risk procedure. OBJECTIVE The purpose of this study was to develop a machine learning (ML)-based risk stratification system to predict the risk of major adverse events (MAEs) after TLE. A MAE was defined as procedure-related major complication and procedure-related death. METHODS We designed and evaluated an ML-based risk stratification system trained using the European Lead Extraction ConTRolled (ELECTRa) registry to predict the risk of MAEs in 3555 patients undergoing TLE and tested this on an independent registry of 1171 patients. ML models were developed, including a self-normalizing neural network (SNN), stepwise logistic regression model ("stepwise model"), support vector machines, and random forest model. These were compared with the ELECTRa Registry Outcome Score (EROS) for MAEs. RESULTS There were 53 MAEs (1.7%) in the training cohort and 24 (2.4%) in the test cohort. Thirty-two clinically important features were used to train the models. ML techniques were similar to EROS by balanced accuracy (stepwise model: 0.74 vs EROS: 0.70) and superior by area under the curve (support vector machines: 0.764 vs EROS: 0.677). The SNN provided a finite risk for MAE and accurately identified MAE in 14 of 169 "high (<80%) risk" patients (8.3%) and no MAEs in all 198 "low (,20%) risk" patients (100%). CONCLUSION ML models incrementally improved risk prediction for identifying those at risk of MAEs. The SNN has the additional advantage of providing a personalized finite risk assessment for patients. This may aid patient decision making and allow better preoperative risk assessment and resource allocation.
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| 2. |
- Sidhu, Baldeep S., et al.
(författare)
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Risk stratification of patients undergoing transvenous lead extraction with the ELECTRa Registry Outcome Score (EROS) : an ESC EHRA EORP European lead extraction ConTRolled ELECTRa registry analysis
- 2021
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Ingår i: Europace. - : Oxford University Press. - 1099-5129 .- 1532-2092. ; 23:9, s. 1462-1471
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- AIMS: Transvenous lead extraction is associated with a significant risk of complications and identifying patients at highest risk pre-procedurally will enable interventions to be planned accordingly. We developed the ELECTRa Registry Outcome Score (EROS) and applied it to the ELECTRa registry to determine if it could appropriately risk-stratify patients.METHODS AND RESULTS: EROS was devised to risk-stratify patients into low risk (EROS 1), intermediate risk (EROS 2), and high risk (EROS 3). This was applied to the ESC EORP European Lead Extraction ConTRolled ELECTRa registry; 57.5% EROS 1, 31.8% EROS 2, and 10.7% EROS 3. Patients with EROS 3 or 2 were significantly more likely to require powered sheaths and a femoral approach to complete procedures. Patients with EROS 3 were more likely to suffer procedure-related major complications including deaths (5.1 vs. 1.3%; P < 0.0001), both intra-procedural (3.5 vs. 0.8%; P = 0.0001) and post-procedural (1.6 vs. 0.5%; P = 0.0192). They were more likely to suffer post-procedural deaths (0.8 vs. 0.2%; P 0.0449), cardiac avulsion or tear (3.8 vs. 0.5%; P < 0.0001), and cardiovascular lesions requiring pericardiocentesis, chest tube, or surgical repair (4.6 vs. 1.0%; P < 0.0001). EROS 3 was associated with procedure-related major complications including deaths [odds ratio (OR) 3.333, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.879-5.914; P < 0.0001] and all-cause in-hospital major complications including deaths (OR 2.339, 95% CI 1.439-3.803; P = 0.0006).CONCLUSION: EROS successfully identified patients who were at increased risk of significant procedural complications that require urgent surgical intervention.
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| 3. |
- Sidhu, Baldeep S., et al.
(författare)
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The effect of centre volume and procedure location on major complications and mortality from transvenous lead extraction : an ESC EHRA EORP European Lead Extraction ConTRolled ELECTRa registry subanalysis
- 2020
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Ingår i: Europace. - : Oxford University Press (OUP). - 1099-5129 .- 1532-2092. ; 22:11, s. 1718-1728
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- AIMS : Transvenous lead extraction (TLE) should ideally be undertaken by experienced operators in a setting that allows urgent surgical intervention. In this analysis of the ELECTRa registry, we sought to determine whether there was a significant difference in procedure complications and mortality depending on centre volume and extraction location.METHODS AND RESULTS : Analysis of the ESC EORP European Lead Extraction ConTRolled ELECTRa registry was conducted. Low-volume (LoV) centres were defined as <30 procedures/year, and high-volume (HiV) centres as ≥30 procedures/year. Three thousand, two hundred, and forty-nine patients underwent TLE by a primary operator cardiologist; 17.1% in LoV centres and 82.9% in HiV centres. Procedures performed by primary operator cardiologists in LoV centres were less likely to be successful (93.5% vs. 97.1%; P < 0.0001) and more likely to be complicated by procedure-related deaths (1.1% vs. 0.4%; P = 0.0417). Transvenous lead extraction undertaken by primary operator cardiologists in LoV centres were associated with increased procedure-related major complications including death (odds ratio 1.858, 95% confidence interval 1.007-3.427; P = 0.0475). Transvenous lead extraction locations varied; 52.0% operating room, 9.5% hybrid theatre and 38.5% catheterization laboratory. Rates of procedure-related major complications, including death occurring in a high-risk environment (combining operating room and hybrid theatre), were similar to those undertaken in the catheterization laboratory (1.7% vs. 1.6%; P = 0.9297).CONCLUSION : Primary operator cardiologists in LoV centres are more likely to have extractions complicated by procedure-related deaths. There was no significant difference in procedure complications between different extraction settings. These findings support the need for TLE to be performed in experienced centres with appropriate personnel present.
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