| 1. |
- Ahlberg, Ernst, et al.
(författare)
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Using conformal prediction to prioritize compound synthesis in drug discovery
- 2017
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Ingår i: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research. - Stockholm : Machine Learning Research. ; , s. 174-184
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Konferensbidrag (refereegranskat)abstract
- The choice of how much money and resources to spend to understand certain problems is of high interest in many areas. This work illustrates how computational models can be more tightly coupled with experiments to generate decision data at lower cost without reducing the quality of the decision. Several different strategies are explored to illustrate the trade off between lowering costs and quality in decisions.AUC is used as a performance metric and the number of objects that can be learnt from is constrained. Some of the strategies described reach AUC values over 0.9 and outperforms strategies that are more random. The strategies that use conformal predictor p-values show varying results, although some are top performing.The application studied is taken from the drug discovery process. In the early stages of this process compounds, that potentially could become marketed drugs, are being routinely tested in experimental assays to understand the distribution and interactions in humans.
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| 2. |
- Linusson, Henrik, et al.
(författare)
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On the calibration of aggregated conformal predictors
- 2017
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Ingår i: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research. - : Machine Learning Research. ; , s. 154-173
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Konferensbidrag (refereegranskat)abstract
- Conformal prediction is a learning framework that produces models that associate with each of their predictions a measure of statistically valid confidence. These models are typically constructed on top of traditional machine learning algorithms. An important result of conformal prediction theory is that the models produced are provably valid under relatively weak assumptions—in particular, their validity is independent of the specific underlying learning algorithm on which they are based. Since validity is automatic, much research on conformal predictors has been focused on improving their informational and computational efficiency. As part of the efforts in constructing efficient conformal predictors, aggregated conformal predictors were developed, drawing inspiration from the field of classification and regression ensembles. Unlike early definitions of conformal prediction procedures, the validity of aggregated conformal predictors is not fully understood—while it has been shown that they might attain empirical exact validity under certain circumstances, their theoretical validity is conditional on additional assumptions that require further clarification. In this paper, we show why validity is not automatic for aggregated conformal predictors, and provide a revised definition of aggregated conformal predictors that gains approximate validity conditional on properties of the underlying learning algorithm.
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| 3. |
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| 4. |
- Attoff, Kristina, et al.
(författare)
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Whole genome microarray analysis of neural progenitor C17.2 cells during differentiation and validation of 30 neural mRNA biomarkers for estimation of developmental neurotoxicity
- 2017
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Ingår i: PLOS ONE. - San Francisco : Public Library of Science. - 1932-6203. ; 12:12
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Despite its high relevance, developmental neurotoxicity (DNT) is one of the least studied forms of toxicity. Current guidelines for DNT testing are based on in vivo testing and they require extensive resources. Transcriptomic approaches using relevant in vitro models have been suggested as a useful tool for identifying possible DNT-generating compounds. In this study, we performed whole genome microarray analysis on the murine progenitor cell line C17.2 following 5 and 10 days of differentiation. We identified 30 genes that are strongly associated with neural differentiation. The C17.2 cell line can be differentiated into a co-culture of both neurons and neuroglial cells, giving a more relevant picture of the brain than using neuronal cells alone. Among the most highly upregulated genes were genes involved in neurogenesis (CHRDL1), axonal guidance (BMP4), neuronal connectivity (PLXDC2), axonogenesis (RTN4R) and astrocyte differentiation (S100B). The 30 biomarkers were further validated by exposure to non-cytotoxic concentrations of two DNT-inducing compounds (valproic acid and methylmercury) and one neurotoxic chemical possessing a possible DNT activity (acrylamide). Twenty-eight of the 30 biomarkers were altered by at least one of the neurotoxic substances, proving the importance of these biomarkers during differentiation. These results suggest that gene expression profiling using a predefined set of biomarkers could be used as a sensitive tool for initial DNT screening of chemicals. Using a predefined set of mRNA biomarkers, instead of the whole genome, makes this model affordable and high-throughput. The use of such models could help speed up the initial screening of substances, possibly indicating alerts that need to be further studied in more sophisticated models.
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| 5. |
- Béquignon, Olivier J. M., et al.
(författare)
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Collaborative SAR Modeling and Prospective In Vitro Validation of Oxidative Stress Activation in Human HepG2 Cells
- 2023
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Ingår i: Journal of Chemical Information and Modeling. - : American Chemical Society (ACS). - 1549-9596 .- 1549-960X. ; 63:17, s. 5433-5445
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Oxidative stress is the consequence of an abnormal increase of reactive oxygen species (ROS). ROS are generated mainly during the metabolism in both normal and pathological conditions as well as from exposure to xenobiotics. Xenobiotics can, on the one hand, disrupt molecular machinery involved in redox processes and, on the other hand, reduce the effectiveness of the antioxidant activity. Such dysregulation may lead to oxidative damage when combined with oxidative stress overpassing the cell capacity to detoxify ROS. In this work, a green fluorescent protein (GFP)-tagged nuclear factor erythroid 2-related factor 2 (NRF2)-regulated sulfiredoxin reporter (Srxn1-GFP) was used to measure the antioxidant response of HepG2 cells to a large series of drug and drug-like compounds (2230 compounds). These compounds were then classified as positive or negative depending on cellular response and distributed among different modeling groups to establish structure-activity relationship (SAR) models. A selection of models was used to prospectively predict oxidative stress induced by a new set of compounds subsequently experimentally tested to validate the model predictions. Altogether, this exercise exemplifies the different challenges of developing SAR models of a phenotypic cellular readout, model combination, chemical space selection, and results interpretation.
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| 6. |
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| 7. |
- Dracheva, Elena, et al.
(författare)
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In Silico Identification of Potential Thyroid Hormone System Disruptors among Chemicals in Human Serum and Chemicals with a High Exposure Index
- 2022
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Ingår i: Environmental Science and Technology. - : American Chemical Society (ACS). - 0013-936X .- 1520-5851. ; 56:12, s. 8363-8372
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Data on toxic effects are at large missing the prevailing understanding of the risks of industrial chemicals. Thyroid hormone (TH) system disruption includes interferences of the life cycle of the thyroid hormones and may occur in various organs. In the current study, high-throughput screening data available for 14 putative molecular initiating events of adverse outcome pathways, related to disruption of the TH system, were used to develop 19 in silico models for identification of potential thyroid hormone system-disrupting chemicals. The conformal prediction framework with the underlying Random Forest was used as a wrapper for the models allowing for setting the desired confidence level and controlling the error rate of predictions. The trained models were then applied to two different databases: (i) an in-house database comprising xenobiotics identified in human blood and ii) currently used chemicals registered in the Swedish Product Register, which have been predicted to have a high exposure index to consumers. The application of these models showed that among currently used chemicals, fewer were overall predicted as active compared to chemicals identified in human blood. Chemicals of specific concern for TH disruption were identified from both databases based on their predicted activity.
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| 8. |
- Eklund, Martin, et al.
(författare)
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Choosing Feature Selection and Learning Algorithms in QSAR
- 2014
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Ingår i: J CHEM INF MODEL. - Washington DC : American Chemical Society (ACS). - 1549-9596 .- 1549-960X. ; 54:3, s. 837-843
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Feature selection is an important part of contemporary QSAR analysis. In a recently published paper, we investigated the performance of different feature selection methods in a large number of in silico experiments conducted using real QSAR datasets. However, an interesting question that we did not address is whether certain feature selection methods are better than others in combination with certain learning methods, in terms of producing models with high prediction accuracy. In this report we extend our work from the previous investigation by using four different feature selection methods (wrapper, ReliefF, MARS, and elastic nets), together with eight learners (MARS, elastic net, random forest, SVM, neural networks, multiple linear regression, PLS, kNN) in an empirical investigation to address this question. The results indicate that state-of-the-art learners (random forest, SVM, and neural networks) do not gain prediction accuracy from feature selection, and we found no evidence that a certain feature selection is particularly well-suited for use in combination with a certain learner.
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| 9. |
- Eklund, Martin, et al.
(författare)
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The application of conformal prediction to the drug discovery process
- 2015
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Ingår i: Annals of Mathematics and Artificial Intelligence. - : Springer Science+Business Media B.V.. - 1012-2443 .- 1573-7470. ; 74:1-2, s. 117-132
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- QSAR modeling is a method for predicting properties, e.g. the solubility or toxicity, of chemical compounds using machine learning techniques. QSAR is in widespread use within the pharmaceutical industry to prioritize compounds for experimental testing or to alert for potential toxicity during the drug discovery process. However, the confidence or reliability of predictions from a QSAR model are difficult to accurately assess. We frame the application of QSAR to preclinical drug development in an off-line inductive conformal prediction framework and apply it prospectively to historical data collected from four different assays within AstraZeneca over a time course of about five years. The results indicate weakened validity of the conformal predictor due to violations of the randomness assumption. The validity can be strengthen by adopting semi-off-line conformal prediction. The non-randomness of the data prevents exactly valid predictions but comparisons to the results of a traditional QSAR procedure applied to the same data indicate that conformal predictions are highly useful in the drug discovery process.
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| 10. |
- Escher, Sylvia E., et al.
(författare)
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Integrate mechanistic evidence from new approach methodologies (NAMs) into a read-across assessment to characterise trends in shared mode of action
- 2022
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Ingår i: Toxicology in Vitro. - : Elsevier. - 0887-2333 .- 1879-3177. ; 79
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Read-across approaches often remain inconclusive as they do not provide sufficient evidence on a common mode of action across the category members. This read-across case study on thirteen, structurally similar, branched aliphatic carboxylic acids investigates the concept of using human-based new approach methods, such as in vitro and in silico models, to demonstrate biological similarity.Five out of the thirteen analogues have preclinical in vivo studies. Three out of them induced lipid accumulation or hypertrophy in preclinical studies with repeated exposure, which leads to the read-across hypothesis that the analogues can potentially induce hepatic steatosis.To confirm the selection of analogues, the expression patterns of the induced differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were analysed in a human liver model. With increasing dose, the expression pattern within the tested analogues got more similar, which serves as a first indication of a common mode of action and suggests differences in the potency of the analogues.Hepatic steatosis is a well-known adverse outcome, for which over 55 adverse outcome pathways have been identified. The resulting adverse outcome pathway (AOP) network, comprised a total 43 MIEs/KEs and enabled the design of an in vitro testing battery. From the AOP network, ten MIEs, early and late KEs were tested to systematically investigate a common mode of action among the grouped compounds.The targeted testing of AOP specific MIE/KEs shows that biological activity in the category decreases with side chain length. A similar trend was evident in measuring liver alterations in zebra fish embryos. However, activation of single MIEs or early KEs at in vivo relevant doses did not necessarily progress to the late KE “lipid accumulation”. KEs not related to the read-across hypothesis, testing for example general mitochondrial stress responses in liver cells, showed no trend or biological similarity.Testing scope is a key issue in the design of in vitro test batteries. The Dempster-Shafer decision theory predicted those analogues with in vivo reference data correctly using one human liver model or the CALUX reporter assays.The case study shows that the read-across hypothesis is the key element to designing the testing strategy. In the case of a good mechanistic understanding, an AOP facilitates the selection of reliable human in vitro models to demonstrate a common mode of action. Testing DEGs, MIEs and early KEs served to show biological similarity, whereas the late KEs become important for confirmation, as progression from MIEs to AO is not always guaranteed.
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