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- Vandenput, L., et al.
(author)
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A meta-analysis of previous falls and subsequent fracture risk in cohort studies
- 2024
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In: Osteoporosis International. - : Springer Nature. - 0937-941X .- 1433-2965. ; 35:3, s. 469-494
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Summary: The relationship between self-reported falls and fracture risk was estimated in an international meta-analysis of individual-level data from 46 prospective cohorts. Previous falls were associated with an increased fracture risk in women and men and should be considered as an additional risk factor in the FRAX® algorithm. Introduction: Previous falls are a well-documented risk factor for subsequent fracture but have not yet been incorporated into the FRAX algorithm. The aim of this study was to evaluate, in an international meta-analysis, the association between previous falls and subsequent fracture risk and its relation to sex, age, duration of follow-up, and bone mineral density (BMD). Methods: The resource comprised 906,359 women and men (66.9% female) from 46 prospective cohorts. Previous falls were uniformly defined as any fall occurring during the previous year in 43 cohorts; the remaining three cohorts had a different question construct. The association between previous falls and fracture risk (any clinical fracture, osteoporotic fracture, major osteoporotic fracture, and hip fracture) was examined using an extension of the Poisson regression model in each cohort and each sex, followed by random-effects meta-analyses of the weighted beta coefficients. Results: Falls in the past year were reported in 21.4% of individuals. During a follow-up of 9,102,207 person-years, 87,352 fractures occurred of which 19,509 were hip fractures. A previous fall was associated with a significantly increased risk of any clinical fracture both in women (hazard ratio (HR) 1.42, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.33–1.51) and men (HR 1.53, 95% CI 1.41–1.67). The HRs were of similar magnitude for osteoporotic, major osteoporotic fracture, and hip fracture. Sex significantly modified the association between previous fall and fracture risk, with predictive values being higher in men than in women (e.g., for major osteoporotic fracture, HR 1.53 (95% CI 1.27–1.84) in men vs. HR 1.32 (95% CI 1.20–1.45) in women, P for interaction = 0.013). The HRs associated with previous falls decreased with age in women and with duration of follow-up in men and women for most fracture outcomes. There was no evidence of an interaction between falls and BMD for fracture risk. Subsequent risk for a major osteoporotic fracture increased with each additional previous fall in women and men. Conclusions: A previous self-reported fall confers an increased risk of fracture that is largely independent of BMD. Previous falls should be considered as an additional risk factor in future iterations of FRAX to improve fracture risk prediction.
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| 2. |
- Vandenput, Liesbeth, et al.
(author)
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A meta-analysis of previous falls and subsequent fracture risk in cohort studies
- 2024
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In: Osteoporosis International. - : Springer. - 0937-941X .- 1433-2965. ; 35:3, s. 469-494
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- SummaryThe relationship between self-reported falls and fracture risk was estimated in an international meta-analysis of individual-level data from 46 prospective cohorts. Previous falls were associated with an increased fracture risk in women and men and should be considered as an additional risk factor in the FRAX® algorithm.IntroductionPrevious falls are a well-documented risk factor for subsequent fracture but have not yet been incorporated into the FRAX algorithm. The aim of this study was to evaluate, in an international meta-analysis, the association between previous falls and subsequent fracture risk and its relation to sex, age, duration of follow-up, and bone mineral density (BMD).MethodsThe resource comprised 906,359 women and men (66.9% female) from 46 prospective cohorts. Previous falls were uniformly defined as any fall occurring during the previous year in 43 cohorts; the remaining three cohorts had a different question construct. The association between previous falls and fracture risk (any clinical fracture, osteoporotic fracture, major osteoporotic fracture, and hip fracture) was examined using an extension of the Poisson regression model in each cohort and each sex, followed by random-effects meta-analyses of the weighted beta coefficients.ResultsFalls in the past year were reported in 21.4% of individuals. During a follow-up of 9,102,207 person-years, 87,352 fractures occurred of which 19,509 were hip fractures. A previous fall was associated with a significantly increased risk of any clinical fracture both in women (hazard ratio (HR) 1.42, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.33–1.51) and men (HR 1.53, 95% CI 1.41–1.67). The HRs were of similar magnitude for osteoporotic, major osteoporotic fracture, and hip fracture. Sex significantly modified the association between previous fall and fracture risk, with predictive values being higher in men than in women (e.g., for major osteoporotic fracture, HR 1.53 (95% CI 1.27–1.84) in men vs. HR 1.32 (95% CI 1.20–1.45) in women, P for interaction = 0.013). The HRs associated with previous falls decreased with age in women and with duration of follow-up in men and women for most fracture outcomes. There was no evidence of an interaction between falls and BMD for fracture risk. Subsequent risk for a major osteoporotic fracture increased with each additional previous fall in women and men.ConclusionsA previous self-reported fall confers an increased risk of fracture that is largely independent of BMD. Previous falls should be considered as an additional risk factor in future iterations of FRAX to improve fracture risk prediction.
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| 3. |
- Albergaria, B. H., et al.
(author)
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A new FRAX model for Brazil
- 2023
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In: Archives of Osteoporosis. - 1862-3522 .- 1862-3514. ; 18:1
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- Summary : Fracture probabilities derived from the original FRAX model for Brazil were compared to those from an updated model based on more recent regional estimates of the incidence of hip fracture. Fracture probabilities were consistently lower in the updated FRAX model. Despite large differences between models, differences in the rank order of fracture probabilities were minimal. Objective: Recent epidemiological data indicate that the risk of hip fracture in Brazil is lower than that used to create the original FRAX model. This paper describes the epidemiology of hip fracture in Brazil and the synthesis of an updated FRAX model with the aim of comparing this new model with the original model. Methods: Hip fracture rates from three cities in three regions were combined, weighted by the population of each region. For other major fractures, incidence rates for Brazil were estimated using Swedish ratios for hip to other major osteoporotic fracture (humerus, forearm or clinical vertebral fractures). Mortality estimates were taken from the UN. Results: Compared to the original FRAX model, the updated model gave lower 10-year fracture probabilities in men and women at all ages. Notwithstanding, there was a very close correlation in fracture probabilities between the original and updated models (r > 0.99) so that the revisions had little impact on the rank order of risk. Conclusion: The disparities between the original and updated FRAX models indicate the importance of updating country-specific FRAX models with the advent of significant changes in fracture epidemiology.
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| 4. |
- Schini, M., et al.
(author)
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An overview of the use of the fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX) in osteoporosis
- 2024
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In: Journal of Endocrinological Investigation. - 0391-4097. ; 47:3, s. 501-511
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Research review (peer-reviewed)abstract
- FRAX (R), a simple-to-use fracture risk calculator, was first released in 2008 and since then has been used increasingly worldwide. By calculating the 10-year probabilities of a major osteoporotic fracture and hip fracture, it assists clinicians when deciding whether further investigation, for example a bone mineral density measurement (BMD), and/or treatment is needed to prevent future fractures. In this review, we explore the literature around osteoporosis and how FRAX has changed its management. We present the characteristics of this tool and describe the use of thresholds (diagnostic and therapeutic). We also present arguments as to why screening with FRAX should be considered. FRAX has several limitations which are described in this review. This review coincides with the release of a version, FRAXplus, which addresses some of these limitations.
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| 7. |
- Schini, M., et al.
(author)
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Increased fracture risk in Parkinson's disease - An exploration of mechanisms and consequences for fracture prediction with FRAX
- 2023
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In: Bone. - : Elsevier BV. - 8756-3282. ; 168
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Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
- The relative contributions of factors such as muscle strength, falls risk and low bone mineral density (BMD) to increased fracture risk in Parkinson's Disease (PD) were examined in an analysis of 5212 community-dwelling women age 75 years or more recruited to a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled study of the oral bisphosphonate, clodronate. Similar number of PD and non-PD subjects received treatment. Each participant had measurements of hip and forearm BMD, muscle strength (hand grip strength and maximum isometric quadriceps strength), ability in the sit-to-stand test, and postural stability. Incident radiographic and/or surgically verified fractures, and deaths, were recorded over an average follow-up of 3.8 years. A diagnosis of PD was made if it was self-reported and appropriate medication was recorded at the study entry. 47 of the women (0.9 %) had a diagnosis of PD at baseline. They were of similar age to those without PD, but reported higher disability scores and lower quality of life. While BMD at the forearm and hip regions was lower in PD, this only reached statistical significance at the femoral neck (0.61 +/- 0.12 vs 0.65 +/- 0.12 g/cm2, p = 0.037). Right hand grip strength was non-significantly lower in PD, but maximum right quadriceps strength was much reduced (96.9 +/- 49.3 vs 126.3 +/- 59.2 N, p = 0.003). Eleven (23.4 %) of the women with PD sustained 12 fractures, while 609 women (11.8 %) without PD sustained 742 osteoporotic fractures. The risk of osteoporotic fracture associated with PD was 2.24-fold higher in women with PD (Cox-regression HR 2.24, 95 % CI 1.23-4.06) and this remained high when adjusted for death as a competing risk (2.17, 95 % CI 1.17-4.01, p = 0.013). Following adjustment for femoral neck BMD, PD remained a significant predictor of fracture (HR 2.04, 1.12-3.70, p = 0.020). Entering PD as a risk variable using the rheumatoid arthritis input as a surrogate resulted in a reduction in PD as a FRAX-independent risk factor, particularly when BMD was included in FRAX (1.65, 95 % CI), but the relationship between PD and fracture risk appears to remain of clinical significance. The study suggests that PD may be an independent input in future iterations of FRAX, possibly due to nonskeletal components of risk such as reduced lower limb muscle strength. Introducing measures of muscle strength and performance in FRAX could also be considered.
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