| 1. |
|
|
| 2. |
- Barthel, Roland, 1967, et al.
(författare)
-
Global change impacts on groundwater in Southern Germany-Part 2: Socioeconomic aspects
- 2011
-
Ingår i: Grundwasser. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 1430-483X .- 1432-1165. ; 16:4, s. 259-268
-
Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- In order to account for complex interactions between humans climate and the water cycle, the research consortium GLOWA-Danube http://www. glowa-danube. de has developed the simulation system DANUBIA which consists of 17 coupled models. DANUBIA was applied to investigate various impacts of global-change between 2011 and 2060 in the Upper Danube Catchment. This article describes part 2 of an article series with investigations of socio-economic aspects, while part 1 (Barthel et al. in Grundwasser 16(4), doi:10. 1007/s007-011-01794, 2011) deals with natural-spatial aspects. The principles of socio-economic actor-modeling and interactions between socio-economic and natural science model components are described here. We present selected simulations that show impacts on groundwater from changes in agriculture, tourism, economy, domestic water users and water supply. Despite decreases in water consumption, the scenario simulations show significant decreases in groundwater quantity. On the other hand, groundwater quality will likely be influenced more severely by land use changes compared to direct climatic causes. However, overall changes will not be dramatic. © 2011 Springer-Verlag.
|
|
| 3. |
- Schmude, J., et al.
(författare)
-
Entrepreneurship Research in Germany
- 2008
-
Ingår i: Entrepreneurship. - 1042-2587 .- 1540-6520. ; 32:2, s. 289-311
-
Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)
|
|
| 4. |
- Soboll, A., et al.
(författare)
-
Integrated regional modelling and scenario development to evaluate future water demand under global change conditions
- 2011
-
Ingår i: Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 1381-2386 .- 1573-1596. ; 16:4, s. 477-498
-
Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Within climate change impact research, the consideration of socioeconomic processes remains a challenge. Socioeconomic systems must be equipped to react and adapt to global change. However, any reasonable development or assessment of sustainable adaptation strategies requires a comprehensive consideration of human-environment interactions. This requirement can be met through multi-agent simulation, as demonstrated in the interdisciplinary project GLOWA-Danube (GLObal change of the WAter Cycle; www. glowa-danube.de). GLOWA-Danube has developed an integrated decision support tool for water and land use management in the Upper Danube catchment (parts of Germany and Austria, 77,000 km 2). The scientific disciplines invoked in the project have implemented sixteen natural and social science models, which are embedded in the simulation framework DANUBIA. Within DANUBIA, a multi-agent simulation approach is used to represent relevant socioeconomic processes. The structure and results of three of these multi-agent models, WaterSupply, Household and Tourism, are presented in this paper. A main focus of the paper is on the development of global change scenarios (climate and society) and their application to the presented models. The results of different simulation runs demonstrate the potential of multi-agent models to represent feedbacks between different water users and the environment. Moreover, the interactive usage of the framework allows to define and vary scenario assumptions so as to assess the impact of potential interventions. It is shown that integrated modelling and scenario design not only provide valuable information, but also offer a platform for discussing complex human-environment-interactions with stakeholders. © 2010 Springer Science+Business Media B.V.
|
|
