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- Pantazis, N, et al.
(författare)
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Determining the likely place of HIV acquisition for migrants in Europe combining subject-specific information and biomarkers data
- 2019
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Ingår i: Statistical methods in medical research. - : SAGE Publications. - 1477-0334 .- 0962-2802. ; 28:7, s. 1979-1997
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- In most HIV-positive individuals, infection time is only known to lie between the time an individual started being at risk for HIV and diagnosis time. However, a more accurate estimate of infection time is very important in certain cases. For example, one of the objectives of the Advancing Migrant Access to Health Services in Europe (aMASE) study was to determine if HIV-positive migrants, diagnosed in Europe, were infected pre- or post-migration. We propose a method to derive subject-specific estimates of unknown infection times using information from HIV biomarkers’ measurements, demographic, clinical, and behavioral data. We assume that CD4 cell count (CD4) and HIV-RNA viral load trends after HIV infection follow a bivariate linear mixed model. Using post-diagnosis CD4 and viral load measurements and applying the Bayes’ rule, we derived the posterior distribution of the HIV infection time, whereas the prior distribution was informed by AIDS status at diagnosis and behavioral data. Parameters of the CD4–viral load and time-to-AIDS models were estimated using data from a large study of individuals with known HIV infection times (CASCADE). Simulations showed substantial predictive ability (e.g. 84% of the infections were correctly classified as pre- or post-migration). Application to the aMASE study ( n = 2009) showed that 47% of African migrants and 67% to 72% of migrants from other regions were most likely infected post-migration. Applying a Bayesian method based on bivariate modeling of CD4 and viral load, and subject-specific information, we found that the majority of HIV-positive migrants in aMASE were most likely infected after their migration to Europe.
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| 3. |
- Lakens, Daniel, et al.
(författare)
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Justify your alpha
- 2018
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Ingår i: Nature Human Behaviour. - : Nature Publishing Group. - 2397-3374. ; 2:3, s. 168-171
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- In response to recommendations to redefine statistical significance to P ≤ 0.005, we propose that researchers should transparently report and justify all choices they make when designing a study, including the alpha level.
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| 9. |
- Crawley, C, et al.
(författare)
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Outcomes of reduced-intensity transplantation for chronic myeloid leukemia : an analysis of prognóstic factors from the Chronic Leukemia Working Party of the EBMT
- 2005
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Ingår i: Blood. - : American Society of Hematology. - 0006-4971 .- 1528-0020. ; 106:9, s. 2969-2976
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- This study reports outcomes of allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation with reduced-intensity conditioning (RIC) in 186 patients with chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) from the European Group for Blood and Marrow Transplantation (EBMT). The median age was 50 years, and 64% were in first chronic phase (CP1), CP2 13%, accelerated phase 17%, and blast crises 6%. The median EBMT transplant score was 3. The day 100 transplantation-related mortality (TRM) was 6.1% (confidence interval [CI], 3.4%-11%) but rose to 23.3% (CI, 14%-27%) at 2 years. Fludarabine, busulfan, and antithymocyte globulin (Fd/Bu/ATG) was associated with the lowest TRM of 11.6% (CI, 4.7%-11%) at 1 year. Acute graft-versus-host disease (GvHD) grade II to IV occurred in 32% and chronic GvHD in 43% (extensive in 24%). ATG was associated with a lower incidence of chronic GvHD (cGvHD). The overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) at 3 years were 58% (CI, 50%-66%) and 37% (CI, 30%-45%), respectively. Adverse OS was associated with advanced disease (relative risk [RR], 3.4). PFS was inferior in advanced disease (RR, 2.7) and a trend to improved outcomes with Fd/Bu/ATG (RR, 0.58). RIC allografts are feasible in CML in first or second CP. Since no other RIC regimen demonstrated superiority, Fd/Bu/ATG should be considered as baseline in future prospective trials.
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