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2.
  • Menkveld, Albert J., et al. (author)
  • Nonstandard Errors
  • 2024
  • In: JOURNAL OF FINANCE. - : Wiley-Blackwell. - 0022-1082 .- 1540-6261. ; 79:3, s. 2339-2390
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • In statistics, samples are drawn from a population in a data-generating process (DGP). Standard errors measure the uncertainty in estimates of population parameters. In science, evidence is generated to test hypotheses in an evidence-generating process (EGP). We claim that EGP variation across researchers adds uncertainty-nonstandard errors (NSEs). We study NSEs by letting 164 teams test the same hypotheses on the same data. NSEs turn out to be sizable, but smaller for more reproducible or higher rated research. Adding peer-review stages reduces NSEs. We further find that this type of uncertainty is underestimated by participants.
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  • Shmakov, A. G., et al. (author)
  • Formation and consumption of NO in H-2 + O-2 + N-2 flames doped with NO or NH3 at atmospheric pressure
  • 2010
  • In: Combustion and Flame. - : Elsevier BV. - 0010-2180. ; 157:3, s. 556-565
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • Flat premixed burner-stabilized H-2 + O-2 + N-2 flames, neat or doped with 300-1000 ppm of NO or NH3, were studied experimentally using molecular-beam mass-spectrometry and simulated numerically. Spatial profiles of temperature and concentrations of stable species, H-2, O-2, H2O, NO, NH3, and of H and OH radicals obtained at atmospheric pressure in lean (phi = 0.47), near-stoichiometric (phi = 1.1) and rich (phi = 2.0) flames are reported. Good agreement between measured and calculated structure of lean and near-stoichiometric flames was found. Significant discrepancy between simulated and measured profiles of NO concentration was observed in the rich flames. Sensitivity and reaction path analyses revealed reactions responsible for the discrepancy. Modification to the model was proposed to improve an overall agreement with the experiment. (C) 2009 The Combustion Institute. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
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6.
  • Moskalenko, R. A., et al. (author)
  • Involvement of proinflammatory S100A9/A8 in the atherocalcinosis of aortic valves
  • 2017
  • In: Pathologia. - : Zaporizʹkyĭ derz͡havnyĭ medychnyĭ universytet. - 2306-8027. ; :1, s. 49-56
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • According to the results of the Euro-Heart Survey on Vascular Heart Disease the most common pathology is nonrheumatic aortic stenosis, it is also called as calcific aortic valve stenosis (CAVS), as in its pathogenesis the process of biomineralization of valve cusps and ring plays the main role. The aim of the work is the immunohistochemical study of mineralized tissue of aortic heart valves, which are affected by atherocalcinosis. Materials and methods. 30 samples of mineralized aortic valves (I group) and 10 samples of aortic valve without evidence of biomineralization (II group - control) were studied. Immunohistochemical study of expression of collagen (Collagen I), CD68, myeloperoxidase (MPO), calgranulin A (S100A8), calgranulin B (8100A9), caspase 3 (Casp 3) and osteopontin (OPN) was conducted in AV tissue of both groups. Results. In CAV tissues the fibrillar component (collagen I) growths was found, but the quantitative and qualitative compositions of CD68+ circulating inflammatory cells are not significantly different from the control group. CAVs contain much more MPO+-cells (p <0.001) in comparison to the group of AVs without biomineralization. Our data show a significant increase of the S100A9 and OPN expression in the mineralized tissue of AVs (p <0.01). Also, a higher expression level of Casp3 and MPO was found in CAVs (p <0.05). Comparing the first and the second groups of AVs connection between the expression of S100A8 was not determined. Conclusion. High Casp 3 expression confirms the increased level of cell elimination in the CAVs tissue, which is obviously connected with the impact of high local concentrations of S100A9. These facts can contribute to the development of pathological biomineralization of AV. Since osteopontin inhibits the hydroxyapatite formation by binding to the surface of the crystals, its hyperproduction is a counteracting factor against biomineralization in AV tissue.
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7.
  • Kudlis, A., et al. (author)
  • All-optical magnetization control in CrI3 monolayers : A microscopic theory
  • 2023
  • In: Physical Review B. - : American Physical Society. - 2469-9950 .- 2469-9969. ; 108:9
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • Bright excitons in ferromagnetic monolayers of CrI3 efficiently interact with lattice magnetization, which makes all-optical resonant magnetization control possible in this material. Using the combination of ab initio simulations within the Bethe-Salpeter approach, semiconductor Bloch equations, and Landau-Lifshitz equations, we construct a microscopic theory of this effect. By solving numerically the resulting set of coupled equations describing the dynamics of atomic spins and spins of the excitons, we demonstrate the possibility of tunable control of the macroscopic magnetization of a sample.
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  • Åberg, Anna, et al. (author)
  • Helicobacter pylori adapts to chronic infection and gastric disease via ph-responsive baba-mediated adherence
  • 2017
  • In: Cell Host and Microbe. - : Elsevier BV. - 1931-3128 .- 1934-6069. ; 21:3, s. 376-389
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • The BabA adhesin mediates high-affinity binding of Helicobacter pylori to the ABO blood group antigen-glycosylated gastric mucosa. Here we show that BabA is acid responsive-binding is reduced at low pH and restored by acid neutralization. Acid responsiveness differs among strains; often correlates with different intragastric regions and evolves during chronic infection and disease progression; and depends on pH sensor sequences in BabA and on pH reversible formation of high-affinity binding BabA multimers. We propose that BabA's extraordinary reversible acid responsiveness enables tight mucosal bacterial adherence while also allowing an effective escape from epithelial cells and mucus that are shed into the acidic bactericidal lumen and that bio-selection and changes in BabA binding properties through mutation and recombination with babA-related genes are selected by differences among individuals and by changes in gastric acidity over time. These processes generate diverse H. pylori subpopulations, in which BabA's adaptive evolution contributes to H. pylori persistence and overt gastric disease.
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12.
  • Chernov, S. V., et al. (author)
  • Sr2GaScO5, Sr10Ga6Sc4O25, and SrGa0,75Sc0,25O2,5: a Play in the Octahedra to Tetrahedra Ratio in Oxygen-Deficient Perovskites
  • 2012
  • In: Inorganic Chemistry. - : American Chemical Society (ACS). - 0020-1669 .- 1520-510X. ; 51:2, s. 1094-1103
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • Three different perovskite-related phases were isolated in the SrGa(1-x)Sc(x)O(2.5) system: Sr(2)GaScO(5), Sr(10)Ga(6)Sc(4)O(25), and SrGa(0.75)Sc(0.25)O(2.5), Sr(2)GaScO(5) (x = 0.5) crystallizes in a brownrnillerite-type structure [space group (S.G.) Icmm, a = 5.91048(5) angstrom, b = 15.1594(1) angstrom, and c = 5.70926(4) angstrom] with complete ordering of Sc(3+) and Ga(3+) over octahedral and tetrahedral positions, respectively. The crystal structure of Sr(10)Ga(6)Sc(4)O(25) (x = 0.4) was determined by the Monte Carlo method and refined using a combination of X-ray, neutron, and electron diffraction data [S.G. I4(1)/a, a = 17.517(1) angstrom, c = 32.830(3) angstrom]. It represents a novel type of ordering of the B cations and oxygen vacancies in perovskites. The crystal structure of Sr(10)Ga(6)Sc(4)O(25) can be described as a stacking of eight perovskite layers along the c axis ...[-(Sc/Ga)O(1.6)-SrO(0.8)-(Sc/Ga)O(1.8)-SrO(0.8)-](2 center dot center dot center dot) Similar to Sr(2)GaScO(5), this structure features a complete ordering of the Sc(3+) and Ga(3+) cations over octahedral and tetrahedral positions, respectively, within each layer. A specific feature of the crystal structure of Sr(10)Ga(6)Sc(4)O(25) is that one-third of the tetrahedra have one vertex not connected with other Sc/Ga cations. Further partial replacement of Sc(3+) by Ga(3+) leads to the formation of the cubic perovskite phase SrGa(0.75)Sc(0.25)O(2.5) (x = 0.25) with a = 3.9817(4) angstrom. This compound incorporates water molecules in the structure forming SrGa(0.75)Sc(0.25)O(2.5)center dot xH(2)O hydrate, which exhibits a proton conductivity of similar to 2.0 x 10(-6) S/cm at 673 K.
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13.
  • Lytvynenko, Y., et al. (author)
  • Control of the asymmetric band structure in Mn2Au by a ferromagnetic driver layer
  • 2023
  • In: Physical Review B. - 2469-9950 .- 2469-9969. ; 108:10
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • Hard x-ray angle-resolved photoemission spectroscopy reveals the momentum-resolved band structure in an epitaxial Mn2Au(001) film capped by a 2-nm-thick ferromagnetic permalloy layer. By magnetizing the permalloy capping layer, the exceptionally strong exchange bias aligns the Néel vector in the Mn2Au(001) film accordingly. Uncompensated interface Mn magnetic moments in Mn2Au were identified as the origin of the exchange bias using x-ray magnetic circular dichroism in combination with photoelectron emission microscopy. Using time-of-flight momentum microscopy, we measure the asymmetry of the band structure, E(k)≠E(-k), in Mn2Au resulting from the homogeneous orientation of the Néel vector. Comparison with theory shows that the Néel vector, determined by the magnetic moment of the top Mn layer, is antiparallel to the permalloy magnetization. The experimental results demonstrate that hard x-ray photoemission spectroscopy can measure the band structure of epitaxial layers beneath a metallic capping layer and corroborate the asymmetric band structure in Mn2Au that was previously inferred only indirectly.
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14.
  • Nagirnyi, V, et al. (author)
  • Iron-related luminescence centers in ZnWO4 : Fe
  • 2002
  • In: Radiation Effects and Defects in Solids. - : Informa UK Limited. - 1042-0150 .- 1029-4953. ; 157, s. 1123-1123
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • A systematic spectroscopic study of single ZnWO4 :Fe crystals with different iron concentrations has been performed under excitation by ultraviolet light, by synchrotron radiation or under photostimulation by near-infrared light. The luminescence of Fe3+-related centres has been studied. It is shown that iron centres of different types efficiently promote the formation of crystal defects at low temperatures. Electrons and holes can be trapped near Fe2+ or Fe3+ ions, which is further revealed in phosphorescence, thermostimulated or photostimulated luminescence. At room temperature the main effect of iron impurity is to reduce the light yield of a ZnWO4 scintillator.
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15.
  • Schönhense, G., et al. (author)
  • Time-of-flight photoelectron momentum microscopy with 80-500 MHz photon sources : Electron-optical pulse picker or bandpass pre-filter
  • 2021
  • In: Journal of Synchrotron Radiation. - 0909-0495. ; 28, s. 1891-1908
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • The small time gaps of synchrotron radiation in conventional multi-bunch mode (100-500 MHz) or laser-based sources with high pulse rate (∼80 MHz) are prohibitive for time-of-flight (ToF) based photoelectron spectroscopy. Detectors with time resolution in the 100 ps range yield only 20-100 resolved time slices within the small time gap. Here we present two techniques of implementing efficient ToF recording at sources with high repetition rate. A fast electron-optical beam blanking unit with GHz bandwidth, integrated in a photoelectron momentum microscope, allows electron-optical 'pulse-picking' with any desired repetition period. Aberration-free momentum distributions have been recorded at reduced pulse periods of 5 MHz (at MAX II) and 1.25 MHz (at BESSY II). The approach is compared with two alternative solutions: A bandpass pre-filter (here a hemispherical analyzer) or a parasitic four-bunch island-orbit pulse train, coexisting with the multi-bunch pattern on the main orbit. Chopping in the time domain or bandpass pre-selection in the energy domain can both enable efficient ToF spectroscopy and photoelectron momentum microscopy at 100-500 MHz synchrotrons, highly repetitive lasers or cavity-enhanced high-harmonic sources. The high photon flux of a UV-laser (80 MHz, <1 meV bandwidth) facilitates momentum microscopy with an energy resolution of 4.2 meV and an analyzed region-of-interest (ROI) down to <800 nm. In this novel approach to 'sub-μm-ARPES' the ROI is defined by a small field aperture in an intermediate Gaussian image, regardless of the size of the photon spot.
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  • Bragina, O. D., et al. (author)
  • Possibilities of predicting the HER2 / neu status in a primary tumor in breast cancer patients using (99)mTc-DARPinG3
  • 2022
  • In: BYULLETEN SIBIRSKOY MEDITSINY. - : SIBERIAN STATE MEDICAL UNIV. - 1682-0363 .- 1819-3684. ; 21:4, s. 6-12
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • Aim: To determine informative prognostic criteria for assessing the HER2 / neu status in primary breast cancer using 99mTc-DARPinG3.Materials and methods; The study included 10 patients with breast cancer (T1-4N0-2M0) before systemic therapy, who underwent a radionuclide study using 99mTc-DARPinG3 at a dose of 3,000 & mu;g. Five patients were characterized by HER2 / neu overexpression in primary breast cancer, whereas 5 patients were HER2-negative. For all patients, morphological and immunohistochemical studies and fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) of the primary tu-mor nodule were carried out. Single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) of the chest was performed for all patients 4 hours after the injection of 99mTc-DARPinG3.Results: The total activity of 99mTc-DARPinG3 was 522.4 & PLUSMN; 341.8 MBq. The comparative analysis showed that higher uptake of the labeled protein in HER2-positive breast cancer was significant (p = 0.0159, Mann - Whitney U test). The analysis of the ratios showed significant differences in the tumor-to-background ratios in patients with HER2-positive breast cancer (p < 0.0159, Mann - Whitney U test). Based on the logistic regression analysis, a mathematical model was developed to predict the status of HER2 / neu in primary breast cancer patients (specificity and sensitivity 100%; p = 0.0004) using 99mTc-DARPinG3 at a dose of 3,000 mcg 4 hours after the injection of the radiopharmaceutical.Conclusion: The results of the study allow to consider the tumor-to-background ratio 4 hours after the injection of 99mTc-DARPinG3 as an additional prognostic parameter for determining the HER2 / neu status in primary breast cancer.
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  • Bragina, O. D., et al. (author)
  • Possibilities of radionuclide diagnostics of Her2-positive breast cancer using technetium-99m-labeled target molecules : the first experience of clinical use
  • 2021
  • In: Bûlleten' sibirskoj mediciny. - : Siberian State Medical University. - 1682-0363 .- 1819-3684. ; 20:1, s. 23-30
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • Background. The main purpose of the Her2/neu status determination in clinical practice is to determine the indications for the appointment of targeted therapy. The main methods for detecting the Her2/neu status are the immunohistochemical method (IHC) and the fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH); however, despite their widespread use, they have a number of significant disadvantages. Over the past few years, radionuclide diagnostics using a new class of alternative scaffold proteins that meet all the requirements for optimal delivery of radionuclides to tumor cells has become widespread.Aim. To study the possibility of clinical use of a radiopharmaceutical based on technetium-99m-labeled target molecules for the diagnosis of breast cancer with the Her2/neu overexpression in humans.Materials and methods. The study included 11 patients with breast cancer (T1–4N0–2M0) before systemic therapy: 5 with Her2/neu overexpression; expression of the marker was not detected in 6. In all cases, morphologicaland immunohistochemical studies were performed. In case of Her2/neu 2+, FISH analysis was performed. The radiopharmaceutical was prepared immediately before administration, after which it was slowly injected intravenously into the patient. Scintigraphic studies in the “WholeBody”  mode and SPECT of the chest organs were performed 2, 4, 6 and 24 hours after injection.Results. Radiochemical yield, radiochemical purity and activity before administration were (80 ± 4)%, (98 ± 1)% and (434 ± 19.5) MBq, respectively. The greatest uptake by normal organs was observed at a time interval of 6 hours in the kidneys and at a moderate activity in the liver and lungs at the same time interval. The organ with the highest absorbed dose was the  kidneys; significant accumulation was also detected in the adrenal glands,  gallbladder, liver, pancreas and spleen. The smallest accu mulation of the  studied drug was observed in the brain (0.001 ± 0.000) mGy and skin (0.001  ± 0.000) mGy. The effective dose was (0.009 ± 0.002) mGy. The difference between tumors with positive and negative Her2-neu expression was found at all time points. In this case, the best indicator was determined after 2 hours of drug injection (р < 0.05).Conclusion. Based on the results obtained, it can be indicated that the investigated radiopharmaceutical can be considered as a new additional method for the diagnosis of Her2-positive breast tumors.
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18.
  • Callaghan, T.V., et al. (author)
  • Arctic Terrestrial Ecosystems
  • 2013
  • In: Encyclopedia of Biodiversity, second edition. ; , s. 227-244
  • Book chapter (peer-reviewed)
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19.
  • Callaghan, Terry V., et al. (author)
  • Biodiversity, distributions and adaptations of arctic species in the context of environmental change
  • 2004
  • In: Ambio: a Journal of Human Environment. - : Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. - 0044-7447. ; 33:7, s. 404-417
  • Research review (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • The individual of a species is the basic unit which responds to climate and UV-B changes, and it responds over a wide range of time scales. The diversity of animal, plant and microbial species appears to be low in the Arctic, and decreases from the boreal forests to the polar deserts of the extreme North but primitive species are particularly abundant. This latitudinal decline is associated with an increase in super-dominant species that occupy a wide range of habitats. Climate warming is expected to reduce the abundance and restrict the ranges of such species and to affect species at their northern range boundaries more than in the South: some Arctic animal and plant specialists could face extinction. Species most likely to expand into tundra are boreal species that currently exist as outlier populations in the Arctic. Many plant species have characteristics that allow them to survive short snow-free growing seasons, low solar angles, permafrost and low soil temperatures, low nutrient availability and physical disturbance. Many of these characteristics are likely to limit species responses to climate warming, but mainly because of poor competitive ability compared with potential immigrant species. Terrestrial Arctic animals possess many adaptations that enable them to persist under a wide range of temperatures in the Arctic. Many escape unfavorable weather and resource shortage by winter dormancy or by migration. The biotic environment of Arctic animal species is relatively simple with few enemies, competitors, diseases, parasites and available food resources. Terrestrial Arctic animals are likely to be most vulnerable to warmer and drier summers, climatic changes that interfere with migration routes and staging areas, altered snow conditions and freeze-thaw cycles in winter, climate-induced disruption of the seasonal timing of reproduction and development, and influx of new competitors, predators, parasites and diseases. Arctic microorganisms are also well adapted to the Arctics climate: some can metabolize at temperatures down to -39degreesC. Cyanobacteria and algae have a wide range of adaptive strategies that allow them to avoid, or at least minimize UV injury. Microorganisms can tolerate most environmental conditions and they have short generation times which can facilitate rapid adaptation to new environments. In contrast, Arctic plant and animal species are very likely to change their distributions rather than evolve significantly in response to warming.
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20.
  • Callaghan, Terry V., et al. (author)
  • Climate Change and UV-B Impacts on Arctic Tundra and Polar Desert Ecosystems: Key Findings and Extended Summaries
  • 2004
  • In: Ambio: a Journal of Human Environment. - 0044-7447. ; 33:7, s. 386-392
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • The Arctic has become an important region in which to assess the impacts of current climate variability and amplification of projected global warming. This is because i) the Arctic has experienced considerable warming in recent decades (an average of about 3°C and between 4° and 5°C over much of the landmass); i) climate projections suggest a continuation of the warming trend with an increase in mean annual temperatures of 4–5°C by 2080; ii) recent warming is already impacting the environment and economy of the Arctic and these impacts are expected to increase and affect also life style, culture and ecosystems; and iv) changes occurring in the Arctic are likely to affect other regions of the Earth, for example changes in snow, vegetation and sea ice are likely to affect the energy balance and ocean circulation at regional and even global scales (Chapter 1 in ref. 1). Responding to the urgent need to understand and project impacts of changes in climate and UV-B radiation on many facets of the Arctic, the Arctic Climate Impact Assessment (ACIA) (1) undertook a four-year study. Part of this study (1–10) assessed the impacts of changes in climate and UV-B radiation on Arctic terrestrial ecosystems, both those changes already occurring and those likely to occur in the future. Here, we present the key findings of the assessment of climate change impacts on tundra and polar desert ecosystems, and xtended summaries of its components.
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21.
  • Callaghan, Terry V., et al. (author)
  • Effects of changes in climate on landscape and regional processes, and feedbacks to the climate system
  • 2004
  • In: Ambio: a Journal of Human Environment. - 0044-7447. ; 33:7, s. 459-468
  • Research review (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • Biological and physical processes in the Arctic system operate at various temporal and spatial scales to impact large-scale feedbacks and interactions with the earth system. There are four main potential feedback mechanisms between the impacts of climate change on the Arctic and the global climate system: albedo, greenhouse gas emissions or uptake by ecosystems, greenhouse gas emissions from methane hydrates, and increased freshwater fluxes that could affect the thermohaline circulation. All these feedbacks are controlled to some extent by changes in ecosystem distribution and character and particularly by large-scale movement of vegetation zones. Indications from a few, full annual measurements of CO2 fluxes are that currently the source areas exceed sink areas in geographical distribution. The little available information on CH4 sources indicates that emissions at the landscape level are of great importance for the total greenhouse balance of the circumpolar North. Energy and water balances of Arctic landscapes are also important feedback mechanisms in a changing climate. Increasing density and spatial expansion of vegetation will cause a lowering of the albedo and more energy to be absorbed on the ground. This effect is likely to exceed the negative feedback of increased C sequestration in greater primary productivity resulting from the displacements of areas of polar desert by tundra, and areas of tundra by forest. The degradation of permafrost has complex consequences for trace gas dynamics. In areas of discontinuous permafrost, warming, will lead to a complete loss of the permafrost. Depending on local hydrological conditions this may in turn lead to a wetting or drying of the environment with subsequent implications for greenhouse gas fluxes. Overall, the complex interactions between processes contributing to feedbacks, variability over time and space in these processes, and insufficient data have generated considerable uncertainties in estimating the net effects of climate change on terrestrial feedbacks to the climate system. This uncertainty applies to magnitude, and even direction of some of the feedbacks.
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22.
  • Callaghan, T. V., et al. (author)
  • Effects on the function of arctic ecosystems in the short- and long-term perspectives
  • 2004
  • In: Ambio: a Journal of Human Environment. - : Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. - 0044-7447. ; 33, s. 448-458
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • Abstract in UndeterminedHistorically, the function of Arctic ecosystems in terms of cycles of nutrients and carbon has led to low levels of primary production and exchanges of energy, water and greenhouse gases have led to low local and regional cooling. Sequestration of carbon from atmospheric CO2, in extensive, cold organic soils and the high albedo from low, snow-covered vegetation have had impacts on regional climate. However, many aspects of the functioning of Arctic ecosystems are sensitive to changes in climate and its impacts on biodiversity. The current Arctic climate results in slow rates of organic matter decomposition. Arctic ecosystems therefore tend to accumulate organic matter and elements despite low inputs. As a result, soil-available elements like nitrogen and phosphorus are key limitations to increases in carbon fixation and further biomass and organic matter accumulation. Climate warming is expected to increase carbon and element turnover, particularly in soils, which may lead to initial losses of elements but eventual, slow recovery. Individual species and species diversity have clear impacts on element inputs and retention in Arctic ecosystems. Effects of increased CO2 and UV-B on whole ecosystems, on the other hand, are likely to be small although effects on plant tissue chemisty, decomposition and nitrogen fixation may become important in the long-term. Cycling of carbon in trace gas form is mainly as CO2 and CH4. Most carbon loss is in the form of CO2, produced by both plants and soil biota. Carbon emissions as methane from wet and moist tundra ecosystems are about 5% of emissions as CO2 and are responsive to warming in the absence of any other changes. Winter processes and vegetation type also affect CH4 emissions as well as exchanges of energy between biosphere and atmosphere. Arctic ecosystems exhibit the largest seasonal changes in energy exchange of any terrestrial ecosystem because of the large changes in albedo from late winter, when snow reflects most incoming radiation, to summer when the ecosystem absorbs most incoming radiation. Vegetation profoundly influences the water and energy exchange of Arctic ecosystems. Albedo during the period of snow cover declines from tundra to forest tundra to deciduous forest to evergreen forest. Shrubs and trees increase snow depth which in turn increases winter soil temperatures. Future changes in vegetation driven by climate change are therefore, very likely to profoundly alter regional climate.
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23.
  • Callaghan, Terry V., et al. (author)
  • Effects on the structure of arctic ecosystems in the short- and long-term perspectives
  • 2004
  • In: Ambio: a Journal of Human Environment. - : Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. - 0044-7447. ; 33:7, s. 436-447
  • Research review (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • Species individualistic responses to warming and increased UV-B radiation are moderated by the responses of neighbors within communities, and trophic interactions within ecosystems. All of these responses lead to changes in ecosystem structure. Experimental manipulation of environmental factors expected to change at high latitudes showed that summer warming of tundra vegetation has generally led to smaller changes than fertilizer addition. Some of the factors manipulated have strong effects on the structure of Arctic ecosystems but the effects vary regionally, with the greatest response of plant and invertebrate communities being observed at the coldest locations. Arctic invertebrate communities are very likely to respond rapidly to warming whereas microbial biomass and nutrient stocks are more stable. Experimentally enhanced UV-B radiation altered the community composition of gram-negative bacteria and fungi, but not that of plants. Increased plant productivity due to warmer summers may dominate food-web dynamics. Trophic interactions of tundra and sub-Arctic forest plant-based food webs are centered on a few dominant animal species which often have cyclic population fluctuations that lead to extremely high peak abundances in some years. Population cycles of small rodents and insect defoliators such as the autumn moth affect the structure and diversity of tundra and forest-tundra vegetation and the viability of a number of specialist predators and parasites. Ice crusting in warmer winters is likely to reduce the accessibility of plant food to lemmings, while deep snow may protect them from snow-surface predators. In Fennoscandia, there is evidence already for a pronounced shift in small rodent community structure and dynamics that have resulted in a decline of predators that specialize in feeding on small rodents. Climate is also likely to alter the role of insect pests in the birch forest system: warmer winters may increase survival of eggs and expand the range of the insects. Insects that harass reindeer in the summer are also likely to become more widespread, abundant and active during warmer summers while refuges for reindeer/caribou on glaciers and late snow patches will probably disappear.
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24.
  • Callaghan, Terry V., et al. (author)
  • Past changes in arctic terrestrial ecosystems, climate and UV radiation
  • 2004
  • In: Ambio: a Journal of Human Environment. - 0044-7447. ; 33:7, s. 398-403
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • At the last glacial maximum, vast ice sheets covered many continental areas. The beds of some shallow seas were exposed thereby connecting previously separated landmasses. Although some areas were ice-free and supported a flora and fauna, mean annual temperatures were 10-13degreesC colder than during the Holocene. Within a few millennia of the glacial maximum, deglaciation started, characterized by a series of climatic fluctuations between about 18 000 and 11 400 years ago. Following the general thermal maximum in the Holocene, there has been a modest overall cooling trend, superimposed upon which have been a series of millennial and centennial fluctuations in climate such as the "Little Ice Age spanning approximately the late 13th to early 19th centuries. Throughout the climatic fluctuations of the last 150 000 years, Arctic ecosystems and biota have been close to their minimum extent within the most recent 10 000 years. They suffered loss of diversity as a result of extinctions during the most recent large-magnitude rapid global warming at the end of the last glacial stage. Consequently, Arctic ecosystems and biota such as large vertebrates are already under pressure and are particularly vulnerable to current and projected future global warming. Evidence from the past indicates that the treeline will very as it probably advance, perhaps rapidly, into tundra areas, a it did during the early Holocene, reducing the extent of tundra and increasing the risk of species extinction. Species will very probably extend their ranges northwards, displacing Arctic species as in the past. However, unlike the early Holocene, when lower relative sea level allowed a belt of tundra to persist around at least some parts of the Arctic basin when treelines advanced to the present coast, sea level is very likely to rise in future, further restricting the area of tundra and other treeless Arctic ecosystems. The negative response of current Arctic ecosystems to global climatic conditions that are apparently without precedent during the Pleistocene is likely to be considerable, particularly as their exposure to co-occurring environmental changes (such as enhanced levels of UV-B, deposition of nitrogen compounds from the atmosphere, heavy metal and acidic pollution, radioactive contamination, increased habitat fragmentation) is also without precedent.
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25.
  • Callaghan, Terry V., et al. (author)
  • Rationale, concepts and approach to the assessment
  • 2004
  • In: Ambio: a Journal of Human Environment. - 0044-7447. ; 33:7, s. 393-397
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)abstract
    • A general recognition that the Arctic will amplify global climate warming, that UV-B radiation may continue to increase there because of possible delays in the repair of stratospheric ozone, and that the Arctic environment and its peoples are likely to be particularly susceptible to such environmental changes stimulated an international assessment of climate change impacts. The Arctic Climate Impacts Assessment (ACIA) is a four-year study, culminating in publication of a major scientific report (1) as well as other products. In this paper and those following in this Ambio Special Issue, we present the findings of the section of the report that focuses on terrestrial ecosystems of the Arctic, from the treeline ecotone to the polar deserts. The Arctic is generally recognized as a treeless wilderness with cold winters and cool summers. However, definitions of the southern boundary vary according to environmental, geographical or political biases. This paper and the assessment in the following papers of this Ambio Special Issue focus on biota (plants, animals and microorganisms) and processes in the region beyond the northern limit of the closed forest (the taiga), but we also include processes south of this boundary that affect ecosystems in the Arctic. Examples are overwintering periods of migratory animals spent in the south and the regulation of the latitudinal treeline. The geographical area we have defined as the current Arctic is the area we use for developing scenarios of future impacts: Our geographical area of interest will not decrease under a scenario of the replacement of current Arctic tundra by boreal forests.
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