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Sökning: WFRF:(Salih Sinan Q.)

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1.
  • Hadi, Sinan Jasim, et al. (författare)
  • Non-linear input variable selection approach integrated with non-tuned data intelligence model for streamflow pattern simulation
  • 2019
  • Ingår i: IEEE Access. - USA : IEEE. - 2169-3536. ; 7, s. 141533-141548
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Streamflow modeling is considered as an essential component for water resources planning and management. There are numerous challenges related to streamflow prediction that are facing water resources engineers. These challenges due to the complex processes associated with several natural variables such as non-stationarity, non-linearity, and randomness. In this study, a new model is proposed to predict long-term streamflow. Several lags that cover several years are abstracted using the potential of Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) then after the selected inputs variables are imposed into the predictive model (i.e., Extreme Learning Machine (ELM)). The proposed model is compared with the stand-alone schema in which the optimum lags of the variables are supplied into the XGB and ELM models. Hydrological variables including rainfall, temperature and evapotranspiration are used to build the model and predict the streamflow at Goksu-Himmeti basin in Turkey. The results showed that XGB model performed an excellent result in which can be used for predicting the streamflow pattern. Also, it is clear from the attained results that the accuracy of the streamflow prediction using XGB technique could be improved when the high number of lags was used. However, the implementation of the XGB is tree-based technique in which several issues could be raised such as overfitting problem. The proposed schema XGBELM in which XGB approach is selected the correlated inputs and ranking them according to their importance; then after, the selected inputs are supplied into the ELM model for the prediction process. The XGBELM model outperformed the stand-alone schema of both XGB and ELM models and the high-lagged schema of the XGB. It is important to indicate that the XGBELM model found to improve the prediction ability with minimum variables number.
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2.
  • Hadi, Sinan Jasim, et al. (författare)
  • The Capacity of the Hybridizing Wavelet Transformation Approach With Data-Driven Models for Modeling Monthly-Scale Streamflow
  • 2020
  • Ingår i: IEEE Access. - : IEEE. - 2169-3536. ; 8, s. 101993-102006
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Hybrid models that combine wavelet transformation (WT) as a pre-processing tool with data-driven models (DDMs) as modeling approaches have been widely investigated for forecasting streamflow. The WT approach has been applied to original time series for decomposing processes prior to the application of DDM modeling. This procedure has been applied to eliminate redundant patterns or information that lead to a dramatic increase in the model performance. In this study, three experiments were implemented, including stand-alone data-driven modeling, hind cast decomposing using WT divided and entered into the extreme learning machine (ELM), and the extreme gradient boosting (XGB) model to forecast streamflow data. The WT method was applied in two forms: discrete and continuous (DWT and CWT). In this paper, a new hybrid model is proposed based on an integrative prediction model where XGB is used as an input selection tool for the importance attributes of the prediction matrix that are then supplied to the ELM model as a predictive model. The monthly streamflow, upstream flow, rainfall, temperature, and potential evapotranspiration of a basin named in 1805 and located in the south east of Turkey, are used for development of the model. The modeling results show that applying the WT method improved the performance in the hindcast experiment based on the CWT form with minimum root mean square error (RMSE = 4.910 m 3 /s). On the contrary, WT deteriorated the performance of the forecasting and the stand-alone models exhibited a better performance. WT increased the performance of the hindcast experiment due to the inclusion of future information caused by convolution of the time series. However, the forecast experiment experienced deterioration due to the border effect at the end of the time series. Hence, WT was found not to be a useful pre-processing technique in forecasting the streamflow.
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3.
  • Tao, Hai, et al. (författare)
  • Training and Testing Data Division Influence on Hybrid Machine Learning Model Process : Application of River Flow Forecasting
  • 2020
  • Ingår i: Complexity. - London : Hindawi Publishing Corporation. - 1076-2787 .- 1099-0526. ; 2020
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • The hydrological process has a dynamic nature characterised by randomness and complex phenomena. The application of machine learning (ML) models in forecasting river flow has grown rapidly. This is owing to their capacity to simulate the complex phenomena associated with hydrological and environmental processes. Four different ML models were developed for river flow forecasting located in semiarid region, Iraq. The effectiveness of data division influence on the ML models process was investigated. Three data division modeling scenarios were inspected including 70%–30%, 80%–20, and 90%–10%. Several statistical indicators are computed to verify the performance of the models. The results revealed the potential of the hybridized support vector regression model with a genetic algorithm (SVR-GA) over the other ML forecasting models for monthly river flow forecasting using 90%–10% data division. In addition, it was found to improve the accuracy in forecasting high flow events. The unique architecture of developed SVR-GA due to the ability of the GA optimizer to tune the internal parameters of the SVR model provides a robust learning process. This has made it more efficient in forecasting stochastic river flow behaviour compared to the other developed hybrid models
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4.
  • Yaseen, Zaher Mundher, et al. (författare)
  • Implementation of Univariate Paradigm for Streamflow Simulation Using Hybrid Data-Driven Model : Case Study in Tropical Region
  • 2019
  • Ingår i: IEEE Access. - USA : IEEE. - 2169-3536. ; 7, s. 74471-74481
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • The performance of the bio-inspired adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) models are proposed for forecasting highly non-linear streamflow of Pahang River, located in a tropical climatic region of Peninsular Malaysia. Three different bio-inspired optimization algorithms namely particle swarm optimization (PSO), genetic algorithm (GA), and differential evolution (DE) were individually used to tune the membership function of ANFIS model in order to improve the capability of streamflow forecasting. Different combination of antecedent streamflow was used to develop the forecasting models. The performance of the models was evaluated using a number of metrics including mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), coefficient of determination ( R2 ), and Willmott’s Index (WI) statistics. The results revealed that increasing number of inputs has a positive impact on the forecasting ability of both ANFIS and hybrid ANFIS models. The comparison of the performance of three optimization methods indicated PSO improved the capability of ANFIS model (RMSE = 7.96; MAE = 2.34; R2=0.998 and WI = 0.994) more compared to GA and DE in forecasting streamflow. The uncertainty band of ANFIS-PSO forecast was also found the lowest (±0.217), which indicates that ANFIS-PSO model can be used for reliable forecasting of highly stochastic river flow in tropical environment.
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5.
  • Beyaztas, Ufuk, et al. (författare)
  • Construction of functional data analysis modeling strategy for global solar radiation prediction : application of cross-station paradigm
  • 2019
  • Ingår i: Engineering Applications of Computational Fluid Mechanics. - : Taylor & Francis. - 1994-2060 .- 1997-003X. ; 13:1, s. 1165-1181
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • To support initiatives for global emissions targets set by the United Nations Framework Convention on climate change, sustainable extraction of usable power from freely-available global solar radia- tion as a renewable energy resource requires accurate estimation and forecasting models for solar energy. Understanding the Global Solar Radiation (GSR) pattern is highly significant for determin- ing the solar energy in any particular environment. The current study develops a new mathematical model based on the concept of Functional Data Analysis (FDA) to predict daily-scale GSR in the Burk- ina Faso region of West Africa. Eight meteorological stations are adopted to examine the proposed predictive model. The modeling procedure of the regression FDA is performed using two different internal parameter tuning approaches including Generalized Cross-Validation (GCV) and Generalized Bayesian Information Criteria (GBIC). The modeling procedure is established based on a cross-station paradigm wherein the climatological variables of six stations are used to predict GSR at two targeted meteorological stations. The performance of the proposed method is compared with the panel data regression model. Based on various statistical metrics, the applied FDA model attained convincing absolute error measures and best goodness of fit compared with the observed measured GSR. In quantitative evaluation, the predictions of GSR at the uahigouya and Dori stations attained corre- lation coefficients of R     0.84 and 0.90 using the FDA model, respectively. All in all, the FDA model introduced a reliable alternative modeling strategy for global solar radiation prediction over the Burkina Faso region with accurate line fit predictions.
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6.
  • Bhagat, Suraj Kumar, et al. (författare)
  • Evaluating Physical and Fiscal Water Leakage in Water Distribution System
  • 2019
  • Ingår i: Water. - Switzerland : MDPI. - 2073-4441. ; 11:10
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • With increasing population, the need for research ideas on the field of reducing wastage of water can save a big amount of water, money, time, and energy. Water leakage (WL) is an essential problem in the field of water supply field. This research is focused on real water loss in the water distribution system located in Ethiopia. Top-down and bursts and background estimates (BABE) methodology is performed to assess the data and the calibration process of the WL variables. The top-down method assists to quantify the water loss by the record and observation throughout the distribution network. In addition, the BABE approach gives a specific water leakage and burst information. The geometrical mean method is used to forecast the population up to 2023 along with their fiscal value by the uniform tariff method. With respect to the revenue lost, 42575 Br and 42664 Br or in 1562$ and 1566$ were lost in 2017 and 2018, respectively. The next five-year population was forecasted to estimate the possible amount of water to be saved, which was about 549,627 m3 and revenue 65,111$ to make the system more efficient. The results suggested that the majority of losses were due to several components of the distribution system including pipe-joint failure, relatively older age pipes, poor repairing and maintenance of water taps, pipe joints and shower taps, negligence of the consumer and unreliable water supply. As per the research findings, recommendations were proposed on minimizing water leakage.
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7.
  • Fu, Minglei, et al. (författare)
  • Deep Learning Data-Intelligence Model Based on Adjusted Forecasting Window Scale : Application in Daily Streamflow Simulation
  • 2020
  • Ingår i: IEEE Access. - USA : Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). - 2169-3536. ; 8:1, s. 32632-32651
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Streamow forecasting is essential for hydrological engineering. In accordance with theadvancement of computer aids in this eld, various machine learning (ML) models have been explored tosolve this highly non-stationary, stochastic, and nonlinear problem. In the current research, a newly exploredversion of an ML model called the long short-term memory (LSTM) was investigated for streamowprediction using historical data for forecasting for a particular period. For a case study located in a tropicalenvironment, the Kelantan river in the northeast region of the Malaysia Peninsula was selected. Themodelling was performed according to several perspectives: (i) The feasibility of applying the developedLSTM model to streamow prediction was veried, and the performance of the developed LSTM modelwas compared with the classic backpropagation neural network model; (ii) In the experimental process ofapplying the LSTM model to the prediction of streamow, the inuence of the training set size on theperformance of the developed LSTM model was tested; (iii) The effect of the time interval between thetraining set and the testing set on the performance of the developed LSTM model was tested; (iv) The effectof the time span of the prediction data on the performance of the developed LSTM model was tested. Theexperimental data showthat not only does the developedLSTM model have obvious advantages in processingsteady streamow data in the dry season but it also shows good ability to capture data features in the rapidlyuctuant streamow data in the rainy season.
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8.
  • Hai, Tao, et al. (författare)
  • Global Solar Radiation Estimation and Climatic Variability Analysis Using Extreme Learning Machine Based Predictive Model
  • 2020
  • Ingår i: IEEE Access. - USA : IEEE. - 2169-3536. ; 8, s. 12026-12042
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Sustainable utilization of the freely available solar radiation as renewable energy source requires accurate predictive models to quantitatively evaluate future energy potentials. In this research, an evaluation of the preciseness of extreme learning machine (ELM) model as a fast and efficient framework for estimating global incident solar radiation (G) is undertaken. Daily meteorological datasets suitable for G estimation belongs to the northern parts of the Cheliff Basin in Northwest Algeria, is used to construct the estimation model. Cross-correlation functions are applied between the inputs and the target variable (i.e., G) where several climatological information’s are used as the predictors for surface level G estimation. The most significant model inputs are determined in accordance with highest cross-correlations considering the covariance of the predictors with the G dataset. Subsequently, seven ELM models with unique neuronal architectures in terms of their input-hidden-output neurons are developed with appropriate input combinations. The prescribed ELM model’s estimation performance over the testing phase is evaluated against multiple linear regressions (MLR), autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models and several well-established literature studies. This is done in accordance with several statistical score metrics. In quantitative terms, the root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) are dramatically lower for the optimal ELM model with RMSE and MAE = 3.28 and 2.32 Wm −2 compared to 4.24 and 3.24 Wm −2 (MLR) and 8.33 and 5.37 Wm −2 (ARIMA).
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9.
  • Jing, Wang, et al. (författare)
  • Implementation of evolutionary computing models for reference evapotranspiration modeling : short review, assessment and possible future research directions
  • 2019
  • Ingår i: Engineering Applications of Computational Fluid Mechanics. - UK : Taylor & Francis. - 1994-2060 .- 1997-003X. ; 13:1, s. 811-823
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Evapotranspiration is one of the most important components of the hydrological cycle as it accounts for more than two-thirds of the global precipitation losses. Indeed, the accurate prediction of reference evapotranspiration (ETo) is highly significant for many watershed activities, including agriculture, water management, crop production and several other applications. Therefore, reliable estimation of ETo is a major concern in hydrology. ETo can be estimated using different approaches, including field measurement, empirical formulation and mathematical equations. Most recently, advanced machine learning models have been developed for the estimation of ETo. Among several machine learning models, evolutionary computing (EC) has demonstrated a remarkable progression in the modeling of ETo. The current research is devoted to providing a new milestone in the implementation of the EC algorithm for the modeling of ETo. A comprehensive review is conducted to recognize the feasibility of EC models and their potential in simulating ETo in a wide range of environments. Evaluation and assessment of the models are also presented based on the review. Finally, several possible future research directions are proposed for the investigations of ETo using EC.
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10.
  • Malik, Anurag, et al. (författare)
  • Modeling monthly pan evaporation process over the Indian central Himalayas : application of multiple learning artificial intelligence model
  • 2020
  • Ingår i: Engineering Applications of Computational Fluid Mechanics. - UK : Taylor & Francis. - 1994-2060 .- 1997-003X. ; 14:1, s. 323-338
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • The potential of several predictive models including multiple model-artificial neural network (MM-ANN), multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS), support vector machine (SVM), multi-gene genetic programming (MGGP), and ‘M5Tree’ were assessed to simulate the pan evaporation in monthly scale (EPm) at two stations (e.g. Ranichauri and Pantnagar) in India. Monthly climatological information were used for simulating the pan evaporation. The utmost effective input-variables for the MM-ANN, MGGP, MARS, SVM, and M5Tree were determined using the Gamma test (GT). The predictive models were compared to each other using several statistical criteria (e.g. mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), Willmott's Index of agreement (WI), root mean squared error (RMSE), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), and Legate and McCabe’s Index (LM)) and visual inspection. The results showed that the MM-ANN-1 and MGGP-1 models (NSE, WI, LM, RMSE, MAPE are 0.954, 0.988, 0.801, 0.536 mm/month, 9.988% at Pantnagar station, and 0.911, 0.975, 0.724, and 0.364 mm/month, 12.297% at Ranichauri station, respectively) with input variables equal to six were more successful than the other techniques during testing period to simulate the monthly pan evaporation at both Ranichauri and Pantnagar stations. Thus, the results of proposed MM-ANN-1 and MGGP-1 models will help to the local stakeholders in terms of water resources management.
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11.
  • Malik, Anurag, et al. (författare)
  • Pan Evaporation Estimation in Uttarakhand and Uttar Pradesh States, India : Validity of an Integrative Data Intelligence Model
  • 2020
  • Ingår i: Atmosphere. - Switzerland : MDPI. - 2073-4433. ; 11:6
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Appropriate input selection for the estimation matrix is essential when modeling non-linear progression. In this study, the feasibility of the Gamma test (GT) was investigated to extract the optimal input combination as the primary modeling step for estimating monthly pan evaporation (EPm). A new artificial intelligent (AI) model called the co-active neuro-fuzzy inference system (CANFIS) was developed for monthly EPm estimation at Pantnagar station (located in Uttarakhand State) and Nagina station (located in Uttar Pradesh State), India. The proposed AI model was trained and tested using different percentages of data points in scenarios one to four. The estimates yielded by the CANFIS model were validated against several well-established predictive AI (multilayer perceptron neural network (MLPNN) and multiple linear regression (MLR)) and empirical (Penman model (PM)) models. Multiple statistical metrics (normalized root mean square error (NRMSE), Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC), Willmott index (WI), and relative error (RE)) and graphical interpretation (time variation plot, scatter plot, relative error plot, and Taylor diagram) were performed for the modeling evaluation. The results of appraisal showed that the CANFIS-1 model with six input variables provided better NRMSE (0.1364, 0.0904, 0.0947, and 0.0898), NSE (0.9439, 0.9736, 0.9703, and 0.9799), PCC (0.9790, 0.9872, 0.9877, and 0.9922), and WI (0.9860, 0.9934, 0.9927, and 0.9949) values for Pantnagar station, and NRMSE (0.1543, 0.1719, 0.2067, and 0.1356), NSE (0.9150, 0.8962, 0.8382, and 0.9453), PCC (0.9643, 0.9649, 0.9473, and 0.9762), and WI (0.9794, 0.9761, 0.9632, and 0.9853) values for Nagina stations in all applied modeling scenarios for estimating the monthly EPm. This study also confirmed the supremacy of the proposed integrated GT-CANFIS model under four different scenarios in estimating monthly EPm. The results of the current application demonstrated a reliable modeling methodology for water resource management and sustainability.
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12.
  • Malik, Anurag, et al. (författare)
  • The Implementation of a Hybrid Model for Hilly Sub-Watershed Prioritization Using Morphometric Variables : Case Study in India
  • 2019
  • Ingår i: Water. - : MDPI. - 2073-4441. ; 11:6, s. 1-19
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Among several components of watershed prioritization, morphometric parameters are considered to be essential elements for appropriate water resource planning and anagement. In the current study, nine hilly sub-watersheds are prioritized using novel hybrid model ased on morphometric variables analysis at Bino Watershed (BW) located in the upper Ramganga basin, India. The proposed model is based on the hybridization of principal component analysis (PCA) with weighted-sum approach (WSA), presenting a single-frame methodology (PCWSA) for sub-watershed prioritization. The prioritization process was conducted based on several morphometric parameters including linear, areal, and shape. The PCA was performed to identify the significant correlated factor-loading matrix whereas WSA was established to provide the weights for the morphometric parameters and fix their priority ranking (PR) to be categorized based on compound factor value. The findings showed that 37.81% of total area is under highly susceptible zone sub-watersheds (SW-6 and SW-7). This is verifying the necessity for appropriate soil and water conservation measures for the area. The proposed hybrid methodology demonstrated a reliable approach for water resource planning and management, agriculture, and irrigation activities in the study region.
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13.
  • Penghui, Liu, et al. (författare)
  • Metaheuristic Optimization Algorithms Hybridized With Artificial Intelligence Model for Soil Temperature Prediction : Novel Model
  • 2020
  • Ingår i: IEEE Access. - : IEEE. - 2169-3536. ; 8, s. 51884-51904
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • An enhanced hybrid articial intelligence model was developed for soil temperature (ST) prediction. Among several soil characteristics, soil temperature is one of the essential elements impacting the biological, physical and chemical processes of the terrestrial ecosystem. Reliable ST prediction is signicant for multiple geo-science and agricultural applications. The proposed model is a hybridization of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system with optimization methods using mutation Salp Swarm Algorithm and Grasshopper Optimization Algorithm (ANFIS-mSG). Daily weather and soil temperature data for nine years (1 of January 2010 - 31 of December 2018) from ve meteorological stations (i.e., Baker, Beach, Cando, Crary and Fingal) in North Dakota, USA, were used for modeling. For validation, the proposed ANFIS-mSG model was compared with seven models, including classical ANFIS, hybridized ANFIS model with grasshopper optimization algorithm (ANFIS-GOA), salp swarm algorithm (ANFIS-SSA), grey wolf optimizer (ANFIS-GWO), particle swarm optimization (ANFIS-PSO), genetic algorithm (ANFIS-GA),and Dragon y Algorithm (ANFIS-DA). The ST prediction was conducted based on maximum, mean and minimum air temperature (AT). The modeling results evidenced the capability of optimization algorithms for building ANFIS models for simulating soil temperature. Based on the statistical evaluation; for instance, the root mean square error (RMSE) was reduced by 73%, 74.4%, 71.2%, 76.7% and 80.7% for Baker, Beach, Cando, Crary and Fingal meteorological stations, respectively, throughout the testing phase when ANFIS-mSG was used over the standalone ANFIS models. In conclusion, the ANFIS-mSG model was demonstrated as an effective and simple hybrid articial intelligence model for predicting soil temperature based on univariate air temperature scenario.
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14.
  • Salih, Sinan Q., et al. (författare)
  • Thin and sharp edges bodies-fluid interaction simulation using cut-cell immersed boundary method
  • 2019
  • Ingår i: Engineering Applications of Computational Fluid Mechanics. - UK : Taylor & Francis. - 1994-2060 .- 1997-003X. ; 13:1, s. 860-877
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • This study aims to develop an adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) algorithm combined with Cut-Cell IBM using two-stage pressure–velocity corrections for thin-object FSI problems. To achieve the objective of this study, the AMR-immersed boundary method (AMR-IBM) algorithm discretizes and solves the equations of motion for the flow that involves rigid thin structures boundary layer at the interface between the structure and the fluid. The body forces are computed in proportion to the fraction of the solid volume in the IBM fluid cells to incorporate fluid and solid motions into the boundary. The corrections of the velocity and pressure is determined by using a novel simplified marker and cell scheme. The new developed AMR-IBM algorithm is validated using a benchmark data of fluid past a cylinder and the results show that there is good agreement under laminar flow. Simulations are conducted for three test cases with the purpose of demonstration the accuracy of the AMR-IBM algorithm. The validation confirms the robustness of the new algorithms in simulating flow characteristics in the boundary layers of thin structures. The algorithm is performed on a staggered grid to simulate the fluid flow around thin object and determine the computational cost.
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15.
  • Salih, Sinan Q., et al. (författare)
  • Viability of the advanced adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system model on reservoir evaporation process simulation : case study of Nasser Lake in Egypt
  • 2019
  • Ingår i: Engineering Applications of Computational Fluid Mechanics. - UK : Taylor & Francis. - 1994-2060 .- 1997-003X. ; 13:1, s. 878-891
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Reliable prediction of evaporative losses from reservoirs is an essential component of reservoir management and operation. Conventional models generally used for evaporation prediction have a number of drawbacks as they are based on several assumptions. A novel approach called the co-active neuro-fuzzy inference system (CANFIS) is proposed in this study for the modeling of evaporation from meteorological variables. CANFIS provides a center-weighted set rather than global weight sets for predictor–predictand relationship mapping and thus it can provide a higher prediction accuracy. In the present study, adjustments are made in the back-propagation algorithm of CANFIS for automatic updating of membership rules and further enhancement of its prediction accuracy. The predictive ability of the CANFIS model is validated with three well-established artificial intelligence (AI) models. Different statistical metrics are computed to investigate the prediction efficacy. The results reveal higher accuracy of the CANFIS model in predicting evaporation compared to the other AI models. CANFIS is found to be capable of modeling evaporation from mean temperature and relative humidity only, with a Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency of 0.93, which is much higher than that of the other models. Furthermore, CANFIS improves the prediction accuracy by 9.2–55.4% compared to the other AI models.
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16.
  • Tao, Hai, et al. (författare)
  • A Newly Developed Integrative Bio-Inspired Artificial Intelligence Model for Wind Speed Prediction
  • 2020
  • Ingår i: IEEE Access. - : IEEE. - 2169-3536. ; 8, s. 83347-83358
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Accurate wind speed (WS) modelling is crucial for optimal utilization of wind energy. Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) techniques, generally used for WS modelling are not only less cost-effective but also poor in predicting in shorter time horizon. Novel WS prediction models based on the multivariate empirical mode decomposition (MEMD), random forest (RF) and Kernel Ridge Regression (KRR) were constructed in this paper better accuracy in WS prediction. Particle swarm optimization algorithm (PSO) was employed to optimize the parameters of the hybridized MEMD model with RF (MEMD-PSO-RF) and KRR (MEMD-PSO-KRR) models. Obtained results were compared to those of the standalone RF and KRR models. The proposed methodology is applied for monthly WS prediction at meteorological stations of Iraq, Baghdad (Station1) and Mosul (Station2) for the period 1977-2013. Results showed higher accuracy of MEMD-PSO-RF model in predicting WS at both stations with a correlation coefficient (r) of 0.972 and r = 0.971 during testing phase at Station1 and Station2, respectively. The MEMD-PSO-KRR was found as the second most accurate model followed by Standalone RF and KRR, but all showed a competitive performance to the MEMD-PSO-RF model. The outcomes of this work indicated that the MEMD-PSO-RF model has a remarkable performance in predicting WS and can be considered for practical applications.
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17.
  • Tao, Hai, et al. (författare)
  • Global solar radiation prediction over North Dakota using air temperature : Development of novel hybrid intelligence model
  • 2021
  • Ingår i: Energy Reports. - Netherland : Elsevier. - 2352-4847. ; 7, s. 136-157
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Accurate solar radiation (SR) prediction is one of the essential prerequisites of harvesting solar energy. The current study proposed a novel intelligence model through hybridization of Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) with two metaheuristic optimization algorithms, Salp Swarm Algorithm (SSA) and Grasshopper Optimization Algorithm (GOA) (ANFIS-muSG) for global SR prediction at different locations of North Dakota, USA. The performance of the proposed ANFIS-muSG model was compared with classical ANFIS, ANFIS-GOA, ANFIS-SSA, ANFIS-Grey Wolf Optimizer (ANFIS-GWO), ANFIS-Particle Swarm Optimization (ANFIS-PSO), ANFIS-Genetic Algorithm (ANFIS-GA) and ANFISDragonfly Algorithm (ANFIS-DA). Consistent maximum, mean and minimum air temperature data for nine years (2010–2018) were used to build the models. ANFIS-muSG showed 25.7%–54.8% higher performance accuracy in terms of root mean square error compared to other models at different locations of the study areas. The model developed in this study can be employed for SR prediction from temperature only. The results indicate the potential of hybridization of ANFIS with the metaheuristic optimization algorithms for improvement of prediction ccuracy.
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18.
  • Yaseen, Zaher Mundher, et al. (författare)
  • Laundry wastewater treatment using a combination of sand filter, bio-char and teff straw media
  • 2019
  • Ingår i: Scientific Reports. - : Springer. - 2045-2322. ; 9
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Numerous researchers have expressed concern over the emerging water scarcity issues around the globe. Economic water scarcity is severe in the developing countries; thus, the use of inexpensive wastewater treatment strategies can help minimize this issue. An abundant amount of laundry wastewater (LWW) is generated daily and various wastewater treatment researches have been performed to achieve suitable techniques. This study addressed this issue by considering the economic perspective of the treatment technique through the selection of easily available materials. The proposed technique is a combination of locally available absorbent materials such as sand, biochar, and teff straw in a media. Biochar was prepared from eucalyptus wood, teff straw was derived from teff stem, and sand was obtained from indigenous crushed stones. In this study, the range of laundry wastewater flow rate was calculated as 6.23–17.58 m3/day; also studied were the efficiency of the media in terms of the removal percentage of contamination and the flux rate. The performances of biochar and teff straw were assessed based on the operation parameters and the percentage removal efficiency at different flux rates; the assessment showed 0.4 L/min flux rate to exhibit the maximum removal efficiency. Chemical oxygen demand, biological oxygen demand, and total alkalinity removal rate varied from 79% to ≥83%; total solids and total suspended solids showed 92% to ≥99% removal efficiency, while dissolved oxygen, total dissolved solids, pH, and electrical conductivity showed 22% to ≥62% removal efficiency. The optimum range of pH was evaluated between 5.8–7.1. The statistical analysis for finding the correlated matrix of laundry wastewater parameters showed the following correlations: COD (r = −0.84), TS (r = −0.83), and BOD (r = −0.81), while DO exhibited highest negative correlation. This study demonstrated the prospective of LWW treatment using inexpensive materials. The proposed treatment process involved low-cost materials and exhibited efficiency in the removal of contaminants; its operation is simple and can be reproduced in different scenarios.
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19.
  • Yaseen, Zaher Mundher, et al. (författare)
  • Prediction of evaporation in arid and semi-arid regions: a comparative study using different machine learning models
  • 2020
  • Ingår i: Engineering Applications of Computational Fluid Mechanics. - : Taylor & Francis. - 1994-2060 .- 1997-003X. ; 14:1, s. 70-89
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Evaporation, one of the fundamental components of the hydrology cycle, is differently influenced by various meteorological variables in different climatic regions. The accurate prediction of evaporation is essential for multiple water resources engineering applications, particularly in developing countries like Iraq where the meteorological stations are not sustained and operated appropriately for in situ estimations. This is where advanced methodologies such as machine learning (ML) models can make valuable contributions. In this research, evaporation is predicted at two different meteorological stations located in arid and semi-arid regions of Iraq. Four different ML models for the prediction of evaporation – the classification and regression tree (CART), the cascade correlation neural network (CCNNs), gene expression programming (GEP), and the support vector machine (SVM) – were developed and constructed using various input combinations of meteorological variables. The results reveal that the best predictions are achieved by incorporating sunshine hours, wind speed, relative humidity, rainfall, and the minimum, mean, and maximum temperatures. The SVM was found to show the best performance with wind speed, rainfall, and relative humidity as inputs at Station I (R2 = .92), and with all variables as inputs at Station II (R2 = .97). All the ML models performed well in predicting evaporation at the investigated locations.
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20.
  • Yaseen, Zaher Mundher, et al. (författare)
  • Prediction of Risk Delay in Construction Projects Using a Hybrid Artificial Intelligence Model
  • 2020
  • Ingår i: Sustainability. - Switzerland : MDPI. - 2071-1050. ; 12:4
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Project delays are the major problems tackled by the construction sector owing to the associated complexity and uncertainty in the construction activities. Artificial Intelligence (AI) models have evidenced their capacity to solve dynamic, uncertain and complex tasks. The aim of this current study is to develop a hybrid artificial intelligence model called integrative Random Forest classifier with Genetic Algorithm optimization (RF-GA) for delay problem prediction. At first, related sources and factors of delay problems are identified. A questionnaire is adopted to quantify the impact of delay sources on project performance. The developed hybrid model is trained using the collected data of the previous construction projects. The proposed RF-GA is validated against the classical version of an RF model using statistical performance measure indices. The achieved results of the developed hybrid RF-GA model revealed a good resultant performance in terms of accuracy, kappa and classification error. Based on the measured accuracy, kappa and classification error, RF-GA attained 91.67%, 87% and 8.33%, respectively. Overall, the proposed methodology indicated a robust and reliable technique for project delay prediction that is contributing to the construction project management monitoring and sustainability. 
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