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  • Arefalk, Gabriel, et al. (författare)
  • Smokeless Tobacco (Snus) and Outcome of Myocardial Infarction: a SWEDEHEART Study
  • Annan publikation (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
    • BackgroundBased on effects of nicotine and snus (a smokeless tobacco) on hemodynamics, pro-arrhythmia and remodelling, in combination with indications of increased risk for fatal myocardial infarction (MI) in snus users; we hypothesised that the outcome of an MI may be worse in snus users.MethodsData was extracted from the SWEDEHEART registry for all patients who underwent coronary angiography in Sweden due to MI between December 2009 and December 2014. In snus users (n=4,950) relative to snus non-users (n=55,412), we compared risks of a large MI (defined as hs-cTnT of  > 10,000 ng/L, cTnT > 10 μg/L or cTnI > 10 μg/L) and death in the acute (in-hospital) setting, and death+HF (a combined endpoint of all-cause death or hospitalization for heart failure) and all-cause death at short- (<28 days) and long-term follow-up. Relations of snus use to outcomes were also analysed in pre-specified subgroups of never, previous and current smokers.ResultsA large MI was diagnosed in 10,975 patients. During long-term follow-up (median 1.9 years), 7,758 either died (n=6,044) or were hospitalized due to heart failure (n=1,714). In models adjusting for age, gender, smoking, previous MI and occupational classification (employed, unemployed/sick leave and retired), snus use was not associated with risk of large MI (odds ratio 1.01; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.93-1.09) or death+HF (long-term Cox proportional hazard ratio (HR) 0.99; 95% CI 0.90-1.10). Nonetheless, among never-smokers snus use was associated with an increased risk for death+HF (long-term HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.03-1.55), driven by a higher mortality risk (long-term HR for death of any cause 1.29, 95% CI 1.02-1.64).ConclusionsIn this study, snus use was unrelated to acute, short-term or long-term adverse outcomes after an MI. Among never-smokers, snus use was associated with an increased risk of post-MI death.
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  • Aronsson Dannewitz, Anna, et al. (författare)
  • Optimized diagnosis-based comorbidity measures for all-cause mortality prediction in a national population-based ICU population
  • 2022
  • Ingår i: Critical Care. - : Springer Nature. - 1364-8535 .- 1466-609X. ; 26
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Background: We aimed to optimize prediction of long-term all-cause mortality of intensive care unit (ICU) patients, using quantitative register-based comorbidity information assessed from hospital discharge diagnoses prior to intensive care treatment.Material and methods: Adult ICU admissions during 2006 to 2012 in the Swedish intensive care register were followed for at least 4 years. The performance of quantitative comorbidity measures based on the 5-year history of number of hospital admissions, length of stay, and time since latest admission in 36 comorbidity categories was compared in time-to-event analyses with the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) and the Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS3).Results: During a 7-year period, there were 230,056 ICU admissions and 62,225 deaths among 188,965 unique individuals. The time interval from the most recent hospital stays and total length of stay within each comorbidity category optimized mortality prediction and provided clear separation of risk categories also within strata of age and CCI, with hazard ratios (HRs) comparing lowest to highest quartile ranging from 1.17 (95% CI: 0.52-2.64) to 6.41 (95% CI: 5.19-7.92). Risk separation was also observed within SAPS deciles with HR ranging from 1.07 (95% CI: 0.83-1.38) to 3.58 (95% CI: 2.12-6.03).Conclusion: Baseline comorbidity measures that included the time interval from the most recent hospital stay in 36 different comorbidity categories substantially improved long-term mortality prediction after ICU admission compared to the Charlson index and the SAPS score. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov ID NCT04109001, date of registration 2019-09-26 retrospectively.
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  • Batra, Gorav, et al. (författare)
  • Antithrombotic therapy after myocardial infarction in patients with atrial fibrillation undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention
  • 2018
  • Ingår i: European Heart Journal - Cardiovascular Pharmacotherapy. - : Oxford University Press (OUP). - 2055-6837 .- 2055-6845. ; 4:1, s. 36-45
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Aims Optimal antithrombotic therapy after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in patients with myocardial infarction (MI) and atrial fibrillation is uncertain. In this study, we compared antithrombotic regimes with regard to a composite cardiovascular outcome of all-cause mortality, MI or ischaemic stroke, and major bleeds. Methods and results Patients between October 2005 and December 2012 were identified in Swedish registries, n = 7116. Landmark 0-90 and 91-365 days of outcome were evaluated with Cox-regressions, with dual antiplatelet therapy as reference. At discharge, 16.2% received triple therapy (aspirin, clopidogrel, and warfarin), 1.9% aspirin plus warfarin, 7.3% clopidogrel plus warfarin, and 60.8% dual antiplatelets. For cardiovascular outcome, adjusted hazard ratio with 95% confidence interval (HR) for triple therapy was 0.86 (0.70-1.07) for 0-90 days and 0.78 (0.58-1.05) for 91-365 days. A HR of 2.16 (1.48-3.13) and 1.61 (0.98-2.66) during 0-90 and 91-365 days, respectively, was observed for major bleeds. For aspirin plus warfarin, HR 0.82 (0.54-1.26) and 0.62 (0.48-0.79) was observed for cardiovascular outcome and 1.30 (0.60-2.85) and 1.01 (0.63-1.62) for major bleeds during 0-90 and 91-365 days, respectively. For clopidogrel plus warfarin, HR of 0.90 (0.68-1.19) and 0.68 (0.49-0.95) was observed for cardiovascular outcome and 1.28 (0.71-2.32) and 1.08 (0.57-2.04) for major bleeds during 0-90 and 91-365 days, respectively. Conclusion Compared to dual antiplatelets, aspirin or clopidogrel plus warfarin therapy was associated with similar 0-90 days and lower 91-365 days of risk of the cardiovascular outcome, without higher risk of major bleeds. Triple therapy was associated with non-significant lower risk of cardiovascular outcome and higher risk of major bleeds.
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  • Blomberg, Hans, 1963-, et al. (författare)
  • Impact of prehospital trauma life support (PHTLS) training of ambulance caregivers on the outcome of traffic injury victims – a nation-wide study.
  • Annan publikation (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
    • Background: Prehospital trauma life support (PHTLS) is a widely implemented educational program for prehospital trauma care. Evidence for improved patient outcome is, however, limited. The primary aim of this nation-wide study was to investigate the association between regional implementation of PHTLS training and mortality after traffic injuries.Methods: We extracted from the Swedish National Patient Registry and the Cause of Death Registry information on victims of motor vehicle traffic injuries in Sweden from 2001 to 2004 (n=28 041). During this time period, PHTLS training was implemented at a varying pace in different regions. We used a Bayesian approach with Markov chain Monte Carlo to estimate odds ratios (OR) for prehospital and 30-day mortality. We entered region and hospital into hierarchical models and controlled for the calendar year for each injury. We analyzed the time to death and time to return to work using Cox’s proportional hazards frailty models.Results: A total of 1395 individuals died before being admitted to hospital. After multivariable adjustment, the OR for prehospital mortality with PHTLS-trained prehospital staff was 1.11 (95% credibility interval, 0.88 to 1.38). For 30-day mortality (365 deaths), the adjusted OR was 0.80 (95% credibility interval, 0.53 to 1.17). There was no association between PHTLS training and time to death (hazard ratio 0.99; 95% confidence interval, 0.85 to 1.14) or time to return to work (hazard ratio 0.98, 95% confidence interval, 0.92 to 1.05).Conclusion: The implementation of PHTLS training did not appear to reduce mortality or disability after motor vehicle traffic injuries. . 
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  • Blomberg, Hans, et al. (författare)
  • Prehospital Trauma Life Support Training of Ambulance Caregivers and the Outcomes of Traffic-Injury Victims in Sweden
  • 2013
  • Ingår i: Journal of the American College of Surgeons. - : Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health). - 1072-7515 .- 1879-1190. ; 217:6, s. 1010-1019
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • BACKGROUND:There is limited evidence that the widely implemented Prehospital Trauma Life Support (PHTLS) educational program improves patient outcomes. The primary aim of this national study in Sweden was to investigate the association between regional implementation of PHTLS training and mortality after traffic injuries.STUDY DESIGN:We extracted information from the Swedish National Patient Registry and the Cause of Death Registry on victims of motor-vehicle traffic injuries in Sweden from 2001 to 2004 (N = 28,041). During this time period, PHTLS training was implemented at a varying pace in different regions. To control for other influences on patient outcomes related to regional and hospital-level effects, such as variations in performance of trauma care systems, we used Bayesian hierarchical regression models to estimate odds ratios for prehospital mortality and 30-day mortality after hospital admission. We also controlled for the calendar year for each injury to account for period effects. We analyzed the time to death after hospital admission and time to return to work using Cox's proportional hazards frailty models.RESULTS:After multivariable adjustment, the odds ratio for prehospital mortality with PHTLS-trained prehospital staff was 1.54 (95% credibility interval, 1.07-2.13). For 30-day mortality among those surviving to hospital admission, the odds ratio was 0.85 (95% credibility interval, 0.45-1.48). There was no association between PHTLS training and time to death (hazard ratio = 0.99; 95% CI, 0.85-1.14) or time to return to work (hazard ratio = 0.98; 95% CI, 0.92-1.05).CONCLUSIONS:In this observational study, the implementation of PHTLS training did not appear to be associated with reduced mortality or ability to return to work after motor-vehicle traffic injuries.
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  • Bodegard, J, et al. (författare)
  • Changes in body mass index following newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes and risk of cardiovascular mortality: A cohort study of 8486 primary-care patients
  • 2013
  • Ingår i: Diabetes & Metabolism. - : MASSON EDITEUR, 21 STREET CAMILLE DESMOULINS, ISSY, 92789 MOULINEAUX CEDEX 9, FRANCE. - 1262-3636 .- 1878-1780. ; 39:4, s. 306-313
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Aims. - Elevated body mass index (BMI) is associated with an increased risk of type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study explored the association between BMI changes in the first 18 months of newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes and the risk of long-term CVD mortality. less thanbrgreater than less thanbrgreater thanMethods. - A total of 8486 patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes and no previous history of CVD or cancer were identified from 84 primary-care centres in Sweden. During the first year after diagnosis, patients were grouped according to BMI change: Increase, or andgt;= +1 BMI unit; unchanged, or between +1 and-1 BMI unit; and decrease, or andlt;=-1 BMI unit. Associations between BMI change and CVD mortality, defined as death from stroke, myocardial infarction or sudden death, were estimated using adjusted Cox proportional hazards models (NCT 01121315). less thanbrgreater than less thanbrgreater thanResults. - Baseline mean age was 60.0 years and mean BMI was 30.2 kg/m(2). Patients were followed for up to 9 years (median: 4.6 years). During the first 18 months, 53.4% had no change in their BMI, while 32.2% decreased and 14.4% increased. Compared with patients with unchanged BMI, those with an increased BMI had higher risks of CVD mortality (hazard ratio: 1.63, 95% CI: 1.11-2.39) and all-cause mortality (1.33, 1.01-1.76). BMI decreases had no association with these risks compared with unchanged BMI: 1.06 (0.76-1.48) and 1.06 (0.85-1.33), respectively. less thanbrgreater than less thanbrgreater thanConclusion. - Increased BMI within the first 18 months of type 2 diabetes diagnosis was associated with an increased long-term risk of CVD mortality. However, BMI decrease did not lower the long-term risk of mortality.
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  • Britton, Tom, et al. (författare)
  • Bayesian support is larger than bootstrap support in phylogenetic inference : a mathematical argument.
  • 2007
  • Ingår i: Mathematical Medicine and Biology. - : Oxford University Press (OUP). - 1477-8599 .- 1477-8602. ; 24:4, s. 401-411
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • In phylogenetic inference, the support of an estimated phylogenetic tree topology and its interior branches is usually measured either with non-parametric bootstrap support (BS) values or with Bayesian posterior probabilities (BPPs). Extensive empirical evidence indicates that BPP values are systematically larger than BS when measured on the same data set, but there are no theoretical results supporting such a systematic difference. In the present note, we give a heuristic mathematical argument supporting the empirically observed phenomenon. The argument uses properties of the marginal and profile likelihoods of the normal distribution. The heuristic arguments are supported in a simulation study evaluating different steps in the argument.
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  • Börjesson, Erik, et al. (författare)
  • Symptoms and ECG changes precede sudden cardiac death in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy-A nationwide study among the young in Sweden.
  • 2022
  • Ingår i: PloS one. - : Public Library of Science (PLoS). - 1932-6203. ; 17:9
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is a major cause of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in the young. We aimed to characterize detailed family history, symptoms, hospital utilization and ECG changes before SCD.We extracted all cases suffering SCD with HCM from the SUDDY cohort, which includes all cases of SCD between 2000-2010 in Sweden among individuals aged 0-35 years along with their controls. We gathered data from mandatory national registries, autopsy reports, medical records, ECGs (including military conscripts), and detailed family history from an interview-based questionnaire (with relatives, post-mortem).Thirty-eight cases (7 female), mean age 22 years, with HCM were identified. Among these, 71% presented with possible cardiac symptoms (chest pain [26%], syncope [22%], palpitations [37%]), before death; 69% received medical care (vs 21% in controls) within 180 days before death. The majority (68%) died during recreational activity (n = 14) or exercise/competitive sports (n = 12). Fifteen (39%) had a known cardiac disorder prior to death, with HCM being diagnosed pre-mortem in nine cases. 58% presented with abnormal ECG recordings pre-mortem, and 50% had a positive family history (1st-3rd generation) for heart disease.In this comprehensive, nationwide study of SCD due to HCM, 87% (33/38) of cases had one or more abnormality prior to death, including cardiac symptoms, a positive family history, known cardiac disease or ECG abnormalities. They sought medical care prior death, to a larger extent than controls. These findings suggest that cardiac screening should be expanded beyond competitive athletes to aid SCD prevention in the young population with HCM.
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  • Delgado-Vega, Angelica Maria, et al. (författare)
  • Family History and Warning Symptoms Precede Sudden Cardiac Death in Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy (From A Nationwide Study in Sweden)
  • 2022
  • Ingår i: American Journal of Cardiology. - : Elsevier. - 0002-9149 .- 1879-1913. ; 178, s. 124-130
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) is an inherited cardiacdisease explaining about 4% of sudden cardiac death (SCD) cases among the youngin Sweden. The aim of this study was to describe the circumstances preceding SCDdue to ARVC in all victims <35 years of age who received an autopsy-confirmeddiagnosis of ARVC from January 1st, 2000 to December 31st, 2010 in Sweden (n=22).Data on demographics, medical and family history, circumstances of death, andanatomopathological findings were collected from several compulsory national healthregistries, clinical records, family interviews, and autopsy reports. Registry-based datawas compared with age-, sex- and geographically-matched population controls. Duringthe 6 months preceding SCD, 15 cases (68%) had experienced symptoms of cardiacorigin, mainly syncope or presyncope (54%), and chest discomfort (27%). Eight cases(36%) had sought medical care due to cardiac symptoms. The occurrence of hospitalvisits was significantly increased in cases compared with controls (OR 4.62 [1.35-15.8]). Ten cases (45%) had a family history of SCD. The most common activity at thetime of death was exercise (41%). Complete cardiac investigation was seldomperformed, only one case was diagnosed with ARVC before death. In conclusion, inthis nationwide study we observed a high prevalence of symptoms of cardiac origin,health-care utilization, and family history of SCD preceding SCD due to ARVC amongthe young. Increased awareness of these warning signals in the young is critical toimprove risk stratification and early disease detection.
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  • Eggers, Kai M, et al. (författare)
  • A novel approach to cardiac troponins to improve the diagnostic work-up in chest pain patients
  • 2012
  • Ingår i: Critical Pathways in Cardiology. - 1535-282X .- 1535-2811. ; 11:4, s. 199-205
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • In patients with acute chest pain, current guidelines recommend serial measurements of cardiac troponins at predefined and partly late time points. Consequently, diagnostic assessment in these patients tends to be lengthy and often results in unnecessary admissions. We, therefore, evaluated whether an approach integrating troponin results into the clinical context provided by the individual patient's presentation might facilitate the early diagnostic work-up. In 197 chest pain patients, cardiac troponin I (cTnI; Stratus CS) was measured serially within 12 hours after hospital admission. In patient cohorts with different chances of having myocardial infarction (MI) according to clinical data, electrocardiographic findings, and admission biomarker results, pretest probabilities for MI were calculated and compared with posttest probabilities derived from subsequent cTnI results after admission. Elevated cTnI levels at 1 to 2 hours after admission revealed ≥95.0% posttest probabilities for MI in cohorts with intermediate or high chances of having MI. The posttest probabilities for the absence of MI were 94.7% to 98.2% in cohorts with low or intermediate chances of having MI when cTnI was negative at 2 hours. Troponin testing considering the individual patient's pretest probability of MI seems, in conclusion, to provide clinically useful information already 1 to 2 hours after admission. Such an approach has the potential to identify both patient cohorts in whom early discharge or admittance for further evaluation would be appropriate. This could facilitate the early diagnostic work-up of chest pain patients, thereby improving patient flow and reducing overcrowding in healthcare facilities.
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  • Erixon, Per, et al. (författare)
  • Reliability of Bayesian Posterior Probabilities and Bootstrap Frequencies in Phylogenetics
  • 2003
  • Ingår i: Systematic Biology. - : Oxford University Press (OUP). - 1063-5157 .- 1076-836X. ; 52:5, s. 665-673
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Many empirical studies have revealed considerable differences between nonparametric bootstrapping and Bayesian posterior probabilities in terms of the support values for branches, despite claimed predictions about their approximate equivalence. We investigated this problem by simulating data, which were then analyzed by maximum likelihood bootstrapping and Bayesian phylogenetic analysis using identical models and reoptimization of parameter values. We show that Bayesian posterior probabilities are significantly higher than corresponding nonparametric bootstrap frequencies for true clades, but also that erroneous conclusions will be made more often. These errors are strongly accentuated when the models used for analyses are underparameterized. When data are analyzed under the correct model, nonparametric bootstrapping is conservative. Bayesian posterior probabilities are also conservative in this respect, but less so.
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  • Fu, Michael, 1963, et al. (författare)
  • Implementation of sacubitril/valsartan in Sweden: clinical characteristics, titration patterns, and determinants
  • 2020
  • Ingår i: Esc Heart Failure. - : Wiley. - 2055-5822.
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Aims The aim of this study is to study the introduction of sacubitril/valsartan (sac/val) in Sweden with regards to regional differences, clinical characteristics, titration patterns, and determinants of use and discontinuation. Methods and results A national cohort of heart failure was defined from the Swedish Prescribed Drug Register and National Patient Register. A subcohort with additional data from the Swedish Heart Failure Registry (SwedeHF) was also studied. Cohorts were subdivided as per sac/val prescription and registration in SwedeHF. Median sac/val prescription rate was 20 per 100 000 inhabitants. Between April 2016 and December 2017, we identified 2037 patients with >= 1 sac/val prescription, of which 1144 (56%) were registered in SwedeHF. Overall, patients prescribed with sac/val were younger, more frequently male, and had less prior cardiovascular disease than non-sac/val patients. In SwedeHF subcohort, patients prescribed with sac/val had lower ejection fraction. Overall, younger age [hazard ratio 2.81 (95% confidence interval 2.45-3.22)], registration in SwedeHF [1.97 (1.83-2.12)], male gender [1.50 (1.37-1.64)], ischaemic heart disease [1.50 (1.39-1.62)], lower left ventricular ejection fraction [3.06 (2.18-4.31)], and New York Heart Association IV [1.50 (1.22-1.84)] were predictors for sac/val use. As initiation dose in the sac/val cohort, 38% received 24/26 mg, 54% 49/51 mg, and 9% 97/103 mg. Up-titration to the target dose was achieved in 57% of the overall cohort over a median follow-up of 6 months. The estimated treatment persistence for any dose at 360 days was 82%. Conclusions Implementation of sac/val in Sweden was slow and varied five-fold across different regions; younger age, male, SwedeHF registration, and ischaemic heart disease were among the independent predictors of receiving sac/val. Overall, treatment persistence and tolerability was high.
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  • Gedeborg, Rolf, et al. (författare)
  • Federated analyses of multiple data sources in drug safety studies
  • 2023
  • Ingår i: Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety. - : John Wiley & Sons. - 1053-8569 .- 1099-1557. ; 32:3, s. 279-286
  • Forskningsöversikt (refereegranskat)abstract
    • PurposeStudies of rare side effects of new drugs with limited exposure may require pooling of multiple data sources. Federated Analyses (FA) allow real-time, interactive, centralized statistical processing of individual-level data from different data sets without transfer of sensitive personal data.MethodsWe review IT-architecture, legal considerations, and statistical methods in FA, based on a Swedish Medical Products Agency methodological development project.ResultsIn a review of all post-authorisation safety studies assessed by the EMA during 2019, 74% (20/27 studies) reported issues with lack of precision in spite of mean study periods of 9.3 years. FA could potentially improve precision in such studies. Depending on the statistical model, the federated approach can generate identical results to a standard analysis. FA may be particularly attractive for repeated collaborative projects where data is regularly updated. There are also important limitations. Detailed agreements between involved parties are strongly recommended to anticipate potential issues and conflicts, document a shared understanding of the project, and fully comply with legal obligations regarding ethics and data protection. FA do not remove the data harmonisation step, which remains essential and often cumbersome. Reliable support for technical integration with the local server architecture and security solutions is required. Common statistical methods are available, but adaptations may be required.ConclusionsFederated Analyses require competent and active involvement of all collaborating parties but have the potential to facilitate collaboration across institutional and national borders and improve the precision of postmarketing drug safety studies.
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  • Gedeborg, Rolf, et al. (författare)
  • Increased availability of paracetamol in Sweden and incidence of paracetamol poisoning : using laboratory data to increase validity of a population-based registry study
  • 2017
  • Ingår i: Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety. - : WILEY. - 1053-8569 .- 1099-1557. ; 26:5, s. 518-527
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Purpose: To estimate the incidence trend and outcome of paracetamol poisoning, in relation to increased availability of paracetamol from non-pharmacy outlets in 2009.Method: Patients' serum paracetamol results over 14years (2000-2013) from 20 (out of 21) regions in Sweden were linked to national registers of hospital care, cause of death, and prescriptions. Paracetamol poisonings were defined by serum paracetamol levels, hospital diagnoses, or cause of death. The change in incidence of poisonings following increased availability of paracetamol was analysed by using segmental regression of time series.Results: Of the 12068 paracetamol poisonings, 85% were classified as intentional self-harm. Following increased availability from non-pharmacy outlets, there was a 40.5% increase in the incidence of paracetamol poisoning, from 11.5/100000 in 2009 to 16.2/100000 in 2013. Regression analyses indicated a change in the trend (p<0.0001) but not an immediate jump in the incidence (p=0.5991) following the increased availability. Adjusting for trends in hospital episodes for self-harm, suicides, and the sales volume of paracetamol did not influence the result. All-cause mortality at 30days (3.2%) did not change over time.Conclusions: The incidence of paracetamol poisoning in Sweden has increased since 2009, contrasting the decreased incidence in the period of 2007-2009. The change in trend was temporally associated with the introduction of availability of paracetamol from non-pharmacy outlets but did not appear to be related to sales volume of paracetamol or general trends in self-harm or suicides.
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  • Gedeborg, Rolf, et al. (författare)
  • Prediction of mortality risk in victims of violent crimes
  • 2017
  • Ingår i: Forensic Science International. - : Elsevier BV. - 0379-0738 .- 1872-6283. ; 281, s. 92-97
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • BACKGROUND: To predict mortality risk in victims of violent crimes based on individual injury diagnoses and other information available in health care registries.METHODS: Data from the Swedish hospital discharge registry and the cause of death registry were combined to identify 15,000 hospitalisations or prehospital deaths related to violent crimes. The ability of patient characteristics, injury type and severity, and cause of injury to predict death was modelled using conventional, Lasso, or Bayesian logistic regression in a development dataset and evaluated in a validation dataset.RESULTS: Of 14,470 injury events severe enough to cause death or hospitalization 3.7% (556) died before hospital admission and 0.5% (71) during the hospital stay. The majority (76%) of hospital survivors had minor injury severity and most (67%) were discharged from hospital within 1day. A multivariable model with age, sex, the ICD-10 based injury severity score (ICISS), cause of injury, and major injury region provided predictions with very good discrimination (C-index=0.99) and calibration. Adding information on major injury interactions further improved model performance. Modeling individual injury diagnoses did not improve predictions over the combined ICISS score.CONCLUSIONS: Mortality risk after violent crimes can be accurately estimated using administrative data. The use of Bayesian regression models provides meaningful risk assessment with more straightforward interpretation of uncertainty of the prediction, potentially also on the individual level. This can aid estimation of incidence trends over time and comparisons of outcome of violent crimes for injury surveillance and in forensic medicine.
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22.
  • Grimfjärd, Per, et al. (författare)
  • Low real-world early stent thrombosis rates in ST-elevation myocardial infarction patients and the use of bivalirudin, heparin alone or glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitor treatment : A nationwide Swedish registry report
  • 2016
  • Ingår i: American Heart Journal. - : Elsevier BV. - 0002-8703 .- 1097-6744. ; 176, s. 78-82
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Background In recent studies of primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), bivalirudin compared with heparin has been associated with increased risk of stent thrombosis (ST). Our aim was to describe incidence and outcome of definite, early ST in a large contemporary primary PCI population divided in antithrombotic therapy subgroups. Methods and Results A prospective, observational cohort study of all 31,258 ST-elevation myocardial infarction patients who received a stent in Sweden from January 2007 to July 2014 in the SWEDEHEART registry was conducted. Patients were divided into 3 groups: bivalirudin, heparin alone, or glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitor treated. Primary outcome measure was incidence of definite early ST (within 30 days of PCI). Secondary outcomes included all-cause mortality. Incidence of early ST was low, regardless of bivalirudin, heparin alone, or glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitor treatment (0.84%, 0.94%, and 0.83%, respectively). All-cause mortality at 1 year was 20.7% for all ST patients (n = 265), compared with 9.1% in those without ST (n = 31,286; P < .001). Patients with ST days 2-30 had numerically higher all-cause mortality at 1 year compared with patients with ST days 0-1 (23% vs 16%, P =.20). Conclusion In this real-world observational study of 31,258 ST-elevation myocardial infarction patients, the incidence of early ST was low, regardless of antithrombotic treatment strategy. Early ST was associated with increased mortality. Numerically higher all-cause mortality at 1 year was noted with ST days 2-30 compared with ST days 0-1 post-PCI.
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23.
  • Grimfjärd, Per, et al. (författare)
  • Outcome of PCI with Xience versus other commonly used modern drug eluting stents : a SCAAR report
  • 2021
  • Ingår i: Catheterization and cardiovascular interventions. - : Wiley. - 1522-1946 .- 1522-726X. ; 98:2, s. E197-E204
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Objectives To analyze the clinical outcome of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) using the Xience drug eluting stent (DES) versus other modern DES.Methods This retrospective study based on the Swedish Coronary Angiography and Angioplasty Registry (SCAAR) analyzed the outcome of PCI using Xience versus other commonly used modern DES, 2007 to 2017. The primary outcome measure was a combination of all-cause death, myocardial infarction (MI) and revascularisation with PCI. Angiographical outcome measures were in-stent restenosis (ISR) and stent thrombosis (ST).Results Rates of the primary outcome measure for Xience and other DES were 31.9% and 28.2% respectively, adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 0.99 (95% CI 0.95-1.03). Crude rates of ISR were 2.9% versus 2.1% over 4.3 and 2.9 years respectively, adjusted HR 0.93 (95% CI 0.81-1.06). Crude rates of ST were 0.9% versus 0.7%, adjusted HR 1.07 (95% CI 0.82-1.39). Results were consistent in all sensitivity analyses.Conclusions This nationally complete, real-world study confirms that Xience is a safe and effective DES with low-event rates of ISR and ST. Compared with a control group containing a large proportion of thinner strut stents and absorbable polymers, Xience exhibits similar results in all important clinical endpoint
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24.
  • Grimfjärd, Per, et al. (författare)
  • Unfractionated heparin versus bivalirudin in patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention : a SWEDEHEART study
  • 2017
  • Ingår i: EuroIntervention. - 1774-024X .- 1969-6213. ; 12:16, s. 2009-2017
  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
    • Aims: The aim of the stud was to compare outcomes in unfractionated heparin (UM) and bivalirudintreated patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI). Methods and results: This observational study contained 20,612 PPCT patients treated with either GM monotherapv or bivalirudin with or without concomitant UFE. Patients with oral anticoagulant or glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitor (GPI) treatment were excluded. The primary outcome measure was definite early stent thrombosis (Si) that occurred at low and similar rates in UNA only and bivalirudin-treated patients: 0.9% vs. 0.8% (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.08, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.7-1.65). All-cause death at 30 days occurred in 6.9% vs. 5.4% of patients (adjusted HR 1.23, 95% Cl: 1.05-1.44) and within 365 days in 12.1% vs. 8.9% (adjusted HR 1.34, 95% CI: 1.19-1.52) in the two groups, respectively. The incidence of major bleeding within 30 days was 0.8% vs. 0.6% (adjusted HR 1.54, 95% CI: 0.97-2.45). The incidence of reinfarction within 365 days and stroke within 30 days was similar between groups. Conclusions: In this large, nationwide observational study we found low and similar rates of early ST in UFH only and bivalirudin-treated patients undergoing primary PCI. Mortality was higher in IJFH compared with bivalirudin-treated patients.
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25.
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