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1.	Heshmati, Almas, et al. (författare) A production analysis of the manufacturing industries in Iran 1998 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 59:2, s. 183-196 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract This article is concerned with the estimation of production functions, returns to scale, and measurement of the rate of technical change using panel data. Technical change is represented by single as well as multiple time trends. The underlying production technology is represented in translog functional form. A random effects model with heteroscedastic variances is used. The models are estimated using the generalized least squares method. The disturbances of cross-sectional units are assumed to be correlated over time. Empirically, our focus is on measuring technical change in Iranian manufacturing industries during the period 1971-1993. Empirical results show that single or multiple time trend representations yield different time behavior of technical change. In the multiple time trends model, we observe a sharp decline in the pattern of technical change in 1978 in relation to the political changes. In the single time trend, as expected, the sharp decline cannot be revealed due to the smooth pattern of technical progress during the entire period of study.
2.	Abatecola, G., et al. (författare) Do organizations really co-evolve? : Problematizing co-evolutionary change in management and organization studies 2020 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 155 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract This conceptual article discusses and, from some aspects, also problematizes the state-of-the-art regarding co-evolutionary research in Management and Organization Studies (MOS). Analyzing 76 characteristic studies published since 2000, we address three simple, significant questions: What co-evolves? What causal relationships are considered? What are the theoretical processes? The motivation behind our contribution is twofold: on the one hand, the turn of the century witnessed the remarkable growth of inquiries which, at face value, have claimed to be “co-evolutionary”; but, on the other hand, specific analyses about where this fast-growing meta-theoretical perspective on social change is now, and where it could move towards in the future, are still missing in MOS. Our study reveals increasing heterogeneity in defining what co-evolves and the associated causal relationships. It also reveals the prevailing scarcity in explaining what processes substantially characterize co-evolution in MOS. With a view to shaping the future direction of research in this area, we propose four core principles that theoretically set the co-evolutionary project apart.
3.	Aerts, Ria, et al. (författare) Overcoming hospital resistance in an international innovation co-creation 2023 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - New York : Elsevier. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 187 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract The health sector is very specific and difficult market for firms to access and deal with. The main reasons for this is that the healthcare systems are in continuous change, the co-creation processes in hospitals are complicated involving many different actors which also affects on firms commercialization and internationalization approaches. However, there is a growing demand of health services and the sector is growing also due to the COVID situation, that has been dramatically speeding up the digitalization of the healthcare services in the hospital settings. Approaching international hospital markets is, however, challenging for the start-up companies. On their journey they are facing a resistance, that they have to overcome in many different ways. The aim of this paper is to increase understanding how a start-up can overcome hospital resistance in an international innovation co-creation process. The results of are based on in depth case study in which the data collection was done over the four years of data gathering. The paper highlights how start-up companies can overcome the resistance in the international innovation co-creation in the hospital markets. It shows the importance of different activities, actors, capabilities and international activities in different phases of the international innovation co-creation journey. © 2022
4.	Ancillai, Chiara, et al. (författare) Digital technology and business model innovation : A systematic literature review and future research agenda 2023 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 188 Forskningsöversikt (refereegranskat)abstract Digital technologies (e.g. Industry 4.0, Internet of Things, cloud computing, big data, blockchain, etc.), are profoundly affecting companies' activities and processes, thus leading to changes in firms' value creation, value delivery, and value capture mechanisms. Yet, despite significant investments in digital technologies and digital transformation, firms are struggling to yield the most out of them, thereby facing a digital paradox. This scenario has drawn the attention of academics and practitioners leading to a growing body of literature on the rela-tionship between digital technology and business model innovation. Yet, the extant academic research in this area appears highly fragmented. Hence, this study conducts a systematic literature review to gather and syn-thesize the extant knowledge on this topic. The review identifies four main thematic areas, provides an inter-pretative framework, and suggests valuable future research directions within each thematic area. The article contributes to the theoretical and managerial discussion on digital-driven business model innovation.
5.	Andersson, David E., 1984-, et al. (författare) Industrial design rights and the market value of firms 2023 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 196 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract This paper studies how investments in design affect the market value of firms, using European Registered Community Designs and national Swedish design rights data combined with R&D, patent and trademark data, for the period 2003–2013. This paper is the first large-scale quantitative study using industrial designs rights to measure design. Nonlinear least-squares regressions are used to investigate the association between these variables and the market value of Swedish firms. The results show that industrial designs rights have a positive and significant relationship to the market value of firms. It provides both new evidence on the effect of industrial design rights on the market value of firms and internationally comparable results for other intangible assets such as patents, trademarks and R&D. Theoretically, the paper contributes to the understanding of design knowledge and the valuation of design rights.
6.	Andersson, David Emanuel, et al. (författare) Infrastructural change and secular economic development 2008 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier BV. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 75:6, s. 799-816 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract Long-term economic development is determined by changes to the infrastructure, especially material and non-material infrastructural networks that link agents in different locations. The infrastructure consists of the slowly changing, collective arena that supports production, exchange, and consumption, such as the built environment, transport networks, and institutions. In the short run the infrastructure can be regarded as fixed. Changes to the infrastructure are under normal conditions small enough to be disregarded by producers and consumers. With the creation of a critical link of a network, there will however be a revolutionary restructuring of the arena. Critical links are here defined as additions to infrastructural networks that create opportunities for new information and transport flows between previously unconnected regions. Such a revolutionary restructuring of infrastructural networks has been called a logistical revolution. Certain institutional pre-conditions are necessary for a logistical revolution, while the creation of a critical link is both a necessary and a sufficient condition. This paper discusses the three logistical revolutions that occurred in the 13th century, around 1600, and in the 19th century, which each had crucial similarities with the current “information revolution.”
7.	Andersson, Johnn, 1983, et al. (författare) Shaping factors in the emergence of technological innovations: The case of tidal kite technology 2018 Ingår i: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. - : Elsevier BV. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 132, s. 191-298 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract The technological innovation systems (TIS) literature offers a detailed and dynamic understanding of factors that enable successful innovation. However, few studies analyze what determines where in space value chain elements are developed as a new technology is diffused on a large scale. The purpose of this paper is to show how the TIS approach can be used to identify and analyze factors that shape spatial trajectories of emerging technologies. It proposes an adapted analytical framework that expands the conventional focus on one-dimensional supporting and blocking factors, to shaping factors that incorporate the spatiality of innovation. The approach is illustrated by examining innovation in tidal kite technology. The analysis finds that a supportive local context in western Sweden during the infancy of tidal kite technology, together with the availability of competent engineers and business development professionals, promoted the formation of locally embedded knowledge and competence. This in turn created a spatial path dependency that made developments gravitate towards Sweden, although the lack of domestic markets has also increasingly driven an expansion of activity to other regions, in particular the UK. Moreover, the analysis shows that shaping, and not only stimulating, the growth of emerging TIS is an important challenge for regional policymakers, and highlights the need for international policy coordination. The paper concludes that analyzing shaping factors in the emergence of new TISs can yield important insights, some of which may be overlooked with a narrow analytical focus on supporting and blocking factors.
8.	Andersson, Martin, et al. (författare) Software development and innovation : Exploring the software shift in innovation in Swedish firms 2021 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier Inc.. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 167 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract A number of scholars and industry professionals have claimed that there has been a ‘software-biased shift’ in the nature and direction of innovation, in that software development is a core part of innovation activities in firms across a wide array of industries. Empirical firm-level evidence of such a shift is still scant. In this paper, we employ new and unique firm-level survey data on the frequency and nature of software development among firms in Sweden, matched with the Community Innovation Survey (CIS). We find robust evidence supporting a software bias in innovation, in that software development is associated with a higher likelihood of introducing innovations, as well as higher innovation sales among firms in both manufacturing and service industries. Furthermore, this positive relationship is stronger for firms that employ in-house software developers than for those that only use external developers, suggesting that there is a hierarchy but possibly also a complementarity between in-house and external software development. We also find support for complementarity between software-based technology and human capital; the estimated marginal effect of software development on innovation is particularly strong for firms that combine in-house software development with a highly educated workforce in both STEM and other disciplines. © 2021
9.	Andreasson, Martin, 1993-, et al. (författare) Dynamics of related and unrelated digital diversification in established firms : Strategies, programs, process, and outcomes 2024 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 202 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract Research on digital transformation focuses on business models and technological innovation but it often lacks a detailed exploration of how firms develop, execute, and evaluate related and unrelated digital diversification strategies. To address this gap, this study employs a multiple case study approach to uncover the varied processes and outcomes of implementing digital diversification programs in established firms. The findings reveal that established firms frequently refine and adjust their digital diversification strategies to achieve desired results. Specifically, related digital diversification strategies benefit from well-defined market segments, clear technological focus, and robust senior management support. In contrast, unrelated digital diversification strategies thrive through extensive exploration and experimentation with novel digital technologies and markets, reduced senior managerial intervention and increased middle- and lower-level management involvement. Semi-related digital diversification strategies, which incorporate elements of both related and unrelated approaches, often encounter tensions owing to conflicting traditional and new program execution methods, posing significant realization challenges. Key factors identified as instrumental in the success of digital diversification strategies include technology, markets, management & organization, and program execution. The study concludes by discussing the managerial and academic implications and offers recommendations for future research in this domain.
10.	Annarelli, Alessandro, et al. (författare) Literature review on digitalization capabilities : Co-citation analysis of antecedents, conceptualization and consequences 2021 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 166 Forskningsöversikt (refereegranskat)abstract Recent decades have witnessed increased number of studies focusing on digitalization and related capabilities. Across disciplines digitalization capability is viewed as a sources of sustained competiveness. Nonetheless, several issues related to conceptualizing digitalization capabilities remain ambivalent. The present study, uses co-citation analysis to clarify concept of digitalization capability and identify three underlining capabilities, namely digital integration capabilities, digital platform capabilities, and digital innovation capabilities, that represents micro-foundation of digitalization capabilities. Further, a capability-based model is developed which includes antecedents and consequences of digitalization capabilities in an integrated conceptual model. Suggestions for future research, theoretical contributions and managerial contributions are also presented.
11.	Anokhin, Sergey, et al. (författare) A conceptual framework for misfit technology commercialization 2011 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier BV. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 78:6, s. 1060-1071 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract The emerging literature on outbound open innovation has highlighted innovation processes, which presuppose active outward technology transfer to increase firm profits. To contribute to this discourse, our paper goes beyond the emphasis on core-related technologies and knowledge that currently dominates the technology management literature and develops the novel concept of misfit technology. This concept captures technologies that are not aligned with a focal firm's current knowledge base and/or business model, but which may still be of great value to the firm if alternative commercialization options are considered. By developing a framework that acknowledges (1) Sources of misfit technology, (2) Environmental uncertainty, (3) Organizational slack, (4) Industry appropriability regime and (5) Technological complexity, we theorize on how different modes of commercialization relate to misfit technology commercialization success. The paper is conceptual and is presented with the purpose to spawn further research on this important topic, but simultaneously touches upon the issues of utmost relevance to R&D management practice
12.	Asplund, Fredrik, 1977-, et al. (författare) The genesis of public-private innovation ecosystems : Bias and challenges 2021 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 162 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract The emergence of technology increasingly depends on innovation ecosystems and frequently involves actors from both industry and academia. However, value creation may experience challenges due to bias formed during public-private innovation ecosystem genesis.This empirical study of bias in a new pan-European public-private initiative provides results regarding innovation ecosystems and the individuals typically active during their genesis: value creation is biased towards the selection of incumbent firms and complement challenges, and participation is biased towards engineers with knowledge of exploitation from multiple domains and researchers with knowledge of exploitation from single domains.This suggests that the implications of the loose coupling emphasised by the innovation ecosystems discourse and the knowledge of the different contexts in which firms capture value are more complex than previously acknowledged. The practical implications are that the ability of public innovation ecosystem leadership to act early on novel technology might be offset by the inability of involved firms to commit to bringing the technology to market and that individuals typically active during public-private innovation ecosystems genesis are not ideal for handling this challenge. In fact, increasingly connected public leadership could smother the innovation ecosystem unless well-connected and multidisciplinary researchers are brought in as brokers.
13.	Azagra-Caro, J. M., et al. (författare) University-industry scientific production and the Great Recession 2019 Ingår i: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. - : Elsevier BV. - 0040-1625. ; 139:February, s. 210-220 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract R&D spending, be it university or industrial spending, has a positive impact on the scale of scientific production. However, the impact of R&D spending on joint university-industry scientific production, which may vary significantly according to the phase of macroeconomic cycles, is likely to be more complex than the impact on either within-university or within-industry production. We test this assumption in the context of the OECD countries and other economies against the backdrop of the Great Recession (2007-2013). Industry R&D spending dominated university-industry scientific production, but the crisis changed the impact of that spending source, which was negative during the previous expansion and became positive during the subsequent stagnation. The Great Recession had an absolute negative impact on university-industry scientific production, but also a moderating positive impact on industry R&D spending, to the extent that the few countries where this spending increased faster during the Great Recession saw university-industry scientific production rise. Positive effects were more pronounced with regards to 'domestic' university-industry scientific production, where collaborating universities and business companies were located in the same country.
14.	Barbanente, Angela, et al. (författare) Visioning the regional future : Globalization and regional transformation of Rabat/Casablanca 2007 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier BV. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 74:6, s. 763-778 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract The mainstream literature on globalization and regional transformation emphasizes two major perspectives. The first perspective combines global city theory with macro theories of transformations with a normative bias often leading to deterministic conceptualisations of globalization links to regional transformation. The other perspective emphasizes economy as the most important if not the only pushing factor for regional transformations with little attention to all transformations involving soft and informal structures The latter may be vital for such transformation. This paper takes a completely new approach namely to analyse local stakeholders' visions of regional transformation of the Rabat/Casablanca region in face the challenges that globalization poses.
15.	Batabyal, Amitrajeet A., et al. (författare) A political-economy analysis of the provision of urban anti-crime technologies in a model with three cities 2020 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier BV. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 160 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract We use a theoretical political-economy model with three cities and analyze three questions. First, should police in these cities have access to contentious crime fighting technologies such as facial recognition software? We describe a condition involving benefit, cost, and spatial spillover terms which tells us when the police ought to be provided with this technology. Second, if police are to be offered this technology then what are the properties of a policy regime that provides this technology in a decentralized way? We identify a condition that depends only on benefit and cost terms which tells us when this technology is to be made available in the cities in a decentralized way. Finally, what are the properties of a policy regime that provides the technology in a centralized way with equal cost sharing by the cities? We obtain two conditions involving benefit and spatial spillover terms that describe scenarios in which (i) the technology is provided with majority voting in a city even though it is inefficient to do so and (ii) it is efficient to provide the technology in a city but majority voting will lead to this technology not being provided.
16.	Bayuo, Blaise Booponoyeng, et al. (författare) Unpacking the role of universities in the emergence, development and impact of social innovations – A systematic review of the literature 2020 Ingår i: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. - : Elsevier BV. - 0040-1625. ; 155 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract Widening income and knowledge inqualities have led to growing expectations for universities to integrate social innovation in their core missions as a response to societal problems.This systematic review of literatureprovides an overview of the state-of-the-art of knowledge on the role of the university in enabling social innovation through its missions of teaching, research and third mission. It also identifies knowledge gaps in the field. A bibliometric approachwas usedto identify and analyze books, journal articles and reports examining factors drivingsocial innovation activities at universities, organizational and insitutional change to accommodate such activities as well as their impact.The review revealsthatthe literature on university engagementin socially-oriented activities as part of the third mission of the university is conceptually well developed and a growing field of inquiry. It alsopoints togaps in the knowledge base; relatively few studiesaddressissues related to institutional change and incentive structures that influences the abilityof universities to engage in social innovation. Likewise, impact studies on social innovation activities at universities are scarce.Further research that builds an impact measurement framework wouldsupport the process of integrating social innovation activitiesin the three missions of the university.
17.	Bernat, Stefan, 1974-, et al. (författare) Strategic alignment of technology : Organising for technology upgrading in emerging economy firms 2019 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - New York City : Elsevier. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 145, s. 295-306 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract Technology upgrading plays a crucial role in the catching-up process of emerging economy firms (EEFs) that aim to develop technological capabilities and move from imitation to innovation. The literature on emerging economies has mainly focused on how EEFs overcome the lack of technological knowledge at initial stages of catching-up while neglecting organisational issues that arise at later stages. The purpose of this study was to explore organisational activities performed by EEFs that are innovating at advanced stages of catching-up. Two Brazilian firms, namely Petrobras and WEG, were selected to be studied and to provide evidence for the research. The results indicate that both firms have systematically monitored their environments to look for windows of opportunity and have consistently invested in learning mechanisms to overcome shortcomings in knowledge. Furthermore, an activity for aligning strategy and technology was found to be key for optimising the technology upgrading process and for maximising its results.
18.	Boons, Frank, et al. (författare) Towards a sharing economy – Innovating ecologies of business models 2018 Ingår i: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. - : Elsevier BV. - 0040-1625. ; 137, s. 40-52 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)
19.	Borrás, Susana, et al. (författare) The choice of innovation policy insruments 2013 Ingår i: Technological Forecasting & Social Change. - : Elsevier BV. - 0040-1625. ; 80:8, s. 1513-1522 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract The purpose of this article is to discuss the different types of instruments of innovation policy, to examine how governments and public agencies in different countries and different times have used these instruments differently, to explore the political nature of instrument choice and design (and associated issues), and to elaborate a set of criteria for the selection and design of the instruments in relation to the formulation of innovation policy. The article argues that innovation policy instruments must be designed and combined into mixes in ways that address the problems of the innovation system. These mixes are often called “policy mix”. The problem-oriented nature of the design of instrument mixes is what makes innovation policy instruments ‘systemic’.
20.	Burström, Thommie, et al. (författare) Industrial ecosystems: A systematic review, framework and research agenda 2024 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 208 Forskningsöversikt (refereegranskat)abstract There is confusion surrounding the concept of industrial ecosystems (IEs). This research therefore presents a systematic literature review on the subject of industrial ecosystems and outlines several paths for future research. The paper defines the key characteristics of IEs, identifies three perplexity drivers that contribute to the conceptual ambiguity of IEs, proposes a four-tier integrative IE framework that outlines the core components of IE research, and presents a conceptual model that clarifies how synergetic effects emerge, leading to IE transformation. Articles are categorized into four categories (industrial symbiosis, metabolism, architecture, and orchestration) from which ten propositions are delineated. The study encourages researchers to tap into several areas from the view that this is a broad, but still rather unexplored area of research with high relevance for policy.
21.	Bustamante, Maria J. (författare) Digital platforms as common goods or economic goods? Constructing the worth of a nascent agricultural data platform 2023 Ingår i: Technological Forecasting & Social Change. - : Elsevier Inc. - 1873-5509 .- 0040-1625. ; 192 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract The potential of digital platforms to deliver on both economic and societal values is contested, with many arguing that economic value is prioritized to the detriment of more social values. Yet, the literature lacks in-depth empirical studies on how these perceptions of worth in the early stage of platform development are developed and settled upon. This paper draws on valuation studies to provide insight into how multiple platform founders construct the worth of a nascent agriculture data-sharing platform in Sweden. Using qualitative methods, the study shows that initially, the platform founders consider a number of values (accessible and transparent data, profitability, sustainability and innovation) that are defined through ‘common good’ and ‘economic good’ aspects. However, the need to articulate the worth to potential funders and partners encourages a reliance on measurable qualities, which subsequently leads to a shift in how values are defined and discussed, foregrounding and backgrounding different values and stakeholders in the process. These insights point to the complexity for firms grappling with economic and social values and highlight the need for the re-evaluation of the frameworks used to determine the value of innovation in the agri-food sector. •As digital platforms proliferate, there are questions around their ability to generate both economic and societal values•The perceived value of platforms and the values that underpin their development are not fully understood•The paper traces the values debated in the early stage processes of platform development•Analyzing these values provides insights into the implicit and explicit frames used to determine platform worth•These frames can affect which values and stakeholders get foregrounded or backgrounded in early-stage platform development
22.	Börjesson, Martin, 1980, et al. (författare) Modelling transport fuel pathways: Achieving cost-effective oil use reduction in passenger cars in Sweden 2012 Ingår i: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. - : Elsevier BV. - 0040-1625. ; 79:5, s. 801-818 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract Several technology and fuel options could be used to lower the strong oil dependence of the transportation sector. To formulate policies and to cost-effectively meet oil reduction objectives, assessments and comparisons of the long-term economic performances of different technology trajectories are essential. In this work, the energy and technology costs associated with reducing oil consumption in passenger cars in Sweden are calculated for a number of possible future transport fuel pathways and for different energy prices and climate policies. An optimisation model is applied in a simulatory multiple-run approach for this purpose. The model encompasses the transportation sector, as well as the stationary energy system. In terms of results, a methanol-based pathway gives incremental system costs in the range of − 0.9–3 billion EUR for a complete phase-out of passenger car oil up to 2030. As compared to the methanol pathway, other biomass gasification-based fuel pathways involve additional incremental system costs in the region of 3 billion EUR, whereas ethanol- and electricity-based pathways give additional incremental system costs of 4–5 billion EUR. At lower oil reduction levels, the cost differences between the pathways are smaller and the electricity-based pathway is significantly more cost-competitive.
23.	Calof, Jonathan, et al. (författare) Understanding the structure, characteristics, and future of collective intelligence using local and global bibliometric analyses 2022 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - New York, NY : Elsevier. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 178 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract “Collective Intelligence” has been a popular area of research for more than a decade. We apply two different analytical approaches (local and global bibliometric analysis) to describe how this literature is organized and how it has evolved. A local approach focuses on the 3,138 articles indexed in the Scopus database where ‘collective intelligence’ is in the title, abstract, or keyword. A global approach reclassifies all of the Scopus documents into research communities using all (1.28 billion) citations in the database and proceeds to identify which research communities are populated by the 3,138 Collective Intelligence (CI) articles. These two approaches provide significantly different perspectives on how CI is structured, who the leaders of the field are, and how it is evolving. A synthesis of these two perspectives provides ideas for those who wish to contribute to the collective intelligence field. Our findings support the Kuhnian idea of research communities as a useful concept in bibliometric analysis. © 2022 The Authors.
24.	Cao, GuiHong (författare) Dynamic Technological Determinism of the Philosophy of Technology with Design and Innovation Approaches, and Effectiveness and Efficiency Principles in Sociotechnical Systems Ingår i: Technological Forecasting & Social Change. - 0040-1625. Tidskriftsartikel (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract Since coined in the 1920s, technological determinism has caused widespread controversy. This paper aims to investigate the rationality and roadmap of technological determinism under the philosophy of technology. Technological determinism, social determinism of technology, social construction of technology, and social shaping of technology are examined in terms of technology and society. This study proposes dynamic technological determinism that technological development determines social changes with design and innovation approaches, and effectiveness and efficiency principles. This dynamic theory is argued based on the following theses: (a) humans create and use technology as technological masters and agents by design and innovation; (b) technology is autonomous in essence with technological rules; (c) technological development determines social change as the effective and efficient factor for historical progress; (d) society restricts technology and technology adapts to society; and (e) society is driven by technological design, innovation, effectiveness, and efficiency in a sociotechnical system. Finally, this study examines its implications for science, technology, human values, technological assessment, forecast, and policy. This dynamic determinism of technology practically sets scientific ethics, technological decisive status in technocratic pragmatism, human dignity and freedom in design and innovation, social context restriction, and the significances for technological assessment, forecasting, and policymaking.
25.	Capasso, Marco, et al. (författare) Green growth – a synthesis of scientific findings 2019 Ingår i: Technological Forecasting & Social Change. - : Elsevier BV. - 0040-1625. ; 146, s. 390-402 Forskningsöversikt (refereegranskat)abstract Governments in countries across the world increasingly adopt the “green growth” discourse to underline their ambition for the greening of their economies. The central tenet of this narrative is the economic opportunities rather than challenges arising from the pursuit of environmental sustainability. Our paper synthesises insights from 113 recent scientific articles, dealing with both environmental issues and economic growth, as well as innovation. Our ambition is exploratory in attempting to take stock of heterogeneous contributions across the spectrum of social science. The articles have been reviewed with a focus on six themes, derived from current discussions in economic geography and transition studies: skills, technology, physical resources, markets, institutions and policies. Four major implications emerge from the review. First, green growth requires competences that allow for handling complex, non-routine situations – in both the private and the public sector. Second, technological progress should be directed towards greener technologies, to avoid investments funds being channelled to brown technologies for short-term returns. Third, our knowledge of the opportunities for achieving green growth must base upon a joint assessment of market failures, structural system failures and transformational system failures. Finally, greater attention should be devoted to the geography of green growth processes at different scales.
26.	Carlsen, Henrik, et al. (författare) Co-evolutionary scenarios for creative prototyping of future robot systems for civil protection 2014 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier BV. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 84, s. 93-100 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract Co-evolutionary scenarios are used for creative prototyping with the purpose of assessing potential implications of future autonomous robot systems on civil protection. The methodology is based on a co-evolutionary scenario approach and the development of different evolutionary paths. Opportunities, threats and ethical aspects in connection with the introduction of robotics in the domestic security and safety sector are identified using an iterative participatory workshop methodology. Three creative prototypes of robotic systems are described: "RoboMall", "RoboButler" and "SnakeSquad". The debate in society that might follow the introduction of these three robot systems and society's response to the experienced ethical problems and opportunities are discussed in the context of two scenarios of different future societies.
27.	Castellani, Davide, et al. (författare) R&D and productivity in the US and the EU : Sectoral specificities and differences in the crisis 2019 Ingår i: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. - : Elsevier BV. - 0040-1625. ; 138, s. 279-291 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract Using data on the US and EU top R&D spenders from 2004 until 2012, this paper investigates the sources of the US/EU productivity gap. We find robust evidence that US firms have a higher capacity to translate R&D into productivity gains (especially in the high-tech macro sector), and this contributes to explaining the higher productivity of US firms. Conversely, EU firms are more likely to achieve productivity gains through capital-embodied technological change, at least in the medium- and low-tech macro sectors. Our results also show that the US/EU productivity gap has worsened during the crisis period, as the EU companies have been more affected by the economic crisis in their capacity to translate R&D investments into productivity. Based on these findings, we make a case for a learning-based and selective R&D funding, which, instead of purely aiming at stimulating higher R&D expenditures, works on improving the firms’ capabilities to transform R&D into productivity gains.
28.	Cenamor, Javier (författare) Use of health self-management platform features: The case of a specialist ehealth app 2022 Ingår i: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. - : Elsevier BV. - 0040-1625. ; 185 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract Specialist digital platforms are enabling unprecedented opportunities for changing routines in the context of health self-management. The emergence of app features for self-management of chronic conditions is transforming the use of digital platforms. In this respect, many developers struggle to understand how diverse users use different features for health self-management. The purpose of this paper is to examine the relationship between user characteristics and their use of three common features in specialist healthcare platforms, namely app exercises, app lessons, and app messages. The results indicate that the use of each platform feature may be associated with particular user characteristics. Specifically, pain intensity is positively related to the use of exercises, lessons, and messaging features for health self-management, while the relationships between app use and physical activity, fear of movement, and other chronic conditions vary with the app feature. Thus, our findings highlight the complexity of the use of digital platform features for self-management of chronic conditions.
29.	Chang, V., et al. (författare) The market challenge of wind turbine industry-renewable energy in PR China and Germany 2021 Ingår i: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. - : Elsevier BV. - 0040-1625. ; 166 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract This paper presents the role of global Industry 4.0 technology management in the growth of the wind turbine industry. The article begins with a brief overview of the Industry 4.0 wind turbine industry development, focusing on factors shaping this development. The legal policies are identified as one of the significant factors, especially in PR China and Germany. A detailed secondary data analysis of the country-specific systems is presented, followed by the analysis of patents and companies in both countries to understand better how the development, management and transfer of technology affected the different factors and the global patterns. An effective approach of acquiring technology for local enterprises as well as market development entry mode for the foreign technology holding companies are both identified. Accessing technology through licensing, entering joint ventures, or acquiring knowledge-intensive companies can be identified as common and often successful industry approaches. To develop, obtain, or maintain competitive advantages in the wind turbine industry, we suggest that the governments issue relevant legislation and regulations to support the upgrading of the industry, and the enterprises can access and manage the technology through the approaches mentioned above.
30.	Chauhan, Chetna, et al. (författare) Linking circular economy and digitalisation technologies: A systematic literature review of past achievements and future promises 2022 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 177 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract The circular economy (CE) has the potential to capitalise upon emerging digital technologies, such as big data, artificial intelligence (AI), blockchain and the Internet of things (IoT), amongst others. These digital technologies combined with business model innovation are deemed to provide solutions to myriad problems in the world, including those related to circular economy transformation. Given the societal and practical importance of CE and digitalisation, last decade has witnessed a significant increase in academic publication on these topics. Therefore, this study aims to capture the essence of the scholarly work at the intersection of the CE and digital technologies. A detailed analysis of the literature based on emerging themes was conducted with a focus on illuminating the path of CE implementation. The results reveal that IoT and AI play a key role in the transition towards the CE. A multitude of studies focus on barriers to digitalisation-led CE transition and highlight policy-related issues, the lack of predictability, psychological issues and information vulnerability as some important barriers. In addition, product-service system (PSS) has been acknowledged as an important business model innovation for achieving the digitalisation enabled CE. Through a detailed assessment of the existing literature, a viable systems-based framework for digitalisation enabled CE has been developed which show the literature linkages amongst the emerging research streams and provide novel insights regarding the realisation of CE benefits.
31.	Chirumalla, Koteshwar, Associate Professor, et al. (författare) Enabling battery circularity : Unlocking circular business model archetypes and collaboration forms in the electric vehicle battery ecosystem 2024 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier Inc.. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 199 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract Achieving battery circularity is crucial for meeting the targets of net-zero emission vehicles by 2030 and enabling climate-neutral transportation by 2050. To facilitate this transition, firms operating in the electric vehicle (EV) battery ecosystem must reassess their value creation, capture, and delivery methods. Although EV battery second life presents a promising solution for circularity, many vehicle manufacturers and stakeholders in the battery ecosystem struggle to adapt their organizations internally and externally due to a lack of insights into suitable circular business models. The purpose of this study is to identify viable archetypes of circular business models for EV battery second life and examine their implications on company collaborations within the EV battery ecosystem. Three main archetypes of circular business models are identified (i.e., extending, sharing, and looping business models) and further divided into eight sub-archetypes. These models are elucidated in terms of key business model dimensions, including value proposition, value co-creation, value delivery, and value capture. The paper provides visual representations of the necessary interactions and collaborations among companies in the EV battery ecosystem to effectively implement the proposed business model archetypes. This research contributes to the theory of circular business models in general, with specific relevance to EV battery circularity.
32.	Costa Climent, Ricardo, et al. (författare) Business model theory-based prediction of digital technology use : An empirical assessment 2021 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 173 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract Firms invest heavily in their future use of digital technology to create and appropriate value and thereby survive and prosper. Such decisions regarding the future are part of a firm's foresight, which is a core element of a firm's dynamic capabilities. The contemporary toolbox for generating foresight is dominated by procedural methods, thus ignoring theory-based predictions of the future uses of digital technology. This paper presents the first empirical assessment of business model theory's ability to predict the future uses of digital technology by a given firm. Predictions for a specific niche of hemophilia firms are investigated. Outcomes related to these predictions are then observed. The results show the power of business model theory for deriving such predictions, implying that the managerial toolbox for foresight generation should be extended to include this theory. This study also provides several directions for further development of business model theory to increase its ability to account for value creation and appropriation from the use of digital technology.
33.	Decker-Lange, Carolin, et al. (författare) Small steps for the big hit: A dynamic capabilities perspective on business networks and non-disruptive digital technologies in SMEs 2023 Ingår i: Technological Forecasting & Social Change. - : Elsevier Inc. - 1873-5509 .- 0040-1625. ; 191 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract This study explores how small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) build on business networks to develop dynamic capabilities that ultimately foster the adoption of non-disruptive digital technologies (DT). Multiple mediation analysis is used to test this relationship, drawing on cross-industry secondary data from 1470 British SMEs. The results reveal that SMEs rely on business networks to support non-disruptive DT adoption. This relationship is mediated by the parallel effects of three dynamic capabilities (HR, strategic planning, and marketing capabilities). However, the results do not hold for each domain-specific dynamic capability. The mediating effect is particularly driven by marketing capabilities, while HR capabilities negatively affect DT adoption. These findings highlight the underlying mechanisms by which SMEs can enhance their adoption of non-disruptive DT in their daily operations and processes, which have the potential to strengthen their value proposition. •Internal resource constraints are a major obstacle for SMEs in adopting digital technologies and thus remaining competitive•SMEs rely on the expertise derived from formal business networks to overcome those internal resource constraints•Specific dynamic capabilities mediate the relationship between business networks and digital technology adoption•Interestingly, the mediation is particularly driven by marketing capabilities
34.	Despeisse, Mélanie, 1985, et al. (författare) Unlocking value for a circular economy through 3D printing: A research agenda 2017 Ingår i: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. - : Elsevier BV. - 0040-1625. ; 115, s. 75-84 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract The circular economy (CE) aims to radically improve resource efficiency by eliminating the concept of waste and leading to a shift away from the linear take-make-waste model. In a CE, resources are flowing in a circular manner either in a biocycle (biomass) or technocycle (inorganic materials). While early studies indicate that 3D printing (3DP) holds substantial promise for sustainability and the creation of a CE, there is no guarantee that it will do so. There is great uncertainty regarding whether the current trajectory of 3DP adoption is creating more circular material flows or if it is leading to an alternative scenario in which less eco-efficient localised production, demands for customised goods, and a higher rate of product obsolescence combine to bring about increased resource consumption. It is critical that CE principles are embedded into the new manufacturing system before the adoption of 3DP reaches a critical inflection point in which negative practices become entrenched. This paper, authored by both academic and industry experts, proposes a research agenda to determine enablers and barriers for 3DP to achieve a CE. We explore the two following overarching questions to discover what specific issues they entail: (1) How can a more distributed manufacturing system based on 3DP create a circular economy of closed-loop material flows? (2) What are the barriers to a circular 3D printing economy? We specifically examine six areas—design, supply chains, information flows, entrepreneurship, business models and education—with the aim of formulating a research agenda to enable 3DP to reach its full potential for a CE.
35.	Donbesuur, F., et al. (författare) External knowledge resources and new venture success in developing economies : Leveraging innovative opportunities and legitimacy strategies 2022 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 185 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract This study draws insights from entrepreneurial opportunity and organizational legitimacy perspectives to specify an intervening role of opportunity recognition and the contingency effect of entrepreneurial legitimacy to explain how and when external knowledge resources are associated with new venture performance. The conceptual model is tested on primary data from 230 new ventures operating in a sub-Saharan African economy: Ghana. Findings from the study indicate that the relationship between external knowledge resources and new venture performance is mediated by opportunity recognition and that high levels of both strategic and regulatory legitimacy strategies strengthen the indirect relationship. Theoretical implications and new venture management lessons drawn from these findings are discussed.
36.	Dutta, Anupam, et al. (författare) Do dirty and clean energy investments react to infectious disease-induced uncertainty? 2024 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 205 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract Following the outbreak of novel coronavirus, numerous studies have assessed the effect on global financial markets. However, investigations into whether, and to what extent, dirty and clean energy asset classes are sensitive to contagious diseases are rare. This study aims to fill this gap in the literature. We measured the effects of contagious viruses using the recently introduced infectious disease-related uncertainty index (EMVID). Our data include the iShares Global Energy ETF and clean energy stock indices from leading economies such as the United States, the European Union, Japan, and China. Employing the GARCH-MIDAS model, we find that the uncertainty associated with infectious diseases has a significant positive (negative) effect on the realized volatility (RV) of dirty (green) assets. This finding is novel given that it indicates the potential for "green recovery" in the post-pandemic era. Our findings further document that EMVID has significant predictive content for the volatility of these assets and that inserting the EMVID index into the GARCH-MIDAS process produces better volatility predictions than other uncertainty measures, including the crude oil volatility (OVX), geopolitical risk (GPR), and economic policy uncertainty (EPU) indices. Hence, the EMVID provides additional information not contained in the OVX, GPR, or EPU during the pandemic period. Our findings will be useful for energy market participants to make appropriate asset allocation decisions during pandemics.
37.	Eriksson, Klas, et al. (författare) A revised perspective on innovation policy for renewal of mature economies – Historical evidence from finance and telecommunications in Sweden 1980–1990 2019 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 147, s. 152-162 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract What is the role of innovation policy for accomplishing renewal of mature industries in Western economies? Drawing upon an unusually rich dataset spanning 9752 digitized archival documents, we categorize and code decisions taken by policymakers on several levels while also mapping and quantifying the strategic activities of both entrant firms and incumbent monopolists over a decade. Our data concerns two empirical cases from Sweden during the time period 1980–1990: the financial sector and the telecommunications sector. In both industries, a combination of technological and institutional upheaval came into motion during this time period which in turn fueled the revitalization of the Swedish economy in the subsequent decades. Our findings show that Swedish policymakers in both cases consistently acted in order to promote the emergence of more competition and de novo entrant firms at the expense of established monopolies. The paper quantifies and documents this process while also highlighting several enabling conditions. In conclusion, the results indicate that successful innovation policy in mature economies is largely a matter of strategically dealing with resourceful vested interest groups, alignment of expectations, and removing resistance to industrial renewal.
38.	Eslami, Mohammad H., 1985-, et al. (författare) Knowledge-sharing across supply chain actors in adopting Industry 4.0 technologies : An exploratory case study within the automotive industry 2023 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 186:Part A Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract This study investigates the role of knowledge-sharing between supply chain actors in facilitating their adoption of Industry 4.0 technologies, identifying factors that hinder or promote such knowledge-sharing. Drawing on an in-depth single case study, including 19 interviews with a manufacturing firm in the German automotive industry and five of the suppliers and customers in the focal firm’s supply chain, the study identifies the following knowledge-sharing approaches that facilitate the adoption of Industry 4.0: 1) knowledge-sharing through principles; 2) upstream flow of knowledge; 3) strategic positioning; and 4) application-relatedness. These approaches are shown to be influenced both by company-related factors and relational factors. Applying a knowledge-based view of the firm, this study addresses a gap in current research by investigating the role of knowledge-sharing in adopting Industry 4.0 from the perspectives not only of a single focal firm but also of upstream and downstream suppliers and customers in the supply chain. In presenting approaches to knowledge-sharing that promote the implementation of Industry 4.0 based on a firm's existing resources, this study is also of direct relevance to practitioners.
39.	Etzkowitz, Henry, et al. (författare) Entrepreneurial university dynamics : Structured ambivalence, relative deprivation and institution-formation in the Stanford innovation system 2019 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 141, s. 159-171 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)
40.	Farla, Jacco, et al. (författare) Sustainability transitions in the making: A closer look at actors, strategies and resources 2012 Ingår i: Technological Forecasting & Social Change. - : Elsevier BV. - 0040-1625. ; 79:6, s. 991-998 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)
41.	Flostrand, Andrew, et al. (författare) The Delphi technique in forecasting : A 42-year bibliographic analysis (1975–2017) 2020 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 150 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract Since the infancy of the Delphi Technique for collecting and aggregating expert insight, this methodological tool has been discussed, adapted and applied in over 2,600 published scholarly papers to date. This paper mines the major citation indexing services to analyze five dimensions of these data: primary contribution (methodological or applied), field and subfield, length (in pages), year, and journal/conference. Interpreted visual analytics of these five dimensions (both individually and in combination) provide researchers, practitioners and editors with clear insights about whether the Delphi technique is still as prominently used, discussed, and written about in the academic literature as it was twenty years ago and the related trends that might inform predictions of its future use. Among these insights, a simple time series of frequencies of Delphi publications by year immediately shows that academic acceptance of Delphi as a research tool is not only well established, but it has been growing in popularity and range of research domains for two decades predicting unprecedented levels of use in the years to come.
42.	Fredström, A., et al. (författare) Tracking innovation diffusion : AI analysis of large-scale patent data towards an agenda for further research 2021 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 165 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract Recent advances in AI algorithms and computational power have led to opportunities for new methods and tools. Particularly when it comes to detecting the current status of inter-industry technologies, the new tools can be of great assistance. This is important because the research focus has been on how firms generate value through managing their business models. However, further attention needs to be given to the external technological opportunities that also contribute to value creation in firms. We applied unsupervised machine learning techniques, particularly DBSCAN, in an attempt to generate a macro-level technological map. Our results show that AI and machine learning tools can indeed be used for these purposes, and DBSCAN is a potential algorithm. Further research is needed to improve the maps and to use the generated data to study related phenomena including entrepreneurship.
43.	Fredström, Ashkan, et al. (författare) What is the Market Value of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning? : The Role of Innovativeness and Collaboration for Performance 2022 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 180 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract As AI and ML technologies are increasingly incorporated into products, there is a need to understand the role of these incorporations in enhancing performance. This study uses new types of methodology related to textual data analysis to explore the question of whether there is a difference between market sentiments—and consequently marketing and business performance—when it comes to communicating either AI or ML. We test and confirm the hypothesis that AI rather than ML attracts more positive sentiments in the marketplace. Additionally, we find that AI is mostly used when the discussion centers on innovativeness, and that discussions concerning collaboration in these technologies attract more positive sentiments. We further contribute methodologically by leveraging textual data available online on the titles of web-page contents and the results of the Vader sentiment analysis to test our hypothesis. We conclude that, to enhance business performance, firms should communicate using AI-related vocabulary especially when the topic is innovativeness and collaboration.
44.	Frishammar, Johan, et al. (författare) Digital health platforms for the elderly? Key adoption and usage barriers and ways to address them 2023 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 189 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract Digital healthcare platforms (DHPs) represent a relatively new phenomenon that could provide a valuable complement to physical primary care – for example, by reducing costs, improving access to healthcare, and allowing patient monitoring. However, such platforms are mainly used today by the younger generations, which creates a “digital divide” between the younger and the elderly. This article aims to identify: i) the perceived key barriers that inhibit adoption and usage of DHPs by the elderly, and ii) what DHP providers can do to facilitate increased adoption and usage by the elderly. The article draws on qualitative interviews with elderly and complementary process data from a major Swedish DHP. We find that the elderly perceives two key barriers to initial adoption of DHPs: i) negative attitudes and technology anxiety and ii) one key barrier affecting both adoption and usage – lack of trust. The analysis also identifies multiple development suggestions for DHP improvement to better accommodate the needs of the elderly, including suggestions for application development and tailored education activities. We provide an integrated framework outlining the key barriers perceived and ways to address them. In so doing, we contribute to the literature on mHealth and to the literature on platforms in healthcare.
45.	Fünfschilling, Lea, et al. (författare) The interplay of institutions, actors and technologies in socio-technical systems – An analysis of transformations in the Australian urban water sector. Technological Forecasting and Social Change (103), 298-312. 2016 Ingår i: Technological Forecasting & Social Change. - : Elsevier BV. - 0040-1625. ; 103, s. 298-298 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract Literature on socio-technical transitions has primarily emphasized the co-determination of institutions and technologies. In this paper, we want to focus on how actors play a mediating role between these two pillars of a socio-technical system. By introducing the theoretical concept of institutional work, we contribute to the conceptualization and empirical assessment of agency processes in socio-technical systems. We illustrate this approach by analyzing recent developments in the Australian urban water sector, where seawater desalination technology has experienced an unexpected, but rapid diffusion to all major cities, often interpreted as a reaction to a major multi-year drought. However, the drought broke and left all but one plant unused. This has led many commentators wonder how such a massive investment – which is likely to limit alternative development trajectories in the sector for the coming decades – could have happened so quickly and why other, potentially more sustainable technologies, have not been able to use the momentum of the crisis to break through. A comparative analysis between seawater desalination and its main rival wastewater recycling in regard to processes of institutional work provides valuable insight into how technology, actors and institutions mutually shaped each other.
46.	Gartner, Johannes, et al. (författare) C-level managers and born-digitals' scaling : The case of Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs) 2024 Ingår i: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. - 0040-1625. ; 198 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract This research contributes to the Management of Technology (MOT) literature by scrutinizing the interrelation between education, experience, and the scaling aptitudes of high-tech companies. The study hinges on a comprehensive analysis of data collected from 1987 C-level executives and 3644 born-digital firms that pursued funding via blockchain-based Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs). Employing structural equation modeling, we systematically tested our hypotheses, contrasting the scaling trajectories of companies that successfully procured funding against those that fell short. Our findings reveal that amongst the diverse managerial competencies, only the leadership acumen of CEOs plays an important role in fostering the scaling of tech-companies across the spectrum, leaving the proficiencies of CFOs and CTOs with negligible impact. More crucially, the competencies of a CEO magnify in importance in relation to a tech-company's scaling potential post the securing of funds. The insights gained from this study not only enrich the existing body of knowledge on scaling and ICOs within the MOT literature but also hold considerable practical value for crafting effective scaling strategies in the high-tech industry.
47.	Gartner, Johannes, et al. (författare) The Role of Fear of Missing Out and Experience in the Formation of SME Decision Makers’ Intentions to Adopt New Manufacturing Technologies 2022 Ingår i: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. - : Elsevier BV. - 0040-1625. ; 180 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract Corporate decision-makers form their intention to adopt new technology for their venture based on their perception of its usefulness and ease of use. However, the formation of this intention might be influenced by the fear of missing out (FOMO), making decision-makers fear losing their relatedness with fellow managers and leading to decisions based on irrational considerations. We draw on and extend the technology acceptance model to explain the potential bias caused by FOMO and expect that this bias is contingent on the level of decision makers' prior experience with the new technology in other contexts. Moderated OLS regressions on 514 observations collected from a representative sample of decision-makers of Austrian SMEs show that FOMO is positively related to the intention to adopt new technology. Moreover, we find that the relationship is mitigated by the decision maker's prior experience with that new technology. We highlight the relevance of the FOMO bias in technology acceptance, adding to the growing research stream on the role of emotions in adopting novel technologies. We further show how experience can effectively counter the FOMO bias for many decision-makers and extend the scope of technology acceptance models by illustrating their applicability to novel manufacturing technologies.
48.	Geissinger, Andrea, et al. (författare) Digital Disruption beyond Uber and Airbnb – tracking the long tail of the sharing economy 2020 Ingår i: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. - : Elsevier BV. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 155 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract The sharing economy can be regarded as a discontinuous innovation that creates increased abundance throughout society. Extant literature on the sharing economy has been predominantly concerned with Uber and Airbnb. As little is known about where the sharing economy is gaining momentum beyond transportation and accommodation, the purpose of this paper is to map in what sectors of the economy it is perceived to gain traction. Drawing on data from social and traditional media in Sweden, we identify a long tail of 17 sectors and 47 subsectors in which a total of 165 unique sharing-economy actors operate, including sectors such as on-demand services, fashion and clothing, and food delivery. Our findings therefore point at the expanding scope of the sharing economy and relatedly, we derive a set of implications for firms.
49.	Geissinger, Andrea, et al. (författare) Digital entrepreneurship and field conditions for institutional change - Investigating the enabling role of cities 2019 Ingår i: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. - : Elsevier BV. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 146, s. 877-886 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract Digital entrepreneurship may result in institutional turbulence and new initiatives are frequently blocked by vested interest groups who posit superior financial and relational resources. In this paper, we explore the role of cities in facilitating digital entrepreneurship and overcoming institutional resistance to innovation. Drawing upon two historical case studies of digital entrepreneurship in the city of Stockholm along with an extensive material on the sharing economy in Sweden, our results suggest that cities offer an environment that is critical for digital entrepreneurship. The economic and technological diversity of a city may provide the field conditions required for institutional change to take place and to avoid regulatory capture.
50.	Grafström, Jonas, et al. (författare) Invention, innovation and diffusion in the European wind power sector 2016 Ingår i: Technological forecasting & social change. - : Elsevier BV. - 0040-1625 .- 1873-5509. ; 114, s. 179-191 Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract The purpose of this paper is to provide an economic analysis of the technology development patterns in the European wind power sector. The three classic Schumpeterian steps of technological development, invention, innovation and diffusion, are brought together to assess the relationship between these. Three econometric approaches are used, a negative binomial regression model for inventions approximated by patent counts, different learning curve model specifications that have been derived from a Cobb-Douglas cost function to address innovation, and a panel data fixed effect regression for the diffusion model. We suggest an integrated perspective of the technological development process where possible interaction effects between the different models are tested. The dataset covers the time period 1991–2008 in the eight core wind power countries in Western Europe. We find evidence of national and international knowledge spillovers in the invention model. The technology learning model results indicate that there exists global learning but also that the world market price of steel has been an important determinant of the development of wind power costs. In line with previous research, the diffusion model results indicate that investment costs have been an important determinant of the development of installed wind power capacity. The results also point towards the importance of natural gas prices and feed-in tariffs as vital factors for wind power diffusion.

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